Topic: [NO LONGER SELLING] 40 BTC Bet with Micon regarding BFL (Read 1558 times)
I've spoken with my wife about this, and we've agreed to keep the bet as it is.
Given Micon is offering the bet at 1:1 I can't see you selling your action and trying to get a profit out of it still. Your best chance if you can't afford it would be trying to sell your bet for 19.5 / 19 BTC etc, losing a bit to minimize your risk.
Now, BTC is worth over $200, and that 40 BTC (total bet) is just too much for me to gamble with. That's more money than I have ever really had. I still very much believe BFL will deliver, but not having that money in-hand is eating me away...
So, I would like to sell my bet with Micon, if anyone is interested. The agreed-upon details are below, but the essence of the bet is, as long as BFL beats Avalon's power figures and delivers by July 1st, the bet is won.
So, I would like to sell my bet with Micon, if anyone is interested. The agreed-upon details are below, but the essence of the bet is, as long as BFL beats Avalon's power figures and delivers by July 1st, the bet is won.
I don't think BFL will deliver by July 1.
Don't get me wrong I hope they do deliver by July 1st, if only to see that dumbarse Micon eat his words.
I am willing to bet up to 100 coins on this at 1:1
https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/280-btc-total-bets-between-micon-and-mrb-are-bfl-asics-real-135914
A bet of a bet. https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/280-btc-total-bets-between-micon-and-mrb-are-bfl-asics-real-135914
On a side note, I don't think it's fair to ask the premium considering that the results aren't clear yet. A fair value would be around 15~BTC considering that you've only put 20 BTC on line. Anyone interested should just go 1:1 with someone else.
I am willing to bet up to 100 coins on this at 1:1
https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/280-btc-total-bets-between-micon-and-mrb-are-bfl-asics-real-135914
https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/280-btc-total-bets-between-micon-and-mrb-are-bfl-asics-real-135914
I will bring the price down to 30 BTC. I don't think 35 BTC is enough of a premium to generate any interest.
Help me understand...
Sgt Spike put up BTC20 on a bet of whether BFL will ship product.
But wants to sell his potential loss of BTC20 for BTC35.
Is that right?
Correction: I want to sell the likely win of 40 BTC for 35 BTC. Sgt Spike put up BTC20 on a bet of whether BFL will ship product.
But wants to sell his potential loss of BTC20 for BTC35.
Is that right?
SgtSpike,
I wouldn't mind a slice of that pie.
Would you consider taking on a few "silent partners", rather than trying to get out of the bet altogether?
H24
Certainly.I wouldn't mind a slice of that pie.
Would you consider taking on a few "silent partners", rather than trying to get out of the bet altogether?
H24
M/M,
The BTC40 is the total # of BTC involved.
Sgt put up 20, Micon put up 20.
Spec products delivered by 7/1/2013.
The BTC40 is the total # of BTC involved.
Sgt put up 20, Micon put up 20.
Spec products delivered by 7/1/2013.
Wow, the Non Com is pretty aggressive then. I would think about 10 would be fair given BFL_Steven's latest "rumor that cannot be confirmed"
M/M,
The BTC40 is the total # of BTC involved.
Sgt put up 20, Micon put up 20.
Spec products delivered by 7/1/2013.
The BTC40 is the total # of BTC involved.
Sgt put up 20, Micon put up 20.
Spec products delivered by 7/1/2013.
Wow, the Non Com is pretty aggressive then. I would think about 10 would be fair given BFL_Steven's latest "rumor that cannot be confirmed"
M/M,
The BTC40 is the total # of BTC involved.
Sgt put up 20, Micon put up 20.
Spec products delivered by 7/1/2013.
The BTC40 is the total # of BTC involved.
Sgt put up 20, Micon put up 20.
Spec products delivered by 7/1/2013.
Help me understand...
Sgt Spike put up BTC20 on a bet of whether BFL will ship product.
But wants to sell his potential loss of BTC20 for BTC35.
Is that right?
Sgt Spike put up BTC20 on a bet of whether BFL will ship product.
But wants to sell his potential loss of BTC20 for BTC35.
Is that right?
correct
.
Help me understand...
Sgt Spike put up BTC20 on a bet of whether BFL will ship product.
But wants to sell his potential loss of BTC20 for BTC35.
Is that right?
Sgt Spike put up BTC20 on a bet of whether BFL will ship product.
But wants to sell his potential loss of BTC20 for BTC35.
Is that right?
Tough luck on this one, Micon wins, I think.
Jesus. I've now heard it all. 'Selling' this kind of bet like it's a ticket for a fucking raffle or something. I instead suggest that you trash this idea as a lapse of judgement on your part, retain your dignity and honor your bet or forfeit it entirely.
SgtSpike,
I wouldn't mind a slice of that pie.
Would you consider taking on a few "silent partners", rather than trying to get out of the bet altogether?
H24
I wouldn't mind a slice of that pie.
Would you consider taking on a few "silent partners", rather than trying to get out of the bet altogether?
H24
That's a good bet, he wouldn't take one from me with the same exact terms so I expect he thinks he will lose. You might as well keep it...
I very much think I will win as well. It's just that niggling feeling of "what if" and "holy crap, that's almost $10k" that makes me want to just be done with it. 
That's a good bet, he wouldn't take one from me with the same exact terms so I expect he thinks he will lose. You might as well keep it...
Maybe ask Micon if he'll let you buy out of the bet for 5BTC or so?
Well, worth a shot I suppose.
Maybe ask Micon if he'll let you buy out of the bet for 5BTC or so?
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