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Topic: The Barry Silbert segwit2x agreement with >80% miner support. - page 74. (Read 120014 times)

hero member
Activity: 1092
Merit: 552
Retired IRCX God
I'm 100% certain that only 1 of the 2 of us is all on about Blockstream.  Roll Eyes
I'm 100% certain that you can't hear the facts when you plug your ears like that and look for something mundane like the repetition of a company's name to talk about.

Why not try responding to the points given? Afraid that it'll be uncomfortable to learn how wrong you are?
It's impossible to respond because it's only in your head that what you said has anything to do with what I said.
I said they are getting paid.
You went on about some "conspiracy theory" nonsense.
Frankly, I couldn't care less who is paying them (or even why). The fact is that anyone getting paid any amount to do something gives that person a motivation to keep that something relevant. Specifically, in this case, the fact that Core devs get paid is it's own incentive for Core devs to fight to keep Core going.
legendary
Activity: 924
Merit: 1000
What would happen if satoshi logs in to the board and says that he is supporting UASF?

Would that be enough for you to name that minority chain as "bitcoin"?

I feel like we are taking bitcoin to the point of near destruction and just before 3-4 different bitcoins appear, satoshi will make a comeback and settle things once and for all. (I hope he re-sets the rules and removes ASICs all together)

Why should he. Satoshi isn't god and we all are suppose to fall in line.

At best he can give his opinions of the "civil war."

He is already god. You have no idea what would happen if satoshi declares his opinion on these matters. He can settle everything with a word from his mouth. Do you have any idea about the size of a support he can get from the community? You clearly not.

He doesn't have to fiddle with the code. All he has to do is declaring his opinion and everything will get solved in a decentralized fashion.
Cool

But BU'ers probably will cry again because they will say it is just unfair to have satoshi, while they got morons like Ver and WU Grin


Oh really, just like that.

If Satoshi said Segwit is rubbish and the blocksize should be 10mb, with built in future increases, difficulty retargeting every 3 blocks, current fees are flawed and needs this **** formulae. I expect you will fall in line "everything will get solved in a decentralized fashion."

legendary
Activity: 924
Merit: 1000
...Thus the actual outcome has changed because of others, not Satoshi. You shouldn't confused the intention, design, desire of Satoshi, with the present developers' desire thus creating a different "actual outcome."...
But they were hand-picked by him with a clear understanding of how to carry out his vision, just ask them and they will tell you.  Tongue

I thought Satoshi just picked Gavin. No one else?
hero member
Activity: 526
Merit: 508
My other Avatar is also Scrooge McDuck
Adam Back is the biggest mook in the history of crypto.  He was the first person Satoshi emailed and he didn't mine or buy any coins until the price was $1000. True story.

Lol! So your reason for hating on the cypherpunk who wrote Hashcash before Satoshi came along was that he wasn't around for bitcoin's earliest days?

Isn't this EXACTLY what we should expect the real persona behind satoshi to do if he wants to stay anonymous?

Yay! Let's hate on the person most likely to be satoshi because he was missing during Satoshi's appearance!  

lololol....
legendary
Activity: 924
Merit: 1000
It's nice to know that I'm not the only one that calls it "Twatter". Cheesy
I call it "twitter for twits"
legendary
Activity: 924
Merit: 1000
How large would blocks be under the current segwit plans plus the 2mb block increase plans?

How large would the blockchain grow each year for this implementation of Bitcoin?

I would like to remind everyone the single greatest barrier for someone wishing to participate in our decentralized network is the size of the block chain and the time it takes to download and the bandwidth to continuously sync.

If all you care about is the price of Bitcoin and not its decentralization then you will lose both and deserve neither.  

We should not let accountants, PR heads or sales reps decide whats is best for our network.

Hubris and greed will be our downfall.

++
hero member
Activity: 526
Merit: 508
My other Avatar is also Scrooge McDuck
I'm 100% certain that only 1 of the 2 of us is all on about Blockstream.  Roll Eyes
I'm 100% certain that you can't hear the facts when you plug your ears like that and look for something mundane like the repetition of a company's name to talk about.

Why not try responding to the points given? Afraid that it'll be uncomfortable to learn how wrong you are?

I'm 100% certain that hyperbole and delusions don't bolster anyone's case.  Undecided
I'm 100% certain that you're not open to accepting anything factual at all.
legendary
Activity: 3276
Merit: 2442
What would happen if satoshi logs in to the board and says that he is supporting UASF?

Would that be enough for you to name that minority chain as "bitcoin"?

I feel like we are taking bitcoin to the point of near destruction and just before 3-4 different bitcoins appear, satoshi will make a comeback and settle things once and for all. (I hope he re-sets the rules and removes ASICs all together)

Why should he. Satoshi isn't god and we all are suppose to fall in line.

At best he can give his opinions of the "civil war."

He is already god. You have no idea what would happen if satoshi declares his opinion on these matters. He can settle everything with a word from his mouth. Do you have any idea about the size of a support he can get from the community? You clearly not.

He doesn't have to fiddle with the code. All he has to do is declaring his opinion and everything will get solved in a decentralized fashion. Cool

But BU'ers probably will cry again because they will say it is just unfair to have satoshi, while they got morons like Ver and WU  Grin
legendary
Activity: 924
Merit: 1000
What would happen if satoshi logs in to the board and says that he is supporting UASF?

Would that be enough for you to name that minority chain as "bitcoin"?

I feel like we are taking bitcoin to the point of near destruction and just before 3-4 different bitcoins appear, satoshi will make a comeback and settle things once and for all. (I hope he re-sets the rules and removes ASICs all together)

Why should he. Satoshi isn't god and we all are suppose to fall in line.

At best he can give his opinions of the "civil war."
hero member
Activity: 1092
Merit: 552
Retired IRCX God
...In other words, instead of a difficulty adjustment every 2016 blocks, one should have a difficulty adjustment following Moore's law...
1965 is over and we've about reached the end of Moore's law.  Roll Eyes

Absolutely not.   Moore's law is alive and kicking.  But Moore's law is an *economic* law, not a law of raw performance.

Quote
The complexity for minimum component costs has increased at a rate of roughly a factor of two per year. Certainly over the short term this rate can be expected to continue, if not to increase. Over the longer term, the rate of increase is a bit more uncertain, although there is no reason to believe it will not remain nearly constant for at least 10 years.

Essentially, he says that the cost of an individual electronic function goes down by a factor of 2 every 1.5 years, and that's exactly what we need for the economic cost of proof of work.

It doesn't mean that the computational power of a laptop will increase by a factor of 2 every 1.5 years ; that could be a manifestation, but it could just as well be that a telephone with same functionality as 1.5 years ago, is half as expensive.

1. It's purely assumptive on your behalf that I said, or implied, anything about "raw performance".
2. He was looking backwards from 1965.
3. He was looking no more forward than 1975.
4. The fact remains that "the manufacturing cost per component [per circuit]" can't continue to halve much more from this point forward.
5. Scale plays into 4 (Bitmain and Canaan aren't Intel).
hero member
Activity: 770
Merit: 629
The most important thing in a coin is the software being solid, and Core devs have proven time after time for years, that they are the best in the game.

I wouldn't think so.  The most important thing in a coin is a protocol being solid.  Anyone can write software that implements a protocol.  But designing a protocol that will stand, once and for all, never to be changed, and with all game-theoretical consequences thought out before hand is very difficult.  If the protocol contains flaws, the coin is going to behave differently that its intended behaviour.

The problem in crypto is that one confuses software and protocol.  Anyone can write software to implement a protocol.  But fiddling with a protocol is way, way more subtle.   Thinking that one can define a protocol with just software is foolishness, because that essentially means that one is tied to a single piece of software.  There are many open protocols out there.  SMTP is probably the best known and oldest.  Many software implementations of it exist and that makes SMTP essentially immutable, which is the core idea of a crypto currency.


legendary
Activity: 3430
Merit: 3080
BU is even more dead than i thought  Tongue
Even Roger Ver is part of the coup attempt by miners WITH segwit. BU was a distraction and should be forgotten. It's totally irrelevant to this next round of clashes.

This show that sense is winning

It's more obvious than ever that these corporate nobodies (like Bitpay, Barry Silbert's company and even Bitfury) have been to some extent responsible for the "make blocks too big" agenda all along.

  • First, 20 MB blocks, then worry about mitigating the effects later (the GavinCoin BIP101 original)
  • Then it was 8MB GavinCoin, quickly revised to 2MB JeffCoin for BIP102
  • Thirdly it was BIP100, where the miners were put overtly in charge, lol
  • Next it was XT and Classic, that were just BIPs 101 and 102 with a dash of marketing paint on the box
  • Then it was Bitcoin Unlimited, where the miners were put covertly in charge, even bigger lol
  • Now, Segwit 8MB (2MB + 6MB witness blocks) is the "final" SuitCoin compromise

These people are just desperate. They do nothing but push for too big, and they've had no choice but to come up with increasingly manipulative ways to talk the Bitcoin users into giving them the keys to the kingdom, and accepting the most dangerous blocksize they can spin lies about (the "2MB plus Segwit" being only the latest, which of course really means 8MB Segwit instead of the more sensible, but IMO still dangerous 4MB Segwit)

And all that's happening is that they keep shifting their position closer and closer to Segwit 4MB (which after all is what 68% of the Bitcoin network is ready for)
hero member
Activity: 770
Merit: 629
What would happen if satoshi logs in to the board and says that he is supporting UASF?

Would that be enough for you to name that minority chain as "bitcoin"?

I feel like we are taking bitcoin to the point of near destruction and just before 3-4 different bitcoins appear, satoshi will make a comeback and settle things once and for all. (I hope he re-sets the rules and removes ASICs all together)

If Satoshi can log in and make things happen, it means that Satoshi is the central authority of bitcoin.
Now, if he has the (moral) right to the name of "bitcoin", why not.
legendary
Activity: 924
Merit: 1000
The original blocksize was 32mb and the 1mb was temporary anti-spam measure.
Not correct.  No version of bitcoin has been able to handle blocks larger than 1 MB.  When the 1 MB limit was set, bitcoin would still choke on 1 MB blocks.  Miners producing much smaller blocks would win any race, because nodes receiving the 1 MB block would crash.  Large blocks wouldn't propagate to other nodes.

Researchers have figured out that blocks larger than about 4 MB would be unsafe.  This is why segwit is capped at 4 MB.  If it was a way to make bitcoin work just as well with even larger blocks, it would probably have been implemented in segwit.  Fortunately the parameters have been chosen by scientists, not users.

The stubbornness and refusal to raise the limit created a side effect of bad business policy
The limit is a hard blockchain rule, not a business policy.  Splitting bitcoin in two would not only be a bad technical decision, it would be bad for businesses as well.  Especially small businesses like mine.

I do wish people on here studied accountancy like myself, then people would have a better understanding of Bitcoin.
LOL!

Btw, the economic properties of the block size limit become obvious when the txfee rewards are much larger than the block reward, which is going to happen faster with larger blocks.  It will no longer be profitable to build on a new block for a miner.  Instead he will try to steal the fees from the previous block by mining a new block at the same height, at least until the fees from waiting transactions in the mempool are higher than in the last mined block.  Thereby leading to steadily increasing txfees.  This is what miners want, not necessarily what users want.

Crash or orphan? The race to win a POW subsidy is somewhat a bizarre race. Miner A solves POW. Miner B solves POW 1 second later. Miner A filling up a block, whilst miner B just send an empty block and wins the race. Should the race be - Miner A solves a block and broadcast it to all miner nodes. Miners' nodes acknowledge it and broadcast it. A count is made that miner A is the winner and miner A fills the block and propagate it, without worrying another miner crossing the line first with an empty block. If miner B solves a POW 1 second later and broadcast it, a count is made that miner A is the winner by majority vote. If vote is a tie then winner based on block propagation.

All subjective, often masked by hidden agenda, so irrelevant since other researchers have disagreed.

I said, "side effect." Business policy refers to limiting the size of double book-keeping.

What miners want is irrelevant. Miners job is to work out there own ROI when investing in mining Bitcoin. It is not the job of Bitcoin itself to satisfy miners.
hero member
Activity: 770
Merit: 629
...In other words, instead of a difficulty adjustment every 2016 blocks, one should have a difficulty adjustment following Moore's law...
1965 is over and we've about reached the end of Moore's law.  Roll Eyes

Absolutely not.   Moore's law is alive and kicking.  But Moore's law is an *economic* law, not a law of raw performance.

Quote
The complexity for minimum component costs has increased at a rate of roughly a factor of two per year. Certainly over the short term this rate can be expected to continue, if not to increase. Over the longer term, the rate of increase is a bit more uncertain, although there is no reason to believe it will not remain nearly constant for at least 10 years.

Essentially, he says that the cost of an individual electronic function goes down by a factor of 2 every 1.5 years, and that's exactly what we need for the economic cost of proof of work.

It doesn't mean that the computational power of a laptop will increase by a factor of 2 every 1.5 years ; that could be a manifestation, but it could just as well be that a telephone with same functionality as 1.5 years ago, is half as expensive.
hero member
Activity: 1092
Merit: 552
Retired IRCX God
...Thus the actual outcome has changed because of others, not Satoshi. You shouldn't confused the intention, design, desire of Satoshi, with the present developers' desire thus creating a different "actual outcome."...
But they were hand-picked by him with a clear understanding of how to carry out his vision, just ask them and they will tell you.  Tongue
hero member
Activity: 686
Merit: 504

So you want a hard fork to destroy bitcoin and it's dominance, and the other arguments you made were just nonsense?


STAHP. Educate yourself. Don't you know that bitcoin has already hard forked several times in its history?

https://github.com/bitcoin/bips/blob/master/bip-0050.mediawiki

Bitcoin didn't split in half - there is still only one bitcoin. When it becomes absolutely necessary to modify the protocol, sane people work together and get it done. Like when the blocks are totally full, and people have been waiting for years to do a trivial blocksize increase...

Even if bitcoin DID split into two chains, one would have more hashpower, and would therefore be more valuable than the other, like Ethereum did. Ehrmagerd, it didn't die!


Bitcoin dominance is ending because the blocksize is still too small.
legendary
Activity: 924
Merit: 1000
But at least I'm happy that you consider block size just as well a hard economic parameter as inflation rate.   I think that the block size limit as an economic parameter, introducing scarcity of transaction room, was a stupid thing to do in bitcoin's design, but so is its inflation rate.  So, bitcoin being designed as a system with a scarce and finite number of coins, I don't see the problem with bitcoin as a system with a finite and scarce number of transactions per unit of time.  I have to say I think the economic model of both is stupid if the idea was to make a currency, but then, that's how bitcoin was designed, and I think that is the way it should live its life.  The economic design looks more like the one for "exclusive famous paintings" which are rare to come by, and difficult to transact, in other words, a kind of highly speculative and not  very liquid asset with high price that is rarely moved, and only to move big amounts of value (not a currency at all, but a "settlement layer for rich guys doing things where fiat cannot go").  


This is a typical error that people make. First of all, a block have nothing to do with economics. It is an accountancy thing. Double book-keeping with 2 columns; Expenditure and Income. In Bitcoin it is; Input and Output. The original blocksize was 32mb and the 1mb was temporary anti-spam measure.

I know that it was presented that way, and maybe it was even *intended* that way.   But a desirable outcome is not necessarily the actual outcome of a design.  If I make a rocket to go to the moon, and I put propellers on it, even if my intentions are to get to the moon, my rocket will never leave the atmosphere.  Arguing that propellers should bring me to the moon because that's why I put them on my rocket in the first place, is an erroneous form of reasoning that takes desired outcome as provable consequence.

If one puts a hard limit on something, you make it artificially scarce.  One has put an artificial limit on the number of bitcoins that are made.  Nothing technical would stop you from making more of them.  Changing the >>= into <<= in the calculation of the coinbase reward is all that is needed to have doublings instead of halvings every 210 000 blocks.  But one put halvings, to make bitcoins artificially scarce and hence expensive.

Whether this was the intention or not, one did the same with the number of transactions by limiting the amount of produced transaction room to 1 MB/10 minutes.  This could actually be a very smart move, because the scarcity of transaction room makes it expensive: the fees.  Given that sooner or later, the whole of bitcoin's PoW security must be paid by fees, it wouldn't be crazy to make fees expensive.

Why 1 MB and not 10 MB ?  That's similar to "why 21 million coins and not 210 million coins ?".  Arbitrary choice of scarcity.  But it *is* a scarcity parameter, and its price is the fee, like the number of bitcoins is scarce and its price is the market price of a coin.

Quote
A company does not limited its sales according to the double book-keeping size. Sales are limited by the goods/services they have on offer - economic. The original limit of 32mb was a good one and allows adoptions to grow naturally over a decade or more before reaching the limit. Thus there is plenty of time to solve the capacity/scaling issue before the limit is reached.

I agree with you on the idea that *if bitcoin were not to be scarce in transactions*, but it wasn't designed that way.  I also think that the uncapped value of bitcoin is wrong.  I think bitcoin's value should be regulated automatically (I already said how).  But no, people want scarce coins that can go moon.  Well, they  also have scarce transaction room that can go moon too.

Both of these are bad for a currency.  A currency should have fluid transactions, and should have stable value.  Bitcoin is designed to have speculative value by scarcity of coins, and is equally designed to have expensive transactions by scarcity of room.  The coin emission lowers, the transaction "emission" is constant.  Hell, it would even be funny if block SIZE halved also every 210 000 blocks !  Then the total block chain would have finite length and the last transaction would take place in some 10s of years when the block size drops under 1 KB, in the same way as the emission rate drops under 1 Satoshi.

Can't help it that it is designed that way, even if it was not intended that way.


Rocket, propeller - engineering not accountancy, so a bad example, but i see what you were trying to do. The intended and designed outcome was 32mb. The desirable outcome of having 32mb was that it would take a decade or more to reach the 32mb limit, thus allowing developers plenty of time to come up with new solutions/features to expand capacity and scaling before the 32mb limit is reached. Satoshi intended the 1mb to be temporary but others had different ideas. Thus the actual outcome has changed because of others, not Satoshi. You shouldn't confused the intention, design, desire of Satoshi, with the present developers' desire thus creating a different "actual outcome."

How? Any links?
Regulating Bitcoin price like this https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gold_fixing ? Who then is going to fix the price daily. I do see where you are coming from. I fixed price daily is good for businesses, so then can accept and convert bitcoin without worrying the price crashing. This would lead to centralisation, unless it can be automated by codes. Bitcoin value is still at its infancy. It either goes up and reach a stable value at some point or it will crash due to the "creation of ponzi codes."


The scarcity of coin is good. It allows the value to settle and stabilise, then go up slowly, in the future, if it ever gets there. Yes, the value is speculative now, mostly due to traders. The "scarcity of room" should not have happened. It's now a cluster fuck.
legendary
Activity: 1437
Merit: 1002
https://bitmynt.no
If you receive a transaction on your node, and it is confirmed, you will regard it as a good one.  The coin being spent may not exist on the other chain, or there may be another transaction on the other chain spending it differently.  So you will lose coins, and can easily be scammed.
That's not what I'd call "losing coins because you run a node".
Great.  I'll tell pepole who lose their coins that you have chosen a different name for it, so it must be OK.
Again, nobody CAN lose a coin just by running or not running a particular non-mining node.  That's trivially obvious.
Ah, you are making the argument they have to actually use the node to either receive or send transactions?  Yes, that goes without saying.

Quote
Yep, so you will make two coins.  And if you were to do that for every minor improvement, we would have more than 20 different bitcoin blockchains already, and most people, including me, would see it as a failed experiment.
Why ?  After all, each time you make two coins, they are evaluated in the market.  If most users find the improvement much better than the original, they will put all the market cap on the new one, and none on the old.
No.  Since people will lose money from this, and the security of the storage itself since all parameters are subject to change this way, the total market cap will be much lower.  Bitcoin will become one of those altcoins you never know what will happen to.

I am more interested in other properties of bitcoin than the market cap.  It doesn't matter much to me if it loses value.  If it loses the concept of the immutable blockchain rules, it has lost everything to me and become just another shitcoin.  I'll be out, and so will many other people holding large amounts, and small businesses (like mine) which depend on keeping cost and complexity down.

In PoW, the miners follow the market cap (in fact, they follow the block reward in $$ but if the rewards are comparable, the miners follow the market cap).  So if users decide to buy up the new coins, and dump the old ones, the market cap of the old ones goes to 0, and the market cap of the new one takes over all of it.
It is not that easy.  If miners were interested in market cap, then segwit would have been  activated a long time ago.

If the users are divided over the utility of the modification, two coins emerge with comparable market cap, mostly half of what used to be the original coin, which is a good thing too: it means that essentially a useless modification was applied, at least as evaluated by the market.
Yeah, this way you can make loads of shitcoins, and if you think the market wants it it would have happened many times already.

I can recommend bitcoin to people, because I know what it is.  If it stops being bitcoin, and becomes a bunch of shitcoins, I can't do that any more.

I would think the multitude of different coins a good thing ; but actually, one doesn't need to fork off bitcoin to do so, one can also start a chain from scratch.  That is what about 700 or more other crypto currencies have done.   The more the market is varied, the more different coins there are, the better the experiment, and the more fluid the market ; the better the outcome.    Monopolistic markets are a bad thing.  Variation and choice is good in my book.  I think bitcoin has been having a monopoly for far too long a time, and finally, other crypto is being considered somewhat, even though in a crazy speculative game.
What?  The first altcoins started in 2010.  Bitcoin hasn't had any kind of monopoly for as long as the economy around it has existed.

So you want a hard fork to destroy bitcoin and it's dominance, and the other arguments you made were just nonsense?

If there is a strong majority forking away in bitcoin, the slow difficulty adaptation in bitcoin will simply kill the small minority chain: its block rate will be ridiculously small.
Roll Eyes  OK, you obviously don't understand even the most basic properties of bitcoin.  Mining difficulty adjusts automatically every 2016 blocks to make sure the blockrate stay the same, regardless of the hashrate.

Note that you are contradicted that every hard fork needs to lead to two prongs in reality: most regularly hardforking coins like ethereum, DASH, monero, .... are in any case so much centralized on their "Core" dev team, that only in very contentious cases, two prongs emerge, as was the case with the winding-back HF on ethereum.
Those are centrally controlled shitcoins.  I wouldn't touch them with a ten foot pole.  Fortunately Bitcoin is nothing like that.

Quote
Of course, because segwit is a soft fork.  Hard forks don't work that way.  The blocks produced on the other side won't get orphaned.  Both chains will continue as different coins.
Yes.  That's good in my book.
Then just fork off your own coin.

Quote
Yep, and if someone want to do that with bitcoin they are welcome.  Just don't call the new coin "bitcoin", because that will be confusing to everyone, and don't expect anyone to use their new coin.
The funny thing is that a UASF is exactly the same.  You make two coins if the soft fork chain is minority, even though it is a soft fork.  UASF is asking users to only consider a segwit-only chain, and hope that a minority of miners will make a segwit-only chain that those UASF nodes will accept (otherwise, they stop).  But the old majority chain continues of course.  We ALSO have a fork and two coins: don't call the new one "bitcoin" in that case, you might confuse people.
No, it isn't the same.  Since segwit is backwards compatible, the other chain will reorg to the UASF chain if/when the UASF chain become the longest.  If UASF gains traction, those not running the UASF chain will at some point get reorged over to the UASF chain, losing all traces of the chain they used to be on.

However, this kind of fork is extremely dangerous.  Because the majority chain may be orphaned after a month or so if they don't transform it into a bilateral hard fork.
It can be orphaned any time.  Could be an hour, a day, a month or even years.  UASF is clearly the safest side to be on.  About 10% of all bitcoin nodes on the network signal some kind of support for a BIP148 style UASF.  It will be interesting to see how it plays out.
hero member
Activity: 1092
Merit: 552
Retired IRCX God
The most important thing in a coin is the software being solid, and Core devs have proven time after time for years, that they are the best in the game...
So we can assume that you've thoroughly tested every other option to be qualified to make such an assertion?  Roll Eyes

There's no "other options"...
When you claim "they are the best in the game" and they are the "only" in the game, by extension, you're also saying "Core devs are the worst in the game. "
Because, logic.  Wink
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