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Topic: NBA 2019-2020 betting - page 665. (Read 121248 times)

hero member
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March 09, 2020, 06:50:56 PM

Like under 224.5 for Jazz vs Raptors. This might become a defensive game.

This might be not, I am afraid it will be a high scoring game as the line is too high, IMO, if this would be a low scoring game, like should be set up like 215 to 219... I don't know that's just my own analysis, so I would go the opposite of yours.

He said under so if you think the game will have a total score of 215 to 219 then that's under 224.5 and you are with him. Smiley

I think of the other way around which is Over 224.5 as Raptors and Jazz are averaging 110 points this season. Even with a good defense, expect lots of field goal attempts by these teams.

But I will not choose that line. It's worth risking some money for Raptor's Moneyline instead with a 2.9 odds. Not advisable for newbie gamblers out there but even Utah Jazz has a good Home record, Raptors on the other hand also have a good Away record. No major injuries from both teams too (VanFleet is injured but I don't think it will weaken the Raptors overall). Goodluck to us.

What I understand about Botnake said is that the line of 224 is quite high as an opening line, so most probably people will bet the under as 224 is high and they think they'll hit their bet as they think it's gonna be a low scoring game.

personally I have seen this in the past, there are lines that we can call as a trap.

For example, before, the warriors and rockets are both a high scoring game and the line opened up like 210, of course people should be pounding that over as they think it's too easy considering both teams are a high scoring team, however, after the game the result is under,  so the public loses as their perception is wrong and they didn't figure out that the line is a trap.

About this game, it opened up at 224.5, now down to 221.5, so this means either the public is pounding the under or some smart money does.

Therefore, it could possibly go over opposite of what majority is expecting.
legendary
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March 09, 2020, 06:43:07 PM

Like under 224.5 for Jazz vs Raptors. This might become a defensive game.

This might be not, I am afraid it will be a high scoring game as the line is too high, IMO, if this would be a low scoring game, like should be set up like 215 to 219... I don't know that's just my own analysis, so I would go the opposite of yours.

He said under so if you think the game will have a total score of 215 to 219 then that's under 224.5 and you are with him. Smiley

I think of the other way around which is Over 224.5 as Raptors and Jazz are averaging 110 points this season. Even with a good defense, expect lots of field goal attempts by these teams.

But I will not choose that line. It's worth risking some money for Raptor's Moneyline instead with a 2.9 odds. Not advisable for newbie gamblers out there but even Utah Jazz has a good Home record, Raptors on the other hand also have a good Away record. No major injuries from both teams too (VanFleet is injured but I don't think it will weaken the Raptors overall). Goodluck to us.
hero member
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March 09, 2020, 05:28:32 PM

Like under 224.5 for Jazz vs Raptors. This might become a defensive game.

This might be not, I am afraid it will be a high scoring game as the line is too high, IMO, if this would be a low scoring game, like should be set up like 215 to 219... I don't know that's just my own analysis, so I would go the opposite of yours.
hero member
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March 09, 2020, 10:39:25 AM

The last time I remember you almost hit a parlay with one loss in the leg, I feel you man but just keep trying, believe in yourself, as long as there are NBA games, your journey will never be over.  Grin

Still hoping for a perfect one.
I do have some single bets too. Most of them wins but just enough to equal the loss from the parlay.

Picks.

Raptors no handicap. Fred is the only one injured. 3 streaks winning on road I guess they could also take this one.
No Giannis, yes problem.  Grin Denver -5.5

I'll stay with just two games now.
Want to try total scores too in single bets.
Like under 224.5 for Jazz vs Raptors. This might become a defensive game.
hero member
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March 09, 2020, 05:34:19 AM

Picks.

Bucks -6.5 Lose
Cavs +5.5 (Thomson is out for Cavs but so does Aldridge of Spurs) More minutes for Nance. Thinking of no handicap.  Smiley Won
Heat -4.5 Won

Pacers(my pick) vs Dallas w/out handicap.  Won

How about OKC vs Celtics. They are giving OKC a good number with a healthy roster. Homecourt advantage though for the Celtics but without Brown. Won

Crap! With all my bets why does it have to be Bucks which will lose.
That was my first pick which I am really sure to win even without Giannis.
Against Suns? Does this really mean they always need Giannis? There is Khris, Bledsoe and Lopez. The hell!

Cannot even perfect 1 whole bet even just once and then the strongest of all in East will be the one to lose.
I am freaking filled with emotions now. Bad ones.  Cry

The last time I remember you almost hit a parlay with one loss in the leg, I feel you man but just keep trying, believe in yourself, as long as there are NBA games, your journey will never be over.  Grin
legendary
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March 09, 2020, 04:45:08 AM
Rockets had a very bad start now, they are down 12 points now at home.
I got a chance to take them -7.5 live when they are down by 6 or more, so I am hoping that they'll come back here and prove that the system they are using now are not expose or still working, also they are in a losing streak, that needs to be stop now by winning and covering the spread of course.  Grin

They loss anyway by 20 points, what an upset.. Rockets might continue to struggle, so back against them.  Grin



Anyway my pick for the coming games later.

Bucks vs Nuggets.

Bucks are a different team without the Giannis, we've seen it last night so I'll continue backing against them since Giannis is still out of the game and Nuggets are ready to bounce back after a loss against the Warriors at home.

Pick : Nuggets -3.5
hero member
Activity: 3052
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March 08, 2020, 10:40:52 PM

Picks.

Bucks -6.5 Lose
Cavs +5.5 (Thomson is out for Cavs but so does Aldridge of Spurs) More minutes for Nance. Thinking of no handicap.  Smiley Won
Heat -4.5 Won

Pacers(my pick) vs Dallas w/out handicap.  Won

How about OKC vs Celtics. They are giving OKC a good number with a healthy roster. Homecourt advantage though for the Celtics but without Brown. Won

Crap! With all my bets why does it have to be Bucks which will lose.
That was my first pick which I am really sure to win even without Giannis.
Against Suns? Does this really mean they always need Giannis? There is Khris, Bledsoe and Lopez. The hell!

Cannot even perfect 1 whole bet even just once and then the strongest of all in East will be the one to lose.
I am freaking filled with emotions now. Bad ones.  Cry
legendary
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March 08, 2020, 07:49:14 PM
Watching alot of upsets going on today. Just seen the lakers kill the clippers at home by more than 9 points and lebron was just destroying everything in his way in the last 10 minutes. The suns taking advantage of a giannis-less bucks team which just ended.
And now watching the mavericks coming back from a more than 9+ lead the pacers had on them early on in the game. Where they were the best 3 point shooting team in the entire league shooting only 1 out of the first 16 they took in the first half. While Indiana are the first in the league for scoring 2 point conversions. Very interesting game now with the luka magic kicking in now late into the third quarter where he just made a three pointer and got fouled from near their logo again!

The game started off like there was going to be another upset for the favs at home but they are coming back in the second half stronger now. Grin
hero member
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March 08, 2020, 06:36:20 PM
Rockets had a very bad start now, they are down 12 points now at home.
I got a chance to take them -7.5 live when they are down by 6 or more, so I am hoping that they'll come back here and prove that the system they are using now are not expose or still working, also they are in a losing streak, that needs to be stop now by winning and covering the spread of course.  Grin
hero member
Activity: 3052
Merit: 685
March 08, 2020, 06:04:44 PM
Bucks -6.5
No Giannis, I don't understand why they are the road favorites with some heavy spread.
Suns now already had a comfortable lead with 18 points after the first half, I think Bucks will not come back anymore, but good luck .

How about OKC vs Celtics. They are giving OKC a good number with a healthy roster. Homecourt advantage though for the Celtics but without Brown.
Celtics is due for a win, I just miss this bet but as of this writing, Celtics already had a lead of 15 points.
hero member
Activity: 3052
Merit: 651
March 08, 2020, 11:06:23 AM
11 games for later.
Best game will be Clippers vs Lakers.
Worse is Bulls vs Nets. Both teams have their stars in the injury department.

Picks.

Bucks -6.5
Cavs +5.5 (Thomson is out for Cavs but so does Aldridge of Spurs) More minutes for Nance. Thinking of no handicap.  Smiley
Heat -4.5

Pacers could have been on a good winning streak but was just stopped by the Bucks.
Really want to risk something with this huge number of games.
Pacers(my pick) vs Dallas w/out handicap.

How about OKC vs Celtics. They are giving OKC a good number with a healthy roster. Homecourt advantage though for the Celtics but without Brown.
sr. member
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Merit: 256
March 08, 2020, 03:52:22 AM
Those screenshots look like they are photoshopped.  Grin
I don't think i've ever seen a team open up a game with 20-0 run either, but in Rockets defense, Hornets played a lot of zone d which as you all know can disrupt a someone's offense (7 TO in 5 minutes). They just got make their open corner 3s, if Hornets continue to stay in that 2-3 zone.

I think Warriors scored 20 in a row in the finals this year (don't remember which game it was).

FH: Hornets 57 : 43 Rockets

Apparently, this really happened. Maybe they are just heating up but they are playing against Hornets. Maybe they are missing shots again like the game against Clippers or maybe teams really know how to shutdown Rockets with the small line up they have.
The outcome results state that they losses the game as they've struggling to convert, Harden's 30 points and 14 asst not enough to lift his team
to win the game. This small line up approach still unreliable once the shooting outside is not converting.
This loss from the Hornets is another test for more adjustment with the game plan of all small lineup.
hero member
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March 07, 2020, 10:17:20 PM
Those screenshots look like they are photoshopped.  Grin
I don't think i've ever seen a team open up a game with 20-0 run either, but in Rockets defense, Hornets played a lot of zone d which as you all know can disrupt someone's offense (7 TO in 5 minutes). They just got make their open corner 3s, if Hornets continue to stay in that 2-3 zone.

I think Warriors scored 20 in a row in the finals this year (don't remember which game it was).

FH: Hornets 57 : 43 Rockets

edit; arghhh! bum ass rockets lost

Covington could make some good number like he fills the spot of Eric Gordon but without Westbrook they tend to lose most of the times.
I am also rooting for the Rockets there.
It was actually a good game of both small line up.
The game was in fast pace but I think Rockets missing 2 players breaks their good rotation.
Somehow, D'Antoni will need to put a little effort into making new arrangements whenever 1 or 2 stars is not around.
sr. member
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March 07, 2020, 06:20:51 PM
Those screenshots look like they are photoshopped.  Grin
I don't think i've ever seen a team open up a game with 20-0 run either, but in Rockets defense, Hornets played a lot of zone d which as you all know can disrupt a someone's offense (7 TO in 5 minutes). They just got make their open corner 3s, if Hornets continue to stay in that 2-3 zone.

I think Warriors scored 20 in a row in the finals this year (don't remember which game it was).

FH: Hornets 57 : 43 Rockets

Apparently, this really happened. Maybe thyey are just heating up but they are playing against Hornets. Maybe they are missing shots again like the game against Clippers or maybe teams really know how to shutdown Rockets with the small line up they have.
legendary
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March 07, 2020, 06:10:17 PM
Those screenshots look like they are photoshopped.  Grin
I don't think i've ever seen a team open up a game with 20-0 run either, but in Rockets defense, Hornets played a lot of zone d which as you all know can disrupt someone's offense (7 TO in 5 minutes). They just got make their open corner 3s, if Hornets continue to stay in that 2-3 zone.

I think Warriors scored 20 in a row in the finals this year (don't remember which game it was).

FH: Hornets 57 : 43 Rockets

edit; arghhh! bum ass rockets lost
copper member
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March 07, 2020, 05:34:42 PM
^

It's just totally embarrassing seeing them play like this, similar to what happened against the Clippers but now against Hornets it's even worse! It's evident they don't have clear approach to this game and they don't even know what to do when in possession, hence the turnovers, I'd be very surprise if they somehow win this, I've got them as the last game on a parlay too.
legendary
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March 07, 2020, 05:27:42 PM
I'm also waiting on the Rockets, not the spread, just need them to take care of business and win.

First game between the two last month in Houston, Rockets won with their super small lineup and without Westbrook playing by 15pts, so i'm hoping for a similar result today.  Grin
I dont think I have ever seen a team not score for the first 7 minutes of a game before today. Embarrassed

legendary
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March 07, 2020, 05:01:31 PM
I'm also waiting on the Rockets, not the spread, just need them to take care of business and win.

First game between the two last month in Houston, Rockets won with their super small lineup and without Westbrook playing by 15pts, so i'm hoping for a similar result today.  Grin
hero member
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March 07, 2020, 06:27:00 AM
@Harkorede, your streak might be over but you've proven you are now a good capper, congratulations man, keep going and share some good picks.



Game : Pelicans vs Heat.

The heat is hot right now so let's see if they can beat the Pelicans on the road which are fighting for a playoff life.
I believe although the Heat are good this season but they such on the road, so this is the time where they will loss a game and I believe Pelicans here are due for a win.

PICK : Pelicans -1.5

Welcome back Stadus, you are right, Miami Heat are bad on the road but how about Pelicans? they are also bad at home with 12-19 record, it's hard to see where is the value here, but if we consider which is the more desperate team to win, then Pelicans are on a good spot.

Thanks, and we can got anther win here.



Rockets vs Hornets.

I have a feeling that Rockets will bounce back but I also think the spread is overvalued.

reason: Westbrook is out for a rest, he is their current main scorer, so Rockets should adjust and the offense will focus more on Harden, which makes them very predictable. In addition, the Hornets are on a 3 losing streak but they never loss more than 10 points, so that's a good thing if they'll loss here as they'll likely cover here, and I think they'll play harder as the home team and they don't want to be embarrass again in from of the crowd.

You haven't put a pick here but the content of your writing is telling us that we should be against the Rockets here and pick Charlotte at +8?
Well, it's a good pick, you did win in your last pick so I don't want to ask more question about it, what you have written here is enough already and I think I'll still tail with you.
legendary
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March 07, 2020, 03:40:59 AM
@Harkorede, your streak might be over but you've proven you are now a good capper, congratulations man, keep going and share some good picks.



Game : Pelicans vs Heat.

The heat is hot right now so let's see if they can beat the Pelicans on the road which are fighting for a playoff life.
I believe although the Heat are good this season but they such on the road, so this is the time where they will loss a game and I believe Pelicans here are due for a win.

PICK : Pelicans -1.5

Welcome back Stadus, you are right, Miami Heat are bad on the road but how about Pelicans? they are also bad at home with 12-19 record, it's hard to see where is the value here, but if we consider which is the more desperate team to win, then Pelicans are on a good spot.

Thanks, and we can got anther win here.



Rockets vs Hornets.

I have a feeling that Rockets will bounce back but I also think the spread is overvalued.

reason: Westbrook is out for a rest, he is their current main scorer, so Rockets should adjust and the offense will focus more on Harden, which makes them very predictable. In addition, the Hornets are on a 3 losing streak but they never loss more than 10 points, so that's a good thing if they'll loss here as they'll likely cover here, and I think they'll play harder as the home team and they don't want to be embarrass again in from of the crowd.
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