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Topic: Sportsbet.io Betting discussion thread rev - page 84. (Read 60822 times)

legendary
Activity: 3374
Merit: 1922
Shuffle.com
September 17, 2022, 10:51:25 AM
Same here, even though some of the matches are postponed, still happy to have EPL back.

Earlier I placed a parlay between all favorites (priced @2.99), I thought it would've hit but I was surprised that Newcastle couldn't make the most out of the chances they've been given while Bournemouth got the better end of things and got at least a point out of the game.  Tongue

legendary
Activity: 2828
Merit: 1497
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September 17, 2022, 06:13:45 AM
EPL is back on and it can not come at a better time!

Manchester City getting off to a blazing start with Grealish getting a goal within the first minute of the match.
Glad I took the over 3.5 goals for them @4x right before the match started.
Surprised to hear that Wolves have the best defense in the league so far.

Didn't get a single point from the two matches in the pool yesterday. So hoping for more goals in this match from City cause I have them winning at 6-2 on there.
legendary
Activity: 2828
Merit: 1497
Join the world-leading crypto sportsbook NOW!
September 16, 2022, 05:28:59 AM
A brand new set of tables have appeared on Sportsbet.io for those who like to play blackjack or baccarat while you are waiting for your bets to settle in sports. Just like I mostly do while I am on the site.


https://sportsbet.io/promotions/2022-09-09-clubhouse-rng-offer

Getting free chips for playing a few hands of blackjack or at the baccarat table is a breeze.
I played some hands of blackjack yesterday and actually won 90% of them and was surprised because usually on the evolution table which is somewhat similar in it's looks to the interface I lost on there. And often.
The nice feature is they allow you to play three seats at a time if you want. I experimented with this and did win three hands this way wagering the minimum amount.

Give it a try, it is quite fun!
legendary
Activity: 2828
Merit: 1497
Join the world-leading crypto sportsbook NOW!
September 15, 2022, 02:44:28 AM
Was actually going to place a bet on that SPFC Sportsbet special but either it wasn't available for me because of my region or I was just too late to see it.
Got to be quick with those when available because they last only a couple of hours, around 3 from what I have witnessed in the past.

Talking about promotions available from Sportsbet.io:
There is a good one for those who are into their eSports section of the site, just as I am.

For all the Dota2 fans out there Sportsbet has an offer you do not want to miss!
A chance for going to the International 2022 in Singapore and meet the sponsored team Evil Geniuses all paid for by Sportsbet.io!




All details on how to get started in this offer are here:
https://sportsbet.io/promotions/2022-09-evil-geniuses-singapore
Posted from the Sportsbet.io eSports betting thread located here:
https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/m.60928167
legendary
Activity: 2674
Merit: 1226
Livecasino, 20% cashback, no fuss payouts.
September 15, 2022, 02:33:35 AM
So a guaranteed 4% cashback in a way (and if you win roulette freechips you get the stake back so potentially 8% even) making it a great promo considering roulette house edge.

BTW there is another great promo for Sportsbet partner team SPFC. Bet R$25 on the final tomorrow and get back freebet R$50: https://sportsbet.io/promotions/io-em-dobro-2022

I think it's Brazilian money which is less than $5 so you get freebet of $10 on sports. No brainer bet Smiley

SPFC to qualify @23x: https://sportsbet.io/sharebetslip/cfbc2664-f879-4e95-92e8-c6466e9a9b25
I thought we're not allowed to participate in this promotion since I remember one of the rules saying that it's only available for their players in Brazil.

There's also bad news for us who are participating in the Arsenal FC Roulette promotion as the Arsenal vs PSV game won't be played tomorrow so we only have the EPL game left in the list.

Oh I didn't realize this was the case, I should pay attention to terms and conditions for future hehe. Guess I'm just too excited seeing promotions in my account after 1 year not seeing them. I missed all the roulette ones as only got my promos back after 1st one, hope to catch last one!

Anyway, SPFC lost, so I of course lost my bet anyway, turned out to be such a slim game won by Flamengo on 4-1 aggregate.

Don't forget prediction contests there are 4 active now all from Sportsbet and hosted by our regular prediction host Smiley

https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/m.60937344
https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/m.60932282
https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/m.60928600
https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/m.60927371

legendary
Activity: 3374
Merit: 1922
Shuffle.com
September 14, 2022, 07:27:51 PM
So a guaranteed 4% cashback in a way (and if you win roulette freechips you get the stake back so potentially 8% even) making it a great promo considering roulette house edge.

BTW there is another great promo for Sportsbet partner team SPFC. Bet R$25 on the final tomorrow and get back freebet R$50: https://sportsbet.io/promotions/io-em-dobro-2022

I think it's Brazilian money which is less than $5 so you get freebet of $10 on sports. No brainer bet Smiley

SPFC to qualify @23x: https://sportsbet.io/sharebetslip/cfbc2664-f879-4e95-92e8-c6466e9a9b25
I thought we're not allowed to participate in this promotion since I remember one of the rules saying that it's only available for their players in Brazil.

There's also bad news for us who are participating in the Arsenal FC Roulette promotion as the Arsenal vs PSV game won't be played tomorrow so we only have the EPL game left in the list.
legendary
Activity: 2674
Merit: 1226
Livecasino, 20% cashback, no fuss payouts.
September 14, 2022, 03:18:38 AM
By the way, there is another promotion going on today:

Tuesdays: Wager 250 USDT or more in any Live Roulette games - 10 USDT Free Chip on Lightning Roulette
https://sportsbet.io/promotions/2022-09-01-september-daily-challenges

Not as good as free chips per bet in Arsenal games, but if I have time today I will play roulette and try to get that $10.
I must say that these promotions achieve their goal - before I was as indifferent to roulette as possible, but now I'm interested in playing it even without any bonuses.

So a guaranteed 4% cashback in a way (and if you win roulette freechips you get the stake back so potentially 8% even) making it a great promo considering roulette house edge.

BTW there is another great promo for Sportsbet partner team SPFC. Bet R$25 on the final tomorrow and get back freebet R$50: https://sportsbet.io/promotions/io-em-dobro-2022

I think it's Brazilian money which is less than $5 so you get freebet of $10 on sports. No brainer bet Smiley

SPFC to qualify @23x: https://sportsbet.io/sharebetslip/cfbc2664-f879-4e95-92e8-c6466e9a9b25
legendary
Activity: 2478
Merit: 1951
Leading Crypto Sports Betting & Casino Platform
September 13, 2022, 01:53:33 AM
I am happy to tell everyone that thanks to Steve my promotions have been returned back to my account Smiley

Was playing without promo like for a year or something, something about my location, but decided to just ask to try my luck and they gave it back.

Arsenal roulette free chips one looks the most interesting Wink

By the way, there is another promotion going on today:

Tuesdays: Wager 250 USDT or more in any Live Roulette games - 10 USDT Free Chip on Lightning Roulette
https://sportsbet.io/promotions/2022-09-01-september-daily-challenges

Not as good as free chips per bet in Arsenal games, but if I have time today I will play roulette and try to get that $10.
I must say that these promotions achieve their goal - before I was as indifferent to roulette as possible, but now I'm interested in playing it even without any bonuses.
legendary
Activity: 2674
Merit: 1226
Livecasino, 20% cashback, no fuss payouts.
September 13, 2022, 01:35:26 AM
I am happy to tell everyone that thanks to Steve my promotions have been returned back to my account Smiley

Was playing without promo like for a year or something, something about my location, but decided to just ask to try my luck and they gave it back.

Arsenal roulette free chips one looks the most interesting Wink

That's right, I gave the calculation for independent events. The probability of getting a specific number in roulette is 1/37. Probability of getting a specific number 3 times in a row (1/37)3.
That would be true if roulette was a series of dependent events. When events are independent there is nothing that influences next spin, next spin does not "know" what was the number that was hit in first spin.

I think the original probability is still correct though. If you only want 1 number on 1 spin, it is always 1/37 but for an event like that (which is why martingale is shitty lol). BUT, 3 in a row, it happens approximately 1 out of said number of spins, I think the math is correct.

Which is why in roulette probability is fixed, but with card games it keeps shifting with every card given out.
legendary
Activity: 2478
Merit: 1951
Leading Crypto Sports Betting & Casino Platform
September 11, 2022, 10:16:48 AM
That's right, I gave the calculation for independent events. The probability of getting a specific number in roulette is 1/37. Probability of getting a specific number 3 times in a row (1/37)3.
That would be true if roulette was a series of dependent events. When events are independent there is nothing that influences next spin, next spin does not "know" what was the number that was hit in first spin.

Example.
Spin one - probability to get any number 1/37 - 36 was hit
Spin two - probability to get any number 1/37 - probability to hit 36 again - 1/37 - 36 was hit again
Spin three - probability to get any number 1/37 - still same probability to hit 36 once more
I now it sounds a bit strange at first.

You can't chain events in roulette like you can in most card games. In card games deck gets shuffled and cards dealt, each card that gets drawn is removed from stack and you can count probabilities to get any card needed - like in Texas Holdem. In roulette there is no such dependency, wheel is spun with different speed and ball hit in other direction again with different speed every single time.

You are talking about the probability of single independent events, and you are absolutely right. But three numbers in a row in roulette is a series of three single independent events. What do you think is the probability of a series of three identical numbers appearing in roulette? I think it's the same as I showed above.
legendary
Activity: 2646
Merit: 2691
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September 11, 2022, 10:11:56 AM
That's right, I gave the calculation for independent events. The probability of getting a specific number in roulette is 1/37. Probability of getting a specific number 3 times in a row (1/37)3.
That would be true if roulette was a series of dependent events. When events are independent there is nothing that influences next spin, next spin does not "know" what was the number that was hit in first spin.

Example.
Spin one - probability to get any number 1/37 - 36 was hit
Spin two - probability to get any number 1/37 - probability to hit 36 again - 1/37 - 36 was hit again
Spin three - probability to get any number 1/37 - still same probability to hit 36 once more
I now it sounds a bit strange at first.

You can't chain events in roulette like you can in most card games. In card games deck gets shuffled and cards dealt, each card that gets drawn is removed from stack and you can count probabilities to get any card needed - like in Texas Holdem. In roulette there is no such dependency, wheel is spun with different speed and ball hit in other direction again with different speed every single time.
legendary
Activity: 2478
Merit: 1951
Leading Crypto Sports Betting & Casino Platform
September 11, 2022, 09:59:10 AM
But the probability of three unrelated events repeating is equal to the product of the probabilities of their occurrence, right? So (1/37)3=1/50653

The first time I played non-aggressively (martingale on white-red), and the second time, for reasons beyond my control, I made a mistake and received only $ 4.40, which I immediately lost  Grin But I immediately decided to win back with my money and succeeded in this (however, I am unhappy because it was an emotional decision).
Nope, that what you saying is the probability when events are related. If the events are not related you can't do math like that on them. Could be I am using wrong words to describe this statistical problem since English is not my main language and I never used it before to explain high math.

Now you made me google the term and it seems that right word is probably independent.

Only thing working towards your thesis is the low of large numbers but that is way more abstract and I never tried to calculate that, if it is even possible.

That's right, I gave the calculation for independent events. The probability of getting a specific number in roulette is 1/37. Probability of getting a specific number 3 times in a row (1/37)3.
The only caveat is the difference between "seeing three identical numbers in a row" and "getting a specific number 3 times in a row". The probability of seeing three identical numbers in a row is much higher - (1/37)2, since it is obvious that some number has already been thrown out and now only two successful attempts are needed to get a row of 3 identical numbers.
legendary
Activity: 2646
Merit: 2691
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September 10, 2022, 04:07:01 PM
But the probability of three unrelated events repeating is equal to the product of the probabilities of their occurrence, right? So (1/37)3=1/50653

The first time I played non-aggressively (martingale on white-red), and the second time, for reasons beyond my control, I made a mistake and received only $ 4.40, which I immediately lost  Grin But I immediately decided to win back with my money and succeeded in this (however, I am unhappy because it was an emotional decision).
Nope, that what you saying is the probability when events are related. If the events are not related you can't do math like that on them. Could be I am using wrong words to describe this statistical problem since English is not my main language and I never used it before to explain high math.

Now you made me google the term and it seems that right word is probably independent.

Only thing working towards your thesis is the low of large numbers but that is way more abstract and I never tried to calculate that, if it is even possible.
legendary
Activity: 2478
Merit: 1951
Leading Crypto Sports Betting & Casino Platform
September 10, 2022, 03:58:03 PM
In the first series there is very little white, in the second red, and in the third an almost unbelievable thing happened - the number 36 fell out 3 times in a row! As I understand it, the chance of this event is 1 in 50,653.
It isn't, spins in roulette are not connected events, every spin is new event and probability for ball to land on any given number is always 1/37. That is one of the things people forget when using martingale and expecting that there will not be long streaks of red or blacks.

I am playing those free spins quite aggressively and it worked good first time when I walked with 55$, not so good second time, I got just 3.5$. I am playing on Voisins Du Zero, and doubling tripling my stake any when it does not land Smiley

For those of you who don't know that is a bet that covers 17 numbers (46% of the wheel) centered around 0. You have to bet at least 9 units cover this spread.

But the probability of three unrelated events repeating is equal to the multiplication of the probabilities of their occurrence, right? So (1/37)3=1/50653

The first time I played non-aggressively (martingale on white-red), and the second time, for reasons beyond my control, I made a mistake and received only $ 4.40, which I immediately lost  Grin But I immediately decided to win back with my money and succeeded in this (however, I am unhappy because it was an emotional decision).
legendary
Activity: 2646
Merit: 2691
Join the world-leading crypto sportsbook NOW!
September 10, 2022, 03:47:16 PM
In the first series there is very little white, in the second red, and in the third an almost unbelievable thing happened - the number 36 fell out 3 times in a row! As I understand it, the chance of this event is 1 in 50,653.
It isn't, spins in roulette are not connected events, every spin is new event and probability for ball to land on any given number is always 1/37. That is one of the things people forget when using martingale and expecting that there will not be long streaks of red or blacks.

I am playing those free spins quite aggressively and it worked good first time when I walked with 55$, not so good second time, I got just 3.5$. I am playing on Voisins Du Zero, and doubling tripling my stake any when it does not land Smiley

For those of you who don't know that is a bet that covers 17 numbers (46% of the wheel) centered around 0. You have to bet at least 9 units cover this spread.
legendary
Activity: 3374
Merit: 1922
Shuffle.com
September 10, 2022, 10:41:06 AM
Looks like the F1 pick hit since there's a green mark on it and best of luck on the remaining legs.

Glad to see that judging by the screenshots, someone profited from Arsenal's last game. Personally, I lost the bet because I chose Arsenal to win with a minus one goal handicap. Who could have known that Arteta would decide to save energy/give the opportunity to play to substitute players and release a reserve team  Undecided

By the way, the $25 bonus has just been credited and you can already start playing it  Smiley
Thanks, I got lucky to get away with that bet and initially, I was planning to bet on the same thing before switching to the totals.

I only got $20 from the last free chips, did the same betting pattern and the last round didn't go in my favor but I don't mind a bit of loss.  Smiley

It's unfortunate that we'll be missing out on one of the five free chip rounds since this week's EPL round got postponed due to national mourning.
legendary
Activity: 2968
Merit: 3684
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September 10, 2022, 07:40:15 AM
Strange to say but I haven't found a single Special this season to take. Can't recall the last time I took an offer, but I haven't been as active on Club talk these months so maybe missing a lot.

^GL on the 475x. Seems... plausible haha.

Glad to see that judging by the screenshots, someone profited from Arsenal's last game. Personally, I lost the bet because I chose Arsenal to win with a minus one goal handicap. Who could have known that Arteta would decide to save energy/give the opportunity to play to substitute players and release a reserve team  Undecided

By the way, the $25 bonus has just been credited and you can already start playing it  Smiley

Oh man! I totally forgot about this promo, was on hand to take the first one (and lost it, and lost the freebet too haha) but completely slipped my mind to take this one.

I'd have chosen Arsenal to win but probably needed handicaps or HT win to take the min odds so would have lost it anyway.
legendary
Activity: 2478
Merit: 1951
Leading Crypto Sports Betting & Casino Platform
September 10, 2022, 05:21:06 AM
Made a betslip with the recent changes made for the huge UFC main event late last night so things have shifted considerably.
https://i.ibb.co/WDC78t2/Betslip-1.jpg
https://i.ibb.co/Z8yGmT3/Betslip-2.jpg
For a whopping 475x odds after boost. Grin

shared betslip: https://sportsbet.io/sharebetslip/bef53fee-2337-4ca5-b088-8ff6f2325be4

Looks like a safe bet  Grin

By the way, look at what series I saw yesterday when I played roulette:



In the first series there is very little white, in the second red, and in the third an almost unbelievable thing happened - the number 36 fell out 3 times in a row! As I understand it, the chance of this event is 1 in 50,653.
legendary
Activity: 2828
Merit: 1497
Join the world-leading crypto sportsbook NOW!
September 10, 2022, 01:32:49 AM
Made a betslip with the recent changes made for the huge UFC main event late last night so things have shifted considerably.


For a whopping 475x odds after boost. Grin

shared betslip: https://sportsbet.io/sharebetslip/bef53fee-2337-4ca5-b088-8ff6f2325be4
legendary
Activity: 2478
Merit: 1951
Leading Crypto Sports Betting & Casino Platform
September 09, 2022, 11:12:47 AM
Glad to see that judging by the screenshots, someone profited from Arsenal's last game. Personally, I lost the bet because I chose Arsenal to win with a minus one goal handicap. Who could have known that Arteta would decide to save energy/give the opportunity to play to substitute players and release a reserve team  Undecided

By the way, the $25 bonus has just been credited and you can already start playing it  Smiley
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