Odds, units advantage | Sportsbook | +36315 units - page 26.

buwaytress

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Swiatek lost, and Kariobangi could only draw, so we didn't even get insurance back, boo.

Semifinals for EURO are back, it's almost over, and Italy has been value bet all tournament long, while England tomorrow should have a crack at Denmark. Likely to enter Extra Time but maybe these two want the final so bad they'll win it in normal time?

100 units at Sportsbet on Italy and England to WIN @5.00. Other odds: 4.49. Units advantage: 51
Bet ID: 60e33e8e03330fc71dadc93e

Running advantage after 401 bets: +27,013 (+51)
All-time cumulative: +65,411
Running units after 400 bets (63W|337L): +13,878 (-100)

buwaytress

legendary

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Dallas and LA both couldn't win, so I'm going to recycle the tennis selections for this pick as they haven't played yet.

Annoying, but I'm going to go even more exotic today with Kenyan, Finnish and LatAm selections. No insurance on this one, but I'll take the boost equally.

100 units at Sportsbet on Huachipato, Tampereen Ilves, Kariobangi, Swiated, Sabalenka WIN @15.89. Other odds: 14.99
Units advantage: 90

Running advantage after 400 bets: +26,962 (+173)
All-time cumulative: +65,360
Running units after 399 bets (63W|336L): +13,978 (-100)

buwaytress

legendary

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Wow we got blown away, by an England that actually played Jadon Sancho from the start. Wasn't all credit to him of course, Shaw had two assists and even Sterling did. All good, all good.

Let's do a nice mix up today adding only 2 football picks from MLS.

100 units boosted, insured at Sportsbet on Dallas, LA Galaxy, Slovenia (Olympics basketball), Swiatek, Sabalenka (womens Wimbledon) to WIN @19.61. Other odds: 17.88
Units advantage: 173

Running advantage after 399 bets: +26,789 (+173)
All-time cumulative: +65,187
Running units after 398 bets (63W|335L): +14,078 (-100)

buwaytress

legendary

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Ah what a shame. Actually did get the Italy win, but Spain had to be an idiot and let the Swiss equalise before getting themselves over the line. Italy to win 2 more games to maintain their unbroken streak? I definitely think so!

England should sail through, they were the early tournament favourites, but just in case, shall we put Ukraine down for an upset?

100 units at Sportsbet on Ukraine to WIN @9.80. Other odds: 9.10
Units advantage: 70

Running advantage after 398 bets: +26,616 (+70)
All-time cumulative: +65,014
Running units after 397 bets (63W|334L): +14,178 (-200)

buwaytress

legendary

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So we got our bet back yesterday, thanks to everyone winning comfortably except Bragantino, who, to be fair, did their best judging from the stats but were unable to find any breakthrough.

So today we take a simple Spain and Italy WIN at regular time, 200 units at Sportsbet @5.0. Other odds: 4.50
Units advantage: 50

Running advantage after 397 bets: +26,546 (+50)
All-time cumulative: +64,944
Running units after 396 bets (63W|333L): +14,378 ()

buwaytress

legendary

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Evergrande only lost 0-1 but they were horrendous, not single attempt on target, and then eventually giving away the penalty that led to the goal.

I'm going to go full AFC and Conmebol today, and parlay that with a Fritz win at Wimbledon. Because I'm feeling lucky;)

100 units insured, boosted at Sportsbet on Pohang Steelers, Bragantino, Atletico Mineiro, Flamengo, Fritz to WIN @11.18. Other odds: 10.30
Units advantage: 88

Running advantage after 396 bets: +26,496 (+88)
All-time cumulative: +64,894
Running units after 395 bets (63W|332L): +14,378 (-100)

buwaytress

legendary

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Ah Germany. And even Ukraine, on the ropes but they actually played a really open game, made for some entertainment, deserved to go through after ET. England won, and Southgate should note they are better when they play Grealish, two assists after he came on.

We turn today to AFC Champions League for a hail mary bet on China's Guangzhou Evergrande vs HK's Kitchee SC.

100 units on Evergrande upset @19.70. Other odds: 18.80
Units advantage: 90
Bet ID: 60dc2b142e71b20bf9098c6f

Running advantage after 395 bets: +26,408 (+90)
All-time cumulative: +64,806
Running units after 394 bets (63W|331L): +14,478 (-100)

buwaytress

legendary

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Crazy, crazy night Trofo. Croatia kind of ruined it for me -- didn't win, and also didn't let Spain win at FT so I lost bets both ways (I never go for draws, you know me). But the entertainment, man. Top class all around. It's got to be because of the weirdness everywhere from pandemic and what not right?

Anyway, time to update calculations and put just one bet for today, and it's on the slight upset:

100 units at Sportsbet on Germany and Ukraine to WIN @10.60. Other odds: 9.99
Units advantage: 61

Running advantage after 394 bets: +26,318 (19+61=80)
All-time cumulative: +64,716
Running units after 393 bets (63W|330L): +14,578 (-200)

Trofo

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Did you see first 11 from Spain? Is this really their best? All the bench warmers from City getting the start

While their best players at the moment, at least for me, are on the bench: Moreno, Alba, Olmo ...

Anyway we were able to keep our own even when Xavi and Iniesta were in the game so I guess we should do well against Pedri and Koke. Hopefully Morata will continue with his impeccable finishing Tongue

Edit: Well, I was right about the draw but missed low scoring part. That 120 goals bet should be in the bag by the end of the day how we are playing.

buwaytress

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Quote from: Trofo on June 28, 2021, 10:09:11 AM

You are afraid for France? Don't worry they will pass through Swiss team like hot knife trough butter.

Croatia will give hell to Spain though, this is the time when we start to be dangerous. I am expecting a low scoring draw and us passing on penalties Grin

That's the problem. I'm not afraid and put them on almost every parlay I had from the weekend, but of course ruined by NL and Italy who both somehow forgot they were playing a proper tournament. I rebet on France but with Mbappe goal (come on, he has to score right?) but if they and Spain both take early lead, I'll allow Croatia to win the FT game haha.

Inspired by your confidence: 100 units at Sportsbet on Croatia to WIN vs [email protected]. Other odds: 6.80
Units advantage: 19

I'll add calculations tomorrow;)

Trofo

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Quote from: buwaytress on June 28, 2021, 07:42:46 AM

Here's a rather dumb bet, given how late the goals have come, but since I'm not doing well parlaying anyway, I figure this boosted special is worth a punt. France is the danger here!

You are afraid for France? Don't worry they will pass through Swiss team like hot knife trough butter.

Croatia will give hell to Spain though, this is the time when we start to be dangerous. I am expecting a low scoring draw and us passing on penalties Grin

buwaytress

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Nice day to kill all of my weekend bets dead haha. Couldn't even get the favourites right, or get any of the goalscorers on board. EURO huh!

Here's a rather dumb bet, given how late the goals have come, but since I'm not doing well parlaying anyway, I figure this boosted special is worth a punt. France is the danger here!

100 units at Sportsbet on France and Spain to lead at 29:59 @9.00. Other odds: not sure but even Half time wins aren't so great.
Bet ID: 60d9c341fe7f9612745291a6

Running advantage after 392 bets: +26,238 (-)
All-time cumulative: +64,636
Running units after 391 bets (63W|328L): +14,778 (-400)

buwaytress

legendary

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Quote from: Trofo on June 26, 2021, 02:48:05 AM

Damn man, you also missed the best special yesterday. It was the first one in morning hours. If memory holds there was 5 favorites to win (Italy, Netherlands, Spain, France and one more), money back if only one screws our ticket.

Good luck with your bets, I am also on those other 2 specials but I am going against you on the Wales game. I am thinking Denmark has this but maybe in the extra time.

I had to scroll back up on the Special Offers to see this and you're right! That was early! These specials also just last for less than an hour, judging from the ones I managed to catch -- always the clock running down on them ha! 125/10 for those are incredible value for the money back, damn.

Thanks, and good luck with yours too! I honestly don't think Wales can win but I feel there's gotta be 1 upset at least and this is the most likely? As long as we hit goals, I don't care =)

Trofo

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Quote from: buwaytress on June 26, 2021, 02:21:00 AM

Let's do a massive boosted 6-legs on all the favs save Germany to win in regular time:
Italy, Netherlands, Spain, Germany, Portugal, France @53.59. Other odds: 50.12

Damn man, you also missed the best special yesterday. It was the first one in morning hours. If memory holds there was 5 favorites to win (Italy, Netherlands, Spain, France and one more), money back if only one screws our ticket.

Good luck with your bets, I am also on those other 2 specials but I am going against you on the Wales game. I am thinking Denmark has this but maybe in the extra time.

buwaytress

legendary

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Yikes, it was a mess. Started brightly and even managed to draw a yellow from a desperate lunge from Prishtina in the beginning, if they had only held on til HT it might have worked out, but home team scored a draw in the precious injury time of first half.

Some long specials which I normally don't share but because I'm really confident in these. 100 units each at Sportsbet:
Over 1.5 goals in each of the Last 16 games: 16/1. Bet ID: 60d5ca0b2e71b2542404f29e
Depay, Ronaldo, Benzema, Lukaku to score in Last 16: 30/1. Bet ID: 60d5ab36be3cd485970555bb

Let's do a massive boosted 6-legs on all the favs save Germany to win in regular time:
Italy, Netherlands, Spain, Germany, Portugal, France @53.59. Other odds: 50.12
Bet ID: 60d5ab36be3cd485970555bb
Units advantage: 347

None of these bets settle tomorrow unless they lose:)

So let's do Italy and Wales to WIN @7.88. Other odds: 7.66
Units advantage: 22

Running advantage after 391 bets: +26,238 (22+347=+369)
All-time cumulative: +64,636
Running units after 387 bets (63W|324L): +15,178 (-100)

buwaytress

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A single bet today on the club that won me my first bet in the new season of Champions League: de Escaldes. They fight Prishtina today for the rights to qo to Round 1 Qualification. I took it and by the time I did odds jumped right after haha, so please find better odds than me, it's a disadvantage today.

100 units at Sportsbet on de Escaldes to WIN vs Prishtina @7.20. Other odds: 7.40
Units advantage: -20

Running advantage after 387 bets: +25,869 (-20)
All-time cumulative: +64,267
Running units after 386 bets (63W|323L): +15,278 (-100)

Quote from: Trofo on June 24, 2021, 03:41:42 PM

Don't know about Santos but my money is Chile as well, so good luck man

Should I be worried that you think Chile is good bet considering your standings in the COPA pool? Uruguay and Bolivia deciding who goes home today. Just shows how badly Uruguay performed so far.

Dud on both. Santos actually did get a draw (2-2) but yeah, Copa proving to be tricky as hell. Even didn't take the Uruguay win + Cavani score at SB yesterday which was 2/1, impossible to sniff out anything!

And yes, you should be worried about my Copa picks. I did really well on Conmebol betting during WC qualifications but this Copa has been an absolute mess betting AND predicting.

Trofo

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Quote from: buwaytress on June 24, 2021, 07:13:28 AM

Santos upset today in Brasileiro please, plus a Chilean COPA victory, only two legs but I like the odds.

Don't know about Santos but my money is Chile as well, so good luck man

Should I be worried that you think Chile is good bet considering your standings in the COPA pool? Uruguay and Bolivia deciding who goes home today. Just shows how badly Uruguay performed so far.

buwaytress

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Man Bobby Firmino is loved by Brazil but even Casemiro's last gasp win wasn't enough, as France and Sao Paolo both drew. Nice that I didn't take a big French ML, but phew, two penalties? Portugal will feel lucky they squeezed through, seriously.

Santos upset today in Brasileiro please, plus a Chilean COPA victory, only two legs but I like the odds.

100 units at Sportsbet on Chile and Santos WIN @11.64. Other odds: 11.22
Units advantgae: 42

Running advantage after 386 bets: +25,889 (+42)
All-time cumulative: +64,287
Running units after 385 bets (63W|322L): +15,378 (-100)

buwaytress

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Should have put my other upset here (qualifying prelims Champs League, if you can believe it) but anyway, England probably just about deserved the win for once.

A bit lost today so a simple EURO + + Copa+ Brasileiro parlay. France ML itself does seem a good bet too though.

100 units at Sportsbet on France, Brazil and Sao Paolo @5.05. Other odds: 4.90
Odds advantage: 15

Running advantage after 385 bets: +25,847 (+15)
All-time cumulative: +64,245
Running units after 384 bets (63W|321L): +15,478 (-100)

buwaytress

legendary

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Almost. Almost. Hit everything but the last goal we needed for that, Netherlands rained down but it wasn't to be. Good idea to stay away from a Chile upset too, as they only drew with Uruguay. Poor Copa picks.

I'm thinking today though of a Czech upset against England. Sorry guys, but if they play like they did against Scotland, they deserve to lose.

So 100 units at Sportsbet on Czech to WIN vs England @8.70. Other odds: 8.50
Bet ID: 60d1ca1503330f095ba05b9f
Units advantage: 20

Running advantage after 384 bets: +25,832 (+60)
All-time cumulative: +64,230
Running units after 383 bets (63W|320L): +15,578 (-100)

Topic: Odds, units advantage | Sportsbook | +36315 units - page 26. (Read 40111 times)