Well, the lesson obviously needs to be hammered into me haha. Wasted some good upsets in my pivks yesterday too.
City should win today quite easily, but Palace reminded Leicester Zaha is still a painful striker to deal with and I feel City losing hurt the odds but still worth taking a punt.
On mobile now so not easy to update so will do the calculations and maybe another pick later but my pick today...
100 units at Fairlay on Palace to WIN at 9.42. other odds 8.80.
Units advantage: 62
Running advantage after 327 bets: +22,154 (+62)
All-time cumulative: +59,712
Running units after 326 bets (401W|275L): +12,088 (-100)
Topic: Odds, units advantage | Sportsbook | +36315 units - page 30. (Read 39960 times)
Thank you Granada. This was a poor season for me in many ways. Yes still very much in profit but it was pretty tough without the requisite underdog bets, so this is typical of my strength ha ha.
Roma even almost made it, 2-1 at HT and then whoops capitulation to 5 second half goals. Ah well, can't win them all.
Have I learnt my lesson? Not really =D
100 units boosted, insured Celta Vigo, Lafnitz, Belouizdad, Meizhou Hakka, Brisbane Road @18.09. Other odds: 16.88
Bet ID: 608b0712cafbcb2f43d85fd8
Units advantage: 121
Roma even almost made it, 2-1 at HT and then whoops capitulation to 5 second half goals. Ah well, can't win them all.
Have I learnt my lesson? Not really =D
100 units boosted, insured Celta Vigo, Lafnitz, Belouizdad, Meizhou Hakka, Brisbane Road @18.09. Other odds: 16.88
Bet ID: 608b0712cafbcb2f43d85fd8
Units advantage: 121
Running advantage after 326 bets: +22,092 (+121)
All-time cumulative: +59,650
Running units after 325 bets (401W|274L): +12,188 (+2040)
All-time cumulative: +59,650
Running units after 325 bets (401W|274L): +12,188 (+2040)
RIP parlays and specials. Actually thought there was going to be fireworks with the early goal, but as it turned out, it wasn't even BTTS on one half. Let's not discuss Bilbao either heh.
Let's take it easy on ourselves tonight and pick an underdog straight out. Smalling to get some small satisfaction on his old club maybe?
100 units at Fairlay on Roma to WIN vs United @6.17. Other odds: 5.60
Units advantage: 57
And Barca are flying but could Granada cause the night's upset?
100 units at Fairlay on Granada to WIN vs Barca @22.40. Other odds: 21.90
Units advantage: 50
Let's take it easy on ourselves tonight and pick an underdog straight out. Smalling to get some small satisfaction on his old club maybe?
100 units at Fairlay on Roma to WIN vs United @6.17. Other odds: 5.60
Units advantage: 57
And Barca are flying but could Granada cause the night's upset?
100 units at Fairlay on Granada to WIN vs Barca @22.40. Other odds: 21.90
Units advantage: 50
Running advantage after 325 bets: +21,971 (+50+57=+107)
All-time cumulative: +59,529
Running units after 323 bets (400W|273L): +10,148 (-200)
All-time cumulative: +59,529
Running units after 323 bets (400W|273L): +10,148 (-200)
Damn Chelsea, one bridge too far and who can deny Karim Benzema a goal with the kind of form he's in eh? No problem, we did well anyway. Tonight's let's do a simple boosted special. BTTS on both halves, why not? City and PSG, I really hope to see sparks fly!
100 units at Sportsbets BTTS both halves City + PSG @11.00. No odds comparison.
And I'm so stubborn, 100 units at Sportsbet on multi insured boosted: Bilbao, Banfield, Rapid Wien, Rosenberg, Brann to WIN @14.04. Also no units advantage, forgot to check. https://sportsbet.io/sharebetslip/3f63e6eb-fcfc-4f78-a7e5-17d33a169a38
100 units at Sportsbets BTTS both halves City + PSG @11.00. No odds comparison.
And I'm so stubborn, 100 units at Sportsbet on multi insured boosted: Bilbao, Banfield, Rapid Wien, Rosenberg, Brann to WIN @14.04. Also no units advantage, forgot to check. https://sportsbet.io/sharebetslip/3f63e6eb-fcfc-4f78-a7e5-17d33a169a38
Running advantage after 323 bets: +21,864
All-time cumulative: +59,422
Running units after 321 bets (400W|271L): +10,348 (-100)
All-time cumulative: +59,422
Running units after 321 bets (400W|271L): +10,348 (-100)
Hah! Wilfried Zaha to score first would have been a better bet in this case, as they couldn't hold on to their win. Good thing for us, though, our strong parlay ended really well. Comfortable on the first two legs but Sociedad had some problems taking 3 points from the bottom team in La Liga. Expected, of course, hence the value odds.
Another 3-leg today: 100 units at Sportsbet on Chelsea, Liefering, Newport County to WIN @7.18. Other odds: 7.00
Units advantage: 18
Yesterday's advantage and profit calculated below.
Another 3-leg today: 100 units at Sportsbet on Chelsea, Liefering, Newport County to WIN @7.18. Other odds: 7.00
Units advantage: 18
Yesterday's advantage and profit calculated below.
Running advantage after 321 bets: +21,864 (+150+18 =168)
All-time cumulative: +59,422
Running units after 320 bets (400W|270L): +10,448 (+570)
All-time cumulative: +59,422
Running units after 320 bets (400W|270L): +10,448 (+570)
sorry about Nadal =\
I just won both my bets on that match. I had Tsitsi +3.5 and Tsitsi to take a set. Nadal had 2 match balls in last game of second set and if he took one of them both bets would have ended as a bust.I also had Tsitsi to win 2:0 but that was double with Harry Maguire to score a header so more of a long shot than expected outcome.
GL today, I am again on BTTS in Itally plus Ichenacho (or whatever it is spelled) to have at least 2 shots on target.
I went as you saw instead for a Napoli all out win (I thought it was cool value at over 2/1, and so far so good against Torino 2 nil up at HT!) parlayed into some Aussie sure wins (heh), and then a risky Sociedad last leg to end it. That Iheanocho (also however it's spelt) guy is really something, isn't he?
Actually, rhoufh, I've just gone ahead and put some hedging bets on 100 units at Fairlay on Palace WIN @8.901. Other odds: 7.40.
Units advantage: 150
That's a silly bet because Leicester want their CL spot badly, but that's also me hoping they slip up. Ulp!
Will update this bet in tomorrow's stats!
sorry about Nadal =\
I just won both my bets on that match. I had Tsitsi +3.5 and Tsitsi to take a set. Nadal had 2 match balls in last game of second set and if he took one of them both bets would have ended as a bust.I also had Tsitsi to win 2:0 but that was double with Harry Maguire to score a header so more of a long shot than expected outcome.
GL today, I am again on BTTS in Itally plus Ichenacho (or whatever it is spelled) to have at least 2 shots on target.
And of course Juve game ends as a draw to screw both your tickets 
Just BTTS in Seria A for me this season with Atalanta blacklisted, still going well. Waiting for Roma later today to continue BTTS streak, Barca has already come. Than I need my man Tsitisipas to do good against Nadal, he just squandered 2 break points, too bad, he needs to use every opportunity against Nadal on clay to have a chance of upset.
Just BTTS in Seria A for me this season with Atalanta blacklisted, still going well. Waiting for Roma later today to continue BTTS streak, Barca has already come. Than I need my man Tsitisipas to do good against Nadal, he just squandered 2 break points, too bad, he needs to use every opportunity against Nadal on clay to have a chance of upset.
Yeah, bloody hell right? When Fiorentina scored, I thought ah well. Then even at 1-1 I thought there was every chance for the upset but Old Lady just wants to screw with me. I've stopped my BTTS for a while, sorry about Nadal =\
For today, a less ambitious parlay: Western Utd FC, Napoli, Real Sociedad @7.70. Other odds: 7.50
Units advantage: 20
Later, keep an eye out for Palace boosts;)
Running advantage after 319 bets: +21,696 (+20)
All-time cumulative: +59,254
Running units after 318 bets (399W|269L): +9,878 (-200)
All-time cumulative: +59,254
Running units after 318 bets (399W|269L): +9,878 (-200)
100 units boosted, insured on Inter HT WIN, Villa, Lens, Juventus and Atletico WIN @22.58. Other odds: 20.89
Cover this with a hedge on Fiorentina to WIN @6.61. Other odds: 5.87
And of course Juve game ends as a draw to screw both your tickets Cover this with a hedge on Fiorentina to WIN @6.61. Other odds: 5.87
Just BTTS in Seria A for me this season with Atalanta blacklisted, still going well. Waiting for Roma later today to continue BTTS streak, Barca has already come. Than I need my man Tsitisipas to do good against Nadal, he just squandered 2 break points, too bad, he needs to use every opportunity against Nadal on clay to have a chance of upset.
Haha lol Brighton. Good for you, Blades. Don't take relegation to heart, and just fight. Look at Norwich and Watford. Back to the top with some emphasis too!
Anyway. Two parlays dead. But it's not over for accas haha.
100 units boosted, insured on Inter HT WIN, Villa, Lens, Juventus and Atletico WIN @22.58. Other odds: 20.89
Cover this with a hedge on Fiorentina to WIN @6.61. Other odds: 5.87
Units advantage: 169 + 26 = 195
Anyway. Two parlays dead. But it's not over for accas haha.
100 units boosted, insured on Inter HT WIN, Villa, Lens, Juventus and Atletico WIN @22.58. Other odds: 20.89
Cover this with a hedge on Fiorentina to WIN @6.61. Other odds: 5.87
Units advantage: 169 + 26 = 195
Running advantage after 318 bets: +21,676 (+195)
All-time cumulative: +59,234
Running units after 316 bets (399W|267L): +10,078 (-200)
All-time cumulative: +59,234
Running units after 316 bets (399W|267L): +10,078 (-200)
Right then, I've been really busy past few days not even got many bets in, shocker, I know. Glad I didn't really miss too many upsets -- but oh I'd have put Koln into my parlay again and they did just about edge out 3-2. Start of a great escape mayhaps?
A real mix tonight why not?
100 units boosted and insured at Sportsbet on BVB, Brighton, Real, Barnslet and Watford to win @15.45. Other odds: 14.88
And a nice boost Liverpool, Chelsea, Brighton, Watford to WIN @6.50. Other odds: 6.30
Bet ID: 6082afc07b0208cbbc2c23b4
Units advantage: 57+20 = 77
Also made a mistake in total W/L counts in last post, updated here.
A real mix tonight why not?
100 units boosted and insured at Sportsbet on BVB, Brighton, Real, Barnslet and Watford to win @15.45. Other odds: 14.88
And a nice boost Liverpool, Chelsea, Brighton, Watford to WIN @6.50. Other odds: 6.30
Bet ID: 6082afc07b0208cbbc2c23b4
Units advantage: 57+20 = 77
Also made a mistake in total W/L counts in last post, updated here.
Running advantage after 316 bets: +21,481 (+78)
All-time cumulative: +59,039
Running units after 314 bets (399W|265L): +10,278 (-100)
All-time cumulative: +59,039
Running units after 314 bets (399W|265L): +10,278 (-100)
Coln were good for me last season but they've been playing their worst football in a long time. Back them tonight for some home respite?
Damn, you got it right. I was sure Leipzig is winning this one but I also missed some tennis earlier so I am glad at least you cashed in 
Keep up your game man I have a feeling you are much better in getting value from these underdogs than playing x5 multi bets.
Thanks man! Leipzig did dominate, but yeah, right after equalising, they fell behind immediately -- seen it happen to Liverpool far too often in my lifetime. The curse of the attacking team. And thanks! Yeah, I think if I look back, most of my profits are from these singles, and it's even more pleasurable when you see the odds drop was more just before match (this game I saw was even 5.4x just before kickoff). Plus if not for insurance, I'd be down a lot more from parlays. Problem is the boosts on accas are so tasty!
Looking at Villa later but want to see if I can squeeze out 10/1 (currently 8.4). I feel a bit dumb for taking Spurs, Milan and BVB who are all capable to lose even, but hey.
Meanwhile, boosted insured, Inter HT, BVB, Sevilla, Milan, Spurs to WIN @15.54. 14.76
Units advantage: 78
Running advantage after 314 bets: +21,481 (+78)
All-time cumulative: +59,039
Running units after 313 bets (391W|264L): +10,378 (+694)
All-time cumulative: +59,039
Running units after 313 bets (391W|264L): +10,378 (+694)
Coln were good for me last season but they've been playing their worst football in a long time. Back them tonight for some home respite?
Damn, you got it right. I was sure Leipzig is winning this one but I also missed some tennis earlier so I am glad at least you cashed in Keep up your game man I have a feeling you are much better in getting value from these underdogs than playing x5 multi bets.
RIP Liverpool this time, so nice to lose on the first leg, these parlays, Leeds were well worth the draw in the end I have to say begrudgingly, for not keeping their heads down and going at it. If not for some wayward finishing from our team though, they could have been down 3-0 early.
The things we regret.
Coln were good for me last season but they've been playing their worst football in a long time. Back them tonight for some home respite?
100 units at Fairlay on Koln @7.94. Other odds: 7.40
Units advantage: 54
The things we regret.
Coln were good for me last season but they've been playing their worst football in a long time. Back them tonight for some home respite?
100 units at Fairlay on Koln @7.94. Other odds: 7.40
Units advantage: 54
Running advantage after 313 bets: +21,413 (+54)
All-time cumulative: +58,961
Running units after 312 bets (398W|264L): +9,684 (-100)
All-time cumulative: +58,961
Running units after 312 bets (398W|264L): +9,684 (-100)
RIP Arsenal. Toe offside, familiar VAR story, oh well. Wasn't a brilliant day elsewhere on my bets too, nothing happy came out of it ha.
All the same, we look to a new day with Liverpool to capitalise on West Ham's loss! And let's do some LatAm action too, why not?
100 units at Sportsbet, boosted and insured on Liverpool, RB Bragantino, Tigre, Banfield, Sao Bento to WIN @14.15. Other odds: 13.56
Units advantage: 59
All the same, we look to a new day with Liverpool to capitalise on West Ham's loss! And let's do some LatAm action too, why not?
100 units at Sportsbet, boosted and insured on Liverpool, RB Bragantino, Tigre, Banfield, Sao Bento to WIN @14.15. Other odds: 13.56
Units advantage: 59
Running advantage after 312 bets: +21,359 (+59)
All-time cumulative: +58,907
Running units after 311 bets (398W|263L): +9,784 (-200)
All-time cumulative: +58,907
Running units after 311 bets (398W|263L): +9,784 (-200)
Yesterday's parlay is still semi-alive heh through an on goal at 68th min. Milan went ahead but conceded an equaliser at HT... and it wasn't looking good already with 2/3rds of the game gone but let's see if they can pull through and see this through the end. Meanwhile...
Today, let's go for another boosted insured 5-leg special, some must-win games in here, why not?
100 units at Sportsbet on Arsenal, Nice, Lyon, Monaco, Real @16.77. Other odds: 15.46
Units advantage: 131
Today, let's go for another boosted insured 5-leg special, some must-win games in here, why not?
100 units at Sportsbet on Arsenal, Nice, Lyon, Monaco, Real @16.77. Other odds: 15.46
Units advantage: 131
Running advantage after 311 bets: +21,300 (+131)
All-time cumulative: +58,848
Running units after 309 bets (398W|261L): +9,984 (-0)
All-time cumulative: +58,848
Running units after 309 bets (398W|261L): +9,984 (-0)
Can't believe Rublev actually won that game! Shock loss, I'd have won a bit more if I went on a straight bet on him, but a 2:1 IIRC was actually more like 12/1 boosted. Shame!
Got to love this boosted special, if it hits you get 2mbtc freebet. 100 units at Sportsbeton Arsenal, Utd, Milan, Lazio to WIN @5.50. Other odds: 5.40
Bet ID: 6078539670a69870fc415823
Units advantage: 10
Got to love this boosted special, if it hits you get 2mbtc freebet. 100 units at Sportsbeton Arsenal, Utd, Milan, Lazio to WIN @5.50. Other odds: 5.40
Bet ID: 6078539670a69870fc415823
Units advantage: 10
Running advantage after 310 bets: +21,169 (+10)
All-time cumulative: +58,717
Running units after 309 bets (398W|261L): +9,984 (-100)
All-time cumulative: +58,717
Running units after 309 bets (398W|261L): +9,984 (-100)
It wasn't to be. I ended up hedging quite a lot on Arsenal, so booked in some cool profits even at half time, glad they went through anyway, I really would not like to see United go on to win so meeting Roma suits me, and hopefully if they pass that stage, Gunners put up resistance and win Europa for their own UCL spot eh?
A simple boosted tennis for today. Rublev to put up a fight but eventually fall to Nadal. Correct Score Nadal 2:1 @4.34. Other odds: 3.90
Units advantage: 44
A simple boosted tennis for today. Rublev to put up a fight but eventually fall to Nadal. Correct Score Nadal 2:1 @4.34. Other odds: 3.90
Units advantage: 44
Running advantage after 309 bets: +21,159 (+44)
All-time cumulative: +58,707
Running units after 308 bets (398W|260L): +10,084 (-200)
All-time cumulative: +58,707
Running units after 308 bets (398W|260L): +10,084 (-200)
Liverpool banged on the doors but could not crack it open. Out of UCL so have lost not just a parlay but my early season outright, ah well. Not that it mattered. Botafago and Inter Escaldes both also fell in their games, so no insurance either!
Let's just go for a single on Granada to avenge their defeat. Can't let United progress, now can we?
100 units at Fairlay on Granada to WIN vs Utd @7.56. Other odds: 7.00
100 units at Fairlay on Dinamo Zagreb to WIN vs Villareal @7.98. Other odds: 7.30
Total Units advantage: 56+68 = 124
Let's just go for a single on Granada to avenge their defeat. Can't let United progress, now can we?
100 units at Fairlay on Granada to WIN vs Utd @7.56. Other odds: 7.00
100 units at Fairlay on Dinamo Zagreb to WIN vs Villareal @7.98. Other odds: 7.30
Total Units advantage: 56+68 = 124
Running advantage after 308 bets: +21,115 (+124)
All-time cumulative: +58,663
Running units after 306 bets (398W|258L): +10,284 (-100)
All-time cumulative: +58,663
Running units after 306 bets (398W|258L): +10,284 (-100)
Newcastle Jets killed our small parlay already but it would have been a bigger shame had it won since Chelsea anyway fell to Porto in the death.
A return of a 5-leg boosted insured parlay including UCL legs, with another big Australian A-league to kick it off? Because it's awesome, that's why!
100 units on Adelaide Utd, Botafago, Inter Club Escaldes, Liverpool, City to WIN @21.96. Other odds: 20.60
Units advantage: 136
Also, realised forgot to adjust win total, so now it's correct:
A return of a 5-leg boosted insured parlay including UCL legs, with another big Australian A-league to kick it off? Because it's awesome, that's why!
100 units on Adelaide Utd, Botafago, Inter Club Escaldes, Liverpool, City to WIN @21.96. Other odds: 20.60
Units advantage: 136
Also, realised forgot to adjust win total, so now it's correct:
Running advantage after 306 bets: +20,991 (+136)
All-time cumulative: +58,539
Running units after 305 bets (398W|257L): +10,384 (-100)
All-time cumulative: +58,539
Running units after 305 bets (398W|257L): +10,384 (-100)
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