Topic: My market vision at this time... (Read 885 times)

My market vision at this time on the odex.ooo
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Absolutely, investing is really a difficult one when you want to earn crypto because you are taking risks, you are putting your money into a project that is not sure if it will become successful in the future but you can do some analyzation for you to secure or to get higher possibility that you can earn in the future by making research to those particular project that you want to invest your money in. Knowledge is really important here because I can say that if you commit a single mistake that can lead to losing your money or wasting your money when the time comes. You can actually do some points for you to consider when you are choosing a particular project you want to invest in, by reading their whitepaper which is very important for a project because you can get information what you need there, whitepaper composes a very important information about the project of what are they gonna do in the future and what is the purpose and the platform of their project. You can also see the roadmap that shows what is their timeline of plans on upcoming months or years. You can also look at the top list of projects that you can invest your money in. Lastly, you can look at the feedbacks of the current investors of that particular project if that is really good to take a risk.

The expected market movement already started,
 but the drama around IOTA and
 the "little" slip in the Eth2.0 release date
seems to be big issues enough to stop some whale to invest in the crypto market.

YES - you should do investments ONLY IN TRUE DECENTRALIZED, WELL DIVERSIFIED, WELL DISTRIBUTED coins, tokens...
YES - you should check serious projects, if they in Beta (as IOTA at this time), and decide to invest or not.
But a not decentralized coin in the TOP 100 of the DLT market? I think, it can be ONLY a big delusion...
Don't forget - IOTA, Tether, Bitfinex, ... has some identical investors, owners, ... in the background.
Many coins in the TOP 100 not TRUE DLT Projects already - I see... I think it is a big risk at this time.

I think, the whole market has at this time ~15% (daily trading volumen - coinmarketcap.com) TRUE AND GREEN DLT projects only.

TRUE AND GREEN DLT projects will maybe grow (+ ~10%) in July with Ethereum 2.0......
https://nulltx.com/developers-are-95-confident-that-ethereum-2-0-will-launch-in-july/

For most people who are into trading from Forex and stock market, crypto is an advantage for them, as they have seen the potential on it, they know that Bitcoin or crypto has more potential to grow as it is moving every now and then, so for this volatility they can easily take advantage of it, this is as per my friend who was once trader at stock market , he said it is more easier to earn here in crypto.

I trying to explain in an other thread, what are the fundamental backgrounds...

To be simple:

- Bitcoin dominates the crypto market (with Tether USD, but Tether is similar to MtGox at this time, it exists many issues, which take the trust from Tether periodically away, I see...).
- Somebody dominate bitcoin (at this time China, please see the Bitcoin graph (+40% in minutes!) after a speech of China's government about the support of the technology..., maybe later google?)
- Crypto market should rescue the remaining free market against central authorities, the simplest way to choose an another dominant crypto or crypto's...
- Up to the time, USA getting controll over Bitcoin network throug google (or IBM, or ...), it is for the USA (and for the remained true crypto community) clever option to support Ethereum (maybe through a new kind of dollar, or more...) or
- maybe more other crypto's...
- The fact will be then - Bitcoin will loose the dominance in the crypto market, as I described in the first post. I should say - it is a good option for our living environment also. If Ethereum ready with PoS, then Ethereum will be a kind of "Greencoin", as I named my dreams in 2011...

Once the market is highly affected of the sudden dump, they somehow switch their investment to stock market, gold or real estate. It is to avoid their money to put into sleep. Crypto is volatile, making it as an investment is a good decision, but you have to face a higher risk than investing in physical assets.

I think we should first define institutional investors here

Who are they and whom do they represent? Regardless, institutional investors should be buying, right? So why are the prices falling now when they should be rising? What I mean to say is that there are unlikely any new institutional investors apart from those who have been in crypto since long ago (like the Winklevoss twins and their likes). The bottom line is that Bitcoin is still too speculative to interest big guns big time, and it will remain like that for the times to come (until it gets somewhere beside relentless speculation)

your points are good and you mainly target offline assets like gold and real estates but at the end of your sentence i was shock that you just inserted bitcoin  .   thats true that every market has a pump and dump but offline assets like the ones you mention are less prone to it while btc and cryptos are the ones that are mainly affected.   my vision this time is if the price continue to fall people will switch for alternative options but will comeback once they see an imrpovement on thier digital assets

Investment in any market requires a lot of confidence. Every market is carrying dumps and pumps with it. It is not just crypto market that shows bad times to investors, so are gold and real estate markets. Those investors who take risks of holding their investments instead of withdrawing in tough times are the ones who survive. We shall keep supporting bitcoin.

Nice to see your graphical representation, but I don't understand the actual situation of the Altcoin market, people are afraid of investing and trading with Altcoin because of panic, In 2018, I just straight blame on ICO whose were the main responsible to bring this curse towards this platform, without any regulation, any policies and any justification you can even start an ICO and people were ready to invest in order to make more money but at the end they lost their money by investing in the fake and scam project, that had happened a lot during that time, so you can't even show a new Project in your chart, this is the reality of this platform, by the way, I read you provided link and I appreciate your good market prediction.

Interesting. I don't know if you meant for the gradient of BTC dominance's decrease to be to scale, but that does seem like a steep decline.

I highly doubt that it'll drop below 50% even in the worst case scenario this time round, because of how many institutional players there are within the market who don't have the risk appetite for cryptos other than BTC which has proven to be the most stable in the long run.

This is the main difference from the last bull market to this time round - the introduction of institutional investors. The reason why BTC dominance was so low was because retail investors are more prone to FOMO, and seeking quick profits, without restraints in terms of risk.

In my opinion, you really did very right, because Ethereum is practically one of the best assets that can bring its owner even five or six times profit (from 190 dollars to 1300 dollars), especially when you consider the maximum prices for Ethereum at the beginning of 2018  of the year.  I am sure that we will again reach last year's indicators after a certain time.

I actually bought most of my Ethereum largely for the purpose of staking them. I however don't think stakers will end up generating a ton of profit as you say, but just enough to make people sit on their coins and not sell them.

Time will tell how long I will keep holding them, but I like the idea of having a passive income stream. This is what a lot of people are after and therefore invest in a wide variety of scams where they lose their money.

I am not entirely confident in the shift from POW to staking because it's not as easy as people think it is, and there are a lot of other incentives that come into play. I would say that the odds of seeing Ethereum staking are about 50%.

If you are an experienced trader and you watch the market all day and look at the charts in detail,
you can have some indications of where the cryptocurrency market is going to move on the future. Of course there are possibilities to end in wrong conclusions but still it is a good way to predict the market.

The reality is that ethereum made that money thanks to it is blockchain, it could be thanks to ICO's, it could be thanks to Dapps but eventually ethereum is used for it is blockchain which is a good utility to have for a coin and that is all we can hope for comparing all the other coins just publishes as a new coin and doesn't work for anything else, there are thousands of coins that literally doesn't work for anything at all.

Hence, I would say that ethereum still has a good chance to be a huge coin, it at least works for something and people could do ICO's and Dapps once again when ethereum is mined with staking instead of rigs so people would want more and more ethereum to stash which would help them a whole ton to profit even without doing anything.

You're vision look like it has real cover behind it with some deep research so I would expect bitcoin to drop in price again but I'm not so sure about ETH being bullish as I think its time for another altcoins to shine. However, we're gonna enter in the re-accumulation period for cryptocurrencies and another sale is about to happen and some of us waited a long time for price of altcoins to come down this much.

About bitcoin the chart is nothing similar like 2017 as if its like that then it has become to predictable and bitcoin and the markets are never easy to predict and sometimes almost impossible. I do appreciate your charts but only big investors and whales drive the price in this game and lets hope the right coins will pump and bitcoin will not drop so much in price as your prediction tells.

If you really think small holders like us change the market then you are wrong! Most of the time, prices are shaped by big investors (whales) who generally wait for market conditions like one at present when there is not much movements and then they manipulate market by either buying or selling part of their holdings. So we just have to wait for one such out-break, once it happens, rest of the market will respond and if price increases, it will turn into bull run because of FOMO sentiment!

but how can be the next bull run start when everyone is afraid to make a move ? you said people are waiting and hodling , the other man said that investors are not interested on cryptos anymore  .  that is what im worrying  .  maybe we need a miracle this time

but also when i realized that this event that we experience right now is not already new because infact last year was way more tragic than today but cryptos manage to make a recovery right ?  . theres always a chance

But still, there are many who are holding the crypto and waiting for the improvement in the conditions. People still have faith in the market but hesitate a little to make any further new investments in the bearish market. I think such conditions would prevail till a next bull run hits the market...