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Topic: Next Halving in 2016 Mining consequences ? - page 3. (Read 5544 times)

donator
Activity: 2058
Merit: 1054
December 25, 2014, 05:43:30 AM
#11
The halving will have, approximately, the following 3 effects:

1. The Bitcoin price will go up by 26%
2. The difficulty will go down by 20%
3. The revenue per hash will go down by 20% (something which miners need to consider in the decisions they are doing now).

Of course, all 3 can also be affected by factors unrelated to the halving.
full member
Activity: 249
Merit: 111
DAO enthusiast
December 25, 2014, 05:28:11 AM
#10
consequences

Probably the same thing that happened last time.
grait!
sr. member
Activity: 481
Merit: 250
December 25, 2014, 01:57:42 AM
#9
What do you think will happen in 2016 when the next halving is going to happen ?

1. Bitcoin will keep almost same price, and miners will just get half the BTC.

2. Even tho we will mine half bitcoins, bitcoin price will explode just because it's harder to mine.

Which one you belive is more probable to happen ?

2, only half as much miners dump their bitcoin now, so I expect bitcoin to rise a lot at least 50-100%.
legendary
Activity: 3582
Merit: 1094
Think for yourself
December 24, 2014, 09:58:52 PM
#8
That's what I remember, along with a good amount of hysteria.  I was trying to find a timeline with the past halving and price.
That halving back in 2012 was the only one so far - and plotting it against price and hash rate doesn't really show it having any impact;

Thanks Steve.  Where did that graph come from?
donator
Activity: 1419
Merit: 1015
December 24, 2014, 06:37:48 PM
#7
It's hard to say what the halving brings. It's honestly probably priced in for the most part, but a few months after the last halving we had the first ASICs, so people sometimes associate the halving with increased price. In reality, the price had mostly stabilized around $12 at that time after having risen to $15 in August and falling some from there.
hero member
Activity: 686
Merit: 500
FUN > ROI
December 24, 2014, 05:03:44 PM
#6
That's what I remember, along with a good amount of hysteria.  I was trying to find a timeline with the past halving and price.
That halving back in 2012 was the only one so far - and plotting it against price and hash rate doesn't really show it having any impact;

The hash rate increase may have sagged a little bit, but wasn't entire out of tone.

The next halving will be in a completely different playing field.
legendary
Activity: 3582
Merit: 1094
Think for yourself
December 24, 2014, 01:49:09 PM
#5
Probably the same thing that happened last time.
'The last time' was back in November, 2012 - well before the ASIC boom, and still during a rise in mining popularity.

That's what I remember, along with a good amount of hysteria.  I was trying to find a timeline with the past halving and price.
hero member
Activity: 686
Merit: 500
FUN > ROI
December 24, 2014, 01:43:36 PM
#4
Probably the same thing that happened last time.
'The last time' was back in November, 2012 - well before the ASIC boom, and still during a rise in mining popularity.

This discussion's been had numerous times.  I don't think anything has changed in the landscape that would change the course of the more recent of those discussions - maybe revisit if/when during the next year and a half there's cause to think different.
legendary
Activity: 1120
Merit: 1001
December 24, 2014, 01:37:44 PM
#3
yes, sorry, my english is not perfect
what happened last time?
legendary
Activity: 3582
Merit: 1094
Think for yourself
December 24, 2014, 01:21:57 PM
#2
consequences

Probably the same thing that happened last time.
legendary
Activity: 1120
Merit: 1001
December 24, 2014, 01:00:50 PM
#1
What do you think will happen in 2016 when the next halving is going to happen ?

1. Bitcoin will keep almost same price, and miners will just get half the BTC.

2. Even tho we will mine half bitcoins, bitcoin price will explode just because it's harder to mine.

Which one you belive is more probable to happen ?
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