Topic: New diff thread .diff in the 0.2% to 12.8% range. covers Nov 4 to Nov 17? - page 4. (Read 4748 times)

I enjoy reading your difficulty threads.  Anything to get a insight I'm all for.   I wish it was a closer range, seems like very large range this week compared to past.

First thing you should do is stop using bitcoincharts.com as prediction source, as they are unable to count in hashrate which is 'younger' than 2016 blocks and always start at 0%. If we accept that last 1008 blocks hashing speed can be used to predict next difficulty, then further adjusting is necessary by amount shown by arrow in the picture below ( the distance between blue line and red difficulty line)- currently about 7% when using conservative estimate from nextdifficulty.com.

Might as well says 0.1% - 20% to make yourself looks like a genius.

 

 diff ended with under 2%

I lock thread with end of diff new thread here


https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=864274.new#new

First off thanks to seriouscoin this is self modded.

with 2111 blocks to next jump the two sites I use are at .2% and

12.8 %

  http://www.bitcoincharts.com


Blocks   328613
Total BTC   13.465M
 
Difficulty   39603666252
Estimated   39685889293 in 2011 blks
 
Network total   316390.077 Thash/s
Blocks/hour   7.33 / 491 s

https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty

Bitcoin Difficulty:   39,603,666,252
Estimated Next Difficulty:   44,673,779,645 (+12.80%)
Adjust time:   After 2011 Blocks, About 13.1 days
Hashrate(?):   296,890,017 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):   
1 block: 9.4 minutes
3 blocks: 28.1 minutes
6 blocks: 56.3 minutes
Updated:   22:10 (4.1 minutes ago)

I mark June 29th 2014 as the third stage of asic development

Difficulty History

Date   Difficulty   Change   Hash Rate
Nov 05 2014   39,603,666,252   10.05%   283,494,086 GH/s
Oct 23 2014   35,985,640,265   2.81%   257,595,247 GH/s
Oct 09 2014   35,002,482,026   0.98%   250,557,526 GH/s
Sep 25 2014   34,661,425,924   16.20%   248,116,151 GH/s
Sep 13 2014   29,829,733,124   8.75%   213,529,547 GH/s
Aug 31 2014   27,428,630,902   15.03%   196,341,788 GH/s
Aug 19 2014   23,844,670,039   20.86%   170,686,797 GH/s
Aug 08 2014   19,729,645,941   5.30%   141,230,307 GH/s
Jul 25 2014   18,736,441,558   8.08%   134,120,673 GH/s
Jul 12 2014   17,336,316,979   3.08%   124,098,191 GH/s
Jun 29 2014   16,818,461,371   24.93%   120,391,236 GH/s


Growth has been about 9% from June 29th to Nov.  This date is used because it marks the end of the s-1 sales and the s-3 sales started taking off.   power improved from 2 watts to .8 watts.
     Remember this is a spec thread so you can feel free to guess anything I don't mind.  


@ seriouscoin feel free to post