Topic: Sport's betting experience - page 3. (Read 513 times)
The only safe bet are those bets you placed knowing in advance how the match will play out. In other words, you know of the match fixing that will happen eventually hence you bet on the outcome. These patterns that you have found out isn't 100% exploitable, and could not be considered as safe bets because even favorites to win the match sometimes drop off of their game and deliver lackluster performance. While on paper it is a good betting strategy, in practice this will, most of the time, fail since you cannot expect favorites to always cover the odds that were designated to them by the linemakers.
I am following English premier League and Australia A league. 80-85% matches 1st half Happen corner over 3.5 that's odds 1.32-1.40 . So anyone wants to safe betting then you can bet there. Not all matches. Select for a team like Manchester United. If Manchester United and it's partner fail to cover 3.5 corner in 1st half in a match then the next match stake high between Manchester United Vs opponent team. That's the simple tricks. This tips dose not work for 100%, so bet your own risk.
^ I think not every match has the same result and you are right, bet at your risk because these tips won't have a guarantee that has a perfect result. Predicting what will be the result per match is very hard to know, what if you will lose in the first match and applying those strategies in the next match but it will lose again. This conclusion won't work perfectly and probably knowing the team condition is a better way to draw a conclusion on who will win in the next match.
I am following English premier League and Australia A league. 80-85% matches 1st half Happen corner over 3.5 that's odds 1.32-1.40 . So anyone wants to safe betting then you can bet there. Not all matches. Select for a team like Manchester United. If Manchester United and it's partner fail to cover 3.5 corner in 1st half in a match then the next match stake high between Manchester United Vs opponent team. That's the simple tricks. This tips dose not work for 100%, so bet your own risk.
Your post is contradictory, because firstly you mentioned the strategy as a safe betting method, but on your last phrase you say this tip doesn't work 100%. It means the strategy may work or not, like any other we can make use of.Anyway, it's an interesting concept that can be useful for some gamblers as a start point to develop their own betting patterns, by improving the one shared by you.
Live betting can be very profitable if you are more certain of the game then those who fear losing their bet, you take part in that premium of them closing a bet early and its usually more rewarding to do well then betting long before the game. Makes spectating with some insight an enjoyable thing to do, also slightly frantic as the odds are constantly changing but I like how the odds flip during the game events.
I am following English premier League and Australia A league. 80-85% matches 1st half Happen corner over 3.5 that's odds 1.32-1.40 . So anyone wants to safe betting then you can bet there. Not all matches. Select for a team like Manchester United. If Manchester United and it's partner fail to cover 3.5 corner in 1st half in a match then the next match stake high between Manchester United Vs opponent team. That's the simple tricks. This tips dose not work for 100%, so bet your own risk.
Not going to happen.
Sportsbetting markets are efficient so there is virtually no long term exploitable pattern for sportsbettors to be able to take advantage of. Unless you have extensive backtesting/insider info/arbitrage opportunities.
Your EV, at the end of the day, is likely still going to be negative regardless of how many times you do this - or how many times you have won in the past.
I agree. The opportunities for profitable and successful beting do not happen when the result is clear, but rather when you are able to gain some inside knowledge or have some advantage that is not known to the general public and allows you to place a bet with some asymmetric advantage to your forecast. That is very rarely if ever going to happen with teams that are well known and well followed, as people and bookies are really on top of them.
I am following English premier League and Australia A league. 80-85% matches 1st half Happen corner over 3.5 that's odds 1.32-1.40 . So anyone wants to safe betting then you can bet there. Not all matches. Select for a team like Manchester United. If Manchester United and it's partner fail to cover 3.5 corner in 1st half in a match then the next match stake high between Manchester United Vs opponent team. That's the simple tricks. This tips dose not work for 100%, so bet your own risk.
Your post is contradictory, because firstly you mentioned the strategy as a safe betting method, but on your last phrase you say this tip doesn't work 100%. It means the strategy may work or not, like any other we can make use of.Anyway, it's an interesting concept that can be useful for some gamblers as a start point to develop their own betting patterns, by improving the one shared by you.
which same as you said that nothing is assured and this one is really contradicting thats why people reading up specially noobs should really be careful on believing on things.
Nothing beats out when you do play and make bets according into your own knowledge and specifically on a certain sport.
I am following English premier League and Australia A league. 80-85% matches 1st half Happen corner over 3.5 that's odds 1.32-1.40 . So anyone wants to safe betting then you can bet there. Not all matches. Select for a team like Manchester United. If Manchester United and it's partner fail to cover 3.5 corner in 1st half in a match then the next match stake high between Manchester United Vs opponent team. That's the simple tricks. This tips dose not work for 100%, so bet your own risk.
Your post is contradictory, because firstly you mentioned the strategy as a safe betting method, but on your last phrase you say this tip doesn't work 100%. It means the strategy may work or not, like any other we can make use of.Anyway, it's an interesting concept that can be useful for some gamblers as a start point to develop their own betting patterns, by improving the one shared by you.
TS suggests using the Martingale strategy although people who understand how it works never tie two separate events together. Personally, I think this strategy is not successful and you will lose your money in the long run. That's why it's better to analyze the teams than to try your luck.
I am glad that someone else picked up as well because that is what I got from it as well, it seems @Amuls is using a very simple betting strategy that according to him has a high chance of happening.However then he recommends that in the case that you happen to lose to increase the amount we bet during the next match, which is just another form of martingale, and we know that martingale has no chance of working over the long term.
I am following English premier League and Australia A league. 80-85% matches 1st half Happen corner over 3.5 that's odds 1.32-1.40 . So anyone wants to safe betting then you can bet there. Not all matches. Select for a team like Manchester United. If Manchester United and it's partner fail to cover 3.5 corner in 1st half in a match then the next match stake high between Manchester United Vs opponent team. That's the simple tricks. This tips dose not work for 100%, so bet your own risk.
Not going to happen.
Sportsbetting markets are efficient so there is virtually no long term exploitable pattern for sportsbettors to be able to take advantage of. Unless you have extensive backtesting/insider info/arbitrage opportunities.
Your EV, at the end of the day, is likely still going to be negative regardless of how many times you do this - or how many times you have won in the past.
This. If It was possible to exploit a certain pattern, then everybody do it and everybody would win. Since everybody cannot win at the same time, no pattern/strategy can work in the long term.
For this strategy to work, you need to win every 3 games out of 4. That is If the odds are ~1.34. With lower odds, then you'll need to win more. Out of 100 games, you need to win 75 of them at least so you won't lose money. The moment you catch an unlucky streak, you'll lose your principal and it will be over. Unlucky streaks do happen.
the strategy has really no assurance of winning all the time. it depends on the situation. and you're right, one losing match, and all your winnings will be wiped out. but good that the OP share his observations, who knows such insight will be used by some bettors here. but they do need to be careful in selecting the team.
still, in sportsbetting, there's no 100% assurance of the winning team even if the team you are rooting for is the stronger one. there will be other factors that may possibly affect the outcome of the game.
That's honestly something that can work for some people and for some, it might not, I honestly loved the idea of YOSHIE to bet at the second half, my friends generally try and place the bets as soon as the match start because of the impaired judgement by alcohol or maybe by their biases. At the same time I am super careful and try and avoid betting on the scores, honestly I never won on that, people usually just try and bet on simple things like *who will win?* That's about it and most of them usually go through the *expert picks*as well there are so many articles that you can find online where people sit back and analyze who might win and why ? I have been going through quite a few and taking them as references, here on the forum as well we have so many prediction threads but no trick at the end of the day can work 100% of the time.
I am following English premier League and Australia A league. 80-85% matches 1st half Happen corner over 3.5 that's odds 1.32-1.40 . So anyone wants to safe betting then you can bet there. Not all matches. Select for a team like Manchester United. If Manchester United and it's partner fail to cover 3.5 corner in 1st half in a match then the next match stake high between Manchester United Vs opponent team. That's the simple tricks. This tips dose not work for 100%, so bet your own risk.
Not going to happen.
Sportsbetting markets are efficient so there is virtually no long term exploitable pattern for sportsbettors to be able to take advantage of. Unless you have extensive backtesting/insider info/arbitrage opportunities.
Your EV, at the end of the day, is likely still going to be negative regardless of how many times you do this - or how many times you have won in the past.
This is true, while there may be small anomalies that pop up there is unlikely to be any advantage you can get from established bookmakers in the long term.You might win 10 games in a row using this strategy and think it pays off - only to have all your victories reset by the statistical average reverting causing 4 losses in a row. Bookmakers add a certain margin to each bet which gives them a buffer, so while the actual bet before this margin might be 1.2, the bookmaker will bump it to 1.3 or 1.4 to make sure that they have enough margin for error over a wide range of bets that they accept. No bookmaker will last for long if they were leaking money and they are always adjusting their strategy behind the scenes to cope with things like this.
I am following English premier League and Australia A league. 80-85% matches 1st half Happen corner over 3.5 that's odds 1.32-1.40 . So anyone wants to safe betting then you can bet there. Not all matches. Select for a team like Manchester United. If Manchester United and it's partner fail to cover 3.5 corner in 1st half in a match then the next match stake high between Manchester United Vs opponent team. That's the simple tricks. This tips dose not work for 100%, so bet your own risk.
Not going to happen.
Sportsbetting markets are efficient so there is virtually no long term exploitable pattern for sportsbettors to be able to take advantage of. Unless you have extensive backtesting/insider info/arbitrage opportunities.
Your EV, at the end of the day, is likely still going to be negative regardless of how many times you do this - or how many times you have won in the past.
This. If It was possible to exploit a certain pattern, then everybody do it and everybody would win. Since everybody cannot win at the same time, no pattern/strategy can work in the long term.
For this strategy to work, you need to win every 3 games out of 4. That is If the odds are ~1.34. With lower odds, then you'll need to win more. Out of 100 games, you need to win 75 of them at least so you won't lose money. The moment you catch an unlucky streak, you'll lose your principal and it will be over. Unlucky streaks do happen.
TS suggests using the Martingale strategy although people who understand how it works never tie two separate events together. Personally, I think this strategy is not successful and you will lose your money in the long run. That's why it's better to analyze the teams than to try your luck.
Tell me if I understood the strategy you are proposing correctly: initially, we believe that the event "the first half of the corners are greater than 3.5" has effective odds in the 1.32-1.4 region. We must wait until this event does not happen for some team and the chances of the next match for this event will increase (become more than 1.4) and at that moment make a bet. Right?
The odds fixed between 1.32-1.40So, you are just suggesting to bet on this outcome because you think that the bookmakers misjudge the chances of this event? To be honest, it's hard to believe in this - bookmakers use statistics for such long periods that are simply not available for ordinary bettors. Plus, they process it not only with the help of experts, but also using AI, so I strongly doubt that they are mistaken in such simple estimates as in your example.
good for your observation OP ,to be honest never bet on corner kick also not as good at observing gambling stations as you ! will try to deepen the strategy that you posted at one time bet with a small amount but with other statistics because if lose then I can't blame anyone 
thanks your experience looks easy
thanks your experience looks easy 
I am following English premier League and Australia A league. 80-85% matches 1st half Happen corner over 3.5 that's odds 1.32-1.40 . So anyone wants to safe betting then you can bet there. Not all matches. Select for a team like Manchester United. If Manchester United and it's partner fail to cover 3.5 corner in 1st half in a match then the next match stake high between Manchester United Vs opponent team. That's the simple tricks. This tips dose not work for 100%, so bet your own risk.
If this event really has a stable probability in the range of 80-85%, and the bookmakers offer odds of 1.32-1.4, then the bet on this outcome is profitable. Can you tell in more detail how you got this data and based on statistics for what period? In 10 matches, in 100 or more? Because if this is a small dataset, then fluctuations can be very large and the real probabilities of the occurrence of this event will be very different from those obtained by you.
I am following English premier League and Australia A league. 80-85% matches 1st half Happen corner over 3.5 that's odds 1.32-1.40 . So anyone wants to safe betting then you can bet there. Not all matches. Select for a team like Manchester United. If Manchester United and it's partner fail to cover 3.5 corner in 1st half in a match then the next match stake high between Manchester United Vs opponent team. That's the simple tricks. This tips dose not work for 100%, so bet your own risk.
Tell me if I understood the strategy you are proposing correctly: initially, we believe that the event "the first half of the corners are greater than 3.5" has effective odds in the 1.32-1.4 region. We must wait until this event does not happen for some team and the chances of the next match for this event will increase (become more than 1.4) and at that moment make a bet. Right?
I am also intrigued about this information from OP, and I would want tot try it and see the results for myself. You are indeed right about the downside of this strategy, and that being said although it may have worked, there still risks in doing so. I bet you would also agree that no strategy has nor risks, right? Nevertheless, you’ll never know if you won’t try, so I’ll go try it while taking note of what you guys have been responding here.
I am following English premier League and Australia A league. 80-85% matches 1st half Happen corner over 3.5 that's odds 1.32-1.40 . So anyone wants to safe betting then you can bet there. Not all matches. Select for a team like Manchester United. If Manchester United and it's partner fail to cover 3.5 corner in 1st half in a match then the next match stake high between Manchester United Vs opponent team. That's the simple tricks. This tips dose not work for 100%, so bet your own risk.
Tell me if I understood the strategy you are proposing correctly: initially, we believe that the event "the first half of the corners are greater than 3.5" has effective odds in the 1.32-1.4 region. We must wait until this event does not happen for some team and the chances of the next match for this event will increase (become more than 1.4) and at that moment make a bet. Right?
Interesting information, I rarely go for the corner markets in football but I might give it a try next time if I get a free bet and maybe include it in a bet builder since the bookie i'm using at the moment barely has alt lines on the first half corners. The only downside in this type of strategy is that it only takes a couple of losses until you find yourself in a hole but if you're finding success then good to know. Also instead of staking high I suggest following some bet sizing (units) in order to maintain a bit of bankroll management.
Jump to: