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Topic: The market is not designed to be predictable. Or is it? (Read 528 times)

sr. member
Activity: 1372
Merit: 251
PredX - AI-Powered Prediction Market
Hold it and forget if it continues to look bad for you, keep working don't look back in time to welcome your future don't regret it because you haven't lost the important don't sell it
sr. member
Activity: 714
Merit: 261
I guess its pretty much true that you start loosing your assets if you are actually selling them. Now it doesnt matter if you are selling them at the time high peaks but if you see them at the downtrends then surely it will be worst for you. You loose over it and you also start counting in terms of local value (fiat). In reality if you consider a bitcoin as bitcoin then you wont be having any problem with what market situation is currently. But if you start counting the numbers in terms of say USD then surely it will impact your selling and buying patterns a lot. Meaning its impossible to hold if you look at the market in those terms.
copper member
Activity: 126
Merit: 1
Trading requires a certain level of prediction, with the help of TA and FA but in reality, it is not always as predictable, the correct and perfect trader is one who is able to predict over 70%accurately by my own acknowledgement. Less than this, one should just be revolving around a cycle and not making good profit and be running at a loss even
legendary
Activity: 2898
Merit: 1253
So anyway, I applied as a merit source :)
The market can be never predictable unless you can manipulate the demand and supply in considerable amount which can slick the panic button for most of the users.But we hae lot of tools and analytical methods to predict how the market is going to be but there is no guarantee that it will happen just like we predicted it.
To some extent it is predictable. Altough doing technical analysis is not everyone's cup of tea, following the market price charts of the top 10 coins is fairly easy. If you want to get into any of the altcoins in that list you have t wait for some FUD to enter and then buy that rumor so as to get in a cheap price. Then hodl that till you get a good profit margin to sell your portfolio.

The market is cyclical and events are repeated periodically. But most people are waiting for the next growth too fast. I think that we should wait for the next "Bubble" in 3-5 years.
Not that long, I think a bigger rise compared to the 2017 December pump will be seen in this year end or next year. The adoption and buzz around crypto has reached a lot in the recent few years and thus big whales are entering the pools.
sr. member
Activity: 485
Merit: 250
The market is cyclical and events are repeated periodically. But most people are waiting for the next growth too fast. I think that we should wait for the next "Bubble" in 3-5 years.
legendary
Activity: 1232
Merit: 1029
I've called this 2 years ago on my facebook. There were no signs of any regulations back then. Smart money (banks, wall st) came into the scene and rek everyone. Hell, we could even be in a recession after this. So what are your options? Just simply hold. Get a job and forget about your assets. You shouldn't have risked more then you were willing to lose anyway. Money is a very sensitive topic for most, but if you can control your emotions, and simply hold without paying attention to your investments, you should be fine. We all know the markets are rigged and ran by bot algos. Just hold your positions fellas, you don't lose anything until you sell.
How can you even consider bitcoin is remotely predictable ?
It is not predictable, bitcoin can do anything tomorrow and we can't know why it happened and no one would be shocked at all. It is as unpredictable as unpredictable goes.

Bitcoin can be $3k tomorrow or $9k and no one would be shocked, we would be either sad or happy but we won't be shocked, bitcoin did those thinks before. That is a x3 difference from $3k to $9k, that is a huuuuge swing yet we would accept it like "yeah bitcoin does that" in either case. Bitcoin is not predictable, the market is not designed to be predictable, you can't know when mtgox trustee can come up and sell another $10k, you can't know these things.
sr. member
Activity: 2114
Merit: 268
Leading Crypto Sports Betting & Casino Platform
I've called this 2 years ago on my facebook. There were no signs of any regulations back then. Smart money (banks, wall st) came into the scene and rek everyone. Hell, we could even be in a recession after this. So what are your options? Just simply hold. Get a job and forget about your assets. You shouldn't have risked more then you were willing to lose anyway. Money is a very sensitive topic for most, but if you can control your emotions, and simply hold without paying attention to your investments, you should be fine. We all know the markets are rigged and ran by bot algos. Just hold your positions fellas, you don't lose anything until you sell.
Main job is good, and doing trading can be side job, beside to earn extra money, trading activities with your free money wouldn't make you suffer in real life if loss. That is why actually people shouldn't out from their job and be traders only.
legendary
Activity: 2436
Merit: 1232
Leading Crypto Sports Betting & Casino Platform
I've called this 2 years ago on my facebook. There were no signs of any regulations back then. Smart money (banks, wall st) came into the scene and rek everyone. Hell, we could even be in a recession after this. So what are your options? Just simply hold. Get a job and forget about your assets. You shouldn't have risked more then you were willing to lose anyway. Money is a very sensitive topic for most, but if you can control your emotions, and simply hold without paying attention to your investments, you should be fine. We all know the markets are rigged and ran by bot algos. Just hold your positions fellas, you don't lose anything until you sell.

Nope. The market is not designed just to be predictable because it is very confidential and many people are actually cannot predict it. I think also that markets design just to be non predictable to the person who are using it yet it can be strategic in able to have a patyern on how you will measure the market sometimes. Just look on the supply and demand of the market to have a hint on its value.
hero member
Activity: 994
Merit: 504
I've called this 2 years ago on my facebook. There were no signs of any regulations back then. Smart money (banks, wall st) came into the scene and rek everyone. Hell, we could even be in a recession after this. So what are your options? Just simply hold. Get a job and forget about your assets. You shouldn't have risked more then you were willing to lose anyway. Money is a very sensitive topic for most, but if you can control your emotions, and simply hold without paying attention to your investments, you should be fine. We all know the markets are rigged and ran by bot algos. Just hold your positions fellas, you don't lose anything until you sell.

Yup, it is very obvious for what is the next move of Bitcoin and other cryptos. But if you mislook it you might end up having a lot of trouble. But for some people it is very easy to get rich by trading cryptocurrencies.
sr. member
Activity: 2436
Merit: 272
Hire Bitcointalk Camp. Manager @ r7promotions.com
The market can be never predictable unless you can manipulate the demand and supply in considerable amount which can slick the panic button for most of the users.But we hae lot of tools and analytical methods to predict how the market is going to be but there is no guarantee that it will happen just like we predicted it.
member
Activity: 170
Merit: 39
The market was always predictable . You always have avalabile charts on different web platforms for crypto . But you have to be careful . This is crypto world not just a simple stock market . There is a big volatility as you can see

I'm going to veer a little off topic, but Bitcoin was meant to be p2p correct? It is becoming a stock, and if you're not educated in securities laws, this could be a disaster. If or when SEC wants to file for BTC a registed statement, BTC has to become a reporting company. They have to file audits every quarter, yearly, random in a lot of financial cases. 12-G reporting companies have thier 10ks, and freeze trading anytime they want. Bitcoin itself is fundamentally flawed, but I still have faith in it.
sr. member
Activity: 574
Merit: 255
The market was always predictable . You always have avalabile charts on different web platforms for crypto . But you have to be careful . This is crypto world not just a simple stock market . There is a big volatility as you can see
sr. member
Activity: 795
Merit: 251
If you know technical analysis and fundamental analysis in most cases, you can predict the future price Wink
You can analyze and give your results but the accuracy of the results is important. People are predicting a lot, but it's almost inaccurate so the market isn't designed to be predictable.
newbie
Activity: 28
Merit: 0
If you know technical analysis and fundamental analysis in most cases, you can predict the future price Wink
hero member
Activity: 672
Merit: 500
Not at all, as you said we need a great timing and having huge luck in this type of job and most important are knowledge that you would apply. The combination of three indicator would give you a good journey as my opinion.
You have to look into everything and to cover every area as it is unpredictable about its sudden jump and up but is predictable when it starts moving in only one direction. So experience and knowledge is required to look into business that can be any business. And I prefer the Blockchain technology to look into Bitcoin buying and selling process from an authentic shop.
member
Activity: 490
Merit: 17
The market is not actually design to be predicted and that is the nature of almost all the illiquid assets. If you can predict the market then there will be no money to be made. The professionals make money by predicting to some extent the direction of the market why the amateur thought they can predict the market perfectly and most time they are the one loosing money.
legendary
Activity: 2296
Merit: 1335
Don't let others control your BTC -> self custody
I suggest people who have bought btc to sell at the pump - not just HODL - that is being stubborn. Be cunning enough to cash some profits and then buy back when the dump happens - specially when the panic sellers drop the market.

Easier said than done. Selling during a hype is easy. It's much harder to find a good entry point on the way down. A couple months back I was fairly certain that we're not going below 9k, but then the Korean FUD came and ruined the mood.

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You shouldn't have risked more then you were willing to lose anyway. Money is a very sensitive topic for most, but if you can control your emotions, and simply hold without paying attention to your investments, you should be fine.
Perks of being a normal human.

Of course, let the dogs fight while you watch, relax, pop a beer. Those little gains they're ready to kill for right now are nothing. If you compare each previous bubble it's obvious that there was the same every time. A lot of pushing through the resistance levels, a lot of fighting to offload those coins worth $300 or $500...
I remember that I used to be happy when I sold some coins at $500 with a $1000 gain and it later fell to $400. Those were the days. Now the same coins would be worth over 50k USD. In a few years we'll be laughing at our own stupidity when 1 BTC trades for 50k.
hero member
Activity: 2982
Merit: 790
I've called this 2 years ago on my facebook. There were no signs of any regulations back then. Smart money (banks, wall st) came into the scene and rek everyone. Hell, we could even be in a recession after this. So what are your options? Just simply hold. Get a job and forget about your assets. You shouldn't have risked more then you were willing to lose anyway. Money is a very sensitive topic for most, but if you can control your emotions, and simply hold without paying attention to your investments, you should be fine. We all know the markets are rigged and ran by bot algos. Just hold your positions fellas, you don't lose anything until you sell.
Market would never be predictable even though its part of the reality on where price manipulations/recessions/supression is present but not coming to a point on where it is already predictable. Only who are capable can dictate price movements.I do love the idea on getting a job and then forget all of the assets we do have and simply hold it for long terms.There might people to take this advise but we cant really deny the fact that people do love to risk and engage themselves to active trading since they do know the possible returns that they would able to gain if they able to make it right.
legendary
Activity: 3080
Merit: 1353
I've called this 2 years ago on my facebook. There were no signs of any regulations back then. Smart money (banks, wall st) came into the scene and rek everyone. Hell, we could even be in a recession after this. So what are your options? Just simply hold. Get a job and forget about your assets. You shouldn't have risked more then you were willing to lose anyway. Money is a very sensitive topic for most, but if you can control your emotions, and simply hold without paying attention to your investments, you should be fine. We all know the markets are rigged and ran by bot algos. Just hold your positions fellas, you don't lose anything until you sell.

How can it be predictable when its purely speculative market? Did you not profit when all the money from institutional investors came pouring in? Common, December was like madness, frenzy out there, if you just hold during that time and didn't make tons of money then there's something wrong with your money making strategy. Of course its better to hold, but at least you should learn how to offload some of your stash to make profit and then enter the picture when the price goes down. I don't know what do you mean by the market is rigged with bot, we still need people behind to ran this bot, so people decide when to buy/sell. Again, sometimes you need to know when to exit and when to hold your assets. Hell, you can even shift our money around to make profits. I guess everyone really needs to know some tricks, not just holding.
legendary
Activity: 2898
Merit: 1253
So anyway, I applied as a merit source :)
I've called this 2 years ago on my facebook. There were no signs of any regulations back then.
Regulation was there - maybe you did not notice it or were not bothered to notice it.

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Smart money (banks, wall st) came into the scene and rek everyone. Hell, we could even be in a recession after this. So what are your options? Just simply hold. Get a job and forget about your assets.
I suggest people who have bought btc to sell at the pump - not just HODL - that is being stubborn. Be cunning enough to cash some profits and then buy back when the dump happens - specially when the panic sellers drop the market.

Quote
You shouldn't have risked more then you were willing to lose anyway. Money is a very sensitive topic for most, but if you can control your emotions, and simply hold without paying attention to your investments, you should be fine.
Perks of being a normal human.

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We all know the markets are rigged and ran by bot algos. Just hold your positions fellas, you don't lose anything until you sell.
Any proof? Markets are run by whales - but bots? Need to provide evidence or else its just an assumption with no proof.
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