Bitcoin Difficulty: 41,272,873,895
Estimated Next Difficulty: 42,925,287,720 (+4.00%)
Adjust time: After 818 Blocks, About 5.3 days
All considered not really to bad. With neg 6 the week before still a good mining season really.
Topic: New diff thread Jan 27th to Feb 11 (-5.73%) to (+0.09%) - page 3. (Read 7258 times)
Were definitely gaining this week:
Bitcoin Difficulty: 41,272,873,895
Estimated Next Difficulty: 42,951,266,410 (+4.07%)
Adjust time: After 1164 Blocks, About 7.5 days
Bitcoin Difficulty: 41,272,873,895
Estimated Next Difficulty: 42,951,266,410 (+4.07%)
Adjust time: After 1164 Blocks, About 7.5 days
found a nice chart 144 = 0%
http://btc.blockr.io/charts
Jan 28 --------163 Jan 13 ------- 124
Jan 29 --------165 Jan 14 ------- 152
Jan 30 --------142 Jan 15 ------- 141
Jan 31 --------162 Jan 16 ------- 145
Feb 1 ------- 156 Jan 17 ------- 136
Feb 2 -------- 154 Jan 18 ------- 157
Feb 3 -------- 133 Jan 19 ------- 141
Feb 4 -------- 158 Jan 20 ------- 122
Feb 5 -------- Jan 21 ------- 146
Feb 6 -------- Jan 22 ------- 138
Feb 7 -------- Jan 23 ------- 121
Feb 8 -------- Jan 24 ------- 129
Feb 9 -------- Jan 25 ------- 124
Feb 10 ------- Jan 26 ------- 129
As you can see every day has been over 144 but Jan31st
Last adjustment 4 days over 144 10 under
note blocks made on feb 3 nice drop.
http://btc.blockr.io/charts
back up on the 4th
Oh HAI,
with your track recording, i'm not surprised at all at your " guesstimate"
In fact, my data shows, whenever philipma predict the difficulty, i will just bet the opposite.
I think you should jump start and predict the next difficulty 18 days from now.
with your track recording, i'm not surprised at all at your " guesstimate"
In fact, my data shows, whenever philipma predict the difficulty, i will just bet the opposite.
I think you should jump start and predict the next difficulty 18 days from now.
thanks for the vote of confidence.
okay (- 1.11%) next jump which runs from feb 10 to feb 25 give or take a day or so.
I don't mind the smackdown talk mr. seriousC as long as it is not full of crude curses.
Oh HAI,
with your track recording, i'm not surprised at all at your " guesstimate"
In fact, my data shows, whenever philipma predict the difficulty, i will just bet the opposite.
I think you should jump start and predict the next difficulty 18 days from now.
with your track recording, i'm not surprised at all at your " guesstimate"
In fact, my data shows, whenever philipma predict the difficulty, i will just bet the opposite.
I think you should jump start and predict the next difficulty 18 days from now.
Site went down for most of us it not all of us yesterday.
http://www.isitdownrightnow.com/bitcointalk.org.html
blue bars = up
white = down
that site can be used for most other websites.
So contest deadline was extended here to fix the issue.
Thanks suchmoon
http://www.isitdownrightnow.com/bitcointalk.org.html
blue bars = up
white = down
that site can be used for most other websites.
So contest deadline was extended here to fix the issue.
Thanks suchmoon
I was unable to connect to the site for the last 4 or 5 hours I missed the deadline for the change. I am going to put in +4.09% if I am allowed the change. If not that is okay.
So new number = (+4.09%) thanks
So new number = (+4.09%) thanks
thank you phillip for making your change after my guesstimate. i guess that pushed my entry in :-) but yes i was also some having issues while viewing and posting replies.
Were definitely gaining this week:
Bitcoin Difficulty: 41,272,873,895
Estimated Next Difficulty: 42,951,266,410 (+4.07%)
Adjust time: After 1164 Blocks, About 7.5 days
Bitcoin Difficulty: 41,272,873,895
Estimated Next Difficulty: 42,951,266,410 (+4.07%)
Adjust time: After 1164 Blocks, About 7.5 days
found a nice chart 144 = 0%
http://btc.blockr.io/charts
Jan 28 --------163 Jan 13 ------- 124
Jan 29 --------165 Jan 14 ------- 152
Jan 30 --------142 Jan 15 ------- 141
Jan 31 --------162 Jan 16 ------- 145
Feb 1 ------- 156 Jan 17 ------- 136
Feb 2 -------- Jan 18 ------- 157
Feb 3 -------- Jan 19 ------- 141
Feb 4 -------- Jan 20 ------- 122
Feb 5 -------- Jan 21 ------- 146
Feb 6 -------- Jan 22 ------- 138
Feb 7 -------- Jan 23 ------- 121
Feb 8 -------- Jan 24 ------- 129
Feb 9 -------- Jan 25 ------- 124
Feb 10 ------- Jan 26 ------- 129
As you can see every day has been over 144 but Jan31st
Last adjustment 4 days over 144 10 under
So sad i miss the challenge, but i think:
Next diff 44 / 45 and after that back to 42 / 43
Did you see 2ph worker on Betarigs? Why not more high hash but old and not efficient rigs appear for rent soon.
Next diff 44 / 45 and after that back to 42 / 43
Did you see 2ph worker on Betarigs? Why not more high hash but old and not efficient rigs appear for rent soon.
Were definitely gaining this week:
Bitcoin Difficulty: 41,272,873,895
Estimated Next Difficulty: 42,951,266,410 (+4.07%)
Adjust time: After 1164 Blocks, About 7.5 days
Bitcoin Difficulty: 41,272,873,895
Estimated Next Difficulty: 42,951,266,410 (+4.07%)
Adjust time: After 1164 Blocks, About 7.5 days
I know those two last attempts were a little bit past the deadline but I'm going to count them in because the site was down for quite a while. Next time I'm going to include some verbiage in the rules to make it fair for everyone. So here is the final list:
railzand -3.00%
BTCish -2.00%
mavericklm -0.01%
notlist3d -2.50%
tarmi -1.24%
Kexkey -0.27%
SunnyIgor -3.20%
wpt1wpt1 +3.20%
stonerider +0.10%
davejh +5.50%
tsm13 -2.24%
alh +1.95%
skuser +2.00%
SimplisticStu +0.75%
buyandhold +5.99%
armedmilitia +3.00%
klondike_bar +1.55%
tss +4.80%
philipma1957 +4.09%
Let me know if I missed anything. No more entries will be eligible for the bounty, but please don't stop estimating/speculating/guessing.
I'd say +5% this time around. but a decrease next time if BTC stays below $250.
railzand -3.00%
BTCish -2.00%
mavericklm -0.01%
notlist3d -2.50%
tarmi -1.24%
Kexkey -0.27%
SunnyIgor -3.20%
wpt1wpt1 +3.20%
stonerider +0.10%
davejh +5.50%
tsm13 -2.24%
alh +1.95%
skuser +2.00%
SimplisticStu +0.75%
buyandhold +5.99%
armedmilitia +3.00%
klondike_bar +1.55%
tss +4.80%
philipma1957 +4.09%
Let me know if I missed anything. No more entries will be eligible for the bounty, but please don't stop estimating/speculating/guessing.
I'd say +5% this time around. but a decrease next time if BTC stays below $250.
This going to be interesting to watch. Depending on how you like to calculate percentages, Phillip either made a change of some 6-7%, or a 300+% swing in his thinking based on his original estimate.
Not to pick on Phillip, just that he's the "owner" of this as it were.
Not to pick on Phillip, just that he's the "owner" of this as it were.
I was unable to connect to the site for the last 4 or 5 hours I missed the deadline for the change. I am going to put in +4.09% if I am allowed the change. If not that is okay.
So new number = (+4.09%) thanks
So new number = (+4.09%) thanks
i'm going to say + 4.8%
hashrate looks ugly currently, seems like difficulty will return to previous level...
same here, same here!
but going above 300, i just don't see it to be soon, more like weeks... or months
i see more under 200 than 300, maybe even 150
and the diff is going upppppp atm
but going above 300, i just don't see it to be soon, more like weeks... or months
i see more under 200 than 300, maybe even 150
and the diff is going upppppp atm
And bitwisdom:
Bitcoin Difficulty: 41,272,873,895
Estimated Next Difficulty: 42,140,627,202 (+2.10%)
Adjust time: After 1297 Blocks, About 8.5 days
Moving up and up.
Bitcoin Difficulty: 41,272,873,895
Estimated Next Difficulty: 42,140,627,202 (+2.10%)
Adjust time: After 1297 Blocks, About 8.5 days
Moving up and up.
BTC/USD: $212.101
I want that to drop to $180.00 for about 5 days. That would shake out a lot of miners.
Or it could jump up to $360 and I will sell off some coins.
And bitwisdom:
Bitcoin Difficulty: 41,272,873,895
Estimated Next Difficulty: 42,140,627,202 (+2.10%)
Adjust time: After 1297 Blocks, About 8.5 days
Moving up and up.
Bitcoin Difficulty: 41,272,873,895
Estimated Next Difficulty: 42,140,627,202 (+2.10%)
Adjust time: After 1297 Blocks, About 8.5 days
Moving up and up.
Just to remind you and everyone else - deadline for the bounty is Sunday, Feb 1st 16:00 UTC (about 22 hours from the time of this post).
As of now:
klondike_bar +0.00%
change me to +1.55% As of now:
klondike_bar +0.00%
We have about 16 hours to change our guess. Or do our first guess.
Gonna take a stab at this.
3% increase, give or take a percent.
So far I'm 1/1 on my predictions, lets see if I make it 2/2!
3% increase, give or take a percent.
So far I'm 1/1 on my predictions, lets see if I make it 2/2!
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