Topic: My market vision at this time... - page 2. (Read 885 times)

indeed, there are many investors who are not too interested in cryptocurrency because cryptocurrency price movements may not be too good so as to make the market sluggish, hopefully with a good development can encourage investors.

It a hard reality that everyone should understand, we saw a good rally in ETH because the ICO market was booming during that time and i made my profit during that time and so does everyone but we know the situation now, there is no successful project in the market and the scammers took full advantage of the ETH token facility to run away with the money and now we hardly see any investment in the altcoin market.

They are indeed looking for realistic  project where they can get benefited especially after the terrible 2018 and 2019 wherein most of the projects were dead and some turned out of be scam as a result they are more cautious now which will make the investment difficult especially  for the ICO and IEO. But if we get couple of fantastic project with a technology of future which  will yield decent amount of profit to investors then it might change the perspective.

prognosis is very cool stuff. even if they fail, then oh, come on, it was just a prognosis!
but if it shot to ten, then so much hype and joy 
but the fact  is : what do we have - bitcoin was, still is and would the strongest and most valuable crypto coin . this is a fact. the rest is just a probability.

-  can you see a dinosaur on street?!
-  it's 50/50, man! Maybe you'll see it, maybe you won't !
 

investors are looking at more realistic and dubious new directions, we can understand that because there's always a sense of worry
it is difficult to gain full investor confidence, with that kind of thinking only a portion will develop and survive

During many ICOs have scam and many investor do not interested with ICOs project investment, ETH looks have bad change price and keep stay at lower, its have big effect after ICO is not success anymore and many investor never joining ICO again, for raising up ETH maybe we need and ICO owner make new ICO could profitable.

I think, you have truth, if we speaking about an "ideal market". But, as you says - crypto-market don't "ideal" at this time. If somebody knows more about a software-development AND a little about MARKET, then it has a big chance to "predict" the future. He / she visits sites of the project (i.e. github site also!!!), chat with dev's, and KNOWS MORE about a project already, as OTHERS (i.e. "only" traders).

Please see my predictions on tradingview, and I should say - for me was from middle 2011 Bitcoin, Namecoin, Litecoin, ... later Peercoin, ... later NXT, ... always a good chance and a possible investment in the crypto world...:

https://www.tradingview.com/u/ifinta/

And I have sometimes development ideas here also :

A critique of Bitcoin (PoW critique) from late 2011 https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/greencoin-54222
An idea about a "curtly" blockchain https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/m.8518905
A possible new crowdsale form (Dev' Clubs) vs. ICO's https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/a-new-crowdsale-type-for-crypto-economy-a-club-for-do-something-1694015
About "Curtly", but it will be continue in the Project for "Charm" (about "Charm" you find a link in the first post of "Curtly") https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/ann-the-start-of-the-curtly-developer-club-1690476

I just have some new steps to the idea of "Curtly" in my mind, not to have a hard cap in time - I will implement it in our Charm project... The new coin will be really "Curtly"

Charm (a portion) is already on the "exchange bot" of OByte ledger, you can buy it already (( This raw was only the marketing for my projects. Please follow, support they... ))

Could be, but I doubt it.  In fact I believe Eth is undervalued right now and is one of those coins on the chart in the op that's going to survive 10 years from now.  The rest of them I am far from sure about.

Well it doesn't look like that's going on based on the chart...but its possible that these are only temporary shifts in 'dominance'.  I put that word in quotes because I'm not convinced that market cap is a good indicator of market dominance.  A lot of it has to do with adoption and the strength of a coin's community.  I very much doubt that bitcoin is ever going to give up that dominance to another coin, not even Eth which I think is in a solid second place as far as that goes.

It is impossible indeed, but the fact that market cap proportions are changing probably means something.  What it means I couldn't say but its interesting data.  I did notice that the coins aside from Eth aren't gaining much traction in terms of market cap.  That will likely remain the same and some of those coins will probably drop off the map in the long term.

Do you hear what you are saying at all, and do you have your facts? I think you are just basing your judgment here on assumption because I have not seen any much growth in the community of Ethereum, it was of recent that someone even complained that Ethereum fee is getting far higher than bitcoin which is the leverage that they have had over Ethereum, but with the introduction of lighting network, people no longer complain of bitcoin transaction that much again, and everyone still prefers to receive their payment with bitcoin.

Since I have been in this market, all my payments and all my received money has all been through bitcoin, which I have never for once thought of Ethereum because even this bitcoin fee that some people are complaining about it not that much to me, you can never compare the payment of fee in our local bank to that of bitcoin.

Until such time bitcoin will be in a comfortable stage where investors will be aggressive in investing again, we will not see a growth for altcoins.
it's been very unpredictable since the correction started, when BTC is up, altcoins could either rise or fall, but most of the time it will drop as its initial reaction but if bitcoin will dump hard, the harder altcoins will dump, and that's the reason why altcoins from its ATH loses a significant value.

I'm not sure the flippening would actually happen, but people will start speculating about it again for sure.

It's possible too. The ETH supply is growing a lot faster than the BTC supply, so overtaking BTC's market cap is getting easier and easier in terms of price. Market cap is such a dumb metric......

If the staking thing happens I am not sure what will happen with the ICO world. At one hand we have IEO getting bigger and binance chain type of things getting bigger whereas ICO getting lower and lower funding, but at the other hand we will have funding making funding itself, think about it if you fund a company 10 million dollars with ethereum, they can literally just keep the money and stake it and use the stake profits to continue with the project. ICO's will have a whole another reason to continue looking for funding in ICO form with ethereum so they can make more money.

At the end of the day, it is about the developers, if they want to switch back to ethereum then this update will make a ton of change in price, if not then there won't be big change.

I thought it would be stable for 1 and a half months and will start pumping.
Bitcoin pump or dump is dependent on a lot of different events. If Bakkt appears this year, it will be a big pump for the market when new capital flows are granted to the market. The second reason is Bitcoin halving, next year there will be a Bitcoin halving event and that is why the price of Bitcoin cannot drop anymore.

Remember, that after every bust comes a boom and believe me memories become extremely short and once FOMO kicks in hard, there will be an influx of people coming into invest, retail and hardcore investors alike. I think though the landscape of the next Bull run might be different to the one we had in maxbet 2017 which came and crashed so hard and fast that it caught many of us holding bags unawares and many of us didn't get to sell in time. I think digital currencies and tokenization of projects is here to stay and even we have IEOS, many of the new tokens are still ERC20, but we are seeing other big blockchain platforms like EOS and TRON taking part of ETHEREUM's market cap as well as other smaller blockchains, so there is a ดูหนังออนไลน์ lot more to choose from now. Bitcoin, of course still remaining King for now as a store of value because too many Whales are invested in it for it to fail in the near future.

That is right. Somewhat, ethereum will still behind bitcoin, and with the other altcoin, ethereum cannot beat bitcoin.
But ethereum will have a chance to increase high after bitcoin or before bitcoin increase and a few days ago proves that ethereum can increase for a small price.
That will also happen to the other coins and no matter if the altcoin price is at a low price, it will increase in the future.
I am curious about what happens after the Ethereum 2.0 launch.
But I won't surprise if the price cannot increase after its launch if the bitcoin price is not rising so high.
But if we compare between ethereum with the other altcoin, then ethereum will have the position and the other altcoin will be difficult to beat the ethereum position.
Maybe we will see a surprise at the cryptocurrency list in the next year, and I think there is a change position in that list.

Who are these people? EOS, TRON, ADA fanatics?  

Ethereum has the network effect that most probably, no other altcoin will be able to take from it. "superior" smart contract platforms are present already, but most people aren't interested in that, just like how people aren't interested in coins that provide faster and cheaper transactions than Bitcoin.

EOS and TRON are both inflating all sorts of metrics to point out how many users are active on their platforms, but it's super easy to manipulate metrics on these platforms into oblivion with how transaction fees are either zero or just barely above that. Developers and the wider dapp ecosystem have chosen already, and that choice is Ethereum.

The first picture is my forecast today. Bitcoin will loose the dominance in a half year - in my opinion. Maybe ETH get it, or other good alt. I show ETH as a winner on the first picture.

The second picture was my forecast in last year. Just compare it with the real diagram today. The forecast was well done, only a little time later, but the Bitcoin dominance reached the high, what I guessed.

You are saying that BTC market cap will go up relative to other coins as from the 2nd picture,right? And the alts will go down.
The first  picture shows BTC dominance going down but alts going up . This doe snot make sense .The BTC dominance should increase if the second picture is true.

This release is not set in stone

People were expecting Constantinople earlier this year (in the first days of January, if I'm not mistaken). It just didn't happen. It looks like Ethereum has become too complex to change anything in it without risking to wreak havoc in the whole infrastructure. In other words, it is easier to create a new coin from scratch than to rebuild an existing one (but that's the route the Ethereum developers seem to have taken anyway, or some variety thereof)

Do you think ETH will really grow when Bitcoin plummets?
I don't believe that will happen. When bitcoin drops, I am sure that many investors or traders will dump the alts to avoid losing money.
This is how the market has been doing these days and I still believe it will continue in the coming months.