Scenario for WTC Finals. As of now Australia is fav for first to qualify, India and NZ could fight neck to neck for 2nd spot. Some if and but here and there, England need some miracle in subcontinent.
* England vs India series is now 4 test match series instead of 5, may be due to schedule/ covid/ ICC revised methodology.
What Australia, India, New Zealand and England need to do to qualify for World Test Championship final--If New Zealand get the maximum 240 points from their home series, they will get to 70% (420 points out of a maximum of 600). However, if they drop points in any Test, their percentage will fall steeply as both their series consist of two Tests, with 60 points riding on a win. If they win three of the four Tests and draw one, their percentage will drop to 63.3.
--If India finish with a 4-4 win-loss result in their eight remaining Tests, they will end up with 66.67% of total points. If they manage a 5-3 scoreline, their percentage will climb to 70.83, which will be marginally ahead of New Zealand's maximum possible score.
Four wins, two draws and two losses will leave India with a score of 69.44%, marginally below New Zealand's percentage if they sweep 240 points at home.
--If Australia win all four Tests at home against India, they'll go up to 86.67%. If they lose all three Tests to South Africa (if the series happens), they'll drop to 69.33%.
--England are currently third at 60.83%, but their two remaining series are in Asia, against Sri Lanka and india. Given how difficult it has been to beat India in home conditions recently, England will hope to maximise their points in Sri Lanka - that series is scheduled to take place in January, before England travel to India. If they win both Tests against Sri Lanka and manage a 1-2 result against India, their percentage will be 62.78.