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Topic: Statistics of user registrations on Bitcointalk 2017-2020 - page 3. (Read 1804 times)

hero member
Activity: 840
Merit: 962
HOLD BITCOIN! Fiat - SCAM!
I am curious to know the number of registrations of accounts that have actually made at least say 10 posts, and the number of people that have made their 10th post by month.
[...]

The calculation was made on the basis of a sample of 500 accounts registered from 1 to 19 June 2018 (the age of all accounts is more than 4 weeks)

Why do you think those 500 accounts are representative of all registered accounts?

The sample began with 100 accounts:
Sample 100:
79% - 0 post - Brand new
7 % - 1 post
3 % - 2 post
4 % - 10 post and more

Sample 200:
75% - 0 post - Brand new
8 % - 1 post
4 % - 2 post
5 % - 10 post and more

Sample 250:
73,6% - 0 post - Brand new
8,0 % - 1 post
4,0 % - 2 post
5,2 % - 10 post and more

I think the error in the sample of 500 accounts is no more than 0.5-1%
copper member
Activity: 2996
Merit: 2374
I am curious to know the number of registrations of accounts that have actually made at least say 10 posts, and the number of people that have made their 10th post by month.
[...]

The calculation was made on the basis of a sample of 500 accounts registered from 1 to 19 June 2018 (the age of all accounts is more than 4 weeks)

Why do you think those 500 accounts are representative of all registered accounts?

I am most curious to see how many users make their first 10 posts, by month and compare this to the overall number of accounts registered to look for trends of entities possibly creating many accounts that are not used.

In general, “active” users is a more useful stat than “users” (that includes those who are not/never active).
hero member
Activity: 2352
Merit: 905
Metawin.com - Truly the best casino ever
74% - 0 post - Brand new
I'm pretty sure many of these accounts are owned by spammers, waiting to be needed to run a spambot. I would be in favour of banning all accounts with 0 posts a month after creation.

Hi, I am a University student in Hong Kong. I am studying economics. Now, I am doing my honor project which is about the relationship between bitcoin price and Internet variables. The data of Forum Statistics is very useful for my project. Can provide the daily data? Thx
What data do you need exactly?
This sounds like an interesting subject that deserves it's own thread to publish your findings from start to end. If you create one, please PM me the link. I may be able to help you with some of your data requirements.
No, why ban all accounts after 1 month inactivity? That's not fair to my mind because sometimes we register to ask just one thing (usually around mining) and then we are in silent for some time. To my mind six month is adequate.
John_BAKA
I think you don't need any forum's SMF (CMS) statistics for your project, old topics and public statistic is enough.
hero member
Activity: 1232
Merit: 738
Mixing reinvented for your privacy | chipmixer.com
74% - 0 post - Brand new
I'm pretty sure many of these accounts are owned by spammers, waiting to be needed to run a spambot. I would be in favour of banning all accounts with 0 posts a month after creation.
probably most of them are already barred from posting because of proxyban
I also believe proxyban is one factor that drives the registration numbers high
but of course this is a result from spammers get banned, thus evil point added to those bad IPs

spammer get banned >> mark bad IP >> new registration >> add evil point on the same IP
the faster and more frequent they get banned on various IPs,
the more IPs get flagged, the more accounts created and abandoned due to proxyban
legendary
Activity: 3290
Merit: 16489
Thick-Skinned Gang Leader and Golden Feather 2021
74% - 0 post - Brand new
I'm pretty sure many of these accounts are owned by spammers, waiting to be needed to run a spambot. I would be in favour of banning all accounts with 0 posts a month after creation.

Hi, I am a University student in Hong Kong. I am studying economics. Now, I am doing my honor project which is about the relationship between bitcoin price and Internet variables. The data of Forum Statistics is very useful for my project. Can provide the daily data? Thx
What data do you need exactly?
This sounds like an interesting subject that deserves it's own thread to publish your findings from start to end. If you create one, please PM me the link. I may be able to help you with some of your data requirements.
newbie
Activity: 2
Merit: 0
Hi, I am a University student in Hong Kong. I am studying economics. Now, I am doing my honor project which is about the relationship between bitcoin price and Internet variables. The data of Forum Statistics is very useful for my project. Can provide the daily data? Thx
hero member
Activity: 840
Merit: 962
HOLD BITCOIN! Fiat - SCAM!
I am curious to know the number of registrations of accounts that have actually made at least say 10 posts, and the number of people that have made their 10th post by month.




74% - 0 post - Brand new
8% - 1 post
3% - 2 post
6% - 10 posts and more
3% - 30 posts and more
1% - 40 posts and more


The calculation was made on the basis of a sample of 500 accounts registered from 1 to 19 June 2018 (the age of all accounts is more than 4 weeks)
Start - https://bitcointalksearch.org/user/giftpeters-2171231
1: 2171231 (Date Registered:   June 01, 2018, 12:00:33 AM)
2: 2171331
...
500: 2221131 (Date Registered:   June 19, 2018, 11:31:01 AM)

P.S. Sorry for my English  Smiley
copper member
Activity: 2996
Merit: 2374
I am curious to know the number of registrations of accounts that have actually made at least say 10 posts, and the number of people that have made their 10th post by month.
member
Activity: 193
Merit: 70
The chart of registrations resembles the dynamics of the bitcoin exchange rate

legendary
Activity: 2758
Merit: 6830
What is the reason why forum stats are not visible for 2018 ?
Most likely because it was using too much of the forum's process.

Also, can someone from staff confirm if spam account registrations have reduced in last one week or so ?
I doubt. Why would it? Jr. Members still can join most of the shitbounties announced in the forum. And it only takes 30 days to become one.
newbie
Activity: 2
Merit: 0
What is the reason why forum stats are not visible for 2018 ? Also, can someone from staff confirm if spam account registrations have reduced in last one week or so ?
hero member
Activity: 840
Merit: 962
HOLD BITCOIN! Fiat - SCAM!
What could be more interesting is knowing how many of those new members are still active and posting here in the forum because I know a lot of them have abandoned their account by now.

Yes, that would be very interesting. But it is very difficult to calculate manually.
hero member
Activity: 1806
Merit: 672
So I am concluding that the merit system didn't hinder people from creating an account here in the forum as it has been consistent all through out from 2017-2018. The only number jumping is when the bull run is happening from December to January and it has only drop after that. What could be more interesting is knowing how many of those new members are still active and posting here in the forum because I know a lot of them have abandoned their account by now.
hero member
Activity: 840
Merit: 962
HOLD BITCOIN! Fiat - SCAM!
On forum profiles there is a recent one published this week by mazdafunsun: Truth about bitcointalk users 2.0 . He focused on profiles while you've focused on registration dates.

I just translated my topic created in may, 2018
Cтaтиcтикa peгиcтpaций нa Bitcointalk

Can you explain why you are calling your stats alternative? (I guess you scrapped all user profiles to do it).

Alternative because there are already official
legendary
Activity: 2338
Merit: 10802
There are lies, damned lies and statistics. MTwain
Comparing your stats to the forum’s oficial stats (https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=stats) there are a few discrepancies:

-   Jan and Feb 2017 are inverted between your stat and the official one.
-   August and October 2017 are off by 1
-   November 2017 is off a few (97 344 vs 97 286 official)
-   December 2017 is off quite a bit (191 537 vs 63 756 official)

December’s number of registered users seems a bit small on the official stats, considering that BTC peaked on the 16th of December, so I always wondered if they were correct for December 2017. I've just seen that, oddly enough, they only go up to the 13 of December (clicking the detail on the official Stats), so yours seem coherent with events.

Forum official stats are not available for some reason for 2018.

Can you explain why you are calling your stats alternative? (I guess you scrapped all user profiles to do it).

On forum profiles there is a recent one published this week by mazdafunsun: Truth about bitcointalk users 2.0 . He focused on profiles while you've focused on registration dates.
hero member
Activity: 840
Merit: 962
HOLD BITCOIN! Fiat - SCAM!
Statistics of user registrations on Bitcointalk 2017-2019


2017

MonthRegisteredTotal at the beginning of the month% increaseFirst user of the month
January12 677936 8221,43%First user of Jan, 2017
February13 354950 1761,33%First user of Feb, 2017
March14 760962 8531,53%First user of Mar, 2017
April15 807977 6131,62%First user of Apr, 2017
May23 978993 4202,41%First user of May, 2017
June32 7331 017 3983,22%First user of Jun, 2017
July41 0111 050 1313,91%First user of Jul, 2017
August42 2541 091 1423,87%First user of Aug, 2017
September46 1861 133 3964,08%First user of Sep, 2017
October89 4441 179 5837,58%First user of Oct, 2017
November97 3441 269 0267,67%First user of Nov, 2017
December191 5371 366 37014,02%First user of Dec, 2017
Total:621 085
   

2018

MonthRegisteredTotal at the beginning of the month% increaseFirst user of the month
January224 5761 557 90714,42%First user of Jan, 2018
February112 2121 782 4836,30%First user of Feb, 2018
March97 6441 894 6955,15%First user of Mar, 2018
April86 8981 992 3394,36%First user of Apr, 2018
May91 9932 079 2374,42%First user of May, 2018
June77 6832 171 2303,58%First user of Jun, 2018
July69 8402 248 9123,11%First user of Jul, 2018
August54 3842 318 7522,35%First user of Aug, 2018
September45 3622 373 1361,88%First user of Sep, 2018
October39 3542 418 4981,60%First user of Oct, 2018
November35 1272 457 8521,41%First user of Nov, 2018
December23 5042 492 9790,93%First user of Dec, 2018
Total:958 575

2019

MonthRegisteredTotal at the beginning of the month% increaseFirst user of the month
January22 2342 516 4830,88%First user of Jan, 2019
February16 2022 538 7160,63%First user of Feb, 2019
March18 9322 554 9180,74%First user of Mar, 2019
April17 9102 573 8500,69%First user of Apr, 2019
May24 4722 591 7600,94%First user of May, 2019
June22 3572 616 2320,85%First user of Jun, 2019
July18 9132 638 5890,71%First user of Jul, 2019
August16 4522 657 5020,62%First user of Aug, 2019
September14 5612 673 9540,54%First user of Sep, 2019
October17 8912 688 5150,66%First user of Oct, 2019
November16 3562 706 4060,60%First user of Nov, 2019
December17 6002 722 7620,64%First user of Dec, 2019

2020

MonthRegisteredTotal at the beginning of the month% increaseFirst user of the month
January13 6202 740 3620,49%First user of Jan, 2020
February??2 753 982??First user of Feb, 2020




100 000 user has been registered April 14, 2013, 11:49:44 PM

500 000 user has been registered March 31, 2015, 05:46:08 AM

1 000 000 user has been registered May 11, 2017, 09:12:46 AM

2 000 000 user has been registered April 03, 2018, 10:30:32 AM





74% - 0 post - Brand new
8% - 1 post
3% - 2 post
6% - 10 posts and more
3% - 30 posts and more
1% - 40 posts and more
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