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Will follow you down this rabbit hole even though I did not make the comparison. If banks push negative interest rates,which 9 countries so far have gone down the route and others are adding options into the rates,then potentially bitcoin would rally.
Only one country is implementing negative interest rates,
"Japan’s new negative interest rate, minus 0.1 percent, will take effect on Feb. 16. It will be assessed only on balances that commercial banks deposit at the central bank in excess of regulatory minimums."TL;DR: POINT ONE PERCENT. NOT ON YOUR CHECKING ACCOUNT.
You could make a profit either way by speculating against my theory or following it. The pattern you are using would not come into play,as people would either ignore bitcoin all together or run to it. In a situation like this I do not see it going up and down in a state of mass confusion.
People would be pulling out of the banks and hitting the mattress or they would be looking for alternatives.
People with money don't keep it in banks. They *invest it*, aka "put it to work for them." Think of your bank as your hot wallet -- bill-paying, walkin' 'round money, ATM access for folding money -- to tip/buy drugs with.
When shit gets hairy, rich people don't pull money out of banks & stick it in the first ponzi du jour because "ZOMG, .1% per annum!!!1!"
No. They'd rather drink from the dick of a goat.
Now you know.