I have been solo mining on 400MH/s for 10 months and will continue doing so if my ASIC preorder arrives
interesting! How many blocks have you found if you don't mind me asking?
2 blocks in those 10 months...used them to pre-order a bASIC last week. Before switching to solo, I was pool mining for a few months to recoup the $200 I spent on 2x5770s (so I could justify in my mind that $200 on video cards was a better investment than just buying $200 worth of coins)
ASIC mining makes you absolutely faster, but relatively the same speed. You'll all be pool mining just like you were before, earning the same amount, only the difficulty will be 50x higher. You're dreaming if you think this magically makes it worth you solo mining.
I was solo mining with 400MH/s and I will be solo mining with 1 ASIC. I'm not going overboard with a whole farm, I just want to be a part of bitcoin history. It's like 15 years ago when I was pointing a Pentium III to various distributed computing sites for free. This one has potential to make money, but I'm not planning on cashing out to fiat. I want to make BTC so I can spend BTC and help make bitcoin more mainstream.
Yes there will be some months when asics owners will have proportionally better rewardings but at cost of new buy. So the asic arriving make you to choose make new investment or you are out of the game.
What will sopose this? Asic's gives +-25x more speed at same investment, if all miners change every GPU of 200MH/s by his equivalent in ASIC's indeed will happen as ckolivas says, we will have a new status quo, you will get 1 $ a day mining with at 5 GH/s, the asic's manufacturers are the winners.
ASIC prices should go down as more competition shows up. I was originally going to wait until ASICs were mainstream before ordering one, but the stars happened to align for me to pre-order one (lucky blocks found with 400MH/s + BTC price going up + cablepair still having first batch pre-orders available last week + I had to reboot my computer last week which made me realize I found a block in July which made me check the forums to see the status of bitcoin). If any one of those didn't happen, I would be waiting until ASICs were down to $200 before ordering one.