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Topic: Scaling bitcoin to world economy is unrealistic. - page 4. (Read 10147 times)

hero member
Activity: 798
Merit: 1000
There is no monetary deflation in Bitcoin - except of course if you lose your coins. But how can losing bitcoins be theft?

You got me. I award you one internet point.

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Most of the "new value" you mention is actually "old value" to a "new currency". And you are right, no one can be robbed through monetary inflation--they will be robbed via monetary deflation.

Now respond to that post or I will remove your internet point. Smiley
sr. member
Activity: 476
Merit: 250
Yes, and with current progress of technology, how long do you think that will last?

By that reasoning, buggy-whip factories should have gone out of business as soon as word of the internal combustion engine got out.

Business is conducted on what is, not what might be.
hero member
Activity: 840
Merit: 1000
Owning bitcoin still requires something physical and that can be taken from you and you lose control over your coins.

Say WHAT?! The Feds still can't read minds. Two people that trust each other can still trade bitcoins by word of mouth.
Yes, and with current progress of technology, how long do you think that will last?
One of the new cool things being done lately is taking high resolution real-time cat scans where you can see every neuron in your brain as it processes information.
There are also big steps being taken towards our complete uderstanding of how information is transfered  processed in the brain (which, for instance, alows for eye protheses and such) so if i'm honest it's just a matter of time before we have tools to read peoples minds.

edit: Two people can trade bitcoin all they want, but if no bitcoin is transfered through the chain (which requires lots of physical stuff) then the are effectively trading IOU's, not bitcoin.
sr. member
Activity: 476
Merit: 250
I think Bitcoin is intended to replace currency online, but not offline currency.

I'm sorry, but reason and a calm answer are out of place on this thread.
legendary
Activity: 1078
Merit: 1003
At first yes you are right, those of us right now holding a good chunk of coins would become quite a bit wealthier as new value is transferred into bitcoins but in the long run it would lessen this imbalance because there is no vehicle by which we can maintain this wealth other than saving or producing something of value. When we start spending and buying goods and services which are our real ends and not money.. Then our wallets will slowly start to shrink while other people, mainly those who produce something of value, will add to their wallets and since no one can be robbed through monetary inflation everyone would benefit.

It's a paradigm shift. There's going to be a huge transfer of value from those who hold a bad money to those who hold a good but that's a good thing because a good money encourages the best behaviors one can hope if ones goal is to live in a prosperous and free society.

Most of the "new value" you mention is actually "old value" to a "new currency". And you are right, no one can be robbed through monetary inflation (then again, this is totally untrue, $30 to $2 anyone???)--they will be robbed via monetary deflation.

There is no monetary deflation in Bitcoin - except of course if you lose your coins. But how can losing bitcoins be theft?
hero member
Activity: 840
Merit: 1000

I'm sorry, but this only discusses the scalability of the technical process that makes up bitcoin.
It does not, however, discuss the scalability of bitcoin as a currency used in a social system like i set out to discuss in this thread.
It is completely off-topic.
legendary
Activity: 1357
Merit: 1004
I think Bitcoin is intended to replace currency online, but not offline currency.
legendary
Activity: 1372
Merit: 1003
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So bitcoin will not solve our global social problem of skewed economic relations, it will accumulate even more wealth in an even smaller number of pockets.
Isn't that they way it's always been ever since the first caveman used a weapon to bring down dinner or picked all the berries in an area, but only shared them in exchange for services.  Technology is not going to supercede our nature.

No it's from when mankind first started farming and ownership of land became important.  Before that as hunter-gathers your only possessions were what you could carry. Mankind lived under a form of anarco-socialism for most of its history. Mankind has only lived under capitalism for a blink of an eye and with the current credit-crunch and banking crises things may be changing again?
Bullshit.
Mankind stems from monkeys and all monkeys (including humans) have a strong social hierarchy.
Strongest monkey gets the best food and fucks the most females.
There is nothing 'anarco' or 'socialistic' about the human situation.

If you want anarchy then look at how lions survive as family groups.
Humans don't work that way.


Deny over 200,000 years of mankind living as hunter gathers then.  Anyway I don't think you really know what anarcho-socialism really means  Roll Eyes  http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Social_anarchism

I'm not denying it, i'm just saying that people were always in a social hierarchy and especially in the hunter-gatherer situation that hierarchy of power dictated anything of value.
There was no anarchy and struggles for power were common.
There is no freedom if you're the bitch of the group.
You see the past as way to rosy. Reality in that time was harsh and lawless.
It was completely driven by physical dominance.
Humans dominating nature.
Stronger humans dominating weaker ones.
No fucking socialism.
Social anarchism is an artefact of modern society. No part of it goes further than a few hundred years.
Hunter gatherers lived hundreds of thousands of year ago.
They had no concept of socio-economics.
Strongest takes all and a group is stronger than an individual.
That was the system.

You are right insofar that humans only became aware of this situation when they settled and started to accumulate possesion.



Humans lived as hunter-gathers until less than 5,000 years ago.  There was no wars or power struggles other than those that exist in extended family life.  Just because you don't like the word "socialism" and you don't know what Anarcho-Socialism really means you can't argue with the basic human condition for most of its existence.

Edit:  Anyway this is off-topic and I did say "a form of Anarcho-Socialism".
hero member
Activity: 840
Merit: 1000
If value rises, then it would be idiotic to spend it beyond nessesity.
Risky investments will be a lot less interesting and that is how money flows out of pockets.
Much much less coin will flow out of the pockets of the few into the pockets of the many than is currently happening.
The fact that value is a multiplication on the number of coins means that if value rises by one unit then someone with 10 BTC will get 10 times as much value as someone with 1 BTC.

The process of value growth of bitcoin intrinsically magnifies the difference of value per coin in an exponential way.
If you show this to be false then you may have a point.
Otherwise you're just having a fantasy.

There is no point in arguing bitcoin economics with people like DeathAndTaxes, Realpra, or evoorhees. They are heavily invested in this system and it is in their best interests to make sure that the wool stays pulled down.

Aah, ok, thanks for the heads-up.
 Undecided
hero member
Activity: 798
Merit: 1000
At first yes you are right, those of us right now holding a good chunk of coins would become quite a bit wealthier as new value is transferred into bitcoins but in the long run it would lessen this imbalance because there is no vehicle by which we can maintain this wealth other than saving or producing something of value. When we start spending and buying goods and services which are our real ends and not money.. Then our wallets will slowly start to shrink while other people, mainly those who produce something of value, will add to their wallets and since no one can be robbed through monetary inflation everyone would benefit.

It's a paradigm shift. There's going to be a huge transfer of value from those who hold a bad money to those who hold a good but that's a good thing because a good money encourages the best behaviors one can hope if ones goal is to live in a prosperous and free society.

Most of the "new value" you mention is actually "old value" to a "new currency". And you are right, no one can be robbed through monetary inflation (then again, this is totally untrue, $30 to $2 anyone???)--they will be robbed via monetary deflation.
hero member
Activity: 840
Merit: 1000
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I consider information to be a physical quantity.
I guess that's why you should be careful with your passwords around pickpockets right? /sarcasm (dripping)
If you mean that it's hard to pick someones brain i agree.
It is just hard.
But a memorized password it is still a physical expression of some information and can theoretically be picked.
Scientists can already, for instance, see the actual processed output of the visual cortex (http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FLb9EIiSyG8).
Why do you think the information in a password cannot be extracted from your brain in the future?
As far as i understand it it won't be long before we can do such things.
legendary
Activity: 1078
Merit: 1003
So we will never see an equal distribution of bitcoin.

Why on Earth would we want that?
hero member
Activity: 840
Merit: 1000
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So bitcoin will not solve our global social problem of skewed economic relations, it will accumulate even more wealth in an even smaller number of pockets.
Isn't that they way it's always been ever since the first caveman used a weapon to bring down dinner or picked all the berries in an area, but only shared them in exchange for services.  Technology is not going to supercede our nature.

No it's from when mankind first started farming and ownership of land became important.  Before that as hunter-gathers your only possessions were what you could carry.  Mankind lived under a form of anarco-socialism for most of its history.  Mankind has only lived under capitalism for a blink of an eye and with the current credit-crunch and banking crises things may be changing again?
Bullshit.
Mankind stems from monkeys and all monkeys (including humans) have a strong social hierarchy.
Strongest monkey gets the best food and fucks the most females.
There is nothing 'anarco' or 'socialistic' about the human situation.

If you want anarchy then look at how lions survive as family groups.
Humans don't work that way.


Deny over 200,000 years of mankind living as hunter gathers then.  Anyway I don't think you really know what anarcho-socialism really means  Roll Eyes  http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Social_anarchism

I'm not denying it, i'm just saying that people were always in a social hierarchy and especially in the hunter-gatherer situation that hierarchy of power dictated anything of value.
There was no anarchy and struggles for power were common.
There is no freedom if you're the bitch of the group.
You see the past as way to rosy. Reality in that time was harsh and lawless.
It was completely driven by physical dominance.
Humans dominating nature.
Stronger humans dominating weaker ones.
No fucking socialism.
Social anarchism is an artefact of modern society. No part of it goes further than a few hundred years.
Hunter gatherers lived hundreds of thousands of year ago.
They had no concept of socio-economics.
Strongest takes all and a group is stronger than an individual.
That was the system.

You are right insofar that humans only became aware of this situation when they settled and started to accumulate possesion.

legendary
Activity: 1078
Merit: 1003
The world financial economy and the world tangible economy are 2 real different things. There is a reason if the USD economy is orders of magnitude bigger than the others. Just saying.

Anyway, I don't see why it couldn't happen in 100 years.

Apple shares grow 1000 times in 10 years.

Yeah, they were early adopters...
And that's why i'm critical of bitcoin when it comes to this.
This small community already owns almost half of the possible bitcoins.
And due to deflation everyone is much more greedy than normally.
How the hell will 99.99999% of the world (almost everyone) agree on using what's left (about half) of the total amount of bitcoin.
Wouldn't that create a much much worse imbalance then is already there in the world?


At first yes you are right, those of us right now holding a good chunk of coins would become quite a bit wealthier as new value is transferred into bitcoins but in the long run it would lessen this imbalance because there is no vehicle by which we can maintain this wealth other than saving or producing something of value. When we start spending and buying goods and services which are our real ends and not money.. Then our wallets will slowly start to shrink while other people, mainly those who produce something of value, will add to their wallets and since no one can be robbed through monetary inflation everyone would benefit.

It's a paradigm shift. There's going to be a huge transfer of value from those who hold a bad money to those who hold a good but that's a good thing because a good money encourages the best behaviors one can hope if ones goal is to live in a prosperous and free society.
hero member
Activity: 840
Merit: 1000
Yeah, but in the same 'technical' way fiat can also be kept alive...
Bitcoin also could be very strong in the hands of a trustworthy government.
But:
1) show me a completely trustworthy government
Okay gahd; you JUST said that fiat and Bitcoin are equal on the technical side, I am trying to argue that in fact fiat is flawed relying on perfect government and then you attack me for believing in perfect government....... DUDE YOUR ARGUMENT WAS THAT FIAT IS SOUND TECHNICALLY, it's NOT MY argument.
No, i said that technically fiat also has technical stuff that make it function as currency.
So if current government screws fiat up i see no reason they could not screw up bitcoin. Just requies a different technique.
You spoke primarily about the (computer)technical qualities of bitcoin.
What i'm trying to say is that fiat does not suck because of its own technical flaws, it suck because some people have ammassed enourmous power within that system.
Nothing (technical or otherwise) about bitcoin will prevent people with masses of it from controling your world.
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Poor people can save all they want but they will be left behind by rich people that have the ability to save at a much faster (absolute) pace. So when (and this is just for illustration) a poor person saves 2 bitcoins a rich person can save 2000 bitcoins.
There is no such thing as "saving at a faster pace". You can EARN at a faster pace, but this requires creating wealth (or printing money).

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2. The elite cannot print bitcoin and so hoard less.
Whaa..?
If they cannot print and lend then the only way left for them to get more is by hoarding.
Again you cannot make money by looking at the money you already have... I honestly don't what you are thinking here.
With bitcoin you can.
Last year my bitcoin was worth $2, now it is worth almost 12.
The value of my stored bitcoin increased 6-fold within one year.
It's almost as good as a ponzi...
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This point of yours makes no sense whatsoever.
Makes perfect sense; today crony politicians print money and give to their donor companies. These companies are run by the crony elite and as such they get to own a greater percentage of the money supply while the poor just had their pensions inflated to oblivion.

Without the elite having the ability to print, the poor have a chance at saving and the elites can't get free money which makes them much less "elite" in the free market.

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Those are hardly facts and so your conclusion is shaky at best and a complete fantasy at worst.
1. Was inflation eats pensions and 2. was that bitcoins cannot be printed.... which one is NOT a fact?
If pensions are not inflation corrected then that means a stupid government, not stupid fiat.
You should primarily think about replacing the government instead of the currency system.
Look at me pointing to stupid governments and saying: "Well, thurs yer problem."
And your point 2 was, and i quote: "2. The elite cannot print bitcoin and so hoard less."
So you're right on the "The elite cannot print bitcoin" part but what makes this point having no sense is that you imply that it will lead to less hoarding.
And i still think that my point about that is still valid.
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If BTC was at 0% inflation/deflation then a poor dad saving up a steady amount for 10 years for his kids' college would be able to afford an exactly 11.7% more expensive education compared to same scenario with just 2% inflation.
But when the incentive is to not spend too much, who is going to take the risk of creating work for poor old father to build up his pension?
Who will be willing to spend their coins to loan coins so that he can start his risky wood-cutting imperium when all they have to do is sit there and see their value grow?

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Maybe you just don't understand how (any school of) economics works. "Hoarding at a faster pace", LOL.

Bitcoin is for the PEOPLE. Go away with your crazy theories about the early adopters - its nothing compared to Ben Bernankes 20% stake in the entire world economy.
Bitcoin is already not for 'the people' as there difference between many and few bitcoins will expand exponentially as value increases and coins will mostly move toward 'the strongest hands' (also known as 'not the people')
sr. member
Activity: 476
Merit: 250
There is no point in arguing bitcoin economics with people like DeathAndTaxes, Realpra, or evoorhees.

Add me to your list. That's good company.

The fact is, bitconomics makes far more sense than whatever is being peddled by Krugman and his ilk.
hero member
Activity: 798
Merit: 1000
You are lying about the heaviness of my investment. Further it would be in my self-interest to talk Bitcoin DOWN so that I could buy more cheaply.

I am only going by what you said:

All of this will be given to us by Bitcoin and Satoshi in time.

Since I realized the potential of Bitcoin I have been blessing my stars, not because I got to get in early and maybe will become wealthy, but because of what it will do to the world.

Just because you rationalize it doesn't mean you didn't say it.

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Even if I stood to gain massively the facts and numbers don't lie; even the last adopter stands to gain here.

Right, "facts" being "what I and people who agree with me post on a message board backed by nothing but our own opinions".
donator
Activity: 1736
Merit: 1010
Let's talk governance, lipstick, and pigs.
For the next several hundred years, the new generations will complain about how cheaply their parents got *their* bitcoins.
hero member
Activity: 815
Merit: 1000
There is no point in arguing bitcoin economics with people like DeathAndTaxes, Realpra, or evoorhees. They are heavily invested in this system and it is in their best interests to make sure that the wool stays pulled down.
I have about 6.5K DKK in BTC (became worth 12K DKK), 14K DKK in a wind turbine and 5K DKK in a Singaporean fish farm.

You are lying about the heaviness of my investment. Further it would be in my self-interest to talk Bitcoin DOWN so that I could buy more cheaply.

Even if I stood to gain massively the facts and numbers don't lie; even the last adopter stands to gain here.
sr. member
Activity: 476
Merit: 250
Owning bitcoin still requires something physical and that can be taken from you and you lose control over your coins.

Say WHAT?! The Feds still can't read minds. Two people that trust each other can still trade bitcoins by word of mouth.
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