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Topic: Stake your 2024 U.S. presidential election prediction here - page 2. (Read 338 times)

legendary
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Sorry OP, gonna discuss politics again...

~
Is that really more dangerous than the isolationist and fascist movement that has been a part of American politics since the 1940's when "America First" was first established and Germany put lots of resources into influencing dozens of members of congress and the American public to resist getting involved with the war using many of  the same arguments that are being made today (none of our business, but the gays!, they are communists!, immigrants are so bad!, there is a war against white people!)?
Comparing Nazi Germany (WW2) with all the wars US regime started after it including Vietnam, Iraq, Syria, Libya, Palestine, Afghanistan, Africa, Yemen, ... and even Ukraine+Taiwan is like comparing apples and oranges but who am I to judge Wink continue wasting your trillions. Believe me the world loves watching this War of Attrition against US that is deteriorating it year after year getting it closer to the same fate as USSR.

Sure.  Apples and Oranges are very similar.  Both fruits with similar size, shape, weight just like the Russia, US/NATO conflict today has a ton of similarities with the geo political tensions from the 1930s to the early 1940s.

In the 1930's authoritarianism was spreading globally (just like today) while Germany and Italy were invading more vulnerable countries with overwhelming force and little consequence from Western Democracies.  Ethiopia, Albania, Sudan, Poland, Kenya all fell to Facism with little resistance much like Putin was able to seize control of Chechnya, Georgia and Crimea over the past ~20 years.  Perhaps WW2 would have been avoided had the Allies helped Ethiopia defend themselves against Mussolini or Poland from Hitler.  Perhaps the war in Ukraine today could have been avoided if Obama responded more forcefully when Putin took Crimea or Georgia.

In 1940 when the US started shipping weapons to England and it became a real possibility that American troops would be sent to Europe, Germany somewhat successfully (although not ultimately) worked to influence American opinion by spreading misinformation and polarizing the country just like Russia did leading up to the 2016 election.  There were literally members of congress traveling the country giving speeches that were secretly written by Nazis, sending pro-Nazi propaganda through the USPS, pushing the idea that to be a true patriot meant putting America first, and putting America first meant not stopping Germany or Italy from conquering Europe.

Going back to the fruit comparison, if WW2 and present day are apples and oranges, then US conflicts with any of the countries on your list are like pineapples and blueberries.
member
Activity: 182
Merit: 47
I want Trump to win but I fear Harris is going go win. I think there are forced working in the background ensuring Western countries have woke, pussy ass, left wing governments in power. It’s all part of the agenda, the WEF, Soros, Gates, Rothschilds & whatever other psychopaths are really in control want.

And it has nothing to do with the fact that Trump is a convicted criminal, that he is senile and can't maintain a coherent thought for more than 30 seconds, and that he regularly insults voters who should be on his side e.g. the military... right?

Nope, it's got to be, "George Soros". LOL

legendary
Activity: 3304
Merit: 1617
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I want Trump to win but I fear Harris is going go win. I think there are forced working in the background ensuring Western countries have woke, pussy ass, left wing governments in power. It’s all part of the agenda, the WEF, Soros, Gates, Rothschilds & whatever other psychopaths are really in control want.
jr. member
Activity: 43
Merit: 1
Trump is behaving like a clown, so many insults lately, ugly as a potential leader.
legendary
Activity: 3472
Merit: 10611
~
Is that really more dangerous than the isolationist and fascist movement that has been a part of American politics since the 1940's when "America First" was first established and Germany put lots of resources into influencing dozens of members of congress and the American public to resist getting involved with the war using many of  the same arguments that are being made today (none of our business, but the gays!, they are communists!, immigrants are so bad!, there is a war against white people!)?
Comparing Nazi Germany (WW2) with all the wars US regime started after it including Vietnam, Iraq, Syria, Libya, Palestine, Afghanistan, Africa, Yemen, ... and even Ukraine+Taiwan is like comparing apples and oranges but who am I to judge Wink continue wasting your trillions. Believe me the world loves watching this War of Attrition against US that is deteriorating it year after year getting it closer to the same fate as USSR.
sr. member
Activity: 1680
Merit: 379
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There is still 2.5 months left before the general election and a lot could still happen between now and then. Trump has lost the popular vote by wide margins the last two elections. He is incredibly unpopular and will have a hard time growing his base of support. Against the corpse of Joe Biden, just about anybody would have had a chance to win. Now he has a more formidable opponent and the polls have shifted in Harris’ favor.

The people that are excited about Harris are probably overestimating her, but I think she will win by virtue of being a less terrible person compared to Trump. The electoral college system has its flaws and could still allow Trump to get another fluke victory if he can overperform in a handful of tossup states.
legendary
Activity: 1162
Merit: 2025
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I didn't make this thread to be the run in the mill presidential or political discussion thread but hey, it's also not self-moderated so y'all go crazy I guess.

Anyone else here feeling like making a prediction? Roll Eyes


Perhaps you should just talked about this topic in the gambling section of the forum, there are already several threads there where people are talking about their picks and the chances each one of the candidates have to win the race, and since we are talking about the gambling section there you will find people who put their money when their mouth is, which it would be a very difference from this thread and this section; here people could say anything, but betting is a completely different thing, no doubt about it.

Leaving that aside, for now I am leaning more towards betting in favor of Kamala Harris, I am not saying I am sure she is going to win the presidency; it is mostly a gut feeling I have gotten from all this situation. I will anyways wait for the October surprise before betting on this political event.
legendary
Activity: 2422
Merit: 1451
Leading Crypto Sports Betting & Casino Platform
I didn't make this thread to be the run in the mill presidential or political discussion thread but hey, it's also not self-moderated so y'all go crazy I guess.

Anyone else here feeling like making a prediction? Roll Eyes
legendary
Activity: 1162
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...
Is that really more dangerous than the isolationist and fascist movement that has been a part of American politics since the 1940's when "America First" was first established and Germany put lots of resources into influencing dozens of members of congress and the American public to resist getting involved with the war using many of  the same arguments that are being made today (none of our business, but the gays!, they are communists!, immigrants are so bad!, there is a war against white people!)?

Though, I had not thought about it, but makes a lot of sense there was some "American first" movement back in the 1940's when it was highly convenient for the Facist Italy and the nazi Germany not getting a powerful for in the war like the United States. Today, fortunately there is no hot war with in the United States is involved in, but there are those so-called proxi wars, which some view equally as important for keeping the world order as it stands and not allowing dictators to continue to advance other the free world.
Also, considering how the Republican party seems to be so much in favor of leaving Ukraine alone against Russia, then your analogy suddenly can be compared to what our grandfathers witnessed with the rising of the facism in Europe... We can only expect the analogy not to be one hundred percent accurate, otherwise consequences would not be the same...
legendary
Activity: 2716
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Harris will win.


It is highly unlikely that the US regime is going to allow Trump to win a second term. Consequently Trump will claim another election fraud and things will get violent. A lot more violent than 2020.

The only way Harris would have a chance of losing is if Biden manages to get US into THE war where 40k-50k US servicemembers perish in a matter of days as the entire 5th Fleet sinks and oil price skyrockets to over $1000 a barrel Wink

Noooooo. Aren't you tired of the LGBT left in power? America is deteriorating.
Oh my friend, that project started back in the 1950's by the US regime to lull people into ignorance; as people became busy with their "underpants" so to speak, they started ignoring stuff like why the regime is fighting a futile war in Vietnam; and similarly today in Ukraine and possibly in Taiwan soon. They also stopped asking questions like "why are you giving my tax money to a handful of arms dealers that are getting fatter every day while I get poorer", and stopped caring about a lot of other corruptions.

That's not something that is going to change based on who is in the Oval Office. For now you have to endure the skyrocketing number of STIs like Syphilis that has been setting a new ATH every year in America!

Is that really more dangerous than the isolationist and fascist movement that has been a part of American politics since the 1940's when "America First" was first established and Germany put lots of resources into influencing dozens of members of congress and the American public to resist getting involved with the war using many of  the same arguments that are being made today (none of our business, but the gays!, they are communists!, immigrants are so bad!, there is a war against white people!)?
legendary
Activity: 3472
Merit: 10611
Harris will win.


It is highly unlikely that the US regime is going to allow Trump to win a second term. Consequently Trump will claim another election fraud and things will get violent. A lot more violent than 2020.

The only way Harris would have a chance of losing is if Biden manages to get US into THE war where 40k-50k US servicemembers perish in a matter of days as the entire 5th Fleet sinks and oil price skyrockets to over $1000 a barrel Wink

Noooooo. Aren't you tired of the LGBT left in power? America is deteriorating.
Oh my friend, that project started back in the 1950's by the US regime to lull people into ignorance; as people became busy with their "underbelly area" so to speak, they started ignoring stuff like why the regime is fighting a futile war in Vietnam; and similarly today in Ukraine and possibly in Taiwan soon. They also stopped asking questions like "why are you giving my tax money to a handful of arms dealers that are getting fatter every day while I get poorer", and stopped caring about a lot of other corruptions.

That's not something that is going to change based on who is in the Oval Office. For now you have to endure the skyrocketing number of STIs like Syphilis that has been setting a new ATH every year in America!
legendary
Activity: 2716
Merit: 2093
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Kamala Harris could probably come on stage at the DNC, bend over, fart out of her ass, shout "Hee Hi Hu, Bugaloo!"
walk off and still stand a chance at winning.

I agree.  If it were Hailey, or DeSantis, or pretty much anyone that were the Republican nominee then shouting "Hee Hu, Bugaloo" while farting out her ass would kill any chance of winning for Kamala, but not against Trump.


Unbelievable.
Zero policies.
Zero ideas.
Zero questions asked.
Zero questions answered.

She actually has shared policies and ideas, and they've already agreed to two debates where plenty of questions will be asked and answered.


CNN a bunch of fucking clapping seals at an imbecile woman and can't wait to see Trump behind bars.
I'm guessing wherever you get your news from had favorable coverage of all the people clapping while chanting "lock her up" before the 2016 election (while he was committing felonies that he has since been convicted of to help himself win), and probably also spread many of Trumps lies about voter fraud after he lost the 2020 election.

Also, what do you think should happen to a former president that takes a bunch of classified documents after failing to be re-elected and then claims he gave them all back after almost 2 years of being asked repeatedly and eventually being subpoenaed.  Should they have not executed the search warrant that turned up more classified documents?  Or just dropped the case after Trump lied about the documents, showed them to a journalist and defied the subpoena.  Do you think it should be ok for Biden to do all that beginning next year?  How about if Trump wins in November, but Biden makes up a bunch of lies about fraud and gets Kamala to count a bunch of fake electors in States that she lost so that she could be president instead of Trump?  Would you be ok with that?

Fine do that all. Then what?

We all ride off into the sunset?

Trump still might win, it's a close race.  If he loses and fails to steal the election with the help of all of his loyal election officials who plan on only certifying a Trump victory, maybe the republicans will nominate a non criminal with a little more integrity and self control that can, at the very least, win over all the conservatives that voted democrat in 2020 and 2024.
legendary
Activity: 1526
Merit: 2617
Kamala Harris could probably come on stage at the DNC, bend over, fart out of her ass, shout "Hee Hi Hu, Bugaloo!"
walk off and still stand a chance at winning.

Unbelievable.
Zero policies.
Zero ideas.
Zero questions asked.
Zero questions answered.

CNN a bunch of fucking clapping seals at an imbecile woman and can't wait to see Trump behind bars.

Fine do that all. Then what?

We all ride off into the sunset?

 Roll Eyes

newbie
Activity: 42
Merit: 0
Harris will win.


It is highly unlikely that the US regime is going to allow Trump to win a second term. Consequently Trump will claim another election fraud and things will get violent. A lot more violent than 2020.

The only way Harris would have a chance of losing is if Biden manages to get US into THE war where 40k-50k US servicemembers perish in a matter of days as the entire 5th Fleet sinks and oil price skyrockets to over $1000 a barrel Wink

Noooooo. Aren't you tired of the LGBT left in power? America is deteriorating.
member
Activity: 182
Merit: 47
I think Harris is going to get a huge bump from the Democratic convention happening this week, and she will extend her current lead.

Trump, meanwhile, has gone completely senile, and he is only going to get worse as the panic of being put in prison sinks in.

The "October surprise" will happen in September, when Trump is sentenced to prison in New York. There's no way people are going to vote for somebody like that.

As for my prediction, I think it will be the same states Biden won, plus North Carolina, where Biden nearly won last time and polling has been trending her way ever since then:

legendary
Activity: 2716
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I predict that it will be a close race that either Trump will win or that will be thrown into chaos when magatard election officials in one or more swing states that Kamala won refuse to certify the results or, after weeks of "investigation" decide to certify Trump as the winner despite Kamala receiving fewer votes.  I'm not sure exactly how that might play out, but if the pattern of craziness continues like it has for the past 8 years, it seems reasonable to expect Jan 7 2025 to be an inflection point when congress convenes to certify the outcome and the person counting the votes just happens to be...Kamala Harris.

In the mean time, I expect Trump to regain the lead in polling, followed by Democrats freaking out and then regaining the lead....possibly 2 or 3 times between now and November.

Hopefully I'm totally wrong about all of this and Kamala wins with a decisive victory and we get to spend 2025 and 2026 watching Trump be held accountable for his past crimes as well as whatever crimes he will inevitably break between now and January.  
legendary
Activity: 1162
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As it stands for now, I am not willing to give out my definitive decision because (even though Harris had a slight chance to win over Donald Trump) there is still pretty much time before something significant happened and the tides turns against the Kamala Harris and her advantage.
I know it is something which it has already been before, but Joe Biden did very good when he took the decision to drop out the presidential race and allow new blood to take his place in the ticket had not he done that, I am afraid Trump would have had an easier path towards victory.

I am planning to stake a bet on either Kamala or Trump later this year, I am waiting for October surprise to happen before taking a definitive decision on who the winner is going to be.
member
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With the plans on ground of the major parties in this coming election, I think Harris is the main strong candidate to win this election because she has a good record compare to other candidates that is coming out for the presidential election.
legendary
Activity: 3472
Merit: 10611
Harris will win.


It is highly unlikely that the US regime is going to allow Trump to win a second term. Consequently Trump will claim another election fraud and things will get violent. A lot more violent than 2020.

The only way Harris would have a chance of losing is if Biden manages to get US into THE war where 40k-50k US servicemembers perish in a matter of days as the entire 5th Fleet sinks and oil price skyrockets to over $1000 a barrel Wink
legendary
Activity: 2422
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Here's my map:


Here's the map from 2020 (Biden Vs. Trump)                                                                                     and 2016 (Clinton Vs. Trump)                          


It seems like Michigan, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Georgia, Arizona and maybe even Minnesota are going to play a particularly important role in this election.
I'm mostly going by local polling and the current trend that sees Kamala's popularity rising at the expense of Trump.
But who knows what's gonna happen till then. Grin
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