The market smells to me more like people speculating about the halving rather than the halving actually having anything to do with bitcoin's rise whatsoever. I mean is there any reason why the price should skyrocket before or after each one? That's one thing I've never understood.
The pre-halving effects have never had a significant impact on the price, and what is happening now has nothing to do with the halving, but with a fairly large amount of money flowing into Bitcoin through spot ETFs. The time when we can expect the halving effect is usually at least 6 months after it happens.
I just checked the 7-day chart for bitcoin and just the last two days alone make me a little afraid of what's coming. You guys remember the last couple of raging bull markets? They were great while they lasted, but price increases similar to what OP showed in that chart never last for long. I'm going to bet that whoever's speculating, i.e., buying bitcoin, in anticipation of any gains from the halving are going to sell once they've made a profit--and then we'll see a massive dip
If we take into account what happened in the past, then the price correction will happen at some point, which is a completely normal phenomenon, considering that the price of something cannot go up constantly. Still, ETFs show no signs of slowing down, and the law of supply and demand pushes the price up.
We have already speculated that this year and the next year have all the prerequisites to be very positive when it comes to the price - the approval of spot BTC ETFs in the US and the halving create the conditions for a perfect storm that you may see once in a lifetime.
But what the hell do I know? I never thought bitcoin would make it to $1k, let alone where it is now. If only I had a time machine.
When it comes to Bitcoin, the word
"impossible" should not be used, because no matter how impossible it seemed at some point, it turned out that we were often wrong. As for the time machine, I hope you wouldn't use it like Jim did