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Topic: Only 500 persons owns 36% of all bitcoins? (Read 2584 times)

legendary
Activity: 1708
Merit: 1010
December 03, 2013, 01:51:59 PM
#56
If any of Satoshi's btc is spent, I am sure there will a flood of "OMG, satoshi is back!!!" posts.

If any of Satoshi's btc move i think the price will collapse instantly.

Based upon what, exactly?

So if the creator and original programmer of bitcoin moves his ,untouched for years coins, wouldn't that raise some flags for you?


Not really.  Not only would I have to be able to know which coins are Satoshi's (only the first few hundred blocks can be assumed to be Satoshi's), I'd also have to know that he didn't sell those block reward addresses out-of-band.  Neither of these things are knowable, unless he tells us.  We'd also have to know that Satoshi himself was still alive, and some heir wasn't finally making moves with inherited funds.  Keep in mind that he stopped talking to us shortly before the last Tsunami killed thousands of Japanese in a single day.  If Satoshi is actually Japanese & actually an individual, he might be dead.

Quote
I mean most people will speculate that he is moving coins in order to sell them. And if satoshi sells coins then hell i 'll sell to. Every single one of them.


Go right ahead.  I don't agree that everyone will sell them, but I'll offer you an early deal.  Get out now and I'll pay you half price on all that you have.
sr. member
Activity: 252
Merit: 250
December 03, 2013, 10:50:55 AM
#55
If any of Satoshi's btc is spent, I am sure there will a flood of "OMG, satoshi is back!!!" posts.

If any of Satoshi's btc move i think the price will collapse instantly.

Based upon what, exactly?

So if the creator and original programmer of bitcoin moves his ,untouched for years coins, wouldn't that raise some flags for you?
I mean most people will speculate that he is moving coins in order to sell them. And if satoshi sells coins then hell i 'll sell to. Every single one of them.
legendary
Activity: 1708
Merit: 1010
December 03, 2013, 09:57:54 AM
#54
If any of Satoshi's btc is spent, I am sure there will a flood of "OMG, satoshi is back!!!" posts.

If any of Satoshi's btc move i think the price will collapse instantly.

Based upon what, exactly?
sr. member
Activity: 252
Merit: 250
December 03, 2013, 08:31:54 AM
#53
If any of Satoshi's btc is spent, I am sure there will a flood of "OMG, satoshi is back!!!" posts.

If any of Satoshi's btc move i think the price will collapse instantly.
newbie
Activity: 5
Merit: 0
December 03, 2013, 06:12:52 AM
#52
pareto
newbie
Activity: 6
Merit: 0
December 03, 2013, 03:59:00 AM
#51
I'm curious as to the wealth distribution. Like what's the top 1%? Top 5%? Top 10%? 20%? Bottom 50%?

It is hard to make an estimate.
One person may control 10000 addresses.
One address may contain bitcoin belonging to 10000 persons (eg. Hot/Cold wallet of exchanges and casinos).
newbie
Activity: 17
Merit: 0
December 03, 2013, 03:16:17 AM
#50
I'm curious as to the wealth distribution. Like what's the top 1%? Top 5%? Top 10%? 20%? Bottom 50%?
newbie
Activity: 5
Merit: 0
December 03, 2013, 02:43:52 AM
#49
I m not one of these
newbie
Activity: 6
Merit: 0
December 03, 2013, 02:06:52 AM
#48
500 people or 500 addresses? 

I understand that you can tell what balances each address has but is it possible to tell what addresses all belong to the same wallet?  If so how?

If two or more addresses are used in the same transaction then you can know they are both from the same wallet.

Not necessarily.
You may refer to the following 2 threads by gmaxwell.
https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/i-taint-rich-raw-txn-fun-and-disrupting-taint-analysis-51kbtc-linked-139581
https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/coinjoin-bitcoin-privacy-for-the-real-world-279249


Isn't a new address created for every transaction?

You mean the change address?
If then, it depends on the wallet used.
legendary
Activity: 1092
Merit: 1000
nahtnam.com
December 03, 2013, 01:46:15 AM
#47
500 people or 500 addresses? 

I understand that you can tell what balances each address has but is it possible to tell what addresses all belong to the same wallet?  If so how?

If two or more addresses are used in the same transaction then you can know they are both from the same wallet.

Not necessarily.
You may refer to the following 2 threads by gmaxwell.
https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/i-taint-rich-raw-txn-fun-and-disrupting-taint-analysis-51kbtc-linked-139581
https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/coinjoin-bitcoin-privacy-for-the-real-world-279249


Isn't a new address created for every transaction?
newbie
Activity: 9
Merit: 0
December 03, 2013, 01:17:30 AM
#46
500 people or 500 addresses? 

I understand that you can tell what balances each address has but is it possible to tell what addresses all belong to the same wallet?  If so how?

If two or more addresses are used in the same transaction then you can know they are both from the same wallet.

Not necessarily.
You may refer to the following 2 threads by gmaxwell.
https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/i-taint-rich-raw-txn-fun-and-disrupting-taint-analysis-51kbtc-linked-139581
https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/coinjoin-bitcoin-privacy-for-the-real-world-279249
legendary
Activity: 1092
Merit: 1000
nahtnam.com
December 03, 2013, 12:46:13 AM
#45
I bet one of those is Satoshi Nakamoto...
member
Activity: 92
Merit: 10
December 02, 2013, 11:32:31 PM
#44
Yes, maybe the numbers are not correct, but bitcoin really is not a way to decentralization of wealth. Just other couple of people would/will become super rich. Litecoin or maybe some other currencies are more "fair". Therefor I start mining and supporting this instead of BTC.
newbie
Activity: 14
Merit: 0
December 02, 2013, 11:21:26 PM
#43
they got in early and held.  more power to them.
newbie
Activity: 2
Merit: 0
December 02, 2013, 10:10:22 PM
#42
Switching over to ltc soon, wouldn't be suprised if this was true.
newbie
Activity: 50
Merit: 0
December 02, 2013, 10:01:30 PM
#41
Pareto principle in bitcoin?
donator
Activity: 1218
Merit: 1079
Gerald Davis
December 02, 2013, 07:42:56 PM
#40
how does anybody know exactly how many Satoshi has?

They don't.  There are some guestimates based on average computing power and the relatively low hashrate for the first year but nobody knows for sure.

Quote
How does one ensure that the change is sent to a new address?  Do you need a non-standard client?

The QT (reference) client will do this by default automatically (actually this behavior can't be bypassed).  Other clients may behave differently.
sr. member
Activity: 252
Merit: 250
December 02, 2013, 07:19:38 PM
#39
Litecoin. The crypto currency where the printing press is in the hands of the people (off ASICs). Wink

With a price tag of 40$. I don't think that it 'll take much longer before companies announce their first scrypt asics. My bet is on KnC for that.
newbie
Activity: 39
Merit: 0
December 02, 2013, 07:00:01 PM
#38
500 people or 500 addresses? 

I understand that you can tell what balances each address has but is it possible to tell what addresses all belong to the same wallet?  If so how?

Not conclusively in all cases.   If two or more addresses are used in the same transaction then you can know they are both from the same wallet.  However if Bitcoin intentionally makes this kind of tracking difficult.  If you use a new addresss for each tx, send change to a new address, and don't reuse existing addresses while it may be possible to link some addresses together by analysising the blockchain it is impossible to link all of them together.  If someone cared enough they can make the job much harder but selecting inputs so they don't add additional information to the blockchain, using mixer services, and even used shared wallets (like exchanges) to kill the public trail.

As an example of killing the public trail:
If I deposit 1 input at a time to MtGox using a different address each time there is no way to link those txs together using the blockchain.  You would need a warrant to gain access to MtGox internal database.   I could then withdraw those balances (which will come from totally different random MtGox addresses) to individual addresses.  Making the amounts and number of withdrawals and deposits different and varying the frequency would make even probabilistic (guessing) analysis impossible.  Now imagine doing the same with multiple exchanges and other shared wallet services, cryptostocks, and even altcoins to ensure that the entire trail can't be reconstructed by a single entity even with private information.


Two questions

1.) how does anybody know exactly how many Satoshi has?

2.) How does one ensure that the change is sent to a new address?  Do you need a non-standard client?

donator
Activity: 1218
Merit: 1079
Gerald Davis
December 02, 2013, 03:38:41 PM
#37
500 people or 500 addresses? 

I understand that you can tell what balances each address has but is it possible to tell what addresses all belong to the same wallet?  If so how?

Not conclusively in all cases.   If two or more addresses are used in the same transaction then you can know they are both from the same wallet.  However if Bitcoin intentionally makes this kind of tracking difficult.  If you use a new addresss for each tx, send change to a new address, and don't reuse existing addresses while it may be possible to link some addresses together by analysising the blockchain it is impossible to link all of them together.  If someone cared enough they can make the job much harder but selecting inputs so they don't add additional information to the blockchain, using mixer services, and even used shared wallets (like exchanges) to kill the public trail.

As an example of killing the public trail:
If I deposit 1 input at a time to MtGox using a different address each time there is no way to link those txs together using the blockchain.  You would need a warrant to gain access to MtGox internal database.   I could then withdraw those balances (which will come from totally different random MtGox addresses) to individual addresses.  Making the amounts and number of withdrawals and deposits different and varying the frequency would make even probabilistic (guessing) analysis impossible.  Now imagine doing the same with multiple exchanges and other shared wallet services, cryptostocks, and even altcoins to ensure that the entire trail can't be reconstructed by a single entity even with private information.
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