Sportsbet.io Betting discussion thread rev - page 131.

icopress

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Quote from: ralle14 on September 18, 2021, 03:06:03 AM

Ronaldo, Lukkaku and Salah to score 7 or more points in fantasy @7.00

I took this ... but I have a counter question.

What if one of these three guys, for some reason, remains on the bench for the entire duration of the match? Will the bet be considered lost or canceled?

ralle14

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Quote from: Trofo on September 13, 2021, 07:58:05 AM

Is there a roulette that gives half of the stake back when 0 hits? Never seen that one.

Yup there is, I found the table name yesterday it's called auto roulette la partage under evolution gaming.

I don't know much about the fantasy stuff but the daily special is worth a shot at the given odds : Ronaldo, Lukkaku and Salah to score 7 or more points in fantasy @7.00

Last week, Salah got 8points against Leeds , Ronaldo got 13 points against Newcastle and Lukkaku got 13 points against Aston Villa.

Edit : One down two more to go, Salah got 12 points in. Cheesy

notblox1

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I am warming up for tonights Champions League and I saw that Sportsbet Bet 6-6 promotion is ready again with Premier League Round 5 and this six matches:

Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Brentford
Burnley vs Arsenal
Norwich City vs Watford
Aston Villa vs Everton
Brighton & Hove Albion vs Leicester City
West Ham United vs Manchester United

It's going to be tricky predicting results of this matches because some of this teams are playing in Europe tonight and tomorrow.
I don't have oracle or time machine so I will have to follow my gut felling again

https://sportsbet.io/sports/bet-free-6-6

arallmuus

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Quote from: buwaytress on September 13, 2021, 01:38:40 AM

Quote from: arallmuus on September 12, 2021, 11:44:35 AM

-snip

I can't say. Again, don't take my suggestions as advice!

A regular dealer chance to bust is approximately 28%, just over 1 in 4 hands, hence why I wait for a 3-streak no bust from dealer before I start martingaling. But Freebet Blackjack uses 4 decks and seems to end the shoe some time in the middle, so I don't know how that affects probability, but I figure it's probably about the same.

Yeah I kinda get it, its kinda different with a regular BJ because 22 will be considered as a push so its kinda messing up with the probability somehow

Quote from: buwaytress on September 13, 2021, 01:38:40 AM

You also can't control how players hit (you know, those guys hitting on hard 20, for example) and how that affects dealer bust probability but I believe it evens out over time

This is probably the most absurd thing that I have ever seen. There will be always atleast 1 dumbass that keep on hitting the hit button even after getting 20 or 19. Although sometimes this helps the dealer bust or hit 17 afterward, I think this just doesnt make any sense at all and its pretty dumb

Quote from: buwaytress on September 13, 2021, 01:38:40 AM

Are you sure you only got 2x? 4-card bust pays out 2:1 (effectively a 3x).

I cant really remember but probably it was 3-card bust

Quote from: Trofo on September 13, 2021, 07:58:05 AM

we are way below 200, 166 to be exact.

Heck yeah, we are not even on 15 days mark yet. I hope we get less than 50 players by the end of the contest, getting atleast 0.02 btc should be good enough

Trofo

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Quote from: ralle14 on September 13, 2021, 02:24:06 AM

Damn you guys sound fearless with those sidebet strategies, now I kind of want to try blackjack as an alternative to roulette since it's the only game i've been playing so far. Cheesy

Plus i'm looking for that roulette game with a very small house edge where if you bet on red/black and whenever the ball lands on green you'd get half of you stake back.

Also it's been a while since we had an update to the list, hopefully once it updates later today the total participant goes down below 200.

List has been updated and your wish came trough, we are way below 200, 166 to be exact. Sounds quite good to me after only 7 days of playing. Still only 6 mBTC per participant so I am hoping for way more drop outs Grin

That blackjack sounds way to complicated for me. I am staying on roulette, game which I can understand. Is there a roulette that gives half of the stake back when 0 hits? Never seen that one.

ralle14

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Damn you guys sound fearless with those sidebet strategies, now I kind of want to try blackjack as an alternative to roulette since it's the only game i've been playing so far. Cheesy

Plus i'm looking for that roulette game with a very small house edge where if you bet on red/black and whenever the ball lands on green you'd get half of you stake back.

Also it's been a while since we had an update to the list, hopefully once it updates later today the total participant goes down below 200.

Edit : Snagged this multi special at the last minute (boosted from 2.70 to 2.90) hopefully it hits so I don't have to replenish my balance.

buwaytress

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Quote from: arallmuus on September 12, 2021, 11:44:35 AM

So is it worth it to bet on the sidebet though? they rarely hit but sometimes It could go over 10x lol. Bust it is the only sidebet that I have tried so far and the maximum multiplier that I got was 2x

I can't say. Again, don't take my suggestions as advice!

A regular dealer chance to bust is approximately 28%, just over 1 in 4 hands, hence why I wait for a 3-streak no bust from dealer before I start martingaling. But Freebet Blackjack uses 4 decks and seems to end the shoe some time in the middle, so I don't know how that affects probability, but I figure it's probably about the same. You also can't control how players hit (you know, those guys hitting on hard 20, for example) and how that affects dealer bust probability but I believe it evens out over time

Check the Help (question mark) section and look under Payouts.

Are you sure you only got 2x? 4-card bust pays out 2:1 (effectively a 3x).

arallmuus

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Quote from: buwaytress on September 12, 2021, 04:27:47 AM

Quote from: arallmuus on September 11, 2021, 03:28:41 PM

-snip

I wouldn't keep doing that, of course. 105 days or so left, you're bound to hit a bad streak. Just keep playing to get the min, use up the wins, and then try again maybe when you're in the red -- again, don't take my advice, this is just how I play.

It seems I jinxed it already lol. This is the first time I ended up losing after playing for 25 times lol. Its not that bad, I was down 1.2 mbtc today but overall Im still in green right now so its all good.

Quote from: buwaytress on September 12, 2021, 04:27:47 AM

Free double's very good too, though right? Even if you don't get a 10, dealer could still bust and you're good.

The only weird thing about this freebet blackjack is that it will be a push if dealer hits 22 but I guess its sort of expected that they put some twist for it considering that they give us free double and free split to make up for the House Edge

So is it worth it to bet on the sidebet though? they rarely hit but sometimes It could go over 10x lol. Bust it is the only sidebet that I have tried so far and the maximum multiplier that I got was 2x

buwaytress

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Quote from: arallmuus on September 11, 2021, 03:28:41 PM

I tried your recommendation on freebet Blacjack and Im currently up like 3-4 mbtc so far in two days, betting 0.2 mbtc for each round. So far so good and I think this is my new favourite BJ lol. Totally love the free double, I rarely use the free split but its pretty nice to have the free double because the next card could be pretty bad sometimes. Imagine getting 11 then hitting 2 on the next card, thats pretty disgusting lol

One question though, does the bust it sidebet only pays up 2x? or will it goes up according to how many times the dealer doesnt get busted

I wouldn't keep doing that, of course. 105 days or so left, you're bound to hit a bad streak. Just keep playing to get the min, use up the wins, and then try again maybe when you're in the red -- again, don't take my advice, this is just how I play.

Free double's very good too, though right? Even if you don't get a 10, dealer could still bust and you're good.

Click the Help button, it's the question mark [?] on top right. Then click Payout for more info.
3 card bust: 2/1
4 card bust 4/1
5 card bust: 9/1 (hit once for me this round)
6 card bust: 50/1 (I love this, hit it twice last Live Hero).
7 or more I can't remember.

arallmuus

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Quote from: buwaytress on September 11, 2021, 03:25:37 AM

and a few days already way more than 5 mbtc haha

I tried your recommendation on freebet Blacjack and Im currently up like 3-4 mbtc so far in two days, betting 0.2 mbtc for each round. So far so good and I think this is my new favourite BJ lol. Totally love the free double, I rarely use the free split but its pretty nice to have the free double because the next card could be pretty bad sometimes. Imagine getting 11 then hitting 2 on the next card, thats pretty disgusting lol

One question though, does the bust it sidebet only pays up 2x? or will it goes up according to how many times the dealer doesnt get busted

rdbase

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Quote from: buwaytress on September 11, 2021, 03:25:37 AM

Alert guys, 288.88 special on all games in EPL today to score under 2.5 goals.

It won't happen because well, we've got big guns playing today and hard to see not even one 2-1 win happening, but still, good value for me.

And on Casino Live, yeah same here, 0 as in today, and not going for more, and a few days already way more than 5 mbtc haha (usually to chase back a deep loss). Definitely not good to keep playing like that, to only have completed a week and already do that twice doesn't bode well. Going to try and keep things steady and use up my wins.

Saw that special but woke up too late to see if I was able to take it.
But yeah buywayress, we are all expecting alot of goals today with the break being over and the first set of match in the EPL along with the debt of Ronaldo in the red again.

Nobody really knows if he will be in the starting line up in the Manchester United match against New Castle.
Because that would mean they will need to drop someone in the current lineup. Maybe Greenwood?
I sure hope he does start and not put him in the last minutes remaining left of the match just like Pep did for Jack Grealish when he made his a weeks ago for City.

buwaytress

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Quote from: ralle14 on September 11, 2021, 04:48:12 AM

There's also a boosted daily special on Leicester to win (6.00 to 8.00) vs Man City. I don't have the guts to take underdogs in the EPL so i'll skip on it.
====
Afaik the next day in live casino hero starts once it's 12am UTC similar to forum time. The leaderboards doesn't update that fast though, I think they only update it later on during the day.

Goddang, it came after I made my own bet on Leicester, even wasted my daily football boost to get it to 6.50. Don't mind adding a bit more on to it though, you know I love betting against Citeh and Leicester already gave me a nice win early days.

Only underdog worth today is Villa at 14/1 but I don't think Chelsea will do worse than a draw at home.

For me Live Casino shows the time of the device I connect from. I've noticed when on a connection from my original home it shows that local time.

I use Server time also though (which is UTC time, as you say, same as bitcointalk time, so it's easy to remember when Daylight Savings happens). You can see this on the Casino lobby before you play.

ralle14

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There's also a boosted daily special on Leicester to win (6.00 to 8.00) vs Man City. I don't have the guts to take underdogs in the EPL so i'll skip on it.

I'm always in the red for every live casino hero session but i've somewhat recovered with the help of a couple sports bet.

Quote from: Trofo on September 09, 2021, 03:53:43 PM

Anybody knows what is a "day" in live casino hero? I.e. When the day starts and ends? Checked the participants table today and I can see that most of the participants have 4 days, and I am on 3 even though I wagered more than 5 mBTC every day. Have a feeling it will be another question for live support

Afaik the next day in live casino hero starts once it's 12am UTC similar to forum time. The leaderboards doesn't update that fast though, I think they only update it later on during the day.

buwaytress

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Alert guys, 288.88 special on all games in EPL today to score under 2.5 goals.

It won't happen because well, we've got big guns playing today and hard to see not even one 2-1 win happening, but still, good value for me.

And on Casino Live, yeah same here, 0 as in today, and not going for more, and a few days already way more than 5 mbtc haha (usually to chase back a deep loss). Definitely not good to keep playing like that, to only have completed a week and already do that twice doesn't bode well. Going to try and keep things steady and use up my wins.

Trofo

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Quote from: buwaytress on September 09, 2021, 03:50:43 AM

Been using live casino to win back my losses on specials this entire week, so far so good. But will be really glad for EPL action again as have been taking unnecessary risks to chase small losses, not too happy with myself =p

Ended all the days so war on 0 or in the green, hopefully the luck will hold.

Anybody knows what is a "day" in live casino hero? I.e. When the day starts and ends? Checked the participants table today and I can see that most of the participants have 4 days, and I am on 3 even though I wagered more than 5 mBTC every day. Have a feeling it will be another question for live support

Hopefully history button in live casino shows real values and days since I used that to track my progress.

Edit: I guess the table was partially updated, all ok now
221 people left which comes out to about 4.5 mBTC

buwaytress

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Man, frustrating misses on the specials. Zverev special missed by one game in the second set (and of course plenty of aces), while Djoker was far too good in all his winning sets, special was dead also in second set.

Been using live casino to win back my losses on specials this entire week, so far so good. But will be really glad for EPL action again as have been taking unnecessary risks to chase small losses, not too happy with myself =p

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Quote from: Trofo on September 08, 2021, 09:08:39 AM

@buwayters and others

There is interesting special now live Djokovic To Win 3-1 & Over 9.5 Games In Each Set @40

I actually think it should end 3:1 in sets for Djokovic and if we got lucky that Beretiini serves first, this could pass. Anyway I am seeing value in this one and taking it. Long odds but much better than those specials with aces in it.

I took the special for this one with Djokovic even though I saw the Zverev one and had to decide which one to favor. So went with the higher odds one.
Sasha didn't get his aces in the second set needed to win the bet when the same special was offered earlier in the week.
So this also made my decision a bit easier too. Wink

Just going to sit down after this post to watch the match and relax a bit after a hectic work week. Embarrassed

Good luck to all who managed to see these special early cause they are there then gone after a couple of hours.
So you gotta be quick about taking them on.

Quote from: notblox1 on September 08, 2021, 03:31:36 PM

Quote from: Trofo on September 07, 2021, 06:32:51 PM

You have your solution right there, bet only on sports that you follow and markets that are profitable for you.

I like betting on UFC and MMA events because draw is something that is not happening so often, so you have 50-50 coin flip chance.
Betting on other sports I like to support underdogs sometimes and play double chance so I am doing something similar and playing it more safe by eliminating one outcome.
Draw is happening more in some sports so we have 33-33-33 for home win, draw and away win, so double chance or asian handicap is my strategy, but it is not perfect because sometimes I fail.

Quote from: buwaytress on September 08, 2021, 07:28:46 AM

I know my game's football and my profits are generally in EPL, but also I spend time on the Big 4 leagues. 20/1+ underdogs for the past 4/5 seasons really give me so much cushion for bad runs, and there's always, always a handful of such wins every season.

I can't keep up following all big leagues, so I do follow Premier League and Championship, and when there is some betting competition I follow some matches from other leagues.
Underdog strategy is much better then betting always on favorites with small odds.

I believe these draw in the UFC are called split decisions by the judges as some casinos count these as not a win in their books and sometimes gives your stake amount back.
But not all of them see it this way, so it depends on which casino you had placed your bets on for these UFC matches.

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Quote from: Trofo on September 07, 2021, 06:32:51 PM

You have your solution right there, bet only on sports that you follow and markets that are profitable for you.

I like betting on UFC and MMA events because draw is something that is not happening so often, so you have 50-50 coin flip chance.
Betting on other sports I like to support underdogs sometimes and play double chance so I am doing something similar and playing it more safe by eliminating one outcome.
Draw is happening more in some sports so we have 33-33-33 for home win, draw and away win, so double chance or asian handicap is my strategy, but it is not perfect because sometimes I fail.

Quote from: buwaytress on September 08, 2021, 07:28:46 AM

I know my game's football and my profits are generally in EPL, but also I spend time on the Big 4 leagues. 20/1+ underdogs for the past 4/5 seasons really give me so much cushion for bad runs, and there's always, always a handful of such wins every season.

I can't keep up following all big leagues, so I do follow Premier League and Championship, and when there is some betting competition I follow some matches from other leagues.
Underdog strategy is much better then betting always on favorites with small odds.

arallmuus

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Quote from: buwaytress on September 08, 2021, 12:05:15 PM

You're right, that's a really dumb way to do roulette haha, one 0 and you wipe out, 4 zeroes and you're already -EV

Yeah the proper method is to play with optimum strat otherwise it will be -EV by the end of the tournament and so far I have been lucky with that dumb strat lol

Quote from: buwaytress on September 08, 2021, 12:05:15 PM

Choose a game with good RTP, I go for freebet blackjack 99.29% RTP. I play 0.1mbtc every hand, always take the free double down and free splits (depending on dealer card of course). That's a very good balance return if you just stick to 50 hands. Some days you win, some you lose.

But I also, occasionally, take the bust sidebet.
-snip

Thats a pretty good way to play but if you take the sidebet as well that means it should take less than 50 hands with 0.1 mbtc wager on the BJ to get minimum of 5 mbtc wagered everyday isnt it? So how much should we wager for the sidebet?

Quote from: buwaytress on September 08, 2021, 12:05:15 PM

if you win it, you get stake back too, (e.g. 1 mbtc freebet on 2/1 win gets you 2mbtc, unlike sports freebet).

Dang I didnt know this

Quote from: Trofo on September 08, 2021, 01:25:14 PM

My strategy for live casino hero is no strategy at all. I play red or black for 0.25 chips, and then start doubling the stakes after it does not go my way in couple of spins.

So its pretty much similar to martingale huh. Probably will try various way for this live hero tournament. Gotta find the best way to minimize loss from playing until this ends. We'll see how this goes though for the first 30 days

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Quote from: buwaytress on September 08, 2021, 12:05:15 PM

Casino freebet is quite good btw, if you win it, you get stake back too, (e.g. 1 mbtc freebet on 2/1 win gets you 2mbtc, unlike sports freebet).

Did not know that. What is the logic behind this? Surely something wrong with how they set it up on the site.

My strategy for live casino hero is no strategy at all. I play red or black for 0.25 chips, and then start doubling the stakes after it does not go my way in couple of spins. Sort of gambling for real and not trying to use the system. So far I ended day one without profits or loses, won 2 mBTC on day 2 and lost 1 mBTC on day 3 (but I forced it big time, last bet was for 3 mBTC and the ball ended on zero). I wagered more than 5 mBTC every day, closer to 10.

Topic: Sportsbet.io Betting discussion thread rev - page 131. (Read 60873 times)