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Topic: [SHARE] Your Personal Analysis (only post with pictures) - page 7. (Read 20162 times)

sr. member
Activity: 387
Merit: 250
-the now building triangle is quiet stump eventually it will lengthen a bit...

Then it won't be a triangle anymore....
Just saying.
as long the prize is between 8$ and 14$ it could build another longer triangle over the short one...
imagine: rise to 13.5, back to 9, up to 11.5, down to 10... impossible? Wink
legendary
Activity: 1904
Merit: 1002
-the now building triangle is quiet stump eventually it will lengthen a bit...

Then it won't be a triangle anymore....
Just saying.

True, but from the ashes shall arise a new triangle.  A better triangle.  A longer triangle.
hero member
Activity: 840
Merit: 1000
-the now building triangle is quiet stump eventually it will lengthen a bit...

Then it won't be a triangle anymore....
Just saying.
sr. member
Activity: 387
Merit: 250
here a my analysis to the current situation...
after this fast rise over 15 USD a correction was needed!
so after the 3 small correction triangles, now comes the big one.
IMO the uptrend is intact.
as long as under green support line is not broken (starts at 2$ bottom (out of range)) I see no change of trend.
soft resistance around 12$-12.5$ (blue), hard one is the upper green line.
the now building triangle is quiet stump eventually it will lengthen a bit...
breakout will tell short term direction (green/red arrow).

(one bar 6hours)
legendary
Activity: 1022
Merit: 1000


https://ferroh.com/charts


Nice to see on this easy to grasp price-volume correlation chart: During the last 180 days most volume was spent around the 8$ mark. So this is the stronger one of both resistances, in contrast to the other price level where a lot of volume was traded, which is the 10$ mark. The 8$ mark already stood an attack when we crashed down on it from the 15.5$ top some days ago. If 10$ breaks which seems a 50/50 possibility to me 8$ will be the real test of both, investor's emotions and the underlying uptrend that sparked the rally since we broke 5.5$. If on top of that the 8$ area would break a further plummet just above pre-rally levels like 5-6$ would be the consequence, However given the recent rumors of upcoming announcements, bitcoin related products and the soon end of Pirate-related gloom&doom I doubt that version will become reality.
legendary
Activity: 1022
Merit: 1000

Trust me the cycle of investor emotions always applies;)

Maybe this picture is more intuitive:

Also quite entertaining:


Indeed, it applies, but not for the entire Bitcoin network, including the exchange markets. Artificial intelligence is not influenced by emotional cycles.

E.g.

Quote
What is Trader Bots?
Trader Bots makes it easy for you to use technical analysis in your current trading decisions.

Our team trains various neural networks that analyze the stock market and over 700 individual stocks. These neural networks compete and evolve in order to maximize profits and reduce risk.

http://www.traderbots.com/
[/b]


Oh boy, those encyclopedic quotes again! Are you an artificial intelligence as well quoting all those basic terms together?  Huh

Anyway, I think the emotion cycle always applies in a relatively free market made by humans with emotions. Who do you think those bots are programmed by? Right, traders that wanna make them read trends and react to market moves. Even if they are only scalping and therefore evening out swings, there are still enough human traders or human like bots that engage in panic selling, buying, manipulation and too large to reasonably comprehend market orders. In those regards the cycle of traders emotions applies to bitcoin very much. Sorry, if I come across a little agitated, I just watched an Angry Video Game Nerd marathon and am quite angry at everything right now Wink

vip
Activity: 756
Merit: 504

Trust me the cycle of investor emotions always applies;)

Maybe this picture is more intuitive:

Also quite entertaining:


Indeed, it applies, but not for the entire Bitcoin network, including the exchange markets. Artificial intelligence is not influenced by emotional cycles.

E.g.

Quote
What is Trader Bots?
Trader Bots makes it easy for you to use technical analysis in your current trading decisions.

Our team trains various neural networks that analyze the stock market and over 700 individual stocks. These neural networks compete and evolve in order to maximize profits and reduce risk.

http://www.traderbots.com/
legendary
Activity: 1022
Merit: 1000

check your premises then check the image then check the "herd"

Trust me the cycle of investor emotions always applies;)

Maybe this picture is more intuitive:



Also quite entertaining:

legendary
Activity: 1022
Merit: 1000
donator
Activity: 980
Merit: 1000
vip
Activity: 756
Merit: 504
[image]

Two red doji after a shooting star is a strong sign for a bearish reversal. At least, that shows persistent resistance for the bulls. Just as I write this message, another correction at Mt.Gox throw the price to $10.6. The bears are pushing the bulls down, bit by bit.


vip
Activity: 756
Merit: 504
btw
last time when the transaction volume exploded, we were exactely at the bottom at 2 USD...

so why should this now be an indicator for negative market reaction?

You are comparing oranges and apples.



No, I think you are jumping to wild conclusions.

It is not exactly conclusions, but speculation.

Grin

Quote
Definition of speculation
noun
1. the forming of a theory or conjecture without firm evidence


http://oxforddictionaries.com/definition/american_english/speculation?region=us&q=speculation
legendary
Activity: 1022
Merit: 1000
btw
last time when the transaction volume exploded, we were exactely at the bottom at 2 USD...

so why should this now be an indicator for negative market reaction?

You are comparing oranges and apples.



No, I think you are jumping to wild conclusions.
vip
Activity: 756
Merit: 504
btw
last time when the transaction volume exploded, we were exactely at the bottom at 2 USD...

so why should this now be an indicator for negative market reaction?

You are comparing oranges and apples.

sr. member
Activity: 387
Merit: 250
btw
last time when the transaction volume exploded, we were exactely at the bottom at 2 USD...
http://blockchain.info/charts/output-volume?timespan=300days&showDataPoints=false&daysAverageString=1&show_header=true&scale=0&address=

so why should this now be an indicator for negative market reaction?
vip
Activity: 756
Merit: 504
DO NOT QUOTE THIS POST. POSSIBLE LATER UPDATE.

Extremely high valued massive amounts of Bitcoin transactions occurred in the last 24 hours, which could foreshadow a major crash in the exchange markets.

Aug 30, 2012 00:03:45 (UTC)

Code:
Expected Bitcoins 21000000

Produced Bitcoins 9816150
Transactions last 24h 34220
Transactions avg. per hour 1425.83
Bitcoins sent last 24h 14725115.15
Bitcoins sent avg. per hour 613546.46

Bitcoin reserve 11183850


http://bitcoincharts.com/bitcoin/



Uploaded with ImageShack.us

Output Voulme

http://blockchain.info/charts/output-volume?timespan=30days&showDataPoints=false&daysAverageString=1&show_header=true&scale=0&address=



Uploaded with ImageShack.us
vip
Activity: 756
Merit: 504
DO NOT QUOTE THIS POST. POSSIBLE LATER UPDATE.

BTC/USD Mt.Gox - 29/08/2012.

US$ 10.52 intraday typical price.

http://bitcoincharts.com/charts/mtgoxUSD#rg2zig15-minzczsg2012-08-29zeg2012-08-30ztgSza1gTMAzm1g10zm2g25zi1gVolzi2gAccDistzcv

1.


2.


3.


4.


5.


Uploaded with ImageShack.us
legendary
Activity: 2100
Merit: 1000

time to hit 7 again ?

if 7 $ will be hit, this is not healthy..
vip
Activity: 756
Merit: 504

time to hit 7 again ?

I speculate on your item B!

All exchange markets today are very unstable.
vip
Activity: 756
Merit: 504
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