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Topic: Sport's betting experience - page 2. (Read 513 times)

full member
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January 08, 2022, 12:57:01 AM
#47
In order to bet on sports you need to know the adversity of the teams if a team is playing well and manages these, there will be a chance of winning. Using new information from the match, the bettor can place the opposite bet to look like a certain butt before the start of the match direct betting works best for football matches horse racing basketball and other sports. Gives you a chance to make a lot of money you will still be able to place bets on overall, Under low and in other markets.
for you to bet in sports betting you must be familiar with the game you are going to bet and with the players/team you are going to choose,
it is not only the team you like but also the opponent because both performance will count in your chance to win each game.
aside from the ODDs you should do your own research and study about how the game will run and Ended so if ever you lose then there is nothing to blame but you.
but of course sports betting is the safest gambling at all compared to luck based gambling and card games.
sr. member
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January 08, 2022, 12:07:26 AM
#46
In order to bet on sports you need to know the adversity of the teams if a team is playing well and manages these, there will be a chance of winning. Using new information from the match, the bettor can place the opposite bet to look like a certain butt before the start of the match direct betting works best for football matches horse racing basketball and other sports. Gives you a chance to make a lot of money you will still be able to place bets on overall, Under low and in other markets.
sr. member
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January 07, 2022, 11:32:32 PM
#45
There's no strategy that will bring you success if you will only be based on the odds, it won't work in the long run as for me that's blindly betting. The odds can be tricky as sometimes the team may be the favorites based on the odds but it could only be overvalued. You need to carefully analyze, look for an undervalued teams before you bet as that would make you profitable in the long run.
It depends on the sport we are going to bet, if there is a match between two equally powerful players then it will be interesting and odds can be attractive too but strong against weak is not going to bring any real profits but if the weak team manages to win the match then its a golden day for those players who bet on them.
legendary
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January 07, 2022, 04:55:16 PM
#44
I am following English premier League and Australia A league. 80-85% matches 1st half Happen corner over 3.5 that's odds 1.32-1.40 . So anyone wants to safe betting then you can bet there. Not all matches. Select for a team like Manchester United. If Manchester United and it's partner fail to cover 3.5 corner in 1st half in a match then the next match stake high between Manchester United Vs opponent team. That's the simple tricks. This tips dose not work for 100%, so bet your own risk.

Many people is under illusion, that such odds, as 1.1-1.3 can be considered as "safe", but man, this is totally wrong.
And i can't tell that your trick also can be considered as "safe" because the probability is not higher is your first best had been lost.
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January 07, 2022, 04:25:12 PM
#43
There's no strategy that will bring you success if you will only be based on the odds, it won't work in the long run as for me that's blindly betting. The odds can be tricky as sometimes the team may be the favorites based on the odds but it could only be overvalued. You need to carefully analyze, look for an undervalued teams before you bet as that would make you profitable in the long run.
Exactly. I've been there as a noob in this gambling and just following the odd strategy doesn't really give you the edge over time. Maybe sticking on what was your favorite team or doing more some research before the game happens was much more helpful to me. I don't know if looking somehow to undervalued teams as always is a profitable strat but it could be wrong most of the time too, best to stick on analyzation.
legendary
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January 07, 2022, 04:09:44 PM
#42
The only safe bet are those bets you placed knowing in advance how the match will play out. In other words, you know of the match fixing that will happen eventually hence you bet on the outcome. These patterns that you have found out isn't 100% exploitable, and could not be considered as safe bets because even favorites to win the match sometimes drop off of their game and deliver lackluster performance. While on paper it is a good betting strategy, in practice this will, most of the time, fail since you cannot expect favorites to always cover the odds that were designated to them by the linemakers.
That is exactly the issue, it seems people do not understand that the odds for each match and each kind of bet are not generated by people but by very complex algorithms that take a great deal of factors into account, so it is almost impossible to find an instance in which a particular bet is going to give you profits consistently, as such it is better to not waste our time with something like this as it has no chance to be a profitable strategy over the long term.
Speaking or talking about some consistent profits then this could be possible but of course it would really be still having those losses.What matter most here is that you do able to make profits in the end of the day
but always be mindful that gambling is something that shouldnt really be engaged too much so that you would really make yourself get rid of possible addiction problems.

Bet according to your knowledge and dont tend to go overboard with your limits. Odds is there and analysis should be made off and not just on jumping without any idea in mind
on what you are doing.

definitely there's no safe bets in sportsbetting, there's always at least one factor that will unexpectedly influence the outcome. we can't hold how the player's think and their performance inside the field or arena. but if you find a way how to get better percentage of winnings, then that's good for you. but it will not be applicable to others. also, it doesn't always mean if the odds are low, you have the chance of winning. upsets can always happen at any sport.
sr. member
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January 07, 2022, 04:06:29 PM
#41
There's no strategy that will bring you success if you will only be based on the odds, it won't work in the long run as for me that's blindly betting. The odds can be tricky as sometimes the team may be the favorites based on the odds but it could only be overvalued. You need to carefully analyze, look for an undervalued teams before you bet as that would make you profitable in the long run.
legendary
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January 07, 2022, 04:04:56 PM
#40
Tell me if I understood the strategy you are proposing correctly: initially, we believe that the event "the first half of the corners are greater than 3.5" has effective odds in the 1.32-1.4 region. We must wait until this event does not happen for some team and the chances of the next match for this event will increase (become more than 1.4) and at that moment make a bet. Right?
The odds fixed between 1.32-1.40

So, you are just suggesting to bet on this outcome because you think that the bookmakers misjudge the chances of this event? To be honest, it's hard to believe in this - bookmakers use statistics for such long periods that are simply not available for ordinary bettors. Plus, they process it not only with the help of experts, but also using AI, so I strongly doubt that they are mistaken in such simple estimates as in your example.

I think you don't have to wait for the match with no 3.5 corner in the first half. All matches are with odds 1.32-1.40.
In his first statement, OP just suggested that anything can happen and if there is no 3.5 corner in some match in the first half, the odds should be higher in the next match and that you will be able to recover a bit losses from the match when you lose.
hero member
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January 07, 2022, 04:04:18 PM
#39
There are very few people who can really make sports betting their job. And if they do, it is often accompanied by mala fide practices. in the long run, a gambling site will always win if you play fair. And if you are lucky enough to win a lot, then you will soon get a limit, then the party will be over quickly I think. No idea how much this can be expressed in percentages.
sr. member
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January 07, 2022, 03:53:39 PM
#38
The only safe bet are those bets you placed knowing in advance how the match will play out. In other words, you know of the match fixing that will happen eventually hence you bet on the outcome. These patterns that you have found out isn't 100% exploitable, and could not be considered as safe bets because even favorites to win the match sometimes drop off of their game and deliver lackluster performance. While on paper it is a good betting strategy, in practice this will, most of the time, fail since you cannot expect favorites to always cover the odds that were designated to them by the linemakers.
That is exactly the issue, it seems people do not understand that the odds for each match and each kind of bet are not generated by people but by very complex algorithms that take a great deal of factors into account, so it is almost impossible to find an instance in which a particular bet is going to give you profits consistently, as such it is better to not waste our time with something like this as it has no chance to be a profitable strategy over the long term.
Speaking or talking about some consistent profits then this could be possible but of course it would really be still having those losses.What matter most here is that you do able to make profits in the end of the day
but always be mindful that gambling is something that shouldnt really be engaged too much so that you would really make yourself get rid of possible addiction problems.

Bet according to your knowledge and dont tend to go overboard with your limits. Odds is there and analysis should be made off and not just on jumping without any idea in mind
on what you are doing.
legendary
Activity: 2688
Merit: 1192
January 07, 2022, 03:36:24 PM
#37
I am following English premier League and Australia A league. 80-85% matches 1st half Happen corner over 3.5 that's odds 1.32-1.40 . So anyone wants to safe betting then you can bet there. Not all matches. Select for a team like Manchester United. If Manchester United and it's partner fail to cover 3.5 corner in 1st half in a match then the next match stake high between Manchester United Vs opponent team. That's the simple tricks. This tips dose not work for 100%, so bet your own risk.

It comes back to raw mathematics at the end of the day and the house is far ahead of the average sports better. Let's assume that the sportsbook adds a little edge to every bet, so in reality you see a 1.33 bet but at the core it is a 1.25 with a margin of protection for the house. That means that for you to win over the long term, you need to win once out of every 5 bets - at which point you've made 125% of your original stake in profit. However, if you were to lose just one of those games you'd be at 25% profit. This leaves very little margin for error and whereas you say it is not "100%" guaranteed, there are actually quite a few games out there with over 7 corners total (over both halves) which can easily translate into 3.5+ corners in the first half. Just remember, you're up against these sportsbooks with very deep statistical analysis going on, so it's almost impossible to find a long term edge.
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January 07, 2022, 12:33:16 PM
#36
The only safe bet are those bets you placed knowing in advance how the match will play out. In other words, you know of the match fixing that will happen eventually hence you bet on the outcome. These patterns that you have found out isn't 100% exploitable, and could not be considered as safe bets because even favorites to win the match sometimes drop off of their game and deliver lackluster performance. While on paper it is a good betting strategy, in practice this will, most of the time, fail since you cannot expect favorites to always cover the odds that were designated to them by the linemakers.
That is exactly the issue, it seems people do not understand that the odds for each match and each kind of bet are not generated by people but by very complex algorithms that take a great deal of factors into account, so it is almost impossible to find an instance in which a particular bet is going to give you profits consistently, as such it is better to not waste our time with something like this as it has no chance to be a profitable strategy over the long term.
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January 05, 2022, 09:00:13 AM
#35
As far betting is being discussed, no particular betting option is better than the other one or it is a guarantee for winning every option is a potential winning or losing. Manchester for example has not been a reliable betting team this season. They have not been consistent and going to bet on corner with them is risky. It is better to bet your wish and not to follow prediction because is still falling back to luck.
legendary
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January 05, 2022, 08:51:28 AM
#34
There are a lot of betting options on sports and if it's about betting with an option for the number of corners like for example only half time for a total of 3.5 at odds like that, I personally probably wouldn't be able to bet there. Because for me, right now corner kicks even though it looks easy to get but in fact, when we bet with that option it's like something that is difficult. But yes, it will still depend on what kind of team is competing, because here even if we side with the favorite team it still doesn't make us easy to win even though we only bet on the option number of corner kicks.
legendary
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January 05, 2022, 08:39:40 AM
#33
I am following English premier League and Australia A league. 80-85% matches 1st half Happen corner over 3.5 that's odds 1.32-1.40 . So anyone wants to safe betting then you can bet there. Not all matches. Select for a team like Manchester United. If Manchester United and it's partner fail to cover 3.5 corner in 1st half in a match then the next match stake high between Manchester United Vs opponent team. That's the simple tricks. This tips dose not work for 100%, so bet your own risk.



I'm not a fan of european football. I don't follow the sport or watch games.

Here are some ideas for accurately predicting points over / unders based on observations of other sports.

1.  Some teams start quickly and score more points in the 1st half than the 2nd half. Other teams are the opposite, slow starters. Some teams have good cardio and endurance, while others are explosive but lack the endurance to play well in the 2nd half. Observations can be drawn based on team performance, which can increase accuracy.

2.  In the mid to late season, teams that are in the running for playoffs will usually be more competitive and score more points than teams that are out of contention for playoffs. Factors such as these can help to generalize how motivated teams are to show up, score points and win games.

3.  Team rivalries. There are rivalries which lead to some teams trying much harder to win the game, than they would if they played a team they didn't care about. Team rivalries are sometimes a good environment for calling points over.

Long story short, there are many indicators and observations which can be drawn from sports which remain somewhat consistent over time.

Part of being a successful gambler is observing games and finding patterns and a formula for making predictions that have good accuracy. IMO anyway.
sr. member
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January 05, 2022, 05:00:23 AM
#32
so bet your own risk.
Of course, everyone knows that, gambling is risky.

What is certain is that everyone has good and bad experiences in soccer betting, it all depends on how they make bets there are direct low odds, but they make a bet 10x the betting odds for example: 2.71 : 3.39 : 2.47 this is the initial bet if one soccer team is weak.

That's my experience, as I said above, I bet depending on the team, I mean the opposing team is weak, but if the second team is strong I don't place a bet in the first half, I will place in the last bank at 70-80 minutes, the odds for me are quite promising and the bet goes up from the beginning to 40.60x10.

Eg: English league today Chelsea vs. Liverpool, of course I will bet at the last minute and if the opposing team like Leeds United vs. Burnley I will double the bet for one of them 10x the original bet.

Betting is a risk, so anyone should really do it just based on their risk appetite. We all have varying risk tolerance which explains why some win big and win small, while some win small or lose small. It just depends on how much you are willing to shed for a sports bet.

In sports betting, the chances of you as a gambler winning a bet is in the hands of the player, so you must know how to distinguish which team is strong and which team is weak. By knowing which of the teams have the higher edge of getting the goal will give you a better opportunity to win your bet. So, in this case, you must know first the backgrounds of the teams playing, most specifically their history and track records. Although sometimes there is also a sudden and quick turn of events despite being certain on the first half that the team you bet on is going to win. I think it's a mix of luck and skills of the players and the twists of events that could get you your bag of money.
legendary
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January 05, 2022, 02:30:08 AM
#31
TS suggests using the Martingale strategy although people who understand how it works never tie two separate events together. Personally, I think this strategy is not successful and you will lose your money in the long run. That's why it's better to analyze the teams than to try your luck.
I am glad that someone else picked up as well because that is what I got from it as well, it seems @Amuls is using a very simple betting strategy that according to him has a high chance of happening.

However then he recommends that in the case that you happen to lose to increase the amount we bet during the next match, which is just another form of martingale, and we know that martingale has no chance of working over the long term.

It depends in sport betting as you can't always in theory lose every bet you make so as long as you have enough bankroll to double your bet until you win Martingale can work here.This is theory only because in practice is different.Of course it needs a hell lot of patience which is missing in 99% of us,the gamblers but if you put some effort to it you can win.The example the OP makes is a good one with just over 3.5 corners in the first half and if in a couple of games this does not happen I am confident in the third or fourth bet it can happen.In the end let us keep in mind that there is no working strategy in gambling and sport betting otherwise we would not have as many bookies as we have right now.
hero member
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January 04, 2022, 10:59:12 PM
#30
I am following English premier League and Australia A league. 80-85% matches 1st half Happen corner over 3.5 that's odds 1.32-1.40 . So anyone wants to safe betting then you can bet there. Not all matches. Select for a team like Manchester United. If Manchester United and it's partner fail to cover 3.5 corner in 1st half in a match then the next match stake high between Manchester United Vs opponent team. That's the simple tricks. This tips dose not work for 100%, so bet your own risk.

Any stats to back this claim up?

I don't think that it's a long term feasible strategy to adopt. People are going to realize that this trend exists (if it actually exists in the first place) and the odds will start to reflect that sooner or later.

Unless you have an algorithm and extensive research, I don't think that these simplistic bets work anymore to generate positive EV consistently.
legendary
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January 04, 2022, 04:30:58 PM
#29
The only safe bet are those bets you placed knowing in advance how the match will play out. In other words, you know of the match fixing that will happen eventually hence you bet on the outcome. These patterns that you have found out isn't 100% exploitable, and could not be considered as safe bets because even favorites to win the match sometimes drop off of their game and deliver lackluster performance. While on paper it is a good betting strategy, in practice this will, most of the time, fail since you cannot expect favorites to always cover the odds that were designated to them by the linemakers.

It's not gambling if you know that you will win!!! Smiley

I guess that OP had some lucky strake with his bets! Why not, that happens to every regular gambler... he found some nice method and he just shared it! Like with all others, I believe this can work sometimes, but there's no method that works all the time! After all, "80-85% matches 1st half Happen corner over 3."  are nice and high chances, but we saw them fall... even higher ones fall! By the way, I don't bet on corners, I think it's all about pure luck!
hero member
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January 04, 2022, 04:02:06 PM
#28
The only safe bet are those bets you placed knowing in advance how the match will play out. In other words, you know of the match fixing that will happen eventually hence you bet on the outcome. These patterns that you have found out isn't 100% exploitable, and could not be considered as safe bets because even favorites to win the match sometimes drop off of their game and deliver lackluster performance. While on paper it is a good betting strategy, in practice this will, most of the time, fail since you cannot expect favorites to always cover the odds that were designated to them by the linemakers.

Match fixing is something I don't recommend to anyone unless you want to get yourself in trouble. There are also players looking for mistakes on websites that claim they are value bets. What do other people actually think about this? It's also a bit like cheating. Recently had several examples around this situation with covid. On the one hand, it's very smart, but on the other hand, I think bookmakers are cracking down on this too?
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