Topic: NBA 2019-2020 betting - page 151. (Read 124145 times)

Good luck, mate. Honestly, I find the Curry+Looney bet easy, but I'm a bit skeptical about Wiggins over 23.5 PRA since his performance in game 1 was not impressive. If he can score at least 20 points, then I think that bet will likely win. I hope you win your bet.

Very good analysis Natalim, you won it and any spread is covered. Nice!

I am one of those people who jumped for the 76ers when I heard the news about Embiid's return. But, I was correct in my prediction that it will slow them down. Sadly, my biased emotion won over my instincts.  I didn't win anything today and that stops my winning runs. Over 214.5 could've been reachable if only it didn't end up in a blowout game. The 1st half score was high, but when the Celtics disable the 76ers in the 3rd quarter, that's when everything was messed up.

Anyway, 1 game later. I do believe the Warriors won't let a 2-0 on their own turf, that's not how former champs should play and it will be a disgrace to their fans. Let's see how Steve Kerr will make his adjustment and I wish it will work out.
Golden State Warriors - Los Angeles Lakers - Golden State Warriors (-5.5)
Bet Builder - Curry Over 35.5 PRA + Looney Over 17.5 PR + Wiggins Over 23.5 PRA = @2.63
Good luck everyone.

Yeah, just like in the next game, Lakers vs Warriors. GSW is still the favorite ML and then the handicap at -5.5. If I'm not mistaken, in the first game, the initial spread put up by bookies is -4.5. Now they increased it to -5.5? what gives? GSW lost that game because Davis had a huge game and then the 3 by Jordan Poole.

So most likely the Warriors might take this game 2 from the Lakers, otherwise it could be another trap.

Lakers at 2.9x underdog? Most likely I will bet live betting to see why the numbers betting put up by crypto bookies.

For me, numbers never lie, and even though the Warriors Lost in game 1 doesn't mean that the Lakers can continue with their barrage of shots with the Warriors this is the play-offs now everything is different regarding the team's performance and there are no errors sometimes that is why this time of the game where it becomes more interesting, so I think the Warriors will not let the laker go out without a bang,


Yup, I agree, the Warriors are mixing their attack whatever the most likely to get it they will go with that shot, but because of their huge percentage on accuracy with the 3-pointers, it doesn't mean that they will keep that pace without any points on the paint, it will always vary for their opponent to not know their next movement, And I think it is really necessary,

Results of my picks for today's game

Boston Celtics VS Philadelphia 76ers SCORE 121 - 87 - WIN

Now just like I thought that the Boston Celtics will tie this series and will win for sure but I never thought that it was not because of Jayson Tatum, I bet on Tatum making Over 29.5 + points but it was a loss, and surely James Harden doesn't get fired up for this game, Joel Embiid doesn't stand a chance with the other Celtics players, Derrick White and Marcus Smarts both got 15 points, Malcolm Brogdon got 23 points and Jaylen Brown got 25 points winning this game,

This postseason their average so far is 33.8%, so that 40% is already high considering it's a defensive game.
https://www.espn.ph/nba/team/stats/_/name/gs/season/2023/seasontype/3


I think this is the main reason why the Lakers had an advantage in winning that game - because of the LA Lakers' poor outside shooting. They focused more on driving the ball inside, utilizing their size and length advantage. The Warriors cannot purely rely on their outside shooting. They say the Warriors live and die by the 3-point shot, but that's not the case here. They also need to understand that attacking the basket will help improve their chances of winning.

Do you have an advance prediction on the Warriors vs Lakers game 2 and what the best bet would be? I'm thinking of betting on the Warriors -5 since I expect them to bounce back strongly, similar to what the Celtics did. However, can they break down the good defense that the Lakers showed in game 1?

The Lakers are dominating the paint, and if the Warriors' 3-point shooting is not consistent, the Lakers are likely to win. In game 1, the Lakers only shot 24% beyond the arc, while the Warriors shot 40%, yet they still lost the game. Maybe the Warriors need to shoot more with a higher percentage.

Additionally, in terms of free throw attempts, the Warriors only had 6 while the Lakers had 29, a huge disparity.

It was surely a trap, and I would have taken it if Embiid didn't play. But when he did play and the odds didn't change, that signaled something, and it only meant that the Celtics would win and cover the spread. As expected, they covered the spread without any problem, resulting in a blowout win by the home team.

I would like to congratulate the bettors who didn't fall for that trap. This is the playoffs, and a team getting swept is unlikely to happen. If you know what I'm saying, you'll figure out how to win.

Yeah, bad night for the returning Joel Embiid as he was embarrassed by the Celtics with this huge win. Boston was able to make the adjustments in this game, and just the game is really off for the Celtics in this game, while Boston keeps on hustling and playing good defense.

So tied at 1-1 now, I though that the initial odds set by sports bookies at -9.5++ for the Celtics is a trap. But I guess they really know how to put that handicap, unfortunately, I didn't pull the bet because I thought that it is going to be closed.

Score, 121-87.

The Celtics should win this game. There's no way the 76ers will still be able to come back since the Celtics are already leading by 30 points. It's a huge blowout win by the Celtics, a big bounce back after a disappointing Game 1 loss. I love what they're doing now, being very aggressive and not stopping despite the huge lead they've built.

Embiid's return was spoiled after winning the regular season MVP.

Bench or in terms of teams with the deepest and very competitive roster, In my opinion Boston Celtics are top 2 of best in the league, if not the very best, and speaking of game 1, it barely slipped through their hands, however, Celtics are already building a significant lead over 76ers here in the 3rd Quarter, they should see this one through with relative ease, and for the 2 games coming up next in Philadelphia, I wouldn’t by any means consider the Boston Celtics as the underdog for either of game 3 and 4.

I like the situation of the Boston Celtics now as I'm sure everyone will be jumping on the 76ers since Embiid will return. The thinking of the people will be that if the 76ers beat Boston in Game 1 without Embiid, they'll surely beat them with their best player playing in Game 2. That's my theory, and with that, I think Boston will win and cover the spread easily.

If James Harden and Tyrese Maxey will play the same way as Game 1 then this will absolutely be a 76ers win. I am not taking the Moneyline but the handicap for the 76ers is really sweet at +8.5 so I will take that. Win or lose by 8, a high chance that my spread could cover it.
Joel Embiid being back is a great addition but I hope he will not be the one slowing down the pace unlike what their bench did in Game 1.

Boston Celtics on the other hand will be in big trouble if they lose another game at their home. Their road record may be good but so do the home record of the 76ers. They must know how to close the game efficiently because their loss from the previous game was just because of being careless of the ball.
76ers +8.5
Over 214.5
The game starts in 2 minutes.

I dunno why but I always seem to have a hard time picking over/under predictions.  I personally would rather bet the spread, but you're right it doesn't allow for you to enjoy the game as much if you're team isn't winning lol.

I am hopeful the Lakers Warriors series goes to game 7 as well.  If last night was any indication, this might just be what happens.  (glad I put money on the lakers last night too). Was a fun game.

It was a game loss for the Warriors at home, a team that likely wins a huge percentage at home but they were crushed by Anthony Davis, I really think game 2 will be different and home advantage again and the Warriors will not let Anthony Davis take all the credit with those rebounds, and this will be a contest of Kevon Looney and Anthony Davis with rebounds, Looney will need to step up and defeat that guy, so this is really one exciting game for sure,


Well I can also smell game 7 and Chef Curry will cook again this time with 60 points to average another high percentage points in game 7, but that is all wishful thinking, the Warriors clearly can not underestimate the Lakers at the moment they got a huge bump with those newly acquired players they got and Anthony Davis is a wild beast I just wish he will not get injured by the time the Warriors take back what is theirs,

Boston Celtics VS Philadelphia 76ers

My picks for today I think that the Boston Celtics will win this they don't have any wild injuries although Marcus Smarts is questionable, the 76ers got Joel Embiid as questionable if he play, right now a great chance for the Celtics winning this game in my opinion but I will stay out of any bet because of the odds,

Yup! The Los Angeles Lakers got 2 perimeter rebounders and that is Lebron James and Anthony Davis, and Anthony Davis is becoming a beast when he decided to get rebounds and points aswell while the Warriors only got Kevon Looney game 2 will be crucial and the Warriors will now need to win this because if they don't they can not get the momentum because, after this game 2 home advantage match, next game will be for the Los Angeles Lakers getting into Crypto.com Arena, and that is not looking good,

---

Now here are my picks for tomorrow's game,

Boston Celtics VS Philadelphia 76ers

The stake odds for this game are 1.26 for the Celtics and 4.00 for the 76ers, Right now Danilo Gallinari is out and can not play and Marcus Smart is doubtful at the moment if he can play while Joel Embiid is doubtful for this game, but anyway, on game 1 James Harden was a total pain in the but for the Celtics and they need to get rid of him defensively, and put their efforts in doing so but they can not ignore most of the team's players, I really think that the Celtics can bounce back to this and so I am going with the Boston Celtics but going to bet on Jayson Tatum Over 29.5 points

Regarding Joel Embiid's update in Game 2 later:
https://dknation.draftkings.com/2023/5/3/23709131/joel-embiid-injury-update-return-wednesday-nba-76ers-vs-celtics-game-2-lineup-status

While for the Celtics:
https://www.masslive.com/celtics/2023/05/celtics-injury-report-marcus-smart-listed-for-game-2-wednesday-vs-76ers.html

I guess that's a positive remark from Embiid especially after winning the MVP award just a while ago and I would like to take advantage of the odds while the Sixers are still listed as the underdogs in this game and then the league's former DPOY, Marcus Smart, is listed as questionable.

Philadelphia 76ers ML @ 3.80 vs Boston Celtics

Yeah I'm actually reluctant to bet the winners rather pick the over unders.  I want to be able to enjoy these gane from a fan perspective instead of a gambling perspective.  Might be the last time we get one of these series between these 2 all time greats.  Hopefully it goes six or 7 amd gives us some dramatic finishes.

The Lakers are in a comfortable stage now but not too comfortable because they still got couple of games with the Warriors to play with, but what I mean by that is that the Lakers will be fine if they will be defeated in Game 2 because they already snatched a good win on their 1st game inside the Warriors backyard which is hard to do if the team is not that capable to keep-up with the Warriors.

Don't forget that in Game 1, Kevon Looney still managed to get 23 rebounds inside his 29 minutes playtime on the court while Green is busy doing the Warriors defensive ends and blocking every shots that he can. But AD is a 2 in 1 kind of player where he can do both Looney and Green's role while also taking point in the offense, and that's the upper hand of the Lakers.

Maybe one last ride huh? Warriors vs Lebron again and Lebron managed to get the first win, that's a good thing for them, definitely a good way to break the home court advantage and should be considered a great deal, I hope that they can keep doing that for a while longer.

All in all I would guess that Lakers do have a big advantage thanks to AD, because they are doing something that Warriors can't do, which is rebounding like crazy. That is how Warriors beat Kings, managed to get the boards, and Lakers knew this and Lebron is making it look easier. I hope that it gets better soon enough, and the series gets tied next game. I am going to bet Warriors win on second game, that seems like the most likely result by the looks of it.

Still kind of debatable whoever this game will this go because I know that the Celtics got some depth within their roster and the presence of Tatum as well as Brown are not something that can be underestimated as they can both explode in any given game. But what I'm trying to say here is that the Sixers somehow deserved to have the benefit of the doubt especially after what they've done in Game 1 without Embiid's help.