Topic: Seeking advice for best BTC strategy (Read 875 times)

That strategy would be a victim of times when you can't be sure of the price movement.
And if a person holds for long enough - it wouldn't matter that much, but that wouldn't be the optimal choice.
That would be responsible DCAing and doing it with clear goals and times of creating new positions on any price Bitcoin has.

DCA is one strategy that might be considered so that he can take long-term investment steps as an effort to get maximum profit, while waiting for a decline as a step to buy in large quantities can be considered using other capital.
Buying in a big increase is not really a problem as long as he can store bitcoin in the long term, but it will affect the condition of people who do not have stable finances so that when they need money and sell in a decline will make them suffer losses.

Every strategy must be seen based on a person's ability to on the travel, but doing DCA is a much more appropriate choice for someone to apply because in this way people can slowly increase the amount of bitcoin ownership.

Targets are very helpful, as is having a wide window of time.

You plan to buy bitcoins in bear markets and sell bitcoins in bull markets, but you may not always benefit from such plans. Maybe when you buy bitcoins, the price may drop further than that. When you sell Bitcoin, the price may go up even more after you sell. Then you will regret it. So I think the best strategy to invest in Bitcoin is to invest in the DCA method and hold for a long time. If you invest in DCA method you can buy bitcoins at average price.

Great advice and one that must be followed regardless if you are a beginner or not.

Some investors would be greedy and would want to sell until the very last minute before the price goes down which is of course ideal but totally impossible since no one knows exactly when the price will drop. So the best you can do is sell at the closest to the maximum. Like you said, if the price you are selling at is already higher than the price you bought it in then that is the ideal situation already. If you keep putting it out in hopes of the price getting higher, you might end up losing more so sometimes knowing when to control greed would be helpful.

It is obviously impossible to know in advance when it will rise or fall. The market is perfect balanced now and very balanced so four years time would be too late ⏰

Yes, that's right. That's why for the long term 5-10 years, the most guaranteed profitable coin is Bitcoin, other than that there is no guarantee. In the market, uncertainty is certain. We can only guess. If there is a profit, there must be a loss, it is impossible for everyone to profit and that is the risk of trading.

So the best strategy to invest in bitcoin is for the long term, it is true that selling when it goes up and buying when it goes down is also a good strategy but with a volatile market that will disturb your emotions, it is better to invest for the long term. Because the bitcoin cycle will definitely still happen because as you said all investors can guess the price of bitcoin basically refers to the cycle.

OK, that's good. But my actual point is if a person has started to actually DYOR, and actually TRULY understood how Bitcoin works and WHY it works and TRULY perceived that it's this generation's TOUR DE FORCE, then I'm very confident that that person will definitely think twice before selling for mere fiat.

You have already front-run the billionaires and the government, make it very hard for them to have your precious Bitcoins.

As long as your selling price is higher than your buying price, you may already get profits out of it. But if you think you will have tight budget, better not to invest as you may end up selling it at a lower price. It is easy to say, you will sell it at a higher price, however, you don't know the future market performance of this coin. So if you want a lil bit of assurance, you can sell intermittently up until you already got your initial investments. And then, the coins left will be just like your profits and you can grow this as well.

Their are several strategies which can be use in investing bitcoin and they are all good but I think it is best for individuals to understand these strategies and to know which one will be better for them base on their income and how consistent one can be in investing bitcoin. When it comes to seeking for investment advice like this, you will definitely see different ideas that are good but everyone are saying things base on what is good for them and also suits there income. Make research and try to know the different strategies of investing bitcoin, with these you can be able to know which one will be best for you. The reason why we all have our own best investing strategies is because we are not the same financially.

Bitcoin is not a quick and get rich scheme, the best approach has always been to buy and hold for as long as necessary, 4 to 10 years or even more is always encourage in order to enjoy the full benefits of a compounded value of your asset over time, even though there is no guarantee as to this regards but there is a higher chances of obtaining that because history of Bitcoin till date has given so much guide, ensure you take very good care of your basic needs and invest from your discretionary income where DCA strategy of accumulating Bitcoin wouldn't be a bad idea, that is you will buy Bitcoin regardless of the market conditions with a golden plan of holding for long term.

I don't really think this is all about being a patient dog. Op is looking for a way to know when to sell Bitcoin and when to buy. This can be possible if he knows how to read the market. Just like the Forex market, every traders in the market need to know how to read charts with a great understanding or have something that will be telling tell when to buy and when to sell, just like trading signal.

Understanding both fundamental and technical analysis is what op needs to know the best time to buy and the best time to sell. There is no no room for buying or selling mistakes. This has been the major problem of many holders and traders because they don't know the best time to sell and to buy due to lack of understanding of the crypto market.

For op to be able to buying and sell at a gold level, he would have to learn how to read the market so he can be making decisions in his own without external bodies that will be available for signals and market predictions.

After that, OP said it's only your decision to sell off your coins, in fact - so he may just said it to reinforce the idea to have a goal for your investment.
And of course, to hodl more is to have more boons to see in the long run  

A price "Target" might be good for YOU, but to say that ANYONE who owns Bitcoin "should have a price target" is laughable. You should speak merely and ONLY for yourself, and definitely NOT for everyone else.

If a person truly tried to understand the basics and the technical fundamentals of Bitcoin, then I believe he/she will probably think twice about selling it. It's better to keep it than sell it, in my very humble opinion.

Not just patience is required here. He needs to have a steady income flow so that he will continue buying Bitcoin until a new ATH is achieved. For cases where he might see a dip that is comfortable for him, he needs to use some reserved money to buy aggressively. This will be much better rather than waiting for a time to buy, as there is no perfect time to enter the market. There is a saying that preparation meets opportunity. He has to be prepared, because anytime might be a good time for him to start buying.

Anyone who invest on Bitcoin should have a target of when it will sell its bitcoin and also when it will purchase new one, I don't be curious to sell my bitcoin, I only sell my bitcoin when I feel like selling my bitcoin, so we don't have a specific time you can sell off your bitcoin, selling your bitcoin its based on your decision and what you have in mind to sell your coins.

For the aspect of purchasing coins most especially bitcoin, it's obvious and understanding that the appropriate period to purchase bitcoin is when we are in dip, people who have their funds accumulate bitcoin with the period of dip seasons, so it's good to have your funds intact so that you will purchase when the needful arises.

As you are only relying from the market movement, you can only speculate what will happen next and decide what's best for your funds. So buying and selling of your coins will depend on your strategy as there is no ultimate right path of doing so. As you don't know the next price of this coin, you are just hoping that you are selling at the right price. But as long as you are on the positive profit. It means, you are not losing even if the profit is small. Worry if you need to sell even if it is below your buying price. Which means, you are in the tight position as you are forced to sell off your coin even in a losing manner.

That's impossible to do perfectly, but what you can actually do is to give your investment a LONGer time horizon. If you were lucky to buy the lower price level of $15,000 - $20,000 during the bear market, then sell some of that investment during the next bull market, not the current one. Perhaps during 2029?

If you're buying TODAY at higher price levels, then sell your investment during the next bull market after 2029, during 2033.


There may be changes in the four-year cycle, but the boom and bust cycles of the market in general will NEVER go away.

Study the Federal Reserve's Q.E. and Q.T. "cycles".

Actual Q.E. might happen during Trump's time in the White House. - BRRRRRRRRRRRRR. Do you hear that sound?

Agreed! Along with putting a target for yourself to fix the profit. Then it's all would be fine and dandy in the long run.

It seems Op is getting himself confused with the buying and selling of assets here or probably did not give a clear explanation of what he's trying to ask. When it comes to buying and accumulating of bitcoin, it's generally believed that DCA is the perfect method for average investors who can not afford to buy a decent portion at once. When it comes to selling of assets, that's quite a personal thing and it depends on how satisfied you are with your profits. So I don't know what type of selling strategy Op is referring to again. He clearly said that he wants to sell at every pump and buy back at every dump which I see it more like a trading than investment. Having this mindset, I would simply advise Op to get himself into trading directly since he seems obsess with every market reaction either positive or negative.

You can't always buy at every dip and sell at every pump, if you do like that, you'll always be at a lost because some dip and pumps are faked and not real. Some traders that are big whales with large quantity of Bitcoin manipulate the price of the market and some time it's the exchange doing it too hence when they manipulate the market to look like it's dumping and you rush to sell, you would've missed making a profit when the market reversed and it can happen too when they manipulate the market to look like it's pumping. The best Bitcoin strategy is hodling and selling when you have gotten to the profits that you're comfortable taking profits and you won't regret your decision. While you hodl, you'll need to avoid all distractions from selling or trying to take quick profits because from trying to do that is why some investors sell too early.

I think you meant to say Bitcoin investment instead of Bitcoin trading rather, anyways my advise for the OP is that he shouldn't have the mindset of selling at every pump and buying during the dips only, when he's not even held for a full circle, Bitcoin is a long-term asset for investment and shouldn't be bought to sell whenever the price surges, it is bought to be held for the future (long-term) and over a full circle before the investor could even think of selling it for profits. Yeah the Dollar Cost Average strategy is highly recommended to maximize profits and instead of buying only during the dip the OP could adopt this strategy for better accumulation cause he would miss out on lots of opportunities while waiting for the dip. The movement of the market would always be unpredictable and that's where DCA plays a very good role since it can't be hindered by volatility but would rather help an investor to recover lose even when the market is down.

That is easy and maybe your investment consideration is just to take advantage of the pump and dump to make a profit or buy it.
The only way to ensure that you do not miss out is to see the market conditions and you can compare the highest price to sell and buy it at a lower price, but it is quite advisable that you pay attention to the market conditions where you have to monitor it all the time.
There are other methods you can use like DCA but I don't know if you understand the pattern or not. Most people actually hold bitcoin for a long time in their investment of choice.

The 4 year cycle will always be there, whatever approach you take depends on the investment knowledge you have.
If you want to make a profit in the short term then study the bitcoin condition in the market so you can decide to sell or buy at the right condition.

If everyone knew when the top and bottom were, then there would be no cycles and everyone would have billions.  Market timing is a guess and nothing more.  Buying and then letting it grow over time has been the best strategy.

It's possible to do this, but it requires patience. If you can be patient enough to hold after buying for a long period until a new ATH is achieved, you can sell and wait for a long period again until a price correction occurs or a heavy crash or slash down in price occurs before you enter back into the market.

It's possible, but you can't always be perfect; in some cases, you might sell a bit too early or late, where the price will go up again, or buy too early and the price drops down more, but as long as you buy below what it sold earlier and sell above your purchasing price, then you are making a profit, and that's all that should matter.

Both would be viable, in fact. Of course, you would probably get a better, average price with DCA, but it depends on how long OP is going to hodl and what is his target. Some search for dips and corrections and buy in lumps, and that's fine too.
But DCA, of course, is the most stable option regarding the price, surely.

The strategy you mentioned is more like trading and always trying to buy when market is dip will really delay your Bitcoin accumulation journey I don't know how long you have been holding bitcoin but if you just started accumulating Bitcoin in the past 2 years I will advise you not to sell but keep accumulating Bitcoin and HODL, why waiting for the dip accumulating is not a good strategy is that it will make you miss or market opportunities what if bitcoin did not dip your probably not buy? Wrong approach you can start accumulating Bitcoin using the DCA strategy with this strategy you can be accumulating Bitcoin regularly weekly or monthly regardless of the price of Bitcoin and HODL for long.

You are confusing me on the first and second paragraphs, what do you really want? Is it a 4-cycle pattern system or how you can effectively invest and divest many times within each 4-cycle? Also, you misused pump and dump in your post, you might want to correct that.

Now, the best approach to divest in Bitcoin regardless of whether it's long or short-term is for you to check out for the FUD in the market, the sluggish moment of not breaking higher level, the closeness of the time to the popular bearish season, and finally, if your technical chart confirms it on the higher time frame.

However, Buy at the beginning of a new bull run, Buy when your technical chart confirms it on the higher charts and Buy when there are impactful events like the ETF saga and the US election periods.

If a person understands Bitcoin and viewed how it behaves for a long time - he will see a path of himself hodling it clearly, in my opinion.
It's essential to have theory in your mind first and foremost, and only then practice out. And try to maintain diamond hands on the market.

Well the best option is to extend for another cycle and you really need to be open on those possibilities since Bitcoin investment is for long term. If your target has not been hit in span of 4 years then better accumulate more to gain more volume and earn a lot more on next cycle. Since selling at this point without getting anything is just a waste of effort made.  Also for sure that you don't want to regret so don't get discourage and continue because that is the best decision to do in that situation.

Also its not easy as you think if you can do that buying at dump and selling at pump since market is unpredictable and to risky if you trade your Bitcoins. Much better if you just hold and avoid other stressful activities like trading.

Yep. Hodling is the best and the most stable strategy out there. Others hold more risks to come. It all depends on the target put by OP.

History means something and usually there is rhythm of history but history can be changed like we witnessed it in this cycle with a new ATH reached before a Bitcoin halving day. It's the first time ever in Bitcoin history, so by possibility of history change, Bitcoin 4-year market cycle can be changed too.

I guess the future cycle can be longer than 4-year, but with Bitcoin halving every 210,000 blocks that takes about 4 years, its will have effect on Bitcoin price. There will be bull market related to future Bitcoin halvings but to double Bitcoin price, maybe the market will need more than 4 years in future.

History of Bitcoin Doubling Time.
https://casebitcoin.com/charts

It's great that you're asking yourself these questions about potential losses and about another 4-year cycle potentially not coming. As others mentioned, there's no way to know for sure and there's always a certain risk involved. In terms of selling and buying, there's also no sure way of telling when the top or the bottom has been reached. However, I believe price difference from the ATH point is a decent indicator. The percentage difference is shown on websites like Coingecko, so you don't have to calculate it yourself.
For example, Bitcoin is currently 10.2% below the all-time high point. It's easier with the bear market. I think whenever Bitcoin is 60% below the ATH, it's a good time to buy. As for selling, that's more complicated because it's hard to know whether Bitcoin has reached its peak growth or not. But at any given point, I believe selling when the price is within 15% from the ATH makes sense with the op's approach.

The strategy to buy low and sell high is the main strategy to make a profit. Those people should use this strategy if they want to profit from trading while when they want to invest in Bitcoin for a long term, they can hold some amount and only sell the other amount that they want. Using the DCA method will be the best strategy for those who want to buy Bitcoin without thinks about the price movements so they will feels calm down while investing in Bitcoin. The four year cycles already works so far so there is a chance to see this cycles will happen in the future. All they can do is just trying and make preparation for anything that can happen.

Although that is not suggested, they can do that but they don't have to regret if the price is down. That is why this method is not for all people because they must agree with the price that can moves to any lower price. So they must search for their own method that will works best for them.

What do you ean by what if 4 yer cycle is not here, do you mean if bull run is either started or not, well what ever you think I am sure you must have your proper realistic BTC high prices like what's the higest price or tag BTC can hit in this bll run. My only advice for you to do reverse DCA in booking profit.

Mean, you have to sell and book profit in after some interval and if you plan to sell at evrey pump like 10% pump that's also comes under the category of reverse. DCA.

You have given the best advice so far because i don't know why even at this point that bitcoin is performing excellently, some people still trade their bitcoins for short term profits and wait for a DIP to happen for them to buy back again. They have not even considered a situation whereby they sell at high prices and the price doesn't DIP in the short term that means it will be difficult for them to buy back. Bitcoin investment requires enough patience and frequent accumulation before one can get a sizable portfolio that can attract huge profits so if anyone don't have a long-term target of holding bitcoin, they should forget about buying it in the first place and instead gamble with other altcoins which are very risky due to their high volatility. 4 years is just a cycle and i don't think it can be seen as a long time for one's investment to mature so the target should be between two to three cycles just as you stated.

If the 4-year circle doesn't work again, you go for 8 years, or you can go for 12 years as long as you can hold until you have enough profit that you could be comfortable with and decide to sell.
 
I don't see any other approach that I can suggest; every other approach will be risky, as it will require you to either trade your coin, rebuy, use some reputable exchange holding offer, etc. They might be more profitable than holding for a long circle, but nothing is safer than having total control over your coins.

Nobody knows on what would happen into this market and seeking out advise on what you should gonna do then its somewhat that not really good if you do rely with it completely but it isnt bad to look up for some real experiences with other investors or traders as well so that you do have at least some idea on what they are doing, but in the end of the day on which you are the ones will really be that making up the decision on whether you would be buying or selling Bitcoin but if you are planning to become a holder then this one will be that a less stressful thing than on making up some active trading on which this do need up a skill.


So it will be that up to you on how you would be handling yourself in this regard because at the moment or time that you do rely with others strategies and ending up losing then you do have that kind of feeling of regret because you have that lose up a trade or investment because of someones decisions. This is why that you do only base up with your final decision before making an act, so that you wont be ending up with those regrets that be made out accordingly.

Or a person can just buy in lumps and not mourn that it wasn't the lowest price out there still.
The best thing is you have a choice and you are your own king there -  any method would be applicable if it would reach your target in the end.

Bitcoin is a volatile asset and nobody knows for certain what it's price can be in the future, what we have control over is when we want to buy or sale. The strategy is basically to buy low and sale high, how low or high that price will go before we buy or sale is our individual decisions. Using the DCA method is a good strategy to buy, you won't worry about speculations of what Bitcoin price will be, you'll just accumulate with your desired percentage from your income. The four years circle of bull and bear run have been working so far but I don't think that anybody is certain whether it'll continue in the future or not.

You can hope that 4 years cycle still follow Bitcoin journey. Otherwise, you can use the buy low and sell high method so you can get the profit many times. But that will not easy because you need to have skills to analyze the price movements. But you can use DCA methods that you can apply for anytime so you can buy Bitcoin constantly until the time to stop is end.

We don't know if 4 years cycle will be there or not in the future. We can only try to accumulate more and more Bitcoin using DCA method. But if you are still worry if 4 years not there anymore, you can use buy low and sell high as I said. So when the situation is not good, you can stop what you do and save your money.

That's why a person, OP or someone else, should have a target set for himself. If there is one, there would be no outcome that you described and no lost FOMO.

-avoid emotional reactions to market swings by setting clear entry and exit points for your trades
-use a dca strategy for both buying and selling can help smooth out volatility and reduce the risk of mistiming the market
-pay attention to broader market trends and macroeconomics factors as these often drive's bitcoin price movements
-diversify you portfolio to reduce risk

Yes, history will probably repeat once again but you are just talking about buying more bitcoins when there is the bear cycle while OP would somehow also know when to sell before we enter the bearish phase, and that is the difficult part because nobody knows when will reach the top therefore you may sell at, let's say, $130k, and then it goes up to $180k and you end up buying again at ATH because you fomoed and at that point you think it'll go up even more, and maybe it doesn't so you sold low and bought high, exactly the opposite of the original plan.

By all means of the 4 year cycle, it's proven that we're on it. Started last year even before the halving came, the ATH of 2021 was broken.

So, if you want to sell at every pump, do the DCA approach too. Don't sell everything and keep your profits either in USDC, DAI or USDT. And when there are dumps that come, buy them back.

You'll never know when the peak will be so be ready to prepare your emotions as well because it won't be the same at most times. But one thing is, we're already on the 4 year cycle or pretty much wait on 2026 when bear market is on.

I doubt if there is best strategy known for a profitable bitcoin sell-off. Otherwise, majority will be in massive profits everytime bitcoin ends up with a bullish price.

The truth about this is, there's no best but I would say it's a safe strategy to use. Do the DCA method and hold. And when you're tired of holding, then sell portion of your bitcoin portfolio. Make sure you sell in time of bullish season, that's the perfect time to sell. And buy back again when bearish season hits bitcoin price.

There is no such exact approach you can have towards the market to get the best strategy to take profit in your investment and not incur any loss. The bitcoin market is very speculative and has this high volatility in it that makes it unpredictable to know the next target, the next move and the next bearish state of it. The best strategy I can give which I know everyone is well acquainted to, is buying low and selling high. The main aim of investing is to benefit from it and if you’re on the losing end, it would become a loss investment. So when you’re too scared of holding for long and not missing out on selling at a good price, you can be taking your partial profits as the market continues to appreciate, it will not make you lose most of your investment capital you’ve invested with.

Once the bullish phase ends then the bear phase will come then that's where you can buy more bitcoins for a few years maybe by accumulation (DCA) it will be more than buying once selling later.

The 4-year cycle doesn't exist at this point? Then you don't see the history of bitcoin right?
I think history will repeat the same cycle but with an increase in the multiplier that is still unknown, so make sure you can take advantage when the market is bearish.

First you have to look at the market closely, no one can predict the future so one must be very observant and updated about the market movement.  It really needs a hard work and wit to pull a successful trade.  You can use bot and setup stop loss to be able to prevent huge losses during crash.


No one knows what will happen in the future, you can just take advantage of the market volatility if you do not want to depend on the Bitcoin 4-year cycle.  Nothing much we can do if the 4 year cycle isn't there anymore but to take advantage of sell order and buy order discrepancies.



If are into a long run investment, you can DCA while applying the buy low sell high strategy in order to booster your accumulation. If you worry about the future of BTC then there is not much we can do since no one can tell the future and every investment have risk though we can apply risk management method but I believe the risk of losing is always there in each investment/

right now i will say that i still believe the cycle will continue and that there is absolutely no need to go all worried about it but to answer your question the best thing you can do is to just keep buying anyway lots of people make use of dca strategy where they buy bitcoin regularly instead of waiting for specific prices this also helps those with not much budget to buy as it allows them to accumulate more bitcoin over time without making one big purchase they can't afford

DCA. Using the DCA method allows us to get Bitcoin regularly in an amount that suits our financial capabilities without having to wait for the price to go up or down.
This method is not for the short term, but for the long term. Just target according to the four year cycle.
Now the price is going up again.

Everyone wants what you want, but can everyone succeed in their goal? If an expert could accurately predict when the price of Bitcoin will increase and decrease, then they would be the owner of the most wealth. That is why no one can accurately predict when the price of Bitcoin will increase. If the investor has a little knowledge about the market, he will be able to make some reasonable predictions.



What we understand about the Bitcoin market is that its price is constantly increasing and this trend will continue in the future. That is why if someone does not have financial difficulties, it is better to hold Bitcoin for a long time. For those who are not in a good financial situation, after analyzing the market and reaching a reasonable level, then he can sell his Bitcoin. However, if we observe the previous points, we can easily understand that the price of Bitcoin will increase, so the best strategy is not to sell it but to hold it.

https://bitsgap.com/blog/when-is-the-best-time-to-sell-bitcoin

As a crypto trader, you are an entrepreneur as that young man that has a physical shop somewhere, and one of the attributes of an entrepreneur is RISK taking!

However, we tend to mitigate the level of risk we face by going for knowledge and relevant information.

So, I'll advise you to trade based on your level of knowledge while you continue to grow.

In my opinion, BTC will keep rising, when you notice a dip as you stated above, you can buy. If it increases to a considerable level you are satisfied with, you can then sell.

Also, you can buy the dip and hodl for a very long time.

Just my two cents.

Certainly agree on this. There is no best strategy that may work for selling bitcoin, but as long as you sell for profits, that's already a good and working one.

However, don't just focus on selling your coins, but also think on how you can earn maximum amount in your portfolio and this could be possible through DCA. Buy regardless of the price, and do it regularly. After 5-10 years, you will be amaze on how many bitcoins you have earned, the more number of bitcoin, the more massive your profits will be once you sell them off.

I think what you said is quite clear, this method only works for people who believe and dare, but if you are easily influenced by altcoins, the decision can change.

I personally also rely on this technique even though the process also takes quite a lot of time because the system is installments according to our capital ability. Yes. Behind the efforts that when we carry out discipline, I think it will produce optimal results, especially if what we invest in is BTC, not anything else.

Or to buy in lumps, but there should be no regret that you did it that way.
More stability -DCA. More potential if the analysis is applied - buying in lumps. In my opinion, of course..

I will advise you follow the Dollar Cost Averaging method of investing, whereby you invest a certain amount of money into Bitcoin at a specific interval of timeframe, not minding the price value of Bitcoin. Because sometimes you could buy Bitcoin at $70,000 per BTC, and after it's price rises to $74,000 you end up selling, only to discover it's price has skyrocketed to $90,000 and you end up regretting why you sold your Bitcoin at $74,000.  So it's advisable you follow the Dollar Cost Averaging method my investing an amount you can always afford to lose.

You're hilarious OP. You want something that's almost impossible to achieve.
If that's that easy to know when it will pump and when it will dump, all of us would've become rich already.

OP thinks it's that easy to invest especially in a volatile market like the crypto market. If you have that kind of mindset, crypto isn't for you. Go find an asset where you can predict when it will pump, and it will dump and just invest into it. We can't give precise answer to your questions. What if 4-year cycle doesn't happen? Who cares? I mean for me; I already have a strategy just in case the 4-year cycle will not happen again this time. What approach should you do? Just focus on DCA, and please, please learn first before investing.

Learn first before asking some hilarious questions like this. I know OP is a newbie (I assume), but this question for me is hilarious.

There is only a zero-sum game in a single market where capital changes hands and from people who have terrible practice to people who have good practice, from losers to winners. Winners don't need to predict the market price as they only need to have strong belief in Bitcoin future, strong hands to hold their bitcoin, and good risk and capital management to avoid unwanted sales at unprofitable prices.

Dollar cost averaging helps to bump your total invested capital with time, even you don't realize it, it has actual effects and after like 1 or 2 years, when you check your total invested capital, you will be surprised by what you've done with your money.

Trackers on portfolios of MicroStrategy and El Salvador are good examples.
https://saylortracker.com/
https://nayibtracker.com/

If it were that easy, sure, we'd all be rich! But timing the market perfectly? There's no foolproof plan for that - even the experts get burned sometimes when they try.   

I mean, look around.  Lots can happen to mess up your predictions.

Now that's not to say you cant take some precautions.  Dollar cost averaging - investing regular chunks of change on a schedule - can help smooth out the bumps a bit. 

And cycles like that four year one people talk about maybe hold some weight, but nothing says they'll keep repeating forever.  Past performance won't dictate the future.

So in short, be careful chasing the perfect entry and exit times.  Have realistic expectations.

This I believe. It's always about taking risk since bitcoin is volatile therefore its price will change overtime. What OP mentioned is already a strategy where selling when it's price is up or pump as op said and buy when many people dump their bitcoin. If he doesn't want to wait for bear market then I would also recommend the DCA method until the goal or amount of crypto is accumulated. There's always some people who think that there's such thing as "sure thing" when there isn't.

Selling during the bull and buying the dip is the strategy most investors practice, aside the 4 years cycle you can’t accomplish this goal perfectly except you want to trade your investment. Don’t sell everything, the common fear is you might never meet bitcoin price range as previous cycle indicate. No one can predict the market correctly, anytime you feel you’ve reached the target set and you’ve gotten the desired profit selling can be considered secondly the market might not be in your favour at the moment so in this situation what should you do? Why not wait sincerely no one wants to sell in loss.

The safest strategy when investing in Bitcoin is to buy the first cryptocurrency when possible and sell it only when necessary, when there is a very high need for fiat funds. Bitcoin is a deflationary currency with a limited supply, so the price of Bitcoin increases in the long term.

As for the four-year cycles, partly related to the halving and partly related to the US presidential election, we do not know if this pattern will continue in the future. Perhaps the four-year cycles will turn into, for example, seven-year cycles.

Personally, in the current bull cycle, I use the following benchmarks - I do not think the price of Bitcoin will exceed $ 328,000, but I will be very surprised if the price does not eventually reach the level of $ 210,000. Which of the two scenarios will come true, I do not know yet.

Or maybe I am wrong and my picture of the world is not correct...

So if there was a safe strategy that would allow you to always sell at pumps and buying at dumps why are there people who lose money? What you are looking for simply doesn't exist, it's easy to say but very difficult to achieve. Let's say that you sell during a pump, you have no way to predict whether that pump will keep happening or not, same with the dip, it could go down $1k or maybe $5k, you could be waiting for a bigger dump that could never occur, or that maybe it could take months and months.

@op, I do not know of your investment goals wether you are investing for short term gains or not. But if you are so unsure of what strategy to use, just buy and hodl. Many of us started investing by hodling for a very long time. With this your poor knowledge of investing, you are likely going to regret your decision to buy when price dips and sell when the price pumps. This is because chances are high that you would sell at the wrong time either due to anxiety or impatience and this would affect your profitability greatly.

Bitcoin has its unofficial power to dump altcoins and altcoins can not do anything against its effect from Bitcoin. 

Time the market, find the bottom and perfectionize entry are very difficult. Most traders can not do it, and I would like to change myself from a day trader with targets of doing these things, to be a long term investors. I learned that it is reallly hard from my experience and no longer want to challenge myself, waste my time for things that I failed to do many times.

It's hard to predict market price and time it correctly, but understand about market psychological cycle can help.
Psychology of market cycles.

It is obviously impossible to know in advance when it will dump or pump. However, the declining quality of this forum board can be accurately predicted; it will fall further over time. Therefore, I suggest you to short that.

@OP, in my opinion, if you are still a newbie into Bitcoin and not fully experienced with price movement and volatility of the market, it's better you just buy Bitcoin and hold for a long term investment. Before you can start making profit from Bitcoin daily price movement, you actually need to have a good knowledge about trading, that's when you can understand how the market is moving.

I believe the 4 years circle you are talking about is the halving period which usually give rise to the bull season, there's no way the circle will not repeat. We still have more halving to happen. So, if you are holding, you will still make profit.

The best strategy is simply to be a long term holder. Buy when the market is bearish, hodl and sell when it's bullish. By so doing, the chances of you running into loss is zero and you will certainly be in profit when you sell your bag.

The other strategy is trading. It's very risky and I wouldn't advise it especially if you're not savvy in trading. One little miscalculation and you could run into loss. So choose wisely.

Well since bitcoin is not a pump and dump garbage, you are out of luck and can't do any of that

But if you want to become a day trader who is selling on peaks of each rise and then buys back in the corrections then you have a very long road ahead of you because this type of trading is not easy and it has risks. You need a lot of work to gain experience in order to be able to read the market correctly and make the best decision in different situations that are unpredictable.
None of it is easy to explain though. It is valuable experience that can only be gained by actually doing trading for a long time!

This is exactly what I keep telling most people about buying low and selling high, for me there is never a perfect price for any of this, imagining someone who sold at $100k would have thought that’s the best price for last year but bitcoin still pumped above it. Or someone who didn’t but at $92k because they think the correction will take the price below $90k mark thereby missing a great opportunity to buy. Just have a realistic price target for buying and selling and make sure you hodl on for long because even this price target do take longer to trigger.

For total newbies the safest option is DCA whenever you have funds, hodl for very long time, take profits when you see them and wish to take, avoid setting unrealistic price targets like bitcoin doing a 10x in one bull run

If you can buy low, sell high, you will get profit and it's good, not bad.

In a bull market, chances for buying low and selling high are a lot, but I understand your post about risk of failing to time the market. It's true, but if you don't target too high exit price, you will have good chance enough to take profit.

Generally, DCA is a good strategy and it's more helpful for long term investors who are less affected by short term price changes, in either bull or bear market. DCA strategy can help long term investors to average their entry price, and it gets benefit from long term bullish trend of Bitcoin.

https://charts.bitbo.io/yearly-candles/

Unfortunately this year is bull season, so it's not really a good time to buy Bitcoin, instead it's time to sell.

You can buy Bitcoin in the next year, it's bear season.

If you not believing in 4 years cycle pattern, I don't think there's a best way to buy Bitcoin at the bottom and sell Bitcoin at the top because in trading, you're predicting the price in short term, not long term.

You can hope that 4 years cycle still follow Bitcoin journey. Otherwise, you can use the buy low and sell high method so you can get the profit many times. But that will not easy because you need to have skills to analyze the price movements. But you can use DCA methods that you can apply for anytime so you can buy Bitcoin constantly until the time to stop is end.

We don't know if 4 years cycle will be there or not in the future. We can only try to accumulate more and more Bitcoin using DCA method. But if you are still worry if 4 years not there anymore, you can use buy low and sell high as I said. So when the situation is not good, you can stop what you do and save your money.

Your account is from 2017 and you're asking about this now?! I find this somewhat strange, however, I will answer, although I'd expect you know all this:

You need proper trading experience for this, you need to know how to properly set up stop loss, you need to know how big pumps and how big dumps to take into account for your steps.
If this would be an easy thing with clear rules, nobody would lose in trading - no matter it's crypto, or stocks, or forex. But there are no clear rules.
This being said you can learn about trading or you can choose the safe strategy: HODL. Or you can choose something in the middle: use only the 4 years cycle, DCA/buy in crypto winter and sell in bull run. But since you are questioning the 4 years cycle, I guess that this will not work, especially as your account has - in theory - witnessed 2 cycles already.

theoretically and considering the ideal way most persons look at selling of one's bitcoin, the plan is always to buy low and sell high and practically if you can just buy low and comfortably sell high, that definitely is the best strategy one can adopt but when you consider that you are dealing with a volatile asset like bitcoin that can be really unpredictable, buying low and selling high isn't always as feasible as it looks.

the strategy that works really well regardless of the rate of volatility of bitcoin is buying for the long term and leave it without rushing to sell when you are in slight profit. bitcoin rate of volatility is not always too fast and so it might take a very long time before a bitcoin investment of say an $100 can do a three times profit over the short term. you just have to position your mind in such a way that you are sure that you are not investing to take profit for the short term and that will help you stay patient enough to remain invested for the long term. doing long term investment will also demand that you make use of the DCA method since you would want to get enough bitcoin stack that will place you at a good profit when the market gets a bit favorable for you.

there are a lot of proven strategy that works for different people based on how efficient you are able to implement it and how adaptive you can be based on the different market condition but at the end, you have to do what works for you and see that you are not losing in your investment.

You can not talk about future, that is uncertain and unpredictable with all of us. About selling strategy or taking profit strategy, it relates to your approach like a long term investment or only short term speculation. With different approaches for entries, you will have different exit strategies.

If you are going long term with Bitcoin, consider this strategy for your Bitcoin withdrawal.
[ANN] JJG Sustainable Bitcoin Withdrawal Strategy
https://bitcoindata.science/withdrawal-strategy

Bitcoin is best to be a long-term investment that you should build and grow overtime for your future, and it shouldn't be seen as what you buy and take profit every four years. This is because you will not benefit from the compounding effect of bitcoin overtime. Another thing is that you will not be able to have a good amount of bitcoin in future when the price will be very expensive, because you are after buying and selling for small dollar profit in every circle. Don't be a low coiner in future and regret your actions. Bitcoin is the future game changer.

I recommend to you reading this thread by @JayJuanGee: JJG's Bitcoin Investment Ideas (Sustainable Withdrawal / Portfolio Maintenance).

And I would like to spend an intimate evening with Scarlet Johansson. Chances of you and me getting what we want is about the same (or maybe I even have a better chance). 

Joke aside, forget about this "buy low sell high" thing because in the vast majority of cases you will end up doing the opposite, resulting in you having less bitcoin than you initially had.


You can't be sure, there is no guarantee that bitcoin price will go up. Much bigger problem is that you probably won't be patient enough and will start panicing..

Buying at every dip and selling on every pump is called Bitcoin trading. If your intention is to buy and sell Bitcoin within a short period, then you have to always monitor the market and take position. In trading, there is no guarantee that you will not lose since the price of Bitcoin is unpredictable.

But if your intention is to buy and keep it for a long time before selling, that's hodling. It will be less risky and more profitable to keep buying Bitcoin in bits and keeping it till the next bull run. The four year circle will always be here since we will always have Bitcoin halving after four years until the total Bitcoin is mined.

Your strategy ain't feasible because you can't really tell what's the real pump or the real dump.
This you said is just trading except you really good at it I would advice against it.
The strategy you trying to implement is one that breeds nocoiners.
Like Hatchy said, You can employ DCA and focus on a longer term of accumulation.
Trading mindset at such leads to losses because you may tend to sell when it dips than your dip
Or buy expensive when it rise than your sell.

There’s no such thing as a "sure thing" when it comes to timing the market for buying and selling to ensure profit.
If it were that simple, the market wouldn’t be called unpredictable.

From what I’ve read in many posts here, investors often recommend the DCA method as the best way to accumulate Bitcoin. It’s a consistent strategy that could lead to possible future profits without relying on perfect timing.

You already listed one of the best strategies used in Bitcoin trading. Buying the dips and hodl, where you buy low and sell high. The only challenge in this method is that most times you might sell off too early and the market continues in buy direction. It's a general cryptocurrency strategy and is usually very profitable for long-term holders. Another best strategy used in Bitcoin trading is dollar cost averaging. This method, you set a particular amount of Bitcoin that you wish to accumulate for a long time. You don't need to wait for a dip to come before you acquire Bitcoin, you just continue to buy that same amount you have decided to buy, it might be monthly or weekly or any that suits you. This way, you won't be left behind on potential profits when the market decides to buy or sell as these movements are unpredictable and it won't much be your concern.

Hello all members here.

I want advice from all veterans here as what best strategy can be for BTC selling. I want to sell at every pump and buy on every dump. How can one make sure he does not lose it.

What if 4 years cycle is not here this time.
What approach one should get here.

Thanks