Sportsbet.io Betting discussion thread rev - page 154.

morvillz7z

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Imagine if we had a promo with O/U own goals scored, it would most likely have won by now. If only... Sad

Btw, does anyone know which EURO has had the most (and how many) own goals? I think we have 6 5 so far, which is a lot at this stage of the tournament.

"Portugal are the first European nation ever to concede two own goals in a single match at a major tournament (World Cup or Euros)."
source: https://twitter.com/OptaJoe/status/1406292950922022919

buwaytress

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Round 3 Bet Free 6-6 is open, don't forget gentlemen!

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Quote from: Trofo on June 19, 2021, 02:20:11 AM

21 in a group is going as well as could be expected. We have that great group with Netherlands, Ukraine...

I am more disappointed with over 11.5 in all groups. No way we are getting there in England group. They are my biggest disappointment of the tournament so far. One of the favourites should play better and much more attacking. Kane did not have a shot in 2 games. WTF? Go take tips from Italy and Belgium.

Even as round 2 was going on I was already prepared to get money back on all those specials; to be fair, most of them were not expected to hit anyway, but let's see if Spain/France/Germany can still remind us why they were the early tournament favourites (except England which I think is always because of bookie margins they totally don't deserve their odds). Group D now need to find a way to score 6 in their final game, so that alone should kill that special... but then we also have E and F who're competing to disappoint;)

Group A: 10
Group B: 9
Group C: 14
Group D: 6
Group E: 4 with 2 games in hand
Group F: 5 with 1 game in hand

I've actually been doing well with picks, problem for me is I've also been parlaying them with Copa and Asian games which keep losing me legs. That said, I've won back insurance almost every day now on the 5-legs, as EURO favs minus England have been showing up.

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Quote from: buwaytress on June 19, 2021, 01:52:13 AM

The second 0-0 of the group stages so far, and tight 1-0s and 1-1s, I guess the 120 goal special is looking worse and worse, and also running out of games for the Over 4.5 goals scored by a team in a match. And also not so good for 21 in a group.

Ah well, we can hope for a crazy round 3, hopefully for those guys desperate to get 3rd?

On the yellows, we're getting there, aren't we guys? Trofo def what I was thinking too if it's just Italy, good to hedge on a no-yellows single. I'll scout around already.

21 in a group is going as well as could be expected. We have that great group with Netherlands, Ukraine...

I am more disappointed with over 11.5 in all groups. No way we are getting there in England group. They are my biggest disappointment of the tournament so far. One of the favourites should play better and much more attacking. Kane did not have a shot in 2 games. WTF? Go take tips from Italy and Belgium.

buwaytress

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The second 0-0 of the group stages so far, and tight 1-0s and 1-1s, I guess the 120 goal special is looking worse and worse, and also running out of games for the Over 4.5 goals scored by a team in a match. And also not so good for 21 in a group.

Ah well, we can hope for a crazy round 3, hopefully for those guys desperate to get 3rd?

On the yellows, we're getting there, aren't we guys? Trofo def what I was thinking too if it's just Italy, good to hedge on a no-yellows single. I'll scout around already.

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Quote from: morvillz7z on June 18, 2021, 04:39:44 PM

Group C had 9 goals in round one, but only 5 in round two, making it very difficult for 21 or more goals special, idk maybe the Netherlands can score 5 against North Macedonia but they are likely to rotate and give rest to their starters since they can't lose the 1st place in their group. Aahhh...

Its still possible though ( probably around 30-35 % chance ), I mean North Macedonia is pretty bad so getting 3 goal from this match is pretty plausible. It could be 2-1 for Netherlands even if they decided to rotate the whole starting lineup, North Macedonia has never fail to score in their last 2 games.

Now that leaves 4 goals for Ukraine vs Austria, both team wants win to qualify for the next round so expect alot of goals from this one Grin

Quote from: morvillz7z on June 18, 2021, 04:39:44 PM

[1]

Over 120 Goals To Be Scored At Euro 2020
Target pace: 2.38
Current pace: 2.14 (match 21 completed)

There were 51 matches for 2016 and that one had 108 goals. On average we should be getting around this number of goals unless some teams goes totally nuts and score like over 4 goals in one match lol. Anyway I'll be happy in case the 21 goals special for group stage hit

P.S : thanks for keeping track on the average goals

morvillz7z

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We're not getting any of the high-odds specials to land, are we, lads? Cry

At this point, the 120+ goals special is pretty much doomed, it was looking good a week ago as we peaked @2.66^[1]. We should probably dismiss the over 11.5 goals in each group, with mighty England scoring one goal in two matches, are you kidding me? Any three teams to win all three of their group matches is hanging by a thread. It will be a miracle if Italy or Spain get carded in their remaining matches, especially with the way the Spaniards are playing, having nearly 1k completed passes in their opener, much ball possession, much wow! Cheesy

Group C had 9 goals in round one, but only 5 in round two, making it very difficult for 21 or more goals special, idk maybe the Netherlands can score 5 against North Macedonia but they are likely to rotate and give rest to their starters since they can't lose the 1st place in their group. Aahhh...

[1]

Over 120 Goals To Be Scored At Euro 2020
Target pace: 2.38
Current pace: 2.14 (match 21 completed)

Trofo

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Quote from: buwaytress link=topic=5208617.msg57257347#msg57257347

As it stands:
Czech, Spain, France, Italy are left, but let's hope we only need to wait on Italy after this week of Matchday 2 games!

That would be very nice since it will also open an opportunity to defend our promo. I guess it should be solid odds on Italy not getting a card and I plan to take them. Quite possibly on some other bookie since Sportsbet will probably drop the odds when people start playing that market.

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Quote from: slaman29 on June 18, 2021, 05:00:49 AM

Quote from: icopress on June 17, 2021, 09:31:06 AM

Italy has me worried, 2 games without yellow and they are playing very good. Hopefully they will rotate some players for the last much and one of them will be a little to eager and earn yellow card. I believe other teams will get at least that one yellow.
Well, I'm pretty sure that after today's matches we will be just as worried about the Netherlands and Belgium as we are worried about Italy, I would not like that, but it is likely. I'm not particularly worried about France, Spain and Denmark, since Denmark needs a lot of points, as a result of the game with her participation should be tense, (with France and Spain, everything is clear).

As pointed out now by buway already we no longer need to worry about Netherlands and Belgium:)

I actually don't follow Serie A but I always thought that league had a lot of yellow because of the way they play and simulations, like in La Liga. No yellow card for simulation in EURO yet, so hopefully we get some yellow from Italy time wasting or as Trofo says, from playing young eager players.

Now that league (Serie A) is known for having a high output of cards per match. I think due to alot of flopping going around. Cheesy

Belgium were always favorites going into this tournaments from the very start I believe because Kevin DeBruyne was cleared as fit enough to participate in the Euros. I remember for the last match in the EPL he was injured by taking a knock to the jaw with a late hit in final Manchester City match of the season. So his availability was up in the air for this event.
Netherlands squad looked good in the first match I have seen them play with Depay taking the penalty early on and then sending it off to Malen for the assist in the goal that took them onto the next round was inspiring.

As for most, I am looking forward for Italy's match on Sunday against Wales to see if they do another 3 goals to take them to the top of goals scored in this tournament so far.

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Quote from: icopress on June 17, 2021, 09:31:06 AM

Italy has me worried, 2 games without yellow and they are playing very good. Hopefully they will rotate some players for the last much and one of them will be a little to eager and earn yellow card. I believe other teams will get at least that one yellow.

Well, I'm pretty sure that after today's matches we will be just as worried about the Netherlands and Belgium as we are worried about Italy, I would not like that, but it is likely. I'm not particularly worried about France, Spain and Denmark, since Denmark needs a lot of points, as a result of the game with her participation should be tense, (with France and Spain, everything is clear).
[/quote]

As pointed out now by buway already we no longer need to worry about Netherlands and Belgium:)

I actually don't follow Serie A but I always thought that league had a lot of yellow because of the way they play and simulations, like in La Liga. No yellow card for simulation in EURO yet, so hopefully we get some yellow from Italy time wasting or as Trofo says, from playing young eager players.

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Quote from: icopress on June 17, 2021, 09:31:06 AM

Quote from: Trofo on June 17, 2021, 08:41:25 AM

Italy has me worried, 2 games without yellow and they are playing very good. Hopefully they will rotate some players for the last much and one of them will be a little to eager and earn yellow card. I believe other teams will get at least that one yellow.

Well, I'm pretty sure that after today's matches we will be just as worried about the Netherlands and Belgium as we are worried about Italy, I would not like that, but it is likely. I'm not particularly worried about France, Spain and Denmark, since Denmark needs a lot of points, as a result of the game with her participation should be tense, (with France and Spain, everything is clear).

Quote from: morvillz7z on June 10, 2021, 11:28:54 AM

Every Team To Have A Yellow Card In The Group Stages

Group A: Turkey 🟨, Italy, Wales 🟨, Switzerland 🟨

Group B: Denmark, Finland 🟨, Belgium, Russia 🟨

Group C: Netherlands, Ukraine 🟨, Austria 🟨, North Macedonia 🟨

Group D: England 🟨, Croatia 🟨, Scotland, Czech Republic

Group E: Spain, Sweden 🟨, Poland 🟨, Slovakia 🟨

Group F: Hungary 🟨, Portugal 🟨, France, Germany 🟨

Ah, so I see morvillz and others have been keeping track of this too, and yep, definitely refs have been more... premier league if you want to say. Very relaxed with tackles and fouls, giving the foul but not trigger happy with the cards.

Yesterday's games were very productive, giving cards to Denmark, Belgium, and even a nice unnecessary Dutch foul to tick them off the box too.

Ordinarily not worried about Italy but yeah they have NOT been playing with any pressure at all, and the same for France who will feel they got the toughest game out of the way.

As it stands:
Czech, Spain, France, Italy are left, but let's hope we only need to wait on Italy after this week of Matchday 2 games!

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Quote from: Trofo on June 17, 2021, 08:41:25 AM

Italy has me worried, 2 games without yellow and they are playing very good. Hopefully they will rotate some players for the last much and one of them will be a little to eager and earn yellow card. I believe other teams will get at least that one yellow.

Well, I'm pretty sure that after today's matches we will be just as worried about the Netherlands and Belgium as we are worried about Italy, I would not like that, but it is likely. I'm not particularly worried about France, Spain and Denmark, since Denmark needs a lot of points, as a result of the game with her participation should be tense, (with France and Spain, everything is clear).

Quote from: morvillz7z on June 10, 2021, 11:28:54 AM

Every Team To Have A Yellow Card In The Group Stages

Group A: Turkey 🟨, Italy, Wales 🟨, Switzerland 🟨

Group B: Denmark, Finland 🟨, Belgium, Russia 🟨

Group C: Netherlands, Ukraine 🟨, Austria 🟨, North Macedonia 🟨

Group D: England 🟨, Croatia 🟨, Scotland, Czech Republic

Group E: Spain, Sweden 🟨, Poland 🟨, Slovakia 🟨

Group F: Hungary 🟨, Portugal 🟨, France, Germany 🟨

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Quote from: icopress on June 17, 2021, 06:58:55 AM

Btw, does anyone want to argue that at least one team will be left without yellow cards during the group matches? Grin

I am still hoping we will see that yellow for every team. Must admit that I did not expect referees to let the play go this much. Just watching Ukraine match and there was ugly start on Malinovsky (arm to the neck) which would have gotten yellow card in almost every league. Here it was not even a foul. Granted there was advantage play but lost soon after and I expected ref to give free kick at least.

Italy has me worried, 2 games without yellow and they are playing very good. Hopefully they will rotate some players for the last much and one of them will be a little to eager and earn yellow card. I believe other teams will get at least that one yellow.

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Quote from: Obito on June 17, 2021, 07:02:00 AM

It seems that betting and investing have some similarities. [..]

The reason people are attracted to investing and sports betting is in human nature ... in greed.

We invest money for the purpose of making a profit, therefore, the main and main similarity between rates and investing are risks and measures to reduce them. I don’t know, maybe someone can say better, but judging by what you said, your friend is a great example of why you should not engage in investing or betting if you do not understand anything about it, (especially if you are not ready to lose your money).

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Quote from: Obito on June 17, 2021, 07:02:00 AM

Quote from: boltz on June 13, 2021, 04:38:18 PM

I did a stupid mistake by cashing out Ukraine to score 1 goal and as soon as I cashed out , after 3 minutes they scored Grin

so imagine how I felt to see that..but it is what it is as I was lucky enough to put the cashout amount into Holland scoring 3 goals at 2-2 which gave me my money back.

Tomorrow I'm really looking forward for both to team to score games as all of them have this potential.

Your story kind of sounds like my friend who bought bitcoin at 29 and for a day the prices go down a little and he sold and then the next day, the prices suddenly started going up considerably and he lost around 2k USD because he panicked but it didn't faze him that much. It seems that betting and investing have some similarities.

Betting is alot like investing. It feels like there is a force at play at times. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TBIIQnBSysc
For instance, I had a good bet going yesterday. All 4 selections out of the 5 were good. Some bets on different sports such as the euros, baseball, cs:go and basketball. So it was a well rounded ticket.
I lost by a single three pointer not being made. Roll Eyes

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Quote from: boltz on June 13, 2021, 04:38:18 PM

I did a stupid mistake by cashing out Ukraine to score 1 goal and as soon as I cashed out , after 3 minutes they scored Grin

so imagine how I felt to see that..but it is what it is as I was lucky enough to put the cashout amount into Holland scoring 3 goals at 2-2 which gave me my money back.

Tomorrow I'm really looking forward for both to team to score games as all of them have this potential.

Your story kind of sounds like my friend who bought bitcoin at 29 and for a day the prices go down a little and he sold and then the next day, the prices suddenly started going up considerably and he lost around 2k USD because he panicked but it didn't faze him that much. It seems that betting and investing have some similarities.

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Quote from: arallmuus on June 16, 2021, 02:53:30 PM

The first selection for the outright bets will give 0.25 mbtc free bet everytime the respective team wins their game ( if you have atleast 1 mbtc stake). I took France for my outright bets but lost my first 0.25 mbtc free bet because of Wales lol, decided to bet on draw for the halftime as I thought that its going to be pretty even between Turkey and Wales

I'm not sure about this as I don't remember the details ... but if my memory serves me, you get a free bet if any team you choose wins (even if you've picked multiple favorites). I mean, besides France, I also chose the Netherlands, and I got free bets twice, (although I may be wrong and the free bet was given to me for a different reason). Btw, does anyone want to argue that at least one team will be left without yellow cards during the group matches? Grin

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Quote from: rdbase on June 16, 2021, 10:22:35 AM

I would like to see both those teams make it far in their groups but I took two different specials:
Portugal to win the Euros @14.00x and France to win Euros with some other things like who will win Wimbledon for the men's and women's and COPA finals.
It was the big berta special they had right before the tournament started at 300.00x odds so II just had to take the chance in it coming true.
At those odds why not? Cheesy

I took Spain so I have yet to enjoy a freebet, and if they continue to play like that I might not even get anything back;) But Portugal at 14x is very nice! I wonder what boosted odds for France were? I didn't even look. What's the 300x special on regular odds did anyone check?

Quote from: buwaytress on June 17, 2021, 04:52:02 AM

Don't forget Bet Free 6-6 guys. New round starts tomorrow so get your picks in. I went for a LOT of goals =D

Thanks:) I guess nobody won the old one before this screwed by Spain no doubt:) I don't have access to this option though because of my location (I think).

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Quote from: Trofo on June 16, 2021, 02:23:37 PM

There is a lot of us on that bet and I don't like that. Too much money in the mix and then something always goes wrong. Hopefully this time we will all cash in big bucks.

I had high hopes for that EURO promo Itally, Portugal, England, Belgium and Spain to win first matches and it was going so well and than Spain screwed us over. Good thing at least we got our stake back since all other choices managed to win.

It was only available for a short while, but yeah I think a lot of people took it. Definitely hoping we cash in big, but I actually only put in a freebet there, so not expecting anything and not losing anything. And yeah, so far so good for money backs. No losses yet on those, at this rate, goals scored and yellows, if we even hit ONE special I'll be very pleased.

Don't forget Bet Free 6-6 guys. New round starts tomorrow so get your picks in. I went for a LOT of goals =D

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Quote from: rdbase on June 16, 2021, 10:22:35 AM

I would like to see both those teams make it far in their groups but I took two different specials:
Portugal to win the Euros @14.00x and France to win Euros

So which was your first selection? the first selection for the outright bets will give 0.25 mbtc free bet everytime the respective team wins their game ( if you have atleast 1 mbtc stake ). I took France for my outright bets but lost my first 0.25 mbtc free bet because of Wales lol, decided to bet on draw for the halftime as I thought that its going to be pretty even between Turkey and Wales

Quote from: rdbase on June 16, 2021, 10:22:35 AM

It was the big berta special they had right before the tournament started at 300.00x odds

Quote from: Trofo on June 16, 2021, 02:23:37 PM

Quote from: buwaytress on June 16, 2021, 11:15:16 AM

But France/Brazil/Djoker/Barty for 300/1 was too good to pass. Judging on the form of 3 of those 4, I should be feeling pleased. But let's not invite for KO disaster to happen haha;)

There is a lot of us on that bet and I don't like that. Too much money in the mix and then something always goes wrong. Hopefully this time we will all cash in big bucks

Damn I missed this 300x special bets

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Quote from: buwaytress on June 16, 2021, 11:15:16 AM

But France/Brazil/Djoker/Barty for 300/1 was too good to pass. Judging on the form of 3 of those 4, I should be feeling pleased. But let's not invite for KO disaster to happen haha;)

There is a lot of us on that bet and I don't like that. Too much money in the mix and then something always goes wrong. Hopefully this time we will all cash in big bucks.

I had high hopes for that EURO promo Itally, Portugal, England, Belgium and Spain to win first matches and it was going so well and than Spain screwed us over. Good thing at least we got our stake back since all other choices managed to win.

Topic: Sportsbet.io Betting discussion thread rev - page 154. (Read 64280 times)