Topic: My new diff thread covers Oct 10 to Oct 22? 1.85% to 5.07% ? - page 2. (Read 2500 times)

yeah if you look deep into the 3 periods of asics .

  we are dropping the diff increases.

 the last 104 days are under 10% avg

Well, sorta good news.

Looks like it's as bad as ever, but not getting worse as fast for us...

As usual I do bitcoincharts and bitcoinwisdom one runs low one runs high.  so 1.85 to 5.07   is the guess for now.
I also added a section on diff since May of 2013 when asics started to be available via asic miner

https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty

Bitcoin Difficulty:   35,002,482,026
Estimated Next Difficulty:   36,778,460,333 (+5.07%)
Adjust time:   After 1733 Blocks, About 11.5 days
Hashrate(?):   254,506,225 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):   
1 block: 9.6 minutes
3 blocks: 28.8 minutes
6 blocks: 57.5 minutes

http://www.bitcoincharts.com/

Difficulty   35002482026
Estimated   35650025649 in 1733 blks

(+1.85%).

 
Network total   244719.395 Thash/s
Blocks/hour   5.86 / 614 s


Difficulty History of asics and btc

I divide the  diff jumps  into 3 sections.  I realize that cut off is arbitrary some will say I should go back to the first Avalon's of Jan  2013 for Early asic not May of 2013  but in May of 2013  asic miner was doing good sales of the little .333gh block erupters so I used May of 2013 as a starting point.

With the maturity of asics growth has finally become slower.


Asic maturity days  So far we are  about 104 days into the mature 28mn chips.  So far  this is about a 9.77% avg for this time period.  I see it going lower then 9.77 % due to power cost and of course  price in fiat.

Date---------   Difficulty---   Change-----   Hash Rate
Oct 09 2014   35,002,482,026   0.98%   250,557,526 GH/s
Sep 25 2014   34,661,425,924   16.20%   248,116,151 GH/s
Sep 13 2014   29,829,733,124   8.75%   213,529,547 GH/s
Aug 31 2014   27,428,630,902   15.03%   196,341,788 GH/s
Aug 19 2014   23,844,670,039   20.86%   170,686,797 GH/s
Aug 08 2014   19,729,645,941   5.30%   141,230,307 GH/s
Jul 25 2014   18,736,441,558   8.08%   134,120,673 GH/s
Jul 12 2014   17,336,316,979   3.08%   124,098,191 GH/s



Asic expansion days

Nov 29 2013 to June 29 2014  =  213 days about 19.22%

Jun 29 2014   16,818,461,371   24.93%   120,391,236 GH/s 23.77
Jun 18 2014   13,462,580,115   14.51%   96,368,902 GH/s
Jun 05 2014   11,756,551,917   12.44%   84,156,677 GH/s
May 24 2014   10,455,720,138   18.10%   74,844,960 GH/s 14.782
May 12 2014   8,853,416,309   10.66%   63,375,223 GH/s
Apr 29 2014   8,000,872,136   14.64%   57,272,474 GH/s
Apr 17 2014   6,978,842,650   14.04%   49,956,502 GH/s
Apr 05 2014   6,119,726,089   22.23%   43,806,706 GH/s
Mar 24 2014   5,006,860,589   17.80%   35,840,504 GH/s 7.0783
Mar 13 2014   4,250,217,920   11.39%   30,424,245 GH/s
Feb 28 2014   3,815,723,799   21.92%   27,314,015 GH/s
Feb 17 2014   3,129,573,175   19.39%   22,402,357 GH/s 4.4245
Feb 05 2014   2,621,404,453   19.49%   18,764,744 GH/s
Jan 24 2014   2,193,847,870   22.59%   15,704,175 GH/s
Jan 13 2014   1,789,546,951   26.16%   12,810,076 GH/s
Jan 02 2014   1,418,481,395   20.12%   10,153,885 GH/s
Dec 21 2013   1,180,923,195   30.01%   8,453,378 GH/s
Dec 10 2013   908,350,862   28.41%   6,502,229 GH/s


Early asic days

May 12 2013 to Nov 29 2013  = 201  days

Nov 29 2013   707,408,283   16.07%   5,063,826 GH/s
Nov 17 2013   609,482,680   19.29%   4,362,847 GH/s
Nov 05 2013   510,929,738   30.70%   3,657,378 GH/s
Oct 26 2013   390,928,788   46.02%   2,798,377 GH/s
Oct 16 2013   267,731,249   41.45%   1,916,495 GH/s
Oct 06 2013   189,281,249   27.19%   1,354,928 GH/s
Sep 25 2013   148,819,200   32.13%   1,065,289 GH/s
Sep 14 2013   112,628,549   29.56%   806,227 GH/s
Sep 04 2013   86,933,018   32.22%   622,291 GH/s
Aug 24 2013   65,750,060   29.40%   470,657 GH/s
Aug 13 2013   50,810,339   35.88%   363,715 GH/s
Aug 03 2013   37,392,766   19.63%   267,668 GH/s
Jul 22 2013   31,256,961   19.47%   223,746 GH/s
Jul 11 2013   26,162,876   22.63%   187,281 GH/s
Jun 29 2013   21,335,329   10.32%   152,724 GH/s
Jun 16 2013   19,339,258   23.92%   138,436 GH/s
Jun 05 2013   15,605,633   28.41%   111,709 GH/s
May 25 2013   12,153,412   8.64%   86,998 GH/s
May 12 2013   11,187,257   11.03%   80,082 GH/s