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Topic: Secrets of sports betting - page 3. (Read 2580 times)

legendary
Activity: 1092
Merit: 1000
May 29, 2017, 08:11:50 AM
#61
The only secret is "pure luck"! From my personal experience, always look for edge which brings good ROI over the long term. Check odds before confirming your bet and look for low risk in high odds. You will be always winner, if you know what you are doing Wink
I don't think it's called pure luck the odds are sometimes skewed that's all. This always happens to esports lines where both teams are on a winning streak but the lines are still far apart for example Team 1 has an odds of 1.5 and Team 2 has an odds of 2 take note Team 2 just beat Team 1 on their previous meeting but still favored.
The sports betting will never just depend on luck. It need a lot of skills about sports then only we can make good bets. You just bet based on odds then yes it is called luck game. But usually, people will not play blindly in sports betting. According to your example, we can not guess this bets who will play in this game. Just based on the previous game result, the odds are varied, but both teams are equal strong means it is hard to predict that game. If the odds is less than 1.2, then we can choose that bet, but still, i am not sure we will win this game or not.
hero member
Activity: 1148
Merit: 504
May 29, 2017, 02:54:26 AM
#60
I either wait for the last minute or I bet while the game is playing. Sometimes, if you bet too early, there are last minute changes to the lineup that will greatly affect the outcome of the game. It is better to watch out for that changes.
legendary
Activity: 3374
Merit: 1922
Shuffle.com
May 29, 2017, 02:39:36 AM
#59
The only secret is "pure luck"! From my personal experience, always look for edge which brings good ROI over the long term. Check odds before confirming your bet and look for low risk in high odds. You will be always winner, if you know what you are doing Wink
I don't think it's called pure luck the odds are sometimes skewed that's all. This always happens to esports lines where both teams are on a winning streak but the lines are still far apart for example Team 1 has an odds of 1.5 and Team 2 has an odds of 2 take note Team 2 just beat Team 1 on their previous meeting but still favored.
sr. member
Activity: 532
Merit: 250
May 29, 2017, 02:30:33 AM
#58
I agree with following a tipster and a tight schedule of your funds because the thing that kills bankrolls is irresponsible and impulse gambling. Following a tipster, not ever betting live, and make sure that you only bet a maximum of 5%-10% of your bankroll every time is absolutely crucial in my opinion. Otherwise you will bust very quickly. Also make sure that your tipster is legit and not a scammer just scamming subscription money.
hero member
Activity: 588
Merit: 500
May 29, 2017, 02:06:39 AM
#57
Yeah, i accept we should do analysis and knowledge about the team of selection, than we could win in betting. But i read follow the journey of the tournament and the conditions of the teams that will compete, it is helpful. Also i am Checking previous games of the chosen teams, but instead of it luck wise we win in betting.   
legendary
Activity: 882
Merit: 1000
May 29, 2017, 01:52:05 AM
#56
One big disadvantage that I am finding with your idea might be, when you will be following what most of the people do, then you will get very lower odds. But I agree, instead of facing losses making some little profit will be intelligent move.
Yes, that must be a very big disadvantage of sports betting. The easily predictable matches are not highly profitable for gamblers. At the same time like you have mentioned, when results swing from one team to another and if we are not with the side of crowd, we might find yourself richer at the end of the game.

I have faced this kind of incident in T20 cricket matches. In IPL recent matches, when Punjab faced Mumbai, I bet on Punjab but I believed many people were betting for Mumbai, but Punjab own and I made big profits.
sr. member
Activity: 750
Merit: 252
May 28, 2017, 03:25:22 PM
#55
these are my 10 rules  Grin

1° You Can't become rich with betting! You can make a big win, but in a long period (what we are talking here) you CAN'T become rich! A good percentage of winning is only the "sure win" and no it can help to become rich Smiley .

2° Play only an amount of money that you are ready to trash in the rubbish (litterally), because, if you play to win (like an all in) it's really hard to win in a long period of betting, also the skills of a better are every time stressed due the high risk.
 (The money management it's the best approach to a long period winning streak).

3° Bet only in a site/bookmaker that you know! Don't trust in a site with HIGH quotes and strange way to withdraw money. Don't trust in a competition made by unknown sites, If you are betting with crypto I can suggest DirectBet.eu .
Try to follow forum / user / group, where you can read analysis of a bet, impression about a match , so on....

4° Take a pause between the bet session. Depends in your quality, but every 1-2 hours make a pause where you "breath again", take a look of the previously betting session, drink water Smiley etc....

5° Never (so far) trust "tipster" that claim high winnings, because, it's not a statistic success, but only fortune Smiley (I have a good basic of statistics and only a tipster for a specific league/sport is plausible, other try to create a good crew, to spam sites, clickbaiting, sell "bet" etc etc....

6° NEVER play (to win) if you are: Tired, stressed, bored, angry etc etc..... There is a strong effect come from the morale of better....

7° Even if you can, try to bet LIVE (and see a streaming of the match): for at least the 70 - 75 % of betting.
You have to place At least 90 % of betting in a competition/team that you KNOW WELL!
Never play "easy" results with big amounts, like "A vs B 3:0" because if you don't know the team names, other info at so on....

8° Try to apply a rule in a betting (an elastic rule sound better Cheesy ) ....
Like... in the horse racing with more of 3 miles with hurdles some one as correlated (with a good R and good causation), when there is no an horse "strong favourite @ < 2" .... the horse quoted from 7 to 10 are really favourite, also when a 3 -6.99 horse run. Yes I know it's sound strange, but It can really work in a long period....
Another 2 easy example, in a dog greyhound, very often the position 3-6 are (no handicap) are unlike by the runners, due the high number of collisions during the run...
In wta tennis, the top ten after winning a set are really favored to take a final win....

9° Play ONLY when you are sure to win! But REMEMBER: there is not an easy betting [RULE 7] (at least for the 99.99% of the case), because, everything it's possible Cheesy , and when a bet it's really to simple to win... is not quoted!!!!
Don't trust (again) tipster, likewise some one on facebook that sell H/F time bet of rigged match... ( I don't believe in this user, because if you play by yourself you can become rich with only one bet!)

10° Last but don't least.... Don't play too much events in one toto bet!
Yes! don't make "a long long list" in only one bet to pump up the prize.
@100 x 2 btc = 200 btc... with 1000 bet 0f 1.10......
The @100 is not only a Cheesy happy number, "i can become rich" but it's a probability number, that your events will be set winning!

Trust me Cheesy bookmaker want that you try to catch this high prize, because more match together implies more difficult (and I think with some numbers it's really impossible win).
A good friend (in the real life) use to bet from 6-10 bet every time like handicap, over 2,5 etc etc....

Him can get really the 90% of single match, but for only 1 every time him loose!
Why?!? Because if you play 6-10 single with strong quotes more @1.70 so far, you can protect your self for the "lucky bad of the last bet". There is also a psychological correlation, to see the prize get up, the vast majority of better, try to place the "surprise" or decide deliberately to point to more bet.

You can find other info/tips here: https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/bitbollo-betting-advice-45-267-13-1-place-tipster-competition-1234109

Great post man. I don`t know if there is much more to say after this pattern that you present here. I will have to add something...

Everybody that placing bet on sport matches NEED to know teams or players, to keep up with their performance, form, to always stay tuned. You already say that in your post but that can increase your winning  percentage a lot. If you don`t know players or teama and their form you can mistake a lot.
Second thing is a bit tactical. Like some kind of progressive betting, especially when playing singles or multiple tickets with small odds.
For example- play single or multiple ticket on 1,3 odd for 1 btc. Another one with base and profit. After third one you cut and start with 1 btc again where you take profit on side. It is something that can be efficient on long time terms.
Third thing- never bet just because you have to place a bet. Wait for right match even if that means that you will bet only 10 matches in a year time. There are situations where teams/players will obviously win certain Match, after a bed sting etc.
full member
Activity: 476
Merit: 100
May 28, 2017, 02:59:39 PM
#54
The only secret is "pure luck"! From my personal experience, always look for edge which brings good ROI over the long term. Check odds before confirming your bet and look for low risk in high odds. You will be always winner, if you know what you are doing Wink
There are different cases and when luck leaves for good and at a certain moment we simply approach the player. Of course you need to be much more confident in yourself to play a game of chance and therefore to get a good result and this is primarily not only self-hypnosis but also mentally materialized in a good game result.
hero member
Activity: 924
Merit: 1001
May 28, 2017, 02:46:24 PM
#53
The only secret is "pure luck"! From my personal experience, always look for edge which brings good ROI over the long term. Check odds before confirming your bet and look for low risk in high odds. You will be always winner, if you know what you are doing Wink
full member
Activity: 406
Merit: 101
May 28, 2017, 01:12:21 PM
#52

Following the sport as a fan with passion rather than chosen teams and some individual players is the best advantage a bettor can have.
What kind of secrets can there be and how does one cope with gambling And in general with the way the financial component itself cares. I generally thought that I do not play gambling Only the elected people who are yes But they wanted somewhere and went to play.
legendary
Activity: 2576
Merit: 1860
May 28, 2017, 11:59:03 AM
#51

Following the sport as a fan with passion rather than chosen teams and some individual players is the best advantage a bettor can have.
legendary
Activity: 3542
Merit: 1352
May 28, 2017, 11:47:57 AM
#50
H2h matchups greatly help because from there you can have an insight on how well does one team perform over the other in their past games. Also, comparing the individual stats of the key players of the teams sometimes help in judging (their condition, how well they play against x in their roles etc). Lastly, compare predictions and try to base some of your judgment with gathered data and place bet.
hero member
Activity: 2884
Merit: 794
I am terrible at Fantasy Football!!!
May 28, 2017, 11:44:20 AM
#49
Choose always the best teams or players out there but you should still put some attention on underdogs since there are really instances which they can win against on a stronger team which we can least expected.Sportsbetting might be easy to hear but its really hard to make such decision when you are already between on choosing which team or player you would pick up.

I think it becomes more complicated for some specially in they always looking for underdogs to win. Of course betting on a underdog will give you good dividends. But base of my experience betting, sometimes it really hard to bet against a winning record against the underdogs. So to be safe, I just bet who I think will win and not look at the underdogs unless I have a hutch they can upset the favorites.
It depends on what you mean by underdogs if you mean long shot bets that have very low probabilities of happening that does not seem like a good plan because while you could win big with them, the chances are very low and you may get desperate and begin to apply systems like martingale that are only going to make you lose even more money.
legendary
Activity: 3346
Merit: 1128
May 28, 2017, 11:25:35 AM
#48
I don't have much idea how to do analyze in sports betting when picking the best team but i am always checking their previous games if what are the best to pick.. since we can see them live we can choose what is the best to pick in sports betting.. and also checking if more people are betting..
This is just my own opinion..
You cannot go for analysing some sport team when you are not basically interested with that particular sport. I believe sports betting will suit anyone who are loving that sport.

Because only for them it will be easier to follow and to analyse what would be the outcome against another team. This is the reason people are not able to bet on each and every sport which are available for betting or at least they could not make big profits with every sport.

It is highly recommended to stick with your own interesting games so that you can bet accurately to make good profit consistently.
legendary
Activity: 1148
Merit: 1000
May 28, 2017, 10:38:38 AM
#47
Wow just came from work and seen all your posts.
I will sit on that later and update the main post.
sr. member
Activity: 756
Merit: 253
May 28, 2017, 10:11:20 AM
#46
don't lured by the low odds and think automatically it could have high chance.

it is a wrong thought , go for 2 bet option like odd or even , under/over and compare it to a lot of sportsbetting sites. you might could see there is a gap and your feeling found it as a winning choice, not only a feeling if you do some statistics analysis you might see it as an almost sure winning bet.

That's very true, Two bet options are the best especially if you're considering placing arbitrage bets which can sure win you dividends for whichever outcome. So I agree with you on the two bet options and then looking out for gaps in the other sports books for a possible arbitrage betting.
hero member
Activity: 644
Merit: 500
May 28, 2017, 09:54:30 AM
#45
don't lured by the low odds and think automatically it could have high chance.

it is a wrong thought , go for 2 bet option like odd or even , under/over and compare it to a lot of sportsbetting sites. you might could see there is a gap and your feeling found it as a winning choice, not only a feeling if you do some statistics analysis you might see it as an almost sure winning bet.
Most of the time gamblers select the low odds based on the strategy developed by the gambling​ website itself without making any analysis regarding the event. Some feels lucky and gets a winning while the others just feel worse of winning big if they have selected the higher odds.
but if lucks or manipulation came across high odds wins and its happen with several sports event especially inside NBA play offs
who think about game 4 loss of cavs and how lebron choked and how about the big gap after game 5 that's really an annoying handicap
after boston wins inside cavs court they been slaughtered again inside their court.
legendary
Activity: 2030
Merit: 1028
May 28, 2017, 09:51:08 AM
#44
I'm usually read article about prediction for both team and ask my dad since he's expert on soccer world
Than I manage to adjust my bet for better odds that fit with my bet for the match, Overall I got 70% winnings chance from them !
legendary
Activity: 3234
Merit: 1214
DGbet.fun - Crypto Sportsbook
May 28, 2017, 09:47:27 AM
#43
don't lured by the low odds and think automatically it could have high chance.

it is a wrong thought , go for 2 bet option like odd or even , under/over and compare it to a lot of sportsbetting sites. you might could see there is a gap and your feeling found it as a winning choice, not only a feeling if you do some statistics analysis you might see it as an almost sure winning bet.
Most of the time gamblers select the low odds based on the strategy developed by the gambling​ website itself without making any analysis regarding the event. Some feels lucky and gets a winning while the others just feel worse of winning big if they have selected the higher odds.
legendary
Activity: 2674
Merit: 1048
May 28, 2017, 07:04:21 AM
#42
don't lured by the low odds and think automatically it could have high chance.

it is a wrong thought , go for 2 bet option like odd or even , under/over and compare it to a lot of sportsbetting sites. you might could see there is a gap and your feeling found it as a winning choice, not only a feeling if you do some statistics analysis you might see it as an almost sure winning bet.
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