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Topic: The Bear Market is officially...OFF?!? - page 22. (Read 29279 times)

hero member
Activity: 700
Merit: 500
daytrader/superhero
I don't want to insult a Sensei, but it already looks like the market is recovering. I know this is only in the short term but do you think we are really headed towards inevitable downtrend? I mean, just going by what I've seen in my short time here, what goes up must come down and what goes down will come up. Isn't it more likely we continue to see this unstable flip flop throughout the year?

It's certainly possible, but in my opinion, we are heading down for the visible future (with crazy volitility along the way).



This is the way I see it:

   Despite all of the hype, there was never any justification for the price being this high in the first place. By the time we hit triple digits, the price was being driven almost purely by speculation.

   I think 33 was the real start of the speculative bubble. Once we passed that psychological barrier and didnt crash into singles (which quite a few of us believed would happen), the money started piling in from those in the community, who now feared missing the boat.

   As the price rose, media attention began to grow; this attracted new investors, which in turn attracted more media attention, and the snowball grew. Now we had people entering the market simply to make a quick buck...people who didnt know or care much about bitcoin, but were simply looking to get rich quickly.  By this time, hype was at an all time high and the market was hitting an unsustainable amount of growth.  People actually started leveraging debt to buy btc (never a good sign).

  That's when the panic selling started.  People started pulling out once they feared their investment would be lost. Just like the rise, however, the price fell too fast and we saw the bounce up to 160 (which was expected).  

Since we have hit that mark, we have seen steady downward pressure. If you notice, after each of these moves downward lately, we have not been bouncing back as high (Lower lows and lower highs). To me this says we may be seeing the beginning of the same type of slow steady slide down we saw in 2011.
  
donator
Activity: 994
Merit: 1000
check price after 1 year, btc= 1000usd , magic!  Tongue

Everyone see this?

This is the attitude that is going to get a lot of people burned. Hard.

(I'm not trying to pick on you specifically, Gigacoin...)
Going long "blind" works under the assumptions that the fundamentals of bitcoin don't change.
This is a strong assumption, given the circumstance that bitcoin operates in a highly disruptive and innovative field.

While the price of bitcoin may be irrelevant for long term adoption, the technological and social indicators are not.
Right now they look good though - very good.
SAQ
newbie
Activity: 56
Merit: 0
Ohh heyy, you're back Smiley

Maybe a bit late? The selling seems to have run out of steam now.
sr. member
Activity: 364
Merit: 250
check price after 1 year, btc= 1000usd , magic!  Tongue

Everyone see this?

This is the attitude that is going to get a lot of people burned. Hard.

Man, you better listen to the Supernode! Every single BTC will be worth 100000 $ by the end of this year.
Great things to come Wink

Just kidding, I think you're right. This forum definitely got some skilled brainwashers on board Wink
If he manages to gather enough people believing him, it will be true xD
But so are those that say it will hit $0, because people will leave the sinking ship (although they are dismissing the uses BTC has).
member
Activity: 66
Merit: 10
check price after 1 year, btc= 1000usd , magic!  Tongue

Everyone see this?

This is the attitude that is going to get a lot of people burned. Hard.

Man, you better listen to the Supernode! Every single BTC will be worth 100000 $ by the end of this year.
Great things to come Wink

Just kidding, I think you're right. This forum definitely got some skilled brainwashers on board Wink
newbie
Activity: 56
Merit: 0
check price after 1 year, btc= 1000usd , magic!  Tongue

Everyone see this?

This is the attitude that is going to get a lot of people burned. Hard.

I don't want to insult a Sensei, but it already looks like the market is recovering. I know this is only in the short term but do you think we are really headed towards inevitable downtrend? I mean, just going by what I've seen in my short time here, what goes up must come down and what goes down will come up. Isn't it more likely we continue to see this unstable flip flop throughout the year?
member
Activity: 66
Merit: 10
Solution: Shutdown computer, set it on fire, throw smartphone into the silicon bonfire u just made, check price after 1 year, btc= 1000usd , magic!  Tongue

Why so humble, little Bull?  Grin According to the great Supernode Advisor we will hit 100000usd by the end of this year.
No discussion, that is a proven fact. Just because it is, basically. You gotta have trust man.
So, I'd suggest you start spending the money right away, as this prediction cannot fail. It just can't. Gotta have faith, son.

LOL


hero member
Activity: 700
Merit: 500
daytrader/superhero
check price after 1 year, btc= 1000usd , magic!  Tongue

Everyone see this?

This is the attitude that is going to get a lot of people burned. Hard.

(I'm not trying to pick on you specifically, Gigacoin...)
hero member
Activity: 756
Merit: 500
It's all fun and games until somebody loses an eye
Solution: Shutdown computer, set it on fire, throw smartphone into the silicon bonfire u just made, check price after 1 year, btc= 1000usd , magic!  Tongue

Wait, are you supposed to make a backup of your wallet before this, or does the price go up only if you destroy all the bitcoins you own?
legendary
Activity: 1288
Merit: 1000
Enabling the maximal migration
Solution: Shutdown computer, set it on fire, throw smartphone into the silicon bonfire u just made, check price after 1 year, btc= 1000usd , magic!  Tongue

Sad but true.  Embarrassed
sr. member
Activity: 308
Merit: 251
Giga
Solution: Shutdown computer, set it on fire, throw smartphone into the silicon bonfire u just made, check price after 1 year, btc= 1000usd , magic!  Tongue
member
Activity: 114
Merit: 10
I have just put my bids in for $70 and $55. I do not expect the price to go down that far, so I purchased a couple at $111. I think we might be back at $130 within the next 48hours but ... this is Bitcoins and Japan Holidays are next week, so who knows.

Time for me to log off Bitcoins for today.
member
Activity: 66
Merit: 10
I always wonder what motivates people to create threads like this.
The price is moving and boom there goes a thread which 1) states the obvious and 2) delivers a bold prediction of what will happen.
These threads tend to dramatize a bit or even try to amplify the whole thing instead of observing.

Anyway, i think it's funny how a price movement triggers the analyst in many people. And the commentator. Wink

Cheers


hero member
Activity: 700
Merit: 500
daytrader/superhero
I just hope it won't take another 2 years to recover.

+1

I think people are going to get burned harder on this pop than they did a few years ago, though (which could mean a long recovery period). 
hero member
Activity: 700
Merit: 500
daytrader/superhero
Everybody should have made profit in both bitcoins and dollars. If you do things right, you end up with more dollars than you started with and also more bitcoins.

"Should have" are the operative words here...but I think a lot of people bought into the hype, and I worry about all those people that leveraged debt to buy in somewhere in the two hundreds (I did try to warn some of those people here that it was a very bad idea...but once again, I was shouted down).  
legendary
Activity: 840
Merit: 1000
I honestly think it is.

I just hope it won't take another 2 years to recover.

I would appreciate a new record before the end of the year.

Same, I usually lean bullish, but I try to be reasonable, never really a bear or bull, but I feel we are headed down before eventually heading up in Bitcoin's Wave 5. I would love to scoop up more coins at the bottom and enjoy that ride up, I just hope it doesn't take forever like it did last time.
sr. member
Activity: 434
Merit: 250
I honestly think it is.

I just hope it won't take another 2 years to recover.

I would appreciate a new record before the end of the year.
hero member
Activity: 756
Merit: 500
It's all fun and games until somebody loses an eye
I hope that everyone's at least taken a small profit in dollars at this point. It makes the long, slow side much less painful.

Everybody should have made profit in both bitcoins and dollars. If you do things right, you end up with more dollars than you started with and also more bitcoins.
hero member
Activity: 700
Merit: 500
daytrader/superhero
It's like 2011 all over again.  Cheesy

I honestly think it is.

The lower lows and lower highs we have been seeing over the last week do not look good, IMO. The market is creeping down.
sr. member
Activity: 434
Merit: 250
Yes I wish I had sold more at $200+ (I only sold 50 coins at $200), but I am definitely NOT selling now.

It's like 2011 all over again.  Cheesy
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