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Topic: The Great Silk Road Crash of 20** ...? - page 3. (Read 37096 times)

full member
Activity: 150
Merit: 100
October 02, 2013, 12:27:35 PM
the us govt seized a great share of the total bitcoins that there will EVER BE. What will be done with these coins?

Until I know, I am staying far away from BTC.
legendary
Activity: 1358
Merit: 1002
October 02, 2013, 12:25:42 PM
http://techcrunch.com/2013/10/02/fbi-seize-deep-web-marketplace-silk-road-arrest-owner/

Let's see how much of an effect this has.

I think we will easily bounce back Smiley

Busted for posting his email address on Bitcoin Talk. Awesome... Very smart of him... Roll Eyes
sr. member
Activity: 308
Merit: 250
October 02, 2013, 12:24:55 PM
In my mind, it is inevitable that Silk Road will either be shut down or cease to operate in the not too distant future.

While successors will eventually spring up in its place, there will still be a large, sudden drop in demand for BTC.

How low will BTC go?

How soon might this happen?

Since I believe Bitcoin is bigger than Silkroad, I would welcome the opportunity to buy coins cheaply, but others may see this scenario as a disaster for the community.

I'm interested in peoples thoughts.


This might happen....... TODAY.

Now all the speculation comes to and end, lets get some popcorn and see what happens.
sr. member
Activity: 280
Merit: 250
October 02, 2013, 12:24:29 PM
In during crash. Got out at 115.
full member
Activity: 151
Merit: 100
October 02, 2013, 12:23:15 PM
All the weak hands will really be regretting this later. But hey.. panic ahead, more BTC for me!
hero member
Activity: 826
Merit: 508
October 02, 2013, 12:22:42 PM
I've always been saying that Bitcoin is backed by SR and gambling. People keep telling me there is some bigger fantasy Bitcoin economy. Now you see.
True that! This is a bloodbath.  Undecided
N12
donator
Activity: 1610
Merit: 1010
October 02, 2013, 12:21:48 PM
I've always been saying that Bitcoin is backed by SR and gambling. People keep telling me there is some bigger fantasy Bitcoin economy. Now you see.
legendary
Activity: 1792
Merit: 1000
October 02, 2013, 12:10:58 PM
It will be interesting to see what effect this has on bitcoin transactions - it might be possible to gauge just what % were attributed to SR.
sr. member
Activity: 252
Merit: 250
October 02, 2013, 12:06:46 PM
I prefer to sell now and buy more at the bottom.  Holding in a crash is pointless, IMO.
hero member
Activity: 826
Merit: 508
October 02, 2013, 11:58:46 AM
I wouldn't be selling BTC now.. Bitcoin is antifragile - smash it and it doesn't die, only gets stronger!
That's a really persuasive argument.
donator
Activity: 1218
Merit: 1079
Gerald Davis
October 02, 2013, 11:58:05 AM
Guess that fills in the blanks.  "The Great Silk Road Crash of 2013".  

Given Bitcoin has seen -40% days and -75% weeks I think the "great crash" would need to eclipse that.   Something massive and spectacular like a -66% day and -95% week.   
I don't see SR being shut down dropping BTC from $120 to $9.  
full member
Activity: 151
Merit: 100
October 02, 2013, 11:57:08 AM
I wouldn't be selling BTC now.. Bitcoin is antifragile - smash it and it doesn't die, only gets stronger!
legendary
Activity: 1792
Merit: 1000
October 02, 2013, 11:48:07 AM
BTC-e has dropped from $124 to $115
sr. member
Activity: 252
Merit: 250
October 02, 2013, 11:42:58 AM
Guess that fills in the blanks.  "The Great Silk Road Crash of 2013". 
legendary
Activity: 1792
Merit: 1000
October 02, 2013, 11:32:27 AM
http://techcrunch.com/2013/10/02/fbi-seize-deep-web-marketplace-silk-road-arrest-owner/

Let's see how much of an effect this has.

I think we will easily bounce back Smiley
member
Activity: 70
Merit: 10
Expert Computer Geek
September 19, 2013, 09:05:00 PM
I could see Silk Road getting shut down if the operator(s) made some sort of mistake that inadvertently disclosed their identity.  That mistake could be as simple as spelling some word in a peculiar way and then finding that same misspelling uniquely somewhere else, like here on the forums, or on Facebook, or whatever.

What would be awesome, however, is if the SR operator had a "dead man switch" that automatically disclosed his complete source code to the public in case he ever ceased to run it unexpectedly (died or went to jail or whatever).  Then half a dozen copycats - basically anyone with the balls - could take his place and open up all kinds of markets after he has nothing to lose by sharing his code.  (Meanwhile, the public would get a chance to close any hidden security holes or whatever there might be).

Mike is obviously one of the few who knows who DPR is lol


DPR i don't see that symbol on any of the exchanges!!!~ = BSC ? lol;)
legendary
Activity: 1904
Merit: 1002
September 19, 2013, 09:02:38 PM

Desolator, sadly for some argueing this is right. Formal education is a must for ANY trade or practice.  I'd go out on a limb and say yeah you don't need college.  But you cannot do it alone.  You need mentors,  you need critic's and furthermore you actually need a hard hitter like desolator to point this out.

If you want an example as to why.  Go on digital point. Have one of those east indian coders do something extremely simple for you. You will pay for googled code. Ask them to provide source code then do some googleing of your own. You get what you pay for.

At any rate the point is, you can't be 100% self made.  Ask yourself this question involveing a totally different field.  If your house was on fire would you want the trained crew of emergency responders.  Or the weekend on call crew that has basic training?

I won't argue against the need for mentors, but formal training is absolutely not necessary for all people.  Most people have no motivation to learn without formal structure, but some people can do it.
donator
Activity: 2772
Merit: 1019
September 19, 2013, 12:48:12 PM
Ok, I didn't read the whole thread, but I think it would definitely be possible for USG to close down SR. Just pump a lot of traffic at it and see where traffic increases. You will have a lot of noise so do it a whole lot of times. Eventually you will see that everytime you pump traffic at SR,   165.54.43.21  gets a lot of encrypted traffic. GG

I would guess there are some possible countermeasures to hide the increased traffic. Don't know wether such things are deployed on SR, though.
sr. member
Activity: 280
Merit: 250
September 19, 2013, 12:21:22 PM
Ok, I didn't read the whole thread, but I think it would definitely be possible for USG to close down SR. Just pump a lot of traffic at it and see where traffic increases. You will have a lot of noise so do it a whole lot of times. Eventually you will see that everytime you pump traffic at SR,   165.54.43.21  gets a lot of encrypted traffic. GG
hero member
Activity: 504
Merit: 500
September 19, 2013, 05:56:52 AM
I could see Silk Road getting shut down if the operator(s) made some sort of mistake that inadvertently disclosed their identity.  That mistake could be as simple as spelling some word in a peculiar way and then finding that same misspelling uniquely somewhere else, like here on the forums, or on Facebook, or whatever.

What would be awesome, however, is if the SR operator had a "dead man switch" that automatically disclosed his complete source code to the public in case he ever ceased to run it unexpectedly (died or went to jail or whatever).  Then half a dozen copycats - basically anyone with the balls - could take his place and open up all kinds of markets after he has nothing to lose by sharing his code.  (Meanwhile, the public would get a chance to close any hidden security holes or whatever there might be).

Mike is obviously one of the few who knows who DPR is lol
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