Pages:
Author

Topic: The mother of all traps? - page 4. (Read 8143 times)

donator
Activity: 2772
Merit: 1019
July 12, 2013, 12:23:19 PM
#43
even as a bitcoin bull myself this looks like a trap to me. too much too fast and for what reason? is there some breaking news i missed?

here's a refreshing hypothesis: it's actual new money coming in due to 6 week old news (incubation time of new a bitcoiner (from first contact to first buy) is roughly 6 weeks)

So I looked at 6 week old news and found: "liberty reserve busted".


that is a refreshing hypotheses. i hope you are right.

There's not been a lot of movement on the bid side of God's order book. It stayed at $11M for a while.

There's more money on mtGox than is seen on the book. Newbs who buy their first coins tend to use market orders.


Is that the reason for the 30k of market buys ?  Cheesy

It's just a hypothesis, something to think about. I brought it up to remind people that not all moves are speculative ones. All the assumptions about whales now having coins they will dump at the next opportunity might be just that: assumptions that may be wrong.

Do you know that feeling.. when the earth is vibrating a little and you hear distant rattling? Oh the anticipation... your mind drifts away painting rosy pictures of milk and honey and such. Then something tremendously powerful pulls you back to reality and the next thing you see after regaining your composure is the backside the fucking bitcoin train.

Might not be that time yet, though Wink
hero member
Activity: 798
Merit: 1000
July 12, 2013, 12:07:11 PM
#42
even as a bitcoin bull myself this looks like a trap to me. too much too fast and for what reason? is there some breaking news i missed?

here's a refreshing hypothesis: it's actual new money coming in due to 6 week old news (incubation time of new a bitcoiner (from first contact to first buy) is roughly 6 weeks)

So I looked at 6 week old news and found: "liberty reserve busted".


that is a refreshing hypotheses. i hope you are right.

There's not been a lot of movement on the bid side of God's order book. It stayed at $11M for a while.

There's more money on mtGox than is seen on the book. Newbs who buy their first coins tend to use market orders.


Is that the reason for the 30k of market buys ?  Cheesy
donator
Activity: 2772
Merit: 1019
July 12, 2013, 12:02:22 PM
#41
even as a bitcoin bull myself this looks like a trap to me. too much too fast and for what reason? is there some breaking news i missed?

here's a refreshing hypothesis: it's actual new money coming in due to 6 week old news (incubation time of new a bitcoiner (from first contact to first buy) is roughly 6 weeks)

So I looked at 6 week old news and found: "liberty reserve busted".


that is a refreshing hypotheses. i hope you are right.

There's not been a lot of movement on the bid side of God's order book. It stayed at $11M for a while.

There's more money on mtGox than is seen on the book. Newbs who buy their first coins tend to use market orders.
legendary
Activity: 1022
Merit: 1000
July 12, 2013, 12:00:30 PM
#40
Now look!  Grin



The red line extends all the way to the break out at 3$.
legendary
Activity: 1148
Merit: 1018
July 12, 2013, 11:25:23 AM
#39
even as a bitcoin bull myself this looks like a trap to me. too much too fast and for what reason? is there some breaking news i missed?

here's a refreshing hypothesis: it's actual new money coming in due to 6 week old news (incubation time of new a bitcoiner (from first contact to first buy) is roughly 6 weeks)

So I looked at 6 week old news and found: "liberty reserve busted".


that is a refreshing hypotheses. i hope you are right.

There's not been a lot of movement on the bid side of God's order book. It stayed at $11M for a while.
legendary
Activity: 1722
Merit: 1217
July 12, 2013, 11:22:56 AM
#38
even as a bitcoin bull myself this looks like a trap to me. too much too fast and for what reason? is there some breaking news i missed?

here's a refreshing hypothesis: it's actual new money coming in due to 6 week old news (incubation time of new a bitcoiner (from first contact to first buy) is roughly 6 weeks)

So I looked at 6 week old news and found: "liberty reserve busted".


that is a refreshing hypotheses. i hope you are right.
hero member
Activity: 728
Merit: 500
July 12, 2013, 11:09:44 AM
#37
even as a bitcoin bull myself this looks like a trap to me. too much too fast and for what reason? is there some breaking news i missed?

here's a refreshing hypothesis: it's actual new money coming in due to 6 week old news (incubation time of new a bitcoiner (from first contact to first buy) is roughly 6 weeks)

So I looked at 6 week old news and found: "liberty reserve busted".


Hard to believe that was only 6 weeks - feels like forever ago in BTC-time. 
donator
Activity: 2772
Merit: 1019
July 12, 2013, 10:34:46 AM
#36
even as a bitcoin bull myself this looks like a trap to me. too much too fast and for what reason? is there some breaking news i missed?

here's a refreshing hypothesis: it's actual new money coming in due to 6 week old news (incubation time of new a bitcoiner (from first contact to first buy) is roughly 6 weeks)

So I looked at 6 week old news and found: "liberty reserve busted".
hero member
Activity: 728
Merit: 500
July 12, 2013, 10:13:56 AM
#35
even as a bitcoin bull myself this looks like a trap to me. too much too fast and for what reason? is there some breaking news i missed?

I'm wondering this as well.  The Coinbase instant transfer option is definitely bullish news but I wouldn't think of the magnitude to bring us up this high on its own. 
sr. member
Activity: 516
Merit: 283
July 12, 2013, 10:08:14 AM
#34
even as a bitcoin bull myself this looks like a trap to me. too much too fast and for what reason? is there some breaking news i missed?

legendary
Activity: 1722
Merit: 1217
July 12, 2013, 10:06:41 AM
#33
even as a bitcoin bull myself this looks like a trap to me. too much too fast and for what reason? is there some breaking news i missed?
hero member
Activity: 602
Merit: 500
Vertrau in Gott
July 12, 2013, 10:06:13 AM
#32
This looks like a huge dead cat bounce. I expect it to jump down on saturday
legendary
Activity: 4242
Merit: 5039
You're never too old to think young.
July 12, 2013, 10:02:41 AM
#31
Just woke up after staying up much too late last night watching the show. I was amazed to see it hadn't changed in 6 hours or so.

So the early voters in this poll were overwhelmingly bearish? Now it seems that the bulls have a slight lead.

Interesting.
full member
Activity: 140
Merit: 100
Hoist the Colours
July 12, 2013, 07:05:47 AM
#30
I think I can almost completely agree with that. The one thing is that we are probably really overbought now and also sitting just under the other psychological barrier ($100).
As we say, between a rock and hard place... (at least that is a bit how it feels)

Overbought as compared to when...when we were in the $60s last week, or $130s a monthish ago? All that fiat from the selling is out there somewhere....


My sentiment exactly. What happened to all those profits some people made from selling above $200? They might have been playing smart and walked away from the table with their money rather than risk losing it all.
legendary
Activity: 1834
Merit: 1019
July 12, 2013, 06:29:53 AM
#29
If you think TA is BS then why you talk about candlestick patterns?

because the TA on this forum is generally BS
legendary
Activity: 1148
Merit: 1018
July 12, 2013, 06:29:40 AM
#28
If you think TA is BS then why you talk about candlestick patterns?

I also think is BS but I enjoying talking about it.

$105 should be a crucial point regarding a trend reversal as I wrote a few posts ago, for the reasons Vladimir exposed. This is fun to analyze and to comment. But to base all your financial decisions on TA, especially in such a small market as per BTC, its nonsense.
legendary
Activity: 1666
Merit: 1057
Marketing manager - GO MP
July 12, 2013, 06:27:35 AM
#27
If you think TA is BS then why you talk about candlestick patterns?
legendary
Activity: 1834
Merit: 1019
July 12, 2013, 05:55:28 AM
#26
You guys were saying "2012 crash" all the time, and you know there was a good chance of that happening.

I told you it's crunch time when it was about to pass 80-something and sorry you've missed it, in 2011 the previous low was defended well and the window of opportunity is over imo. As far as comparisons go anyway. This can still end up bullish but it won't be like in 2012.

how I saw 2012 was up down slow up. We can argue that 2011 was the same way. I have no reason to expect anything different this time around.

I don't think it would be slow.

true, we did get a quick snap back up.
legendary
Activity: 1666
Merit: 1057
Marketing manager - GO MP
July 12, 2013, 05:50:46 AM
#25
You guys were saying "2012 crash" all the time, and you know there was a good chance of that happening.

I told you it's crunch time when it was about to pass 80-something and sorry you've missed it, in 2011 the previous low was defended well and the window of opportunity is over imo. As far as comparisons go anyway. This can still end up bullish but it won't be like in 2012.

how I saw 2012 was up down slow up. We can argue that 2011 was the same way. I have no reason to expect anything different this time around.

I don't think it would be slow.
legendary
Activity: 1834
Merit: 1019
July 12, 2013, 05:49:44 AM
#24
You guys were saying "2012 crash" all the time, and you know there was a good chance of that happening.

I told you it's crunch time when it was about to pass 80-something and sorry you've missed it, in 2011 the previous low was defended well and the window of opportunity is over imo. As far as comparisons go anyway. This can still end up bullish but it won't be like in 2012.

how I saw 2012 was up down slow up. We can argue that 2011 was the same way. I have no reason to expect anything different this time around.
Pages:
Jump to: