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Topic: Posslble trendlines (with charts and lines). Which one will hold? - page 2. (Read 2637 times)

hero member
Activity: 840
Merit: 1000
Two parallel logarithmic trends and one linear trend. I guess if Trend 3 holds, then Trend 2 also holds. So the question is whether or not we are looking at Trend 1. Trend 1 would put a buy target around $300, or possible higher depending on how long it takes to hit.

Bin the logarithmic trends and look horizontally across the chart. There you will find the support and resistance levels that Bitcoin has been consistently playing off.

We have had a $540 double bottom which relates to high volume corrections in Nov and early Dec. For the first time in a long time, we have had price surge from a bottom on very large volume which can only be seen as a bullish indicator, especially since the second $540 bottom was reached on relatively low volume compared with the mass sell-off that resulted in the previous one. Since then however, both the price level and the volume has sunk, and we are now trending in that $650 - $670 low volume 'nothing' range. How the charts develop from here over the next few bundles of 4 hour bars will be very telling. If it can get up above $700 and turn this level into support on high/increasing volume, then in theory, I would have to turn bullish......as I type this however, I have a strong feeling in my gut that only wise course at this point in time is to remain a bear.....but perhaps I am just over cautious.

If $540 support is broke. Next crucial support is at $380 which has been a ultra high volume rebound point for two very different but equally blistering crashes.
hero member
Activity: 728
Merit: 500
So far trends 2+3 seem very strong and that could have been the bottom, or, they could simply be serving as a bulltrap. If this recovery fizzles out or there are more bad events then this trend could eventually give way and the real bottom could be on Trend 1.

I don't agree with the red line in the post above me because it doesn't trace back to the origin of bitcoin like my Trend 1 does.
hero member
Activity: 602
Merit: 500
hero member
Activity: 602
Merit: 500
the blue line is the trend since beginning 2013. (Gox has reached this line ,which is higher for Gox because their higher prices).All other exchanges are about 250 $ away from this line. This line should hold.
The blue trendline might be a bit too steep as some chartist say a sound line should have an angle of 45 angular degree.
No reason to worry!

The red line is the trendline since 2011

hero member
Activity: 504
Merit: 500
Moderator
That horizontal line on the bottom(0$), might hold. I´m not sure about this. We´ll see.

Edit: I honestly like your TA, please continue your good work. Wink
sr. member
Activity: 364
Merit: 250
Bitcoin holds little instrinsic value. People are speculating on what the price will be when BitCoin will hold some intrinsic value (when Amazon, Google, eBay, etc. will start accepting payment). Because the price right now is purely speculation, I would not try to conclude long term trends. BitCoin is unlike stocks or fiat because it holds little intrinsic value. Stocks and other investments other than BitCoin have a tangible value. I challenge someone to give me an intrinsic value of BitCoin. I'm also saying that BitCoin will eventually have intrinsic value when it becomes a pseudo mainstream currency

Value is entirely subjective, "intrinsic value" means nothing.
newbie
Activity: 3
Merit: 0
Bitcoin holds little instrinsic value. People are speculating on what the price will be when BitCoin will hold some intrinsic value (when Amazon, Google, eBay, etc. will start accepting payment). Because the price right now is purely speculation, I would not try to conclude long term trends. BitCoin is unlike stocks or fiat because it holds little intrinsic value. Stocks and other investments other than BitCoin have a tangible value. I challenge someone to give me an intrinsic value of BitCoin. I'm also saying that BitCoin will eventually have intrinsic value when it becomes a pseudo mainstream currency
legendary
Activity: 2268
Merit: 1278
Oh shit, charts and lines. Let me get my astrologer maps out.

Look dude, you were taking a dump over the security just hours ago. Take a break, get some sleep, come back tomorrow.
hero member
Activity: 728
Merit: 500
Here is trend 1 on mtgox to show more history of why it might be a valid trend.

hero member
Activity: 728
Merit: 500




Two parallel logarithmic trends and one linear trend. I guess if Trend 3 holds, then Trend 2 also holds. So the question is whether or not we are looking at Trend 1. Trend 1 would put a buy target around $300, or possible higher depending on how long it takes to hit.
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