Topic: Newest btc prediction is 0.23 % to 9.58% Diff jump on Sept 28th (Read 3386 times)
diff thread sorting.
September 25, 2014, 01:09:38 PM
as it drops in price I will buy more as I feel it will be around a long time.
Same here. I'm still accumulating slowly as it is, but if the price should drop to $100 I'd buy an additional 10 straight away, 100 if it dropped to $10 and 1000 if it dropped all the way to $1.
September 25, 2014, 12:39:11 PM
My mining days are shrinking and I am going the buy and hold route more then ever.
And that is part of the reason why miners selling off all their BTC will not drag the price all the way to zero. If the price drops by enough, even existing holders of BTC will be happy to buy up all additional coins that come on the market. It certainly won't drop below $10 (at least not on account of miners alone), probably not below $100 and it wouldn't surprise me if even $200 proved a firm and unbreakable support. Once the price stabilises, the global hash rate will adapt to the rational level given that price.
as it drops in price I will buy more as I feel it will be around a long time.
September 25, 2014, 12:11:04 PM
My mining days are shrinking and I am going the buy and hold route more then ever.
And that is part of the reason why miners selling off all their BTC will not drag the price all the way to zero. If the price drops by enough, even existing holders of BTC will be happy to buy up all additional coins that come on the market. It certainly won't drop below $10 (at least not on account of miners alone), probably not below $100 and it wouldn't surprise me if even $200 proved a firm and unbreakable support. Once the price stabilises, the global hash rate will adapt to the rational level given that price.
September 25, 2014, 12:03:10 PM
well they mined like mofo's added tons and ton's of gear diff will jump 14% or more and they got diff to jump at least 2 days quicker the 25th or maybe the 26th vs the 28th.
My mining days are shrinking and I am going the buy and hold route more then ever.
My mining days are shrinking and I am going the buy and hold route more then ever.
September 20, 2014, 11:48:33 AM
Tragedy of the commons. They are NOT cooperating.
Having your ass handed to you by your competitors doesn't count as a tragedy of the commons.
September 20, 2014, 09:36:47 AM
difficulty jumped 25% a month and bitcoin price dropped 25% a month. Let hold arms and die
25% difficulty jumps per month?!
BTC difficulty adjusts every 2016 blocks, not once a month. On average, there are approximately 3 difficulty adjustments per month. This next difficulty adjustment is about 12 days in length and already an 18% rise is predicted.
25% per month would be a blessing at this point!
https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty
Bitcoin Difficulty: 29,829,733,124
Estimated Next Difficulty: 35,298,583,758 (+18.33%)
Adjust time: After 864 Blocks, About 5.0 days
Hashrate(?): 258,785,313 GH/s
even below is over 10 percent
http://www.bitcoincharts.com/
Difficulty 29829733124
Estimated 32993316253 in 863 blks
so we are at 10% - 18.33% as of now
September 20, 2014, 06:44:57 AM
difficulty jumped 25% a month and bitcoin price dropped 25% a month. Let hold arms and die
25% difficulty jumps per month?!
BTC difficulty adjusts every 2016 blocks, not once a month. On average, there are approximately 3 difficulty adjustments per month. This next difficulty adjustment is about 12 days in length and already an 18% rise is predicted.
25% per month would be a blessing at this point!
September 19, 2014, 02:20:28 PM
It is pretty much a winning formula for them. So lets see if they fuck it up by growing the network like mad or if they are sane and do controlled growth.
Tragedy of the commons. They are NOT cooperating.
yeah lets just sit back and watch the show.
September 19, 2014, 07:23:29 AM
difficulty jumped 25% a month and bitcoin price dropped 25% a month. Let hold arms and die
September 19, 2014, 07:15:19 AM
It is pretty much a winning formula for them. So lets see if they fuck it up by growing the network like mad or if they are sane and do controlled growth.
Tragedy of the commons. They are NOT cooperating.
September 17, 2014, 12:19:59 PM
yeah sucks. rather big jump .
September 17, 2014, 08:57:05 AM
September 15, 2014, 10:36:06 AM
bitcoinwisdom is always best !
i used to use it too, very good calculator and many options too.
Probably it's the best at the moment but there are some new great websites popping out every month.
yes there are at least 7 decent sites that I know of.
September 15, 2014, 07:57:31 AM
bitcoinwisdom is always best !
i used to use it too, very good calculator and many options too.
Probably it's the best at the moment but there are some new great websites popping out every month.
September 15, 2014, 07:57:25 AM
bitcoinwisdom is always best !
bitcoinwisdom has huge amounts of info. charts even ltc info.
Their prediction model factors in past preformance and current preformance. Since asics made diff grow like mad from July of 2013 up to June of 2014 their current model always is a bit high each beginning of diff jump.
Bitcoincharts model is all now no past data. Blending the two has really worked well the last 3-4 months.
As always long term 6 month predictions are very hard to figure. I spent a lot of time with some simple models and ideas of what was to come in the future and since July of this year I am in the camp of the next 200 will see us under 10% maybe 7-9% . It may end up to be completely wrong but I am sticking with it for now.
from june 29 to sept 13th we jumped 77.36% that has been about 9.97% average. So we are just under 10 % for the last 77days
September 15, 2014, 06:52:56 AM
bitcoinwisdom is always best !
i used to use it too, very good calculator and many options too.
September 15, 2014, 03:06:45 AM
bitcoinwisdom is always best !
September 15, 2014, 02:51:47 AM
thanks for the thread man, realy useful, what is your typical mistake% ?
September 15, 2014, 12:42:16 AM
By the way: earlier in one of this threads someone ask for feedback of those who already have done a difficulty prediction on: https://www.fairlay.com/event/category/bitcoin/difficulty/
We think the best "feedback" are verifiable transactions on the blockchain. Have a look at:
https://www.fairlay.com/anonymous/1CYsmywVd6NpxBrJZG13uZioXVG1s1gsn7/
We think the best "feedback" are verifiable transactions on the blockchain. Have a look at:
https://www.fairlay.com/anonymous/1CYsmywVd6NpxBrJZG13uZioXVG1s1gsn7/
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