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Topic: Re: Odds on dice - page 2. (Read 1570 times)

hero member
Activity: 602
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December 21, 2014, 03:28:08 AM
#6
Not the odds of me losing the payout I was on, but rather hitting under 1.51 3 times in a row

1.51% * 1.51% * 1.51% = 0.000344%.
But I have seen a 20 losses in a row with x2 bets, which has a much lower chance to occur.
No, it's 1 / (1.51% * .55% * .88%)  = 0.0000717522% , a one in 14000 occurance (or something around that)
What? Where do you get those numbers from? If you're asking what the chance of rolling 3 times under 1.51 out of 100.00, the correct formula is in my post above.
hero member
Activity: 602
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Acc bought - used solely for signature testing
December 21, 2014, 03:27:28 AM
#5
In that case...

1/(0.0151*0.0151*0.0151) = 290448.513499
One in 290,448.51 series of 3 rolls will roll less then 1.51 out of 100.

Very unlikely but not impossible.
hero member
Activity: 674
Merit: 500
December 21, 2014, 03:24:11 AM
#4
Not the odds of me losing the payout I was on, but rather hitting under 1.51 3 times in a row

1.51% * 1.51% * 1.51% = 0.000344%.
But I have seen a 20 losses in a row with x2 bets, which has a much lower chance to occur.
hero member
Activity: 674
Merit: 500
December 21, 2014, 03:15:40 AM
#3
Well, this is the first time out of all of my gambling experience I've ever come across this:



Two things.... 4 rolls under 10 and 3 rolls under 1.5?!

Can someone tell me what the odd of this is. Seems highly unlikely that something like this can occur considering i've made 160 bets on the site, and only 10 rolls on that seed.

another quick question... If I change my seed, would my nonce be changed or reset?
1 / (.397*.397*.397*.263*.263) = 231.055

If you make 5 rolls, 1 in 231 series of 5 rolls will lose all five rolls of the sequence pictured.

or 0.43%. Not statisically impossible by any means, you just got unlucky.

And if you keep making a lot of rolls, these kind of "unlikely" streaks will come sooner or later.
hero member
Activity: 602
Merit: 500
Acc bought - used solely for signature testing
December 21, 2014, 03:12:33 AM
#2
Well, this is the first time out of all of my gambling experience I've ever come across this:



Two things.... 4 rolls under 10 and 3 rolls under 1.5?!

Can someone tell me what the odd of this is. Seems highly unlikely that something like this can occur considering i've made 160 bets on the site, and only 10 rolls on that seed.

another quick question... If I change my seed, would my nonce be changed or reset?
1 / (.397*.397*.397*.263*.263) = 231.055 (multiplying the odds of losing each bet)

If you make 5 rolls, 1 in 231 series of 5 rolls will lose all five rolls of the sequence pictured above.

or 0.43%. Not statistically impossible by any means, you just got unlucky.
newbie
Activity: 25
Merit: 0
December 21, 2014, 03:01:45 AM
#1
it's always 49% (1% house edge) on a 2x multiplier.
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