Opinion: Bitcoiners should build a trusted decentralized network to become more resilient against possible future crisis.
Problem: Fiat system is controlled corrupt people
Bartering is inconvenient. I’m a plumber and want to grill a beef steak. But the cow farmer does not need a plumber now. Money makes the marketplace more efficient. The plumber can fix a pipe for somebody else for cash and spend cash to buy his steak. He can even safe his money and buy the steak later. However, money printing erodes the purchasing power of fiat. Canceling bank accounts, so a protesting Canadian trucker can’t buy his breakfast, erodes the transaction value of fiat. This might become even worse with the introduction of CBDC, which could be programmed to be redeemed only for good that the state deems appropriate.
Bitcoin is low inflation and high censorship resistance
Bitcoin has predictable and low monetary inflation and has a high degree of censorship resistance overcoming the problems of fiat. However, Bitcoin is not widely accepted as a payment for goods and services. This requires you to exchange your fiat salary for Bitcoin to safe and to exchange your Bitcoin for fiat to spend.
nice: salary in BTC -> food
reality: salary in fait -> BTC -> fiat -> food
How regulation conquers Bitcoin to rob savers of their savings and reintroduce censorship
The exchange between BTC and fiat is controlled by the government, banks, payment processors and centralized exchanges. They censor people and transactions reintroducing censorship on the Bitcoin onramp and offramp. Due to KYC, your identity is linked to how many bitcoins your bought. People more powerful than you (government or criminals who hacked the exchange database) can threaten violence rob you of most or all your Bitcoin reintroducing the problem that powerful humans can rob the savings of powerless humans.
Trading Peer to peer offers some protection
The obvious solution is ditching centralized exchanges and replacing them with decentralized exchanges most prominent would be Bisq. Bisq is open source, runs over TOR and has very little centralized attack surface. I like Bisq a lot, but don’t want to trust entirely on Bisq.
Trading BTC over Bisq is no silver bullet.
1. Single communication route: Bisq runs over TOR. However, TOR can and is currently DDoS-attacked. Government can take measures against TOR or against internet traffic leaving the country.
2. Tainted coins: BTC has a transparent ledger. Everybody can check the history of each transaction. The government / banks / exchanges can then define “bad” transaction histories. If you send a Bitcoin transaction with a “bad” history to an exchange, your account gets frozen. US announced interacting with certain BTC addresses gets you published with several years of prison time. Government restrictions tend to grow. It is possible that the government tries to define more histories as “bad” e.g. coin joins being bad or coins bought on exchanges without KYC being bad. It is also possible that the government will try to extend the regulation to miners banning them form mining transactions with a bad history. The problem is, that the coin trades on Bisq can be singled out by coin analytics companies. The government can then make laws against people using Bisq or spending coins with a Bisq-history. Additionally, a small minority of coins sold on Bisq has a bad origin (Hack or Scam).
3. Flexibility: Let’s say you are protesting peacefully against your government without breaking any laws. This annoys politicians, who skip due process and just block your bank account. Now you can’t pay rent, can’t pay your utility bills and after cash gets replaced by CBDC you can’t even buy food. On Bisq you can sell BTC for a bank transfer or cash. You might not be able to pay some bills with cash.
Supplementing Bisq with long term trusted trading relationships builds resilience
Before you have problems every Bitcoiner builds up 5-10 trading relationships. As the years go on trust increases. This gives you additional options exchanging BTC<->goods/services.
1. Multiple communication routes: You will know each other’s mobile phone numbers, and email addresses making your communication more robust in case one communication method is not available.
2. Coins can’t be marked by coin analytics as tainted: Since you trust each other you don’t need custody wallets or time locked multi sig transactions, which would increase suspicion of Chainanalysis. Also you know the history of the coins of your trading counterparty. You don’t accidently by coins with bad history like in Bisq and safe time checking the history of the coins you bought.
3. Flexibility: If you and your trading counterparty trust each other, you have great flexibility. Pay BTC get voucher from your grocery shop. Pay BTC get grass fed beef send to you. Pay BTC get your utility bill paid. Pay BTC get a gold coin send to you. With trust you have unlimited options. You also build up goodwill, if you run into troubles the other person will spend more time to amend his payment method to help you out.
Do you agree with me?
Did I overlook something?
Do you live in Germany or within EU/SEPA and want do build up a network and sell me some BTC against EUR long term?
a. In a way I agree with you but think you should not advertise a p2p platform because that's what it seems you're doing right now! ... your discussion is actually helpful and I will ADD that for a trader to have little worries when trading for whatever purpose hisor her Bitcoin considering the government regulations on reaching a compromise between BTC and fiat and consumer goods(e.gCBDC) and already existing trading platforms, he or she should be aware of these so to be on a safer side:
Diversify Trading Platforms: Instead of relying solely on P2P platforms, consider using a combination of centralized exchanges and reputable P2P platforms. Centralized exchanges offer liquidity and a wide range of trading options, while P2P platforms provide privacy and direct peer-to-peer transactions. Diversifying platforms can help mitigate the risks associated with deficiencies in a single platform.
*Stay Informed:Stay updated with the latest news and developments related to CBDCs, as they may impact the trading landscape. Being aware of any regulatory changes or potential shifts in the market will allow you to adapt your trading strategies accordingly. I recommend this always 👌
Explore Decentralized Exchanges (DEX):DEX platforms operate on blockchain technology, allowing users to trade bitcoin and other digital currencies directly without the need for intermediaries. Consider exploring DEX platforms that offer a high level of security, transparency, and user control over funds.
Secure wallet usage: Regardless of the trading platforms you choose, prioritize the security of your Bitcoin holdings. Use secure hardware wallets or cold storage solutions to protect your funds from potential hacking or theft.
Engage in Trusted Networks: Joining trusted communities or networks of Bitcoin traders can provide opportunities for secure, peer-to-peer trading. Participating in forums, social media groups, or local meetups can help you connect with reputable traders and reduce the risks associated with trading on unfamiliar platforms.(Just like this platform...so congratulations you're in the right place 😁)
Remember, trading Bitcoin involves inherent risks, and no direct method can completely eliminate all potential issues. It's crucial to conduct thorough research, exercise caution, and make informed decisions based on your risk tolerance and trading goals.
b. You did overlook the fact that no although no system can be completely trusted, you can reduce risk by taking diverse precautions
c. No I'm not in Germany!