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Topic: Predicting Flash crashes (solution found?) - page 2. (Read 3086 times)

hero member
Activity: 569
Merit: 500
October 25, 2014, 01:56:34 PM
#5
I am interested in bitstamp "addresses", so if anybody knows where to find which addresses should i monitor, share it , thx Wink
donator
Activity: 1736
Merit: 1014
Let's talk governance, lipstick, and pigs.
October 25, 2014, 11:33:19 AM
#4
Bitcoin price has nothing to do with the blockchain. All market trading is done with imaginary tallies in a trading program. No bitcoins are actually traded from markets. They are only deposited and withdrawn depending on how well you play their trading computer game.
sr. member
Activity: 742
Merit: 250
October 25, 2014, 11:29:08 AM
#3
They're nothing more than market manipulation. They attempt to trigger stop loss orders in order to cause an avalanche in price. They attempt them often, usually during long boring spells of stability. The only people that don't see them coming a mile away are newbies like I was once).

Yeah i thought that someone might use it this way...

So i understand it (im not native english speaker so i might get it wrong). The "trick" is well known (watching blockchain as a mean for predicting price movements), and everybody besides noobs (like me) have thought this out a long time ago, so long that peopel are trying this as a way of taking advantage. That means they send a huge ammounts of BTC to exchange, even if they do not intend to sell, they just want to cause panic, let the price crash, buy more bitcoins (and then maybe sent the original ammount of btc, that have never really touch the market back)?

Do i understand it right? (again, english is not my primary language so im asking to be totally sure)?

Thanks
donator
Activity: 1736
Merit: 1014
Let's talk governance, lipstick, and pigs.
October 25, 2014, 11:14:59 AM
#2
They're nothing more than market manipulation. They attempt to trigger stop loss orders in order to cause an avalanche in price. They attempt them often, usually during long boring spells of stability. The only people that don't see them coming a mile away are newbies like I was once).
sr. member
Activity: 742
Merit: 250
October 25, 2014, 11:05:46 AM
#1
Hello i just want to share an idea and hear feedback, i must have been said here before but neverthless:

Is looking on blockchain (or similiar sites) and monitoring incoming huge ammounts of BTC to the accounts of major exchanges (bitstamp, bitfinex, those chinesse ones etc.) a good way for predicting a flat crash...? I got a "hint" that some of the more experienced users might do so... As far as i know, major exchanges have only limited and probably by this time well known bitcoin adresses, so if someone monitors them on blockchain and seesa  huge ammount of incoming BTC to these adress (thousand of btc for example), that might be quite a good indication that the exchange is heading for a major flash crash...

Is this basic idea a good way for predicting flash crashes of BTC price?
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