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Topic: My new diff thread covers Oct 10 to Oct 22? 1.85% to 5.07% ? (Read 2470 times)

legendary
Activity: 4116
Merit: 7849
'The right to privacy matters'
still sorting these
legendary
Activity: 4116
Merit: 7849
'The right to privacy matters'

Also they have the S3 Plus to get a little more hash then first batches.   It is hard to beat the price on them if you already have PSU's.  If not make sure to add price of PSU in roi math.

I just got a S3+ off eBay for £200.  It's basically unused.  I'm running it to replace a clutter of older Avalon-based ASIC boards that drank 1kW for about 180GH. 

The S3+ is doing a shade under 500GH with 360W at the wall.  I'm very happy to let the S3+ sit and churn away until it pops, especially when difficulty is sitting still.  I'm in Bitcoin for the long game - I like many have wasted hundreds of BTC buying pointless ASICs, and the only ones that turned a high profit were the Mk1 ASICMiner Blades.  Now I'm just happy to sit and churn away and hope BTC is worth a lot more in 5-10 years time.


good luck.  and here is hoping to lots of flat diff jumps.
hero member
Activity: 1246
Merit: 501

Also they have the S3 Plus to get a little more hash then first batches.   It is hard to beat the price on them if you already have PSU's.  If not make sure to add price of PSU in roi math.

I just got a S3+ off eBay for £200.  It's basically unused.  I'm running it to replace a clutter of older Avalon-based ASIC boards that drank 1kW for about 180GH. 

The S3+ is doing a shade under 500GH with 360W at the wall.  I'm very happy to let the S3+ sit and churn away until it pops, especially when difficulty is sitting still.  I'm in Bitcoin for the long game - I like many have wasted hundreds of BTC buying pointless ASICs, and the only ones that turned a high profit were the Mk1 ASICMiner Blades.  Now I'm just happy to sit and churn away and hope BTC is worth a lot more in 5-10 years time.

hero member
Activity: 714
Merit: 500
Martijn Meijering
yeah there might be profit as low as 300.  but if you are running a 30ph setup and it has paid itself off.  

Whether you've paid it off doesn't matter, whether you've bought it is what matters. Sunk cost fallacy.
legendary
Activity: 4116
Merit: 7849
'The right to privacy matters'
Latest numbers look good for under 2%



https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty


Bitcoin Difficulty:   35,002,482,026
Estimated Next Difficulty:   35,345,438,113 (+0.98%)
Adjust time:   After 357 Blocks, About 2.5 days
Hashrate(?):   254,316,772 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):   
1 block: 10.0 minutes
3 blocks: 29.9 minutes
6 blocks: 59.8 minutes
Updated:   21:35 (7.2 minutes ago)

https://bitcoincharts.com/


Blocks   326235
Total BTC   13.406M
 
Difficulty   35002482026
Estimated   35338083863 in 357 blks
 
Network total   240333.034 Thash/s
Blocks/hour   5.76 / 626 s


  (+0.9599%) diff  jump


pretty flat for this jump.  will stay flat as long as btc stays low.  reasons are simple most hashing is done by the builders and margins are too tight for them to build out.

yeah there might be profit as low as 300.  but if you are running a 30ph setup and it has paid itself off.  

 the 30ph gets 431 coins a day.  if your power is 5 cents and you use .6 watts a gh   you spend 18mw a day that is  900 a day in power .  431 coins are 163000 a day

so after power your profit is 162000.  take salaries  a few other expenses and that plant earns 150k a day.   you don't need to expand.  if you keep coins flat and diff flat you just make big money day after day.

the interesting thing here is home miners can survive in this model.

   they need .8 watts  a gh and 12 cent power with 3% growth  and 380 usd coins ..  those numbers you do roi.

and if you could pull off 2% diff jumps you make pretty good money.
legendary
Activity: 4116
Merit: 7849
'The right to privacy matters'
Well, sorta good news.

Looks like it's as bad as ever, but not getting worse as fast for us... Undecided

yeah if you look deep into the 3 periods of asics .

  we are dropping the diff increases.

 the last 104 days are under 10% avg

Too little, too late.  Sad

Exactly, we need 50% difficulty decrease in the next two months.
50%? Never going to happen.

If it does happen coins will need to drop to under 100 usd.  And the problem is as soon as coins go up the diff will go up.

I have 6 s-3's  . I can turn them off and on with ease. They are bought and paid for 3x over.

Many larger people then me can do this. I suspect bitfury, asicminer, knc, and bitmaintech can add 300ph to this network in under 2 weeks if btc price was rising.



Bitfury, AM, KNC and Bitmain would add the hash power now if they had it ready. They're profitable now with the current price of bitcoin. So it wouldn't make sense for them to wait for higher bitcoin prices just to power up new datacenters.

They just don't have the gear ready now or they're already adding hash in smaller increments and it's difficult to notice just yet.
Very likely yes, since the miners cost less to manufacture than they are sold at, thus they will always be profitable for the companies.
 

Yeah I can see that idea is possible but I prefer the conspiracy one better.  It is a speculation thread after all.
legendary
Activity: 1862
Merit: 1011
Reverse engineer from time to time
Well, sorta good news.

Looks like it's as bad as ever, but not getting worse as fast for us... Undecided

yeah if you look deep into the 3 periods of asics .

  we are dropping the diff increases.

 the last 104 days are under 10% avg

Too little, too late.  Sad

Exactly, we need 50% difficulty decrease in the next two months.
50%? Never going to happen.

If it does happen coins will need to drop to under 100 usd.  And the problem is as soon as coins go up the diff will go up.

I have 6 s-3's  . I can turn them off and on with ease. They are bought and paid for 3x over.

Many larger people then me can do this. I suspect bitfury, asicminer, knc, and bitmaintech can add 300ph to this network in under 2 weeks if btc price was rising.



Bitfury, AM, KNC and Bitmain would add the hash power now if they had it ready. They're profitable now with the current price of bitcoin. So it wouldn't make sense for them to wait for higher bitcoin prices just to power up new datacenters.

They just don't have the gear ready now or they're already adding hash in smaller increments and it's difficult to notice just yet.
Very likely yes, since the miners cost less to manufacture than they are sold at, thus they will always be profitable for the companies.
legendary
Activity: 4116
Merit: 7849
'The right to privacy matters'
Too little, too late.  Sad
I would have said the opposite. It was too much, too soon.

But myeah... same thing.

Funny how english works.



 As for s-3's running them  now reminds me when I ran sapphire 7970's and coins were 6 to 10 bucks a piece.  I earned 1 to 1.5 coins a day and monthly profit was very small.


legendary
Activity: 1456
Merit: 1000
Could actually be a good gamble to expand hobby mine capacity, assuming bull runs and spikes halt for the next 30-60 days.   


 if you can get used s-3's on the cheap  they may be worth buying if you have power under 10 cents a kwatt.

there are some s-3's here and there for under 250 usd.

I got a few from this seller.

http://www.ebay.com/itm/BITMAIN-.AntMiner-S3-ASIC-Bitcoin-BTC-Miner-B5-7-IN-HAND-Ships-in-24-hrs-from-NY-/181534774039?pt=US_Virtual_Currency&hash=item2a4450d317

I would agree the S3 is a good bang for its buck.  You set it up once and basically let it run.

Also they have the S3 Plus to get a little more hash then first batches.   It is hard to beat the price on them if you already have PSU's.  If not make sure to add price of PSU in roi math.
-ck
legendary
Activity: 4088
Merit: 1631
Ruu \o/
Too little, too late.  Sad
I would have said the opposite. It was too much, too soon.

But myeah... same thing.
legendary
Activity: 4116
Merit: 7849
'The right to privacy matters'
Could actually be a good gamble to expand hobby mine capacity, assuming bull runs and spikes halt for the next 30-60 days.   


 if you can get used s-3's on the cheap  they may be worth buying if you have power under 10 cents a kwatt.

there are some s-3's here and there for under 250 usd.

I got a few from this seller.

http://www.ebay.com/itm/BITMAIN-AntMiner-S3-ASIC-Bitcoin-BTC-Miner-B5-7-IN-HAND-Ships-in-24-hrs-from-NY-/181534774039?pt=US_Virtual_Currency&hash=item2a4450d317
member
Activity: 63
Merit: 10
Could actually be a good gamble to expand hobby mine capacity, assuming bull runs and spikes halt for the next 30-60 days.   
legendary
Activity: 4116
Merit: 7849
'The right to privacy matters'




Bitfury, AM, KNC and Bitmain would add the hash power now if they had it ready. They're profitable now with the current price of bitcoin. So it wouldn't make sense for them to wait for higher bitcoin prices just to power up new datacenters.

They just don't have the gear ready now or they're already adding hash in smaller increments and it's difficult to notice just yet.

  Sometimes I believe that. Sometimes I believe they have 300ph they are holding offline so as not to shock the network with back to back 40% diff jumps.
 Pure conjecture on my part.

 But the long tubes from Asicminer are easy to build and they could be cooled in a tank of oil pretty cheaply.

today's diff numbers are :

https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty

Bitcoin Difficulty:   35,002,482,026
Estimated Next Difficulty:   36,532,953,358 (+4.37%)
Adjust time:   After 1589 Blocks, About 10.8 days
Hashrate(?):   267,198,549 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):   
1 block: 9.8 minutes
3 blocks: 29.4 minutes
6 blocks: 58.7 minutes

http://www.bitcoincharts.com/


 
Difficulty   35002482026
Estimated   36005870944 in 1589 blks   this is about 2.86%
 
Network total   272813.567 Thash/s
Blocks/hour   6.53 / 551 s
hero member
Activity: 784
Merit: 1004
Glow Stick Dance!
Well, sorta good news.

Looks like it's as bad as ever, but not getting worse as fast for us... Undecided

yeah if you look deep into the 3 periods of asics .

  we are dropping the diff increases.

 the last 104 days are under 10% avg

Too little, too late.  Sad

Exactly, we need 50% difficulty decrease in the next two months.
50%? Never going to happen.

If it does happen coins will need to drop to under 100 usd.  And the problem is as soon as coins go up the diff will go up.

I have 6 s-3's  . I can turn them off and on with ease. They are bought and paid for 3x over.

Many larger people then me can do this.  I suspect bitfury, asicminer, knc, and bitmaintech can add 300ph to this network in under 2 weeks if btc price was rising.



Bitfury, AM, KNC and Bitmain would add the hash power now if they had it ready. They're profitable now with the current price of bitcoin. So it wouldn't make sense for them to wait for higher bitcoin prices just to power up new datacenters.

They just don't have the gear ready now or they're already adding hash in smaller increments and it's difficult to notice just yet.
legendary
Activity: 4116
Merit: 7849
'The right to privacy matters'
Well, sorta good news.

Looks like it's as bad as ever, but not getting worse as fast for us... Undecided

yeah if you look deep into the 3 periods of asics .

  we are dropping the diff increases.

 the last 104 days are under 10% avg

Too little, too late.  Sad

Exactly, we need 50% difficulty decrease in the next two months.
50%? Never going to happen.

If it does happen coins will need to drop to under 100 usd.  And the problem is as soon as coins go up the diff will go up.

I have 6 s-3's  . I can turn them off and on with ease. They are bought and paid for 3x over.

Many larger people then me can do this.  I suspect bitfury, asicminer, knc, and bitmaintech can add 300ph to this network in under 2 weeks if btc price was rising.

Hey I run my s-3's at freq 206.25.

The power is lower.
The hash is lower
They run very quiet. 
They are under 40db.
They are cooler.
I pull 1038 watts.
I get 1200Gh.
I have not done any resistor mods but I will.

  At current diff and current btc fiat they earn more then power costs. So they run.
I can afford to shut them down if they don't earn more then the power.
legendary
Activity: 1862
Merit: 1011
Reverse engineer from time to time
Well, sorta good news.

Looks like it's as bad as ever, but not getting worse as fast for us... Undecided

yeah if you look deep into the 3 periods of asics .

  we are dropping the diff increases.

 the last 104 days are under 10% avg

Too little, too late.  Sad

Exactly, we need 50% difficulty decrease in the next two months.
50%? Never going to happen.
legendary
Activity: 3738
Merit: 3848
Well, sorta good news.

Looks like it's as bad as ever, but not getting worse as fast for us... Undecided

yeah if you look deep into the 3 periods of asics .

  we are dropping the diff increases.

 the last 104 days are under 10% avg

Too little, too late.  Sad

Exactly, we need 50% difficulty decrease in the next two months.
legendary
Activity: 1862
Merit: 1015
Well, sorta good news.

Looks like it's as bad as ever, but not getting worse as fast for us... Undecided

yeah if you look deep into the 3 periods of asics .

  we are dropping the diff increases.

 the last 104 days are under 10% avg

Too little, too late.  Sad

yeah I think no matter what happens home mining will never thrive again.

  If btc shoots up to 800 usd the diff will just catch up very quickly.
 If btc shoots up to 1600 usd the diff will just catch up very quickly.
rinse repeat.
You could potentially use existing bitcoin to buy more miners hoping that the price of bitcoin will remain low for the medium future (but a long term outlook of the price being very high) with the intention of holding onto the bitcoin the machines mine for the long term. This could result in the miner being able to essentially buy bitcoin at a discount
legendary
Activity: 4116
Merit: 7849
'The right to privacy matters'
Well, sorta good news.

Looks like it's as bad as ever, but not getting worse as fast for us... Undecided

yeah if you look deep into the 3 periods of asics .

  we are dropping the diff increases.

 the last 104 days are under 10% avg

Too little, too late.  Sad

yeah I think no matter what happens home mining will never thrive again.

  If btc shoots up to 800 usd the diff will just catch up very quickly.
 If btc shoots up to 1600 usd the diff will just catch up very quickly.
rinse repeat.
hero member
Activity: 784
Merit: 1004
Glow Stick Dance!
Well, sorta good news.

Looks like it's as bad as ever, but not getting worse as fast for us... Undecided

yeah if you look deep into the 3 periods of asics .

  we are dropping the diff increases.

 the last 104 days are under 10% avg

Too little, too late.  Sad
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