Author

Topic: SatoshiDICE.com - The World's Most Popular Bitcoin Game - page 240. (Read 495688 times)

legendary
Activity: 1414
Merit: 1000
HODL OR DIE
SatoshiDice hit 1,000,000 bets today.

Rock on, Bitcoin.

at what kind of volume?
sr. member
Activity: 462
Merit: 250
Free World
hi,

how do I send a bet to 50% odd multiple times?

i tried doing it but it says cannot send to a duplicate address

im doing it in my pc wallet not online
legendary
Activity: 1008
Merit: 1023
Democracy is the original 51% attack
me likey likey..

but is there an easier way to get the winnings from a new address?


It's being worked on...
sr. member
Activity: 462
Merit: 250
Free World
me likey likey..

but is there an easier way to get the winnings from a new address?
hero member
Activity: 1078
Merit: 502
Right on man,,, Pretty cool...
legendary
Activity: 1358
Merit: 1002
SatoshiDice hit 1,000,000 bets today.

Rock on, Bitcoin.

WOW, just WOW! Yes, with capitals!  Shocked

Congrats!
legendary
Activity: 1008
Merit: 1023
Democracy is the original 51% attack
SatoshiDice hit 1,000,000 bets today.

Rock on, Bitcoin.
hero member
Activity: 1078
Merit: 502
It seems like it gets stuck sometimes..... I had 3 or 4 confirmations on 5 bets before it returned anything.. But it will Smiley
hero member
Activity: 811
Merit: 1000
Web Developer
I've been gambling all morning but it seems it has frozen?  This transaction has yet to get a win/loss response:

https://blockchain.info/tx-index/15903774/018e2439cd61ea26264f0ea35f682b1a28074afb926e5b087840ab874f2aafd6
member
Activity: 98
Merit: 10
...
2 games
all wins : 0.732422 * 0.732422 = 53.64%
1 win 1 lose : 0.732422 * 0.267578 = 19.59%
all loses : 0.267578 * 0.267578 = 7.15%
...
Why the sum of all percentage in 2 games are not 100% ?
1 win 1 lose : 0.732422 * 0.267578 = 19.59% times 2
(1 win 1 loss = 1 loss 1 win)

Thanks, so this is the correct one :

1 game
win : 73%
lose : 27%

2 games = 2^2 = 4 combination
all wins :  0.732422 * 0.732422 = 53.64%
1 win 1 lose : 0.732422 * 0.267578 = 19.59%
1 lose 1 win : 0.732422 * 0.267578 = 19.59%
all loses : 0.267578 * 0.267578 = 7.15%

3 games = 2^3 = 8 combination
win win win
win win lose
win lose win
win lose lose
lose win lose
lose win win
lose lose win
lose lose lose

compacted to
1 [win win win] : 0.732422 * 0.732422 * 0.732422 = 39.29%
3 [win win lose] : 0.732422 * 0.732422 * 0.267578 = 14.35% * 3 = 43.05%
3 [lose lose win] : 0.267578 * 0.267578 * 0.732422 = 5.24% * 3 = 15.73%
1 [lose lose lose] : 0.267578 * 0.267578 * 0.267578 = 1.91

The winning chance streak get reduced after each game Sad
As long as I don't play more than one two three four games it should be okay right ?  Grin
legendary
Activity: 4592
Merit: 1851
Linux since 1997 RedHat 4
...
2 games
all wins : 0.732422 * 0.732422 = 53.64%
1 win 1 lose : 0.732422 * 0.267578 = 19.59%
all loses : 0.267578 * 0.267578 = 7.15%
...
Why the sum of all percentage in 2 games are not 100% ?
1 win 1 lose : 0.732422 * 0.267578 = 19.59% times 2
(1 win 1 loss = 1 loss 1 win)
member
Activity: 98
Merit: 10
For any three games in a row:

chance of win = p = 0.732422
chance of loss = 1 - p = 1 - 0.732422 = 0.267578

chance of 2 wins and one loss = p*p*(1-p) = 0.1435401



Following your math, is this correct ?

1 game
win : 73%
lose : 27%

2 games
all wins : 0.732422 * 0.732422 = 53.64%
1 win 1 lose : 0.732422 * 0.267578 = 19.59%
all loses : 0.267578 * 0.267578 = 7.15%

3 games
all wins : 0.732422 * 0.732422 * 0.732422 = 39.29%
2 wins 1 lose : 0.732422 * 0.732422 * 0.267578 = 14.35%
1 wins 2 loses : 0.732422 * 0.267578 * 0.267578 = 5.24%
all loses : 0.267578 * 0.267578 * 0.267578 = 1.91%

Why the sum of all percentage in 2 games are not 100% ?
donator
Activity: 2058
Merit: 1007
Poor impulse control.
For any three games in a row:

chance of win = p = 0.732422
chance of loss = 1 - p = 1 - 0.732422 = 0.267578

chance of 2 wins and one loss = p*p*(1-p) = 0.1435401

member
Activity: 98
Merit: 10
percent chance to lose once or to lose 3 times in a row

Percent chance to lose once. I want to know the formula so I can calculate when I'll approach my loss and stop gambling while I'm still winning.
Formula to calculate percent chance to lose 2-3 time in a row is fine too.
newbie
Activity: 59
Merit: 0
Still winning so far, thanks SatoshiDice !
One quick question, what's the % chance to lose if I do 73% roll three times ?

percent chance to lose once or to lose 3 times in a row
member
Activity: 98
Merit: 10
Still winning so far, thanks SatoshiDice !
One quick question, what's the % chance to lose if I do 73% roll three times ?
legendary
Activity: 1008
Merit: 1023
Democracy is the original 51% attack
hero member
Activity: 1078
Merit: 502
I have done 5 bets in a row without any returns....

TX ID's:

f50d27ad60f37cf87113b35fa4c694234c8fd21aa89b7f2d9938a53fd72bf08d

b83441d912f88c19c6165ad7c904a6f702b80023fdcf1d3c508d8d4c00c9c646

244986081d499e75e35210049182e8753e61b28352ddc5aff456695d301708fc

963f684757f7b409f977756add7518e3a324f8d1c8455217ed819a86aec1a91b

94b95dcf7cfbd4572a7396bce23d40e83f64e02884a734f097cab99fc81b92b4

None of these have returned anything and are on confirmation 2 of 6..



Came through.. Took a very long time...
full member
Activity: 173
Merit: 102
legendary
Activity: 1008
Merit: 1023
Democracy is the original 51% attack
Please take a look at the newbie section.  There is quite a few threads needing your attention. (directed to op)

Thanks for mentioning, I always forget to check there! Reviewing now.
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