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Topic: The impact of Bitcoin halving and my opinion (Read 453 times)

sr. member
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But isn't it obvious that after the halving, we reaches new all time high? So that is the impact that we all have been seeing and experiencing ever since. Bitcoin investors accumulate and hold and then sell on the right time, great ROI for everyone. Bitcoin miners continue to support the network, we paid them, then they make money, simply as that. And those average joe like the rest of us have learn and mature, followed DCA or do traders, so same result with whales, we also make money and we enjoyed our financial freedom because of Bitcoin and it's design to halved every 4 years and pushed the price as supply is dwindling, but the demand is at a record level. So what else do we need to discussed?
Your point is correct.  Bitcoin crosses its all time high every Halving.  Those who hold Bitcoin and sell after the halving when Bitcoin is at its peak will make the most profit.  In contrast  those who sell Bitcoin early in the short-term profit cycle will occasionally experience losses or make low profits.  A long term holding strategy has the potential to yield high returns for Bitcoin as its value always sees a substantial increase after a halving. Even knowing all this we still take our trade and investment in loss but it happens only because we don't think long time . To think long term we have to strengthen our strategy and plan . But we ignore this thing.
sr. member
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Yeah given the fact that new ATH has happened before halving event which is I thinkdoes not repeat on it's previous four year cycle history. It could be that this all depends on news as we can see ETF has made it clear that it is the reason why crypto prices rally especially Bitcoin. So yeah no doubt the next bull run is just a speculation and still depends on good news and bad news.
I think we all saw the impact it had all over the media, before the halving the news of the halving was spreading all over the media and brought the attention of more businesses, industries and more rich merchants. Because of the halving many people were so anxious to know about Bitcoin and even though it didn't get to the expected ATH of most newbies who had the mindset of it going x2 of it's current price but atleast the halving have made many people to get the idea of what Bitcoin is all about and I believe most of them might have made research to learn more and study about Bitcoin. Well the halving might not have gone as expected and some might be a little discouraged but those who's made research of the previous halving would understand that BTC would still encounter a long bull which normally occurs in some period after the halving, all they just need is patience.
sr. member
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Actually the bull run that would happen after halving event is just a pure speculation.

If halving event is the reason of bull run, why it's need to wait for next few months or year to increase? there's nothing difference between during halving event and a year after halving event because the reward already halved.
Yeah given the fact that new ATH has happened before halving event which is I thinkdoes not repeat on it's previous four year cycle history. It could be that this all depends on news as we can see ETF has made it clear that it is the reason why crypto prices rally especially Bitcoin. So yeah no doubt the next bull run is just a speculation and still depends on good news and bad news.
hero member
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But looking further, the bull market has come back and the coming months have been indeed topsy turvy with regard to the price. But these are not directly due to halving but major other happenings in the market.
That's right when governments make positive changes, traditional people with lesser trust in BTC also try there luck or time with it. They start to invest too. But do you think Halving is the major reason of why US authorities accepted the ETFs? I think it is. Because halving have bigger impact on the price of BTC and if they would accept the ETFs things will become more smooth means the demand will be increased and supply will be shorted. Thus we might see a big boom in the price.

Now the question is, why authorities accepted ETFs now? Beacuse those 11 ETFs companies filed for it, they fight for it, they struggle to make it happen, they spent money on it, if they would not have, then I don't think ETFs were to be accepted this time also. Now other question is why those companies waited for 2024 or 2023, why not in 2022, because they know, the right time. So directly or indirectly, halving have a big role here, as market's sentiments revolve around it,
hero member
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The truth is that the main motive of Satoshi Nakamoto to have planned halving is not even about the bull run caused by its post-market effect every 4-year cycle but for the scarcity of Bitcoin itself so that it can force lower supply and more demand. But today, that halving has now turned into a tradition where investors now regularly targeting to pump money into Bitcoin, which is causing the ever-celebrated bull run of the market. I believe that this will continue to happen until further notice and people will continue to gain preplanned earnings in Bitcoin because this period is always easy to know and of course often causes FOMO where people can earn from the market easily.

However, the heavy price of Bitcoin will always be a discouragement even if people do not like thinking towards that angle much. Bitcoin is no more as though it was at $500. For this, the having will continue to cause some post-market effect that will cause soaring of the market price but it will not be significant like before anymore. This is where the expectation of people will be disappointed as multiple earnings like before could drastically reduce.
legendary
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So you are the second dude I have heard saying that halving has not big impact on the price of BTC while the adoption have and I do agree with the fact that adoption has bigger impact but I am still confused on the line where you say Halving has minimal impact. As IMHO, halving cause an increment in the ratio of demand and supply, and considering the current situation adoption is increasing day by day due to ETFs.

And as the block reward has been reduced by half lesser BTC will come into the market which will decrease the supply as along the block reward more people are now preferring to hold BTC, and during this holding phase many new people join this holding group and end up losing the wallet's key which do the work of burning here. The point is IMO Halving has good impact as it drives people's emotions towards BTC and thus adoptions changes accordingly. What you think?
Thread has been inactive for a month now and I think this is a right time to reignite the discussion. As per my previous post, to clarify, a bigger movement in bitcoin's price occurs when governments make positive changes, acceptance rises and people approach it in a positive manner. Halving is not directly related to these things. However historically previous halvings have seen massive upstrokes and downstrokes, which was anticipated this year too but did not actually happen.

But looking further, the bull market has come back and the coming months have been indeed topsy turvy with regard to the price. But these are not directly due to halving but major other happenings in the market.
copper member
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Well, I think the most important thing that we have accomplished recently is that the BTC ETF was approved, and having BTC as an asset class is a game changer, knowing that other people would be able to buy their BTC without really having to get to the hard stuff of learning and made it easier for those "older money" to go into it.

Since there would be other people that go and buy it, there should be more supply. I hope that people will get to have their own.
member
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I think the halving's effect is still lying dormant, a lot of selling pressure against the buying pressure and the price remained under the current All-time-high?

To be honest, I dont see the halving times as good times to trade, or find an opportunity to trade because it is unpredictable but once the dust settles the bull or bear runs will initiate and then it becomes more fun.

Just let bitcoin grow as it is growing, unless we see more involvement from governments, growth will take time, a halving every four years has minimal impact.
I feel like there's a very big confusing situation going on with Bitcoin at the moment where traders don't understand if the market is going to go higher or if the chances of a bearish crash are high right now, so many people just stay silent. The hold is sitting neither they are buying nor are selling including me.
I've seen a lot of people talking about halving as if halving is magic and right after Bitcoin halving Bitcoin will go up a lot and people will start profiting right away.

And I agree with you that Halving time or the time when the market is very high is not a suitable time for trading as you have high chances of waiting for a long time for profit. As we all saw Bitcoin crossed its all-time high before the halving, and at this time Bitcoin is running enough proof so it won't be so easy to say that Bitcoin will go up and not down. So, I suggest traders with low investment should either adopt the DCA method or wait for a good time to trade.


Traders that understand market movement isn't shaken by the price movement as far there confluence align. And I would say  there is a clear difference between Traders and Investors, Traders are present either for a day, week or month just to make profit off the market whereas Investors hold for long-term careless about price movement, stick to there plan and keep buying, accumulating anytime.

The only best approach is applying DCA, this shades you from panic, fomo since your asset will keep soaring high. Bitcoin is an asset not just a tradable coin. The essence is to build a strong portfolio, and accumulate more bitcoin for the future in a long run. That's the goal, having enough stash of Bitcoin, it's a digital gold just like we will all want physical gold and value it much because we know it value so is Bitcoin.
sr. member
Activity: 2436
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Good side- it catches the attention of the community and makes the price skyrocket, and everyone seems happy with it.

Bad side - FOMO is quite visible and new investors sell their Bitcoin which makes the price drop. And it is quite disappointing after seeing the fees skyrocket as well together with the price.

I can't blame the people for thinking that the market is changing now. But yes, can do nothing but deal with the situation and be more prepared for the upcoming. However, I remain confident that this even gives us more positive results than negative ones and the new ATH.
sr. member
Activity: 2296
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I think the halving's effect is still lying dormant, a lot of selling pressure against the buying pressure and the price remained under the current All-time-high?

To be honest, I dont see the halving times as good times to trade, or find an opportunity to trade because it is unpredictable but once the dust settles the bull or bear runs will initiate and then it becomes more fun.

Just let bitcoin grow as it is growing, unless we see more involvement from governments, growth will take time, a halving every four years has minimal impact.
I feel like there's a very big confusing situation going on with Bitcoin at the moment where traders don't understand if the market is going to go higher or if the chances of a bearish crash are high right now, so many people just stay silent. The hold is sitting neither they are buying nor are selling including me.
I've seen a lot of people talking about halving as if halving is magic and right after Bitcoin halving Bitcoin will go up a lot and people will start profiting right away.

And I agree with you that Halving time or the time when the market is very high is not a suitable time for trading as you have high chances of waiting for a long time for profit. As we all saw Bitcoin crossed its all-time high before the halving, and at this time Bitcoin is running enough proof so it won't be so easy to say that Bitcoin will go up and not down. So, I suggest traders with low investment should either adopt the DCA method or wait for a good time to trade.
sr. member
Activity: 434
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The halving is like a designed mechanism integrated into Bitcoin by the found, the essence of which is to create scarcity and as time progresses. Unlike fiat that more notes are printed, this being the main cause of inflation even though the governments will never admit this, Bitcoin has anti-inflation attributes as it keeps getting better and more valuable with the passage of time. Indeed the halving and the limited supply of Bitcoin represent a lasting solution to inflation and like I said before, Bitcoin will keep getting better.

hero member
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So let us have a face to face of the halving where the bitcoin values drops and investors are being attracted to invest and holds until a long run of the bull run with its ATH. That is to yes YES the halving has bigger impact as Bitcoin is concerned in every circles.
For me, still yes.
Even though currently, the impact of the Bitcoin halving is not that significant, in fact many people say that the price of Bitcoin has fallen since the halving occurred, and this is true. However, the impact of the Bitcoin halving usually won't be felt immediately, right? What this means is that the Bitcoin market still needs time and conditions in which BTC will really experience a significant bullish era with a fairly skyrocketing rate of increase.

And in the end it can reach and exceed the new ATH. But here, sometimes that's not enough, it can easily happen because there are so many conditions that influence the market. And this is one of them. That is actually a very extraordinary thing, which makes us have to remain persistent and patient.

But what is certain is that I personally am very confident that we will be able to get and feel the impact of this halving in the next few months, that is the cycle of Bitcoin. we have to be patient to follow it.
hero member
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The halving is huge. Its not some little adjustment - it fundamentally cuts Bitcoin's supply in half. Scarcity drives such wild price hikes after a halving. Economic basics: finite supply, consistent demand, price rises. This is how Bitcoin builds value over time. Bitcoin's halving is like this force. It initially lowers the price, but smart investors know that's prime purchasing time. This pattern is essential to Bitcoin's operation. Its built-in mechanism for long-term growth makes it unique. Indeed, halving has a huge impact. It controls market movements and determines Bitcoin's fate in this new economy.
Yes that's right. The impact of this halving is certain and certainly has a big influence on its increase, even though currently the price is still stable, we can predict that usually after the halving Bitcoin will experience a very significant increase.

Because according to post-halving history, what happened before, post-halving, will stimulate the market to experience another bullish increase. This is also what several market analysts have said and they think that this increase has been taken into account by the market, we just have to wait for time. Although currently the price of bitcoin remains relatively stable post-halving, transaction fees on the network have spiked, proving increased activity. What is clear is that every halving will reduce the dilutive impact of mining so that the cycle will repeat itself, believe me. Doing dca on bitcoin and holding it in the long term will impact our finances in the future.
hero member
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To me the impact depends on the area you’re looking at it. If it is the price impact, I don’t think we will have the same impact as the other past halving because the percentage of the price movement is reducing this is due to bitcoin facing less volatility than before. For example in the early halving you can easily get a movement of more than 10X but now it is hard. If you look at even the current market price speculation you will notice that the highest the predictions are expected to go is 4X from the previous ATH ($69k). And as we go later in future I think the volatility will still reduce more.

As for adoption rate, I think the later we go into more halvings the more impact it gives
I agree with you. It's kind of funny when people expect a sudden price increase because of the halving, almost as if nobody knew it was coming. The halving has an impact on price on the long run because there will always be people interested in buying bitcoin so many of them will buy after the halving simply because before they couldn't buy for whatever reason.

I don't blame the newcomers because they have never experienced a halving before, but the funny thing is that there are still some investors who have gone through a halving before and also expect the price to increase immediately when the halving is completed .

Not just the halving but with any event similar to  ETFs, everything takes time to create a positive impact for bitcoin. But many investors want everything to happen immediately, and what's even more ironic is that those people often claim that they don't see bitcoin as a get-rich-quick investment. LOL.
legendary
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To me the impact depends on the area you’re looking at it. If it is the price impact, I don’t think we will have the same impact as the other past halving because the percentage of the price movement is reducing this is due to bitcoin facing less volatility than before. For example in the early halving you can easily get a movement of more than 10X but now it is hard. If you look at even the current market price speculation you will notice that the highest the predictions are expected to go is 4X from the previous ATH ($69k). And as we go later in future I think the volatility will still reduce more.

As for adoption rate, I think the later we go into more halvings the more impact it gives
I agree with you. It's kind of funny when people expect a sudden price increase because of the halving, almost as if nobody knew it was coming. The halving has an impact on price on the long run because there will always be people interested in buying bitcoin so many of them will buy after the halving simply because before they couldn't buy for whatever reason.
member
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Bitcoin halving is one of the most discussed topic in the crypto space.Bitcoin halving is an event that tend to happen every 4 years after 210,000 blocks have been mined.After every halving event the price of Bitcoin increase (ATH),from the previous halvings that occurred the price of Bitcoin significantly increase.Miners are rewarded for validating the blockchain network and transaction fees.According to Vitalik Buterin-The main reason why this is done is to keep inflation under control. – Vitalik Buterin, creator of Ethereum.But with the expansion of the network and the growth of Bitcoin adoption, the need to reduce inflation and simultaneously prevent the rapid depletion of Bitcoin available for the mining came to the fore .
hero member
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As simple as that, yes it does because Bitcoin halving has a mechanism impact to influence the supplies, preserves decentralized notations on a specific max volume of Bitcoin in the market to maintain stable rewards on the Bitcoin industrial structures.
And thereafter the halving comes the bull run and the OP will agree with me that every bull runs is accountable to surge an ATH which is resulted just after the halving.

So let us have a face to face of the halving where the bitcoin values drops and investors are being attracted to invest and holds until a long run of the bull run with its ATH. That is to yes YES the halving has bigger impact as Bitcoin is concerned in every circles.

The impact the halving has on bitcoin cannot be overstated. Just look back into history on how every bitcoin halving events have come to be and how bitcoin attained a new all time high after the halving. It is a sequence that haven’t changed till date. The little changes that occurred in the market was that it broke through the all time high even before the halving took place. Looking closely at the market before the halving occurs, that major dump that happened was a sign that it has to be on that same sequence it has been following for all the past halvings.

Those pump in price that triggered it to surpass the all time high could be as a result of the new inventions in the bitcoin ecosystem like the spot bitcoin ETF. Those wailing and also maybe the OP you’re referring to would have been expecting an immediate surge in prices after the halving but that’s not the case. It will come but not immediately as many novice in the crypto world foresees it.
legendary
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I agree with you, the halving hasn't gotten much effect on the price at the moment, everything seems to be normal except for the mempool congestion. I believe most investors are just waiting the see the dust settle for them to take the next step.
They aren't waiting for any dust to settle. Bitcoin halvings never worked any other way than they do now, meaning that they never caused a FOMO rally.
I don't get why some people expect halving to work like ETF approval because it never did and it never will. Bitcoin halving reduces the sell pressure from miners
There used to be 900 BTC mined every day and now it's only 450, so the supply pressure has been reduced from around 60 million USD to 30 million. That's the halving effect and for it to impact the price we'll have to probably wait a few months.

sr. member
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As simple as that, yes it does because Bitcoin halving has a mechanism impact to influence the supplies, preserves decentralized notations on a specific max volume of Bitcoin in the market to maintain stable rewards on the Bitcoin industrial structures.
And thereafter the halving comes the bull run and the OP will agree with me that every bull runs is accountable to surge an ATH which is resulted just after the halving.

So let us have a face to face of the halving where the bitcoin values drops and investors are being attracted to invest and holds until a long run of the bull run with its ATH. That is to yes YES the halving has bigger impact as Bitcoin is concerned in every circles.

Why do I feel like we might not experienced a large new price like everyone is expecting, like we night likely see Bitcoin pass the all time high but I'm not the only person that Bitcoin will do half a million. Let's say for instance Bitcoin jump up to $100k and then we want more upside growth of Bitcoin, if we want to see Bitcoin around $500k, that means Bitcoin would have to x5 in value and that seems to large to me and the crash wouldn't be easy to look at.

It's good to have some bags though, even when I don't have enough Bitcoin or even a half of it, I have some I'm holding because the hardest place I want to see my Bitcoin on is stablecoins because inflation is spoiling everything and food inflation is another problem that is spoiling fiats. I would rather hold a Bitcoin with 50% annual percentage on Bitcoin investment than leave everything on stablecoin.
hero member
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Bitcoin halving is part of the genetic mottion to complete bitcoin program in a circle and it's of which every events of bitcoin of a circle is advanced to the previous circle such as the ATH.
About the impact of bitcoin halving, yes it does have huge impact of bitcoin promo by which it's an event period which limits bitcoins price and increases the number of Investors. This alone is a huge impact to bitcoin.
This will be the first real halving but due to the knowledge I have gather from the community, I am led to believe and understand that the halving is significant enough for everyone to step up their game and buy more coins. Due to the past records, it's believe that the price always goes up whenever it's the halving years and this has place a mentality on all Bitcoin investors to actually buy more coins during this period and people get encourage more to buy during this period because there is actually a nice price for those types of investors that are always scared of the DIP or bear season.
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