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Topic: Resistance approaching (Read 3006 times)

legendary
Activity: 1036
Merit: 1000
March 29, 2013, 01:37:51 PM
#33
It's my real name Wink
legendary
Activity: 2100
Merit: 1061
March 29, 2013, 01:35:26 PM
#32
It's not a coincidence, really. Had Bitcoin been oversold when the Gox DDoS happened, it would have fallen way less. Conversely, when it breaks out above exponential, any minor issue becomes an excuse for a knife-down. If it weren't Gox it would've just been some other minor thing.

Basically riding high (on or above the channel) is cruising for a bruising, and riding low is coiling the spring to be set off by any old good-news excuse.

 Think you're right a coiled or stretched spring is a good analogy, the pressure is there to move up or down, all thats needed is the spark to provoke it.

Love your username btw! hehe
legendary
Activity: 1036
Merit: 1000
March 29, 2013, 11:14:03 AM
#31
It's not a coincidence, really. Had Bitcoin been oversold when the Gox DDoS happened, it would have fallen way less. Conversely, when it breaks out above exponential, any minor issue becomes an excuse for a knife-down. If it weren't Gox it would've just been some other minor thing.

Basically riding high (on or above the channel) is cruising for a bruising, and riding low is coiling the spring to be set off by any old good-news excuse.
legendary
Activity: 2100
Merit: 1061
March 29, 2013, 08:17:10 AM
#30
Thanks for the nice call comments  Smiley
legendary
Activity: 2100
Merit: 1061
March 29, 2013, 08:16:08 AM
#29
Nice call, but it looks like the event was caused by an attempted "attack" selloff combined with a DDoS of the exchanges -- they may have timed it well as we were nearing the top of the "channel"... but ultimately it was not something that was or could have been predicted by charts.

Perhaps but its amazing how often these events fit within the larger trends though.
full member
Activity: 238
Merit: 100
RMBTB.com: The secure BTC:CNY exchange. 0% fee!
March 29, 2013, 02:39:46 AM
#28
Nice call, but it looks like the event was caused by an attempted "attack" selloff combined with a DDoS of the exchanges -- they may have timed it well as we were nearing the top of the "channel"... but ultimately it was not something that was or could have been predicted by charts.
full member
Activity: 129
Merit: 100
March 29, 2013, 02:34:29 AM
#27
nice call
member
Activity: 95
Merit: 10
March 28, 2013, 09:01:42 PM
#26
Credit where credit is due, you got this one.

+respect

LOL.. bubble burst.
newbie
Activity: 14
Merit: 0
March 28, 2013, 08:58:03 PM
#25
Credit where credit is due, you got this one.

+respect
legendary
Activity: 1036
Merit: 1000
March 28, 2013, 08:52:34 PM
#24
You know what the beauty of this analysis is? Even though MtGox arguably precipitated this selloff, which was unpredictable, it really doesn't matter what triggered it. All that matters is once it broke out of the channel it was "cruisin' for a bruisin'" and any old thing would have soon smacked it back into line, but plenty of bulls stood ready to buy,  and in greater and greater quantities as it fell into the heart of the channel again.

Now we're back to a plain old vanilla exponential meteoric rise. Oh drat, we may have to wait another two months to hit $200, and until July to hit $400. It's tough being a Bitcoin bull Grin
legendary
Activity: 1036
Merit: 1000
March 28, 2013, 08:47:10 PM
#23
You called this pretty well from the start. Just one thing: why aren't you using a log chart? Oh nevermind, you are.
legendary
Activity: 2100
Merit: 1061
March 28, 2013, 08:04:42 PM
#22


Bounce off the mid trendline. Which is one of the possibilities I described I might add.

 Cool
legendary
Activity: 1036
Merit: 1000
March 28, 2013, 06:12:28 PM
#21
It could touch down to 50, which is where the exponential support line is. Par for the course.

Actually, this.
legendary
Activity: 2100
Merit: 1061
March 28, 2013, 05:52:17 PM
#20
My best guess is that we'll slosh around near the top of the channel and perhaps break out, especially if there's good news. (However, if we do break out we may be in for a rapid reversion to inside the channel shortly after, barring a sustained stream of positive news.)

 Cool

This is the rapid reversion to the channel I reckon. Kind of kicking myself I didn't sell a few when I saw the resistance approaching on my chart. Overbought at the top of the channel = good time to sell a few.

Lets see if it gets as low as $60 ..
legendary
Activity: 1036
Merit: 1000
March 28, 2013, 05:32:52 PM
#19
My best guess is that we'll slosh around near the top of the channel and perhaps break out, especially if there's good news. (However, if we do break out we may be in for a rapid reversion to inside the channel shortly after, barring a sustained stream of positive news.)

 Cool
legendary
Activity: 2100
Merit: 1061
March 28, 2013, 06:45:15 AM
#18
I've heard rumour that the Laika bank failed to open due to 'technical difficulties'
sr. member
Activity: 374
Merit: 250
Tune in to Neocash Radio
March 28, 2013, 06:40:56 AM
#17
hurr durr resistance approaching

oh wait

We'll see it at $100.

You saw those lines on the chart.  THE LINES!!!!!

vip
Activity: 1302
Merit: 1042
👻
March 28, 2013, 06:38:21 AM
#16
hurr durr resistance approaching

oh wait

We'll see it at $100.
hero member
Activity: 763
Merit: 500
March 28, 2013, 06:03:01 AM
#15
my feeling is, that it breaks out a bit, and then it retraces a bit more than the breakout. then it'll get interesting.
hero member
Activity: 686
Merit: 500
Bitbuy
March 28, 2013, 05:04:19 AM
#14
Cyprus banks open in 1 hour

Getting money to the exchanges will take a while
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