@pugman while there’re whispers that recession is coming among public and government officials no government in their right mind will openly announce that their country is under recession and that is the right way to tackle it. I’ll agree with you that 2020 did start on a scary note with a threat of Third World War coming, but that threat has passed away and now we should focus on more positive news.
The news I’m referring to is the phase 1 deal that has been signed between China and USA, and this shall help both the countries and global markets too that were hit by their disputes.
Overall there is hope that recession can be avoided, but for that to happen the government needs to take some bold measures now otherwise it’ll be too late.
Lastly if recession indeed strikes then bitcoins prices shall shoot upwards because of FOMO, and also the knowledge that it’s the only currency that can beat inflation and give solid returns in the long term.
Sources:
https://edition.cnn.com/2020/01/16/business/us-china-phase-1-trade-deal-details/index.htmlhttps://www.bloomberg.com/graphics/us-economic-recession-tracker/The chinese trade-off with the US is not a bad start, their tariffs went down by 50%. Not everything is bad I suppose, eh?
Idk about bitcoin's price rising because of FOMO caused by recession, I mean, come to think of it, this was portrayed in the tv show Mr Robot, where the bank system failed, and credit cards became obsolete. So people were resorting to a centralized crypto launched by the main prevailing bank and cash(obviously). So, you never know, for all we know, Libra could save our lives just as much as bitcoin, had the whole global Economy had to fall.
Also, thanks for the bloomberg website, that was a cool statistic to look at!
I think most will agree that Bitcoin is not the ultimate solution to the economic problems that exist in the world today, it's just one alternative that is offered to anyone who wants to accept it. There is no global recession at the moment, some countries are experiencing bigger, some minor problems, but we are still holding ourselves above the surface of the water, although the world may sink at any time. As always, everything will depend on the great powers of the world, above all I mean the USA, UK, China, Russia, Japan which will be the main indicators in which direction the world is going. If the big ones start to fall, they will drag the others behind them, there is no doubt about that.
As for World War III, I personally think that everyone is trying not to make it happen because, given today's weapons, the First and Second World War would seem like a slightly larger firework. Nuclear, chemical and biological weapons can very easily send us back to the Stone Age, and therefore I believe that reason will prevail.
Crypto, and above all I mean BTC is quite a stranger in the global recession, although it originated at the beginning of one of them in 2009. The perception that people have about BTC is mainly as a store of value, so as such it would have its place in those assets that serve as a hedge against the loss of value of national fiat currencies, stocks, real estate. However, after only 10 years, I would say that we are in the phase of an experiment that is going on pretty well, notwithstanding the opinion that he had already shown failure (in case of adoption, price, high fees, a terrible effect on the environment) and other things that are cited as bad features.
Breaking your paras into points, first off, the country I currently reside in is, as a matter of fact, going through a recession, people are just scared of talking about it. As for other countries, wouldn't you agree countries like Zimbabwe, Venezuela are going through a recession too, or at least on the verge of it? The big dogs are soon enter, given this rate. If the big dogs fall, it would be quite interesting to see, who comes up on top, would it still be US or a potential new underdog.
The World War 3 started off as a meme on Twitter, Trump's administration still hasn't provided how "imminent" the attack on Qasem Soleimani was. I'm somewhat glad the crisis got averted, as Iran was showing no signs of holding back, the whole scenario is interesting, but stupid, from both parties. I think I will start a thread on this, I have read a lot on this fiasco of a war.
The whole concept of crypto is actually weird, in case of a massive outfall of an economy, using crypto might actually just make things worse. Crypto is still VERY vulnerable in terms of how the platforms are, mobile transactions can easily be hacked onto, and it could make the outfall only more worse.