Topic: [ROLLIN.IO] Rollin 2016 New Year // Contests & Giveaways!! / CLOSED. - page 27. (Read 24817 times)

The point is..., these contests are cool because they give +EV and funny, but that don't mean you going to profit... in my case i'm on -15mbtc atm, (counting with all contest prizes + chat games(no risk) etc)
other users are in negative profit too..., but let's say... in average the higher part will be on positive profit

also if you analyze it... we have ppl playing at this

Shadew-MCoins-somuchee-Loyce-LiQuid-madcoin-klutzbelgian-llllllll-IAmTriggerX-skierchewing-sweetswoebegone-fumblingperch-kshyzer-louise, 14 active players, and big part are playing with high wagerer... no one will kill himself... like spend alot of days to wager 1.6667mbtc to win 5mbtc (3,3 mbtc profit - best rate for 1mbtc play), and to have this profit, the only possible is if you use manual bet, if you use auto-roll your wager is diferent , profit can be smaller to negative status (i'm telling about math analyze... not include lucky and rare situations)

even if this 14 players play together, it'll take arround 10 days, playing 3hour per day (non-stop), without loosing one chance to bet on 1337, making manual bet/ need to check all time when the bet coming close... to profit in some cases... 3 mbtc lol, 4 mbtc... to 20 mbtc..

lol, the 120 bets are using much more than 1mbtc (i was playing and tested, on really tt depends on how many ppl are playing/maybe distance ping delay... but even if you can have a lower by the first option, the total roll per min will be lower than 4500 and you'll have to wait more to reach the next 100,000... it's all relative)

That situation i gave, is the best ever... the problem in using auto roll, is that if you bet for exemple 3 rolls for every try to hit it... you'll wager more then you going to profit with the contest... it'll become a negative EV... ex: random113251 random113371 random113491, your target is random113370... in this case you have more 2 trash bet random113251 and random113391

your wager will be 36mbtc for 120 bets (including the 2 trash) and you'll win 30mbtc = -6mbtc profit



Yes and no, you have 10 chance, but you'll need to choose only 1 bet, for 1 bet number per time... it's a 1-1, not 1-10... the rules say it... you need to hit right the bet wager with the bet id.


not cool to check it all the time and manual bet it... believe, it's boring... i tried for some hours, on really i already gave up from this.

As i said before, depends, number of people playing etc..., / maybe distance lag delay... but not because 1mbtc because i play autoroll more than this value

The problem isn't be harder, the problem it'll never be completed... believe me

I made up this contest, so I'd like to respond to this.
First: I like your analysis! But it's a bit off.... Higher bets are faster than 1 satoshi bets. But obviously this contest is not designed to win by bot. It's designed to manually click at exactly the right time. I think I can hit it within 50 clicks, I may give it a shot later.
You actually have 10 chances every 100,000 bets, it's just at varying wagered amounts, but they're so close together you can at best hit one of them.

This is indeed intentional.

My autorolls yesterday:

That is 83, 60 and 82 in between. 75 on average. A bit better chance than 1/120.

Some are easy, some are harder. This one is the latter

Hello ndnhc... hmm obvious thas decision is yours, but i would like to alert you about this contest R9... it's a little strange...

first point... - It'll take years

let's check one single person playing...
randomnumber1337x, so you have 1 chance every 100.000 bets...

we have two analysis...
1 - 4500 bets in 1 min...
2 - all bets from other users are less than 1 mbtc

so... for every 1 chance, you need to wait 100000/4500 = 22,22 min
using autoroll you get in average 1 bet each 120 total rolls... so you have 1/120 chance to get the number you want... so you need in average 22,22*120 = 2666,4 min/60 = 44,4h

it mean... if 1 guy playing alone trying to get it, he will take 2 days to hit ONE of this 10..., and the time needed to finish it (all 10) is 2*10 = 20days / 44,4*10 = 444h (1 people playing) if the guy play 24h without stop...

let's consider a guy only play 3 hour per day actively... so it take 44/3 = 15 days / 444/3 = 148 days lol...

if you intention is getting this event over in arround 4 days... you'll need 37 people trying it at least 3h per day

second point... - No worth the work..

1 - Need attention and time...
2 - let's check 10 mbtc wager to 30 mbtc win rate

Best possibility
as you playing in autoroll, basicaly you'll get 1/120 to hit it... so 120 bets with 1% house edge... so you lose 12 mbtc, your profit is 18 mbtc
the question is.. spend 15 days to earn 18 mbtc at best possibility... lol

Just a alert, hope you can understand!

so which means Rollin users
Level 6~8        user    get 2 predictions ?
Level 9~above  user    get 3 predictions ?

am i right ?

user: Wilhelm

code: R8 Predict the total number of rolls as at January 1, 2016, 00:00 UTC

My prediction 1.915.000.000

I predict the total number of bets to be 1,889,569,800. Sorry for the confusion earlier :p.

Also for the suggestion, I would like an option to toggle between the mBTC to BTC. People are more used to seeing BTC rather than mBTC and it might cause some confusion. Also, when you leave the bot at rollin.io running at the background, the tick sound slows down. It's not much of a big deal but I just wanted to point it out.

My prediction (educated guess): 1,854,250,908 rolls

Special thanks to TriggerX for doing an awesome giveaway on Rollin chat.

The spreadsheet has:
A Home page which shows the details of the winners of various competitions and the won amount.
A Contests page, which shows various Rolling contests (series R) and details.
A Lottery page, which shows all players who have been entered into the lottery draw, in order.



4th December 2015.
Closed contests.

R4   Roll it thrice contest.   Running   Roll any number thrice in a row OR roll 00 or 99 twice in a row.   1 mBTC each.   4 winners* x 50 mBTC = 200 mBTC

R5   Roll the numbers contest.   Closed   First 5 players to roll more than 10, 50 times consecutively.   1 mBTC   30 mBTC * 5 winners. 150 mBTC.


New contests.

R8   Predict the rolls contest.   Running   Predict the total number of rolls as at Jan 1, 2016, 00:00 UTC.
Minimum Rollin level 3 to enter. 2 - level 6+, 3 - level 9+. Prediction closes on 20th Dec 2015, 12:00 UTC      Prizes : 200 mBTC. #1 100 mBTC;  #2 60 mBTC;  #3 40 mBTC. And a 5 mBTC for the craziest prediction.
               
R9   Bet ID contest.   Running   Rrequirements:
1. Have ""1337"" in the last 2-5 places of the Bet ID
2. The last digit should match your bet amount (rounded down; 0 for >10 mBTC). There will be 1 winner for each digit, the prize is 3 times the wagered amount (rounded down, max. 30 mBTC).
10 prizes, being 3 times the wagered amount that hits the right bet number (max.30, rounded down).      Prizes: 3 to 30 mBTC * 10 winners = 165 to 183 mBTC


Tip : There may be more than that meets the eye.

Username : fumblingperch
Code : R5

Roll the numbers contest. Code : R5
Username: sweetswoebegone

Thanks, I also received my prize.

I shall be doing the trivia in the chat at 4am Forum time. There will be a total of 50mBTC Distributed among all players with questions ranging from 1-5mBTC. Good luck to all!

received my prizes on rollin account, thanks!

Username: Tryme4pkr
Code: XMAS

username: Shahista
lvl 7 : 5 tickets

LOTTEEEERY

ahhh man , sad haha, but it's the game ^^

That is not roll it thrice contest.




Oh! you lost the last spot for 3 minutes. 

R4 got claimed by somuchee, kshyzer, sweetswoebegone and Loyce

Roll it thrice contest. Code : R5
http://prntscr.com/99u19r
http://prntscr.com/99u1t6
username:  louise

Roll it thrice contest. Code : R4
Roll any number thrice in a row OR roll 00 or 99 twice in a row. Minimum bet : 1 mBTC each.
Prizes: 4 winners* x 50 mBTC each = 200 mBTC

username: skierchewing
99 twice in a row!

https://rollin.io/dice/history/1641215904
https://rollin.io/dice/history/1641215750