You're right! I wanted this result, because I actually needed China to win to win my final H2H and secure this round vs darxiaomi but I don't like probabilities and mathematically, but with only 2 true medals left to fight for, the BEST US can hope for is a draw (well, actually they would be #1 on the medals tally for superior medals but in BSFL we're only looking at gold haha). But I need them to lose outright to win my H2H haha.
So yeah, China just won the weightlifting gold (which was expected) for 40 golds. As pointed out above by Rikafip and slaman29, USA actually has 1 certain gold (basketball). That would take them to 39. They have/had 3 other events today:
Women's volleyball (Lost)
Women's wrestling (Lost)
Women's omnium: Legitimate chance with a team of 2 gold medalists from the women's team pursuit. And I think US is now in a huge lead... they are winning gold now for sure. (99%)
So, darxiaomi, our battle this round is a worthy epic, and will boil down to basketball. If US wins, then we tie on our first 2 selections:
You: USA, China, Australia, France, GB
Me: China, USA, France, Japan, GB
So... we actually don't get anything from there, what a shame. I actually wish I had more faith in Japan to bump them up to 3rd.