Author

Topic: SatoshiDICE.com - The World's Most Popular Bitcoin Game - page 240. (Read 495957 times)

sr. member
Activity: 462
Merit: 250
Free World
hi,

how do I send a bet to 50% odd multiple times?

i tried doing it but it says cannot send to a duplicate address

im doing it in my pc wallet not online
legendary
Activity: 1008
Merit: 1023
Democracy is the original 51% attack
me likey likey..

but is there an easier way to get the winnings from a new address?


It's being worked on...
sr. member
Activity: 462
Merit: 250
Free World
me likey likey..

but is there an easier way to get the winnings from a new address?
hero member
Activity: 1078
Merit: 502
Right on man,,, Pretty cool...
legendary
Activity: 1386
Merit: 1002
SatoshiDice hit 1,000,000 bets today.

Rock on, Bitcoin.

WOW, just WOW! Yes, with capitals!  Shocked

Congrats!
legendary
Activity: 1008
Merit: 1023
Democracy is the original 51% attack
SatoshiDice hit 1,000,000 bets today.

Rock on, Bitcoin.
hero member
Activity: 1078
Merit: 502
It seems like it gets stuck sometimes..... I had 3 or 4 confirmations on 5 bets before it returned anything.. But it will Smiley
hero member
Activity: 811
Merit: 1000
Web Developer
I've been gambling all morning but it seems it has frozen?  This transaction has yet to get a win/loss response:

https://blockchain.info/tx-index/15903774/018e2439cd61ea26264f0ea35f682b1a28074afb926e5b087840ab874f2aafd6
member
Activity: 98
Merit: 10
...
2 games
all wins : 0.732422 * 0.732422 = 53.64%
1 win 1 lose : 0.732422 * 0.267578 = 19.59%
all loses : 0.267578 * 0.267578 = 7.15%
...
Why the sum of all percentage in 2 games are not 100% ?
1 win 1 lose : 0.732422 * 0.267578 = 19.59% times 2
(1 win 1 loss = 1 loss 1 win)

Thanks, so this is the correct one :

1 game
win : 73%
lose : 27%

2 games = 2^2 = 4 combination
all wins :  0.732422 * 0.732422 = 53.64%
1 win 1 lose : 0.732422 * 0.267578 = 19.59%
1 lose 1 win : 0.732422 * 0.267578 = 19.59%
all loses : 0.267578 * 0.267578 = 7.15%

3 games = 2^3 = 8 combination
win win win
win win lose
win lose win
win lose lose
lose win lose
lose win win
lose lose win
lose lose lose

compacted to
1 [win win win] : 0.732422 * 0.732422 * 0.732422 = 39.29%
3 [win win lose] : 0.732422 * 0.732422 * 0.267578 = 14.35% * 3 = 43.05%
3 [lose lose win] : 0.267578 * 0.267578 * 0.732422 = 5.24% * 3 = 15.73%
1 [lose lose lose] : 0.267578 * 0.267578 * 0.267578 = 1.91

The winning chance streak get reduced after each game Sad
As long as I don't play more than one two three four games it should be okay right ?  Grin
legendary
Activity: 4634
Merit: 1851
Linux since 1997 RedHat 4
...
2 games
all wins : 0.732422 * 0.732422 = 53.64%
1 win 1 lose : 0.732422 * 0.267578 = 19.59%
all loses : 0.267578 * 0.267578 = 7.15%
...
Why the sum of all percentage in 2 games are not 100% ?
1 win 1 lose : 0.732422 * 0.267578 = 19.59% times 2
(1 win 1 loss = 1 loss 1 win)
member
Activity: 98
Merit: 10
For any three games in a row:

chance of win = p = 0.732422
chance of loss = 1 - p = 1 - 0.732422 = 0.267578

chance of 2 wins and one loss = p*p*(1-p) = 0.1435401



Following your math, is this correct ?

1 game
win : 73%
lose : 27%

2 games
all wins : 0.732422 * 0.732422 = 53.64%
1 win 1 lose : 0.732422 * 0.267578 = 19.59%
all loses : 0.267578 * 0.267578 = 7.15%

3 games
all wins : 0.732422 * 0.732422 * 0.732422 = 39.29%
2 wins 1 lose : 0.732422 * 0.732422 * 0.267578 = 14.35%
1 wins 2 loses : 0.732422 * 0.267578 * 0.267578 = 5.24%
all loses : 0.267578 * 0.267578 * 0.267578 = 1.91%

Why the sum of all percentage in 2 games are not 100% ?
donator
Activity: 2058
Merit: 1007
Poor impulse control.
For any three games in a row:

chance of win = p = 0.732422
chance of loss = 1 - p = 1 - 0.732422 = 0.267578

chance of 2 wins and one loss = p*p*(1-p) = 0.1435401

member
Activity: 98
Merit: 10
percent chance to lose once or to lose 3 times in a row

Percent chance to lose once. I want to know the formula so I can calculate when I'll approach my loss and stop gambling while I'm still winning.
Formula to calculate percent chance to lose 2-3 time in a row is fine too.
newbie
Activity: 59
Merit: 0
Still winning so far, thanks SatoshiDice !
One quick question, what's the % chance to lose if I do 73% roll three times ?

percent chance to lose once or to lose 3 times in a row
member
Activity: 98
Merit: 10
Still winning so far, thanks SatoshiDice !
One quick question, what's the % chance to lose if I do 73% roll three times ?
legendary
Activity: 1008
Merit: 1023
Democracy is the original 51% attack
hero member
Activity: 1078
Merit: 502
I have done 5 bets in a row without any returns....

TX ID's:

f50d27ad60f37cf87113b35fa4c694234c8fd21aa89b7f2d9938a53fd72bf08d

b83441d912f88c19c6165ad7c904a6f702b80023fdcf1d3c508d8d4c00c9c646

244986081d499e75e35210049182e8753e61b28352ddc5aff456695d301708fc

963f684757f7b409f977756add7518e3a324f8d1c8455217ed819a86aec1a91b

94b95dcf7cfbd4572a7396bce23d40e83f64e02884a734f097cab99fc81b92b4

None of these have returned anything and are on confirmation 2 of 6..



Came through.. Took a very long time...
full member
Activity: 173
Merit: 102
legendary
Activity: 1008
Merit: 1023
Democracy is the original 51% attack
Please take a look at the newbie section.  There is quite a few threads needing your attention. (directed to op)

Thanks for mentioning, I always forget to check there! Reviewing now.
hero member
Activity: 504
Merit: 500
i consolidate it myself every now and then, but would prefer to not use them, those tx are made by a bot over rpc, no idea why when there are a lot of better fitting inputs, and it causes problems up the wazoo, but none of that matters when the dice aren't replying

If you don't want the satoshi coins to be spent, you can change the source code quite easily and rebuild.  There's a single place you can change:

In src/wallet.cpp:

Code:
                if (!(pcoin->IsSpent(i)) && IsMine(pcoin->vout[i]) && pcoin->vout[i].nValue > 0)

Change the 0 to any number N and it will only spend outputs worth more than N satoshis.

You'll have to change it back (or keep multiple copies of the program around) to consolidate the dust manually.

Just built this (on top of the noprivacy branch) downloading the blockchain now, i hope this works... after spending hours making bitcoin compile in windows i hope i get something (well, at least i can build bitcoin from source now)

This works wonderfully, the wallet still gets a bit bogged down after 24 hours (just shy of 7000 transactions), but i was using noprivacy wrong so maybe this next wallet will do better, also no stupid fee's and no almost 100kb transactions... (noticed it wasn't working and noticed they changed it in the source to -privacy instead of -noprivacy, also the source says -privacy=0 but it has to be just -privacy)

So Dooglus gets the bitcoin i posted as a reward for getting it working  https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/solvedpaid1btc-reward-php-rpc-commands-freezing-bitcoin-95252 ... PM me an address or post it on that thread and i will get that to you
Jump to: