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Topic: NBA 2019-2020 betting - page 738. (Read 118370 times)

hero member
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April 23, 2019, 07:39:55 PM


Conclusion:

I expect multiple technical fouls, possibly ejections and Blazers covering the -4 spread. (If I'm not mistaken bookies valued first two home games at -2.5 and now is -4, that is almost 2x and I don't think they are trying to trick us, but rather objectively pointing out which team is better).


I agree with the conclusion, the line is fair since Blazers are up 3-1 in the series and they pretty win convincingly against the OCK.
Closing the series is hard but Blazers here needs to prove they can as they are up to a big challenge once they pass the first round, however we can't say that Blazers would win easily in this game, OKC can win and they might bring this back to their home.

For OKC bettors, moneyline is good as it has better return, and if a sportsbook offers at least -3 for OKC, that would worth a take with a sure x3 odds.
legendary
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April 23, 2019, 07:05:55 PM
`snip`

Well...my opinion is probably as biased as yours as I like and root for Dame and CJ.  Tongue

OKC:

OKC had a grand total of 2 and a half good/decent quarters out of those 4 games where they outplayed Portland. Not much.

They shot terribly from 3 in those two away games respectively 15% and 17%, if you can't shoot the 3, forget about winning.

Russ is on the verge of losing for third straight year in the first round following KD's departure.

I don't particularly trust him in elimination games either, he is way too emotional and will force a bunch of bad shots. (I.e last year vs. Jazz)

PG13 is playing with a bad shoulder, I'm sure that is obvious for everyone. If your two best players are underperforming, nothing good will come out of it. I don't see Grant or Ferguson or anyone else for that matter have a monster game.

POR:

Dame and CJ are both playing great in these series, even if one is having a bad quarter/half the other one steps in and carries the team. They both have exploded for +15pts in a quarter. I also like what Aminu and Harkless are doing on the defensive end against PG13.


Conclusion:

I expect multiple flagrant fouls, possibly ejections and Blazers covering the -4 spread. (If I'm not mistaken bookies valued first two home games at -2.5 and now is -4, that is almost 2x and I don't think they are trying to trick us, but rather objectively pointing out which team is better).
copper member
Activity: 2044
Merit: 793
April 23, 2019, 06:06:29 PM
I have doubt on the legitimacy of the site, Bucks is -12.5 that game and they are giving x25 odds for bucks to win 21+, I think that's higher than the average

Odds indeed seem very suspect, unless bet was made when Bucks were down 12pts early in the first quarter. I was thinking of placing one myself when they were down 8 and Blake started hobbling around (props to him though, he basically played that game on one leg). I thought that -7.5 with 1.8 odds was a spread MIL could cover with 3+ quarters left. If I'm not mistaken they have over 40 reg season games with double-digit wins.

Hey mate, What are your thought on Blazers - 4 vs OKC +4  ? I'm thinking of going Blazers again, but I guess favoritism and emotion is clouding my judgement, I could really use an opinion on this.
legendary
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April 23, 2019, 05:32:26 PM
I have doubt on the legitimacy of the site, Bucks is -12.5 that game and they are giving x25 odds for bucks to win 21+, I think that's higher than the average

Odds indeed seem very suspect, unless bet was made when Bucks were down 12pts early in the first quarter. I was thinking of placing one myself when they were down 8 and Blake started hobbling around (props to him though, he basically played that game on one leg). I thought that -7.5 with 1.8 odds was a spread MIL could cover with 3+ quarters left. If I'm not mistaken they have over 40 reg season games with double-digit wins.
legendary
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April 23, 2019, 05:03:45 PM
I`m just trying Bucks earlier because the odds are too high and I'm happy that I won but still regret the amount that I place bet on bucks. I hope the odds on bucks vs celtics will be that high I'm taking the risk if that will happen in game 1.



That's some big odds man, and it's worth the risk I must say. The Greak Freak put up a big show, there's no stopping him.

I have doubt on the legitimacy of the site, Bucks is -12.5 that game and they are giving x25 odds for bucks to win 21+, I think that's higher than the average odds. Though my sportsbook does not have 21+ but I just think odds are too high.

@paul00, I would appreciate if you could share what site you are using, I just want to test it since it has good odds.
copper member
Activity: 2044
Merit: 793
April 23, 2019, 01:40:17 PM
I`m just trying Bucks earlier because the odds are too high and I'm happy that I won but still regret the amount that I place bet on bucks. I hope the odds on bucks vs celtics will be that high I'm taking the risk if that will happen in game 1.



That's some big odds man, and it's worth the risk I must say. The Greak Freak put up a big show, there's no stopping him.
legendary
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April 23, 2019, 11:06:49 AM
Going big with the multi today:

- Raptors v Magic: Raptors -12.0 (1.97)
- 76ers v Nets: 76ers -9.0 (1.99)
- Nuggets v Spurs: Total points: Over 212 (2.07)
- TrailBlazers v Thunder: Trail Blazers -4.0 (1.95)

0.157 BTC return from a 0.01 BTC bet  Wink

Ronnie @ Cloudbet
sr. member
Activity: 854
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April 23, 2019, 10:10:52 AM
I`m just trying Bucks earlier because the odds are too high and I'm happy that I won but still regret the amount that I place bet on bucks. I hope the odds on bucks vs celtics will be that high I'm taking the risk if that will happen in game 1.

hero member
Activity: 2954
Merit: 605
April 23, 2019, 07:59:01 AM
the end to my winning streak.

You're still up, something to be proud of, winning is not easy in sports.


Utah were able to extend the series, I saw only the first half of the game and during the first quarter alone the Houston Rockets looked really lost there just no chemistry and they lack communications, misplacing what should be easy passes, conceeding fouls and turnovers, Crowder was on show that quarter alone.

They did, and I actually bet on the Jazz but just betting it for fun since I think Rockets will end the series in 4.
My bet was jazz to win +26 and did not hit, it could have been a sweet x100 return.
copper member
Activity: 2044
Merit: 793
April 23, 2019, 04:53:34 AM
Prediction for today
NBA play off

Milwaukee Bucks (-13) vs Detroit Pistons (Detroit )
Good Luck


Looks like Detroit Pistons are really going to give the bucks a run for their money though, the first quarter is over and it's 28 - 26 in favor of Pistons. Meanwhile in the first 3 games Pistons has lost the first quarter by at least 8 points.
Bucks recover at the second half and overpower again the Piston, Giannis performance really lifted the team, let see if the second prediction will ends up the same, as the houston is struggling in this first half of the game, the Jazz leads 53-47 if they can maintain this momentum they might have a good
chance to win this at home and extend the series, but there's still lots of time and knowing the capabilities of Harden and the rest of houston squad they
need to play tough,.
There comes the end to my winning streak.

Utah were able to extend the series, I saw only the first half of the game and during the first quarter alone the Houston Rockets looked really lost there just no chemistry and they lack communications, misplacing what should be easy passes, conceeding fouls and turnovers, Crowder was on show that quarter alone.
hero member
Activity: 1302
Merit: 540
April 23, 2019, 12:07:25 AM
Prediction for today
NBA play off

Milwaukee Bucks (-13) vs Detroit Pistons (Detroit )
Good Luck


Looks like Detroit Pistons are really going to give the bucks a run for their money though, the first quarter is over and it's 28 - 26 in favor of Pistons. Meanwhile in the first 3 games Pistons has lost the first quarter by at least 8 points.
Bucks recover at the second half and overpower again the Piston, Giannis performance really lifted the team, let see if the second prediction will ends up the same, as the houston is struggling in this first half of the game, the Jazz leads 53-47 if they can maintain this momentum they might have a good
chance to win this at home and extend the series, but there's still lots of time and knowing the capabilities of Harden and the rest of houston squad they
need to play tough,.
member
Activity: 476
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April 22, 2019, 06:04:17 PM
Prediction for today
NBA play off

Milwaukee Bucks (-13) vs Detroit Pistons (Detroit )

Houston Rockets (-2.5) Vs Utah Jazz ( Rockets )
Good Luck
full member
Activity: 1092
Merit: 117
April 22, 2019, 04:48:08 PM
This would be my first pick after some days off, I'm going for the Rockets against Utah Jazz tonight, I think the rockets will be looking forward to ending the series as soon as possible and 4 - 0 is well on cards, I'm taking - 4 handicap to get the best value currently @ 2.02,
Good luck to everyone betting, to err on the side of caution, you might wanna go for the ML @ 1.76 since the Jazz wouldn't go down without a fight too.

Pick: Rockets -4
I'm on the same side with you on both picks. I've said the same thing before in one of my posts, Houston will want to end this series tonight so they don't waste their time and energy with another game. Jazz will surely put some pressure here but I don't think it will be enough. Milwaukee is just too good against Detroit and I can't see them losing this game.
copper member
Activity: 2044
Merit: 793
April 22, 2019, 04:13:13 PM
This would be my first pick after some days off, I'm going for the Rockets against Utah Jazz tonight, I think the rockets will be looking forward to ending the series as soon as possible and 4 - 0 is well on cards, I'm taking - 4 handicap to get the best value currently @ 2.02,
Good luck to everyone betting, to err on the side of caution, you might wanna go for the ML @ 1.76 since the Jazz wouldn't go down without a fight too.

Pick: Rockets -4
full member
Activity: 1092
Merit: 117
April 22, 2019, 08:31:44 AM


On the other hand, looks like I'm gonna regret betting on the OKC today, in the 4th q now but still down double digit.

-5.5 looks like a dead bet now.
OKC is dead, i placed bet on live in 3rd period and from then they are constantly lagging behind. They are even missing the free throws. Huh..the money is gone.  regret it.
You should not bet if you will regret losing, remember you are gambling, there's no guarantee you win.
This game is a must win for the thunder but Blazers were just the better team, so they loss, if you still believe they will come back, bet on them in game 5.
OKC is the kind of team that wins games when they are under pressure and this should be the perfect scenario for them. If they lose the next match then this playoffs season is done for them and i dont think OKC will allow that. I expect Westbrook, George and Adams to gather around and win the next game in double digits. This is just my personal opinion
hero member
Activity: 2954
Merit: 605
April 22, 2019, 12:15:36 AM


On the other hand, looks like I'm gonna regret betting on the OKC today, in the 4th q now but still down double digit.

-5.5 looks like a dead bet now.
OKC is dead, i placed bet on live in 3rd period and from then they are constantly lagging behind. They are even missing the free throws. Huh..the money is gone.  regret it.
You should not bet if you will regret losing, remember you are gambling, there's no guarantee you win.
This game is a must win for the thunder but Blazers were just the better team, so they loss, if you still believe they will come back, bet on them in game 5.
3x2
legendary
Activity: 1526
Merit: 1004
April 21, 2019, 11:31:27 PM


On the other hand, looks like I'm gonna regret betting on the OKC today, in the 4th q now but still down double digit.

-5.5 looks like a dead bet now.
OKC is dead, i placed bet on live in 3rd period and from then they are constantly lagging behind. They are even missing the free throws. Huh..the money is gone.  regret it.
hero member
Activity: 2856
Merit: 674
April 21, 2019, 11:29:29 PM

edit; back to being miserable aka rekt  Cheesy GSW 113 : 105 LAC


Should be -7.5 for the bet to win, luck is not on your side today mate.



On the other hand, looks like I'm gonna regret betting on the OKC today, in the 4th q now but still down double digit.

-5.5 looks like a dead bet now.
legendary
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April 21, 2019, 01:30:24 PM
I had an early bet yesterday, I went with GSW -8.5 *currently being valued at -9.5.

That loss in Oakland was a wake-up call for them, I think they will take care of business today. Clippers are a nice, tough team that plays hard every game but the talent gap between the two is too big. GSW had +25 points lead in each of the 3 games at some point. Unless they want to play 2 extra games and have no rest before next round series with Rockets, they should win pretty comfortably.


I expect both teams to split the two games in San Antonio and ultimately series to go to a gm7.

As I predicted, DEN and Spurs split the two games they had in SA. Finally, Nuggets had a decent quarter (3rd) and looked like themselves, relaxed, confident with lots of ball movement and made 3s (close to 50%). Glad that Malone took out Barton out of the starting lineup, boy was really struggling.


edit; back to being miserable aka rekt  Cheesy GSW 113 : 105 LAC
hero member
Activity: 2856
Merit: 667
April 21, 2019, 03:07:56 AM
Rockets are rolling, who bet on them in game 3 made some good bucks as they are underdog.
They were able to stop harden in this game but not only harden are making shots, it's nice to watch the Rockets winning even harden is struggling.

3-0 now.
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