Topic: The odds we can get on our side. (Read 416 times)

Not only we have more data available about any topic we may be interested than at any other point in history, but it is likely we have more data than all points of history combined.

A massive advantage without a doubt but it is also a problem, as making sense of that data is quite difficult, since finding patterns you can exploit as a sport bettor is not only time consuming, even if you could find those patterns, casinos can do so as well and prevent you from exploiting them by adjusting their odds.

Experienced bettors and those who play for profit or for both, will never disregard the odds. Odds are a crucial part for their success, that is why. Odds can also make your winnings far away from you, in exchange of earning a better profit. Checking the weather is part of an analysis but it's more of an advance one or the ones who does this are very serious to win, since some can disregard it as they think the weather can rarely change, and then both teams may or may not be affected with it.

It is still hard to tell in short if who will win on them only because the weather suddenly changes from good to bad or from bad to good. The next that you said mainly about the team are only common because they are more proven to have an impact on the game.

Bet a sport you know is the first and major rule to me because if you dont have a great interest outside the bet you will end up tripping up on hopes that are not realistic.  I agree with some of what you say about the various factors altering the dynamics to whether you might win or not and some bets should be avoided, some bets are poor value or just too random imo.

In my case, when I analyze the games I pay attention to many factors, but first I look at the position of each team in the table, then I look at the quality of each team's squad, then I look at the performance of each team in the last 5 games, be it the last 5 games at home or away. In this part of the performance I look at how many wins, defeats, draws each team had in the last 5 games and how many goals each team scored and conceded in the last 5 games and in what circumstances they lost, drew or won. This is because there are many cases in which a team is only strong when they play with certain players on the team, so it is necessary to observe whenever that team plays whether they will be playing with a stronger squad than they have or not.

With this important data, then you just need to look at the defense of each team in order to know which players were on defense when the team lost and conceded how many goals, this way it is possible to predict whether this team with a weak defense and playing with the The same squad that lost in past games will be able to win or not. Of course, this analysis is suitable for simple bets with decent odds, something like odds above 1.70, in the case of multibet bets this same form of analysis is also used, but with some modifications because I don't know who will play, so I'm counting on the luck

If you do really want to bet on sports and have good chance about it, it is indeed advisable to bet on a sports that you are most familiar and most comfortable with. The knowledge about the sports will give you an edge when choosing the best odds. Also, if you know the players very well, you can speculate their performance for that particular game, hence, understanding the odds provided by bookies and select which particular betting line will give you more edge.

You don't need to bet the major betting line of who will win or lose, but like for example in basketball - there are so many betting lines (actually one of the sports where you can find a long list of betting lines for a single match) that you can choose from, just consider every quarter of the game, their total scores, over/under, winning margin, etc. I believe in time, you will understand yourself more on which ones you are good at, and exhaust its potential to your advantage.

The odds in sports betting can fluctuate based on various factors. These factors can include changes in team performance, player injuries, weather conditions, and other unforeseen events that may influence the outcome of a sports match or event. Bookmakers continuously adjust the odds to reflect the changing circumstances and to balance their books that ensure they maintain a profit margin regardless of the outcome.

Bettors need to stay informed and monitor these changes in odds, because they can provide valuable insights into the perceived likelihood of different outcomes. Being able to analyze and interpret these fluctuations can help bettors make more informed decisions and potentially identify betting opportunities where the odds may be mispriced or offer value.

The first thing first is to make sure you risk your money on something you know a lot about, if you are a basketball fan it's safer to risk your money on basketball matches, don't look into football just because your labour next door is also football, many people are doing this that I know about, and once losses start happening they will go back to what they already know about, it's nothing but greed.

Sports bet requires some good follow up and analysis, this will increase your chances of winning, because you will be able to be a better predictor compare to someone who knows nothing about football and still decide to take risks of football matches, it's not a good gambling strategy.

I will also like to state the pure fact, you need to be careful what you are risking on gambling even as a good gambler that you are trying to be, those who place bets based on analysis still lose money, you will be wrong at times and you might be lucky at times, this is what gambling is all about, continue to risk only what you can afford to lose, this is what makes you a better gambler.

In football betting there are actually very profitable options with big odds such as getting double chances and BTTS combined into one option.
on my favorite site this option is called a special bet and I'm not sure what other people call it but I often use this option when I want to use a single bet and here's an example.



like Valencia vs Real Madrid if according to our predictions Valencia can score but Real Madrid will win we can choose to bet on Valencia/Real Madrid & Yes to get odds @2.8
for me, this is the easiest option because it increases our chances of winning, but we still have to look at the condition of both teams first.

In response to the op, this indeed is a very nice thread, and a very thoughtful idea overall, amazing enough, I've never really thought or put into consideration most of the ideas suggested in the op, most especially in the area of sports betting where there are three possible outcomes instead of two, which indeed reduces the chances of winning, I've as funny and noob as this may seem to many, I've always thought why some gamblers bet on over and under; in sports betting when they can simply bet on the match to win, or the match to end in a draw, we learn everyday right? This is one of those new lessons for me today  .

And speaking of what other ideas to improve the outcome of our games in sports betting, I have no other than the already known one which is for gamblers to only bet on sports games they are very familier with, since sports betting is more of a knowledge based game, sports knowledge is one of the prerequisite to winning most of our sports betting games, so, bettors are advice to always invest time in learning more in sports, not just investing money on bets, for without good sports knowledge, chnaces of winning sports bets are lower.

"Luck" yes, this has quite a big role in all types of gambling that we do, it's just that when we talk about sports betting we don't just talk about the luck factor, because we have careful analytical skills and are able to make rational betting decisions. This is quite important because it can determine what the final result of the bet will be, win or lose. And no matter how careful we are in carrying out the analysis, this is not a guarantee that every time we place a bet we will get a win, we do this to increase the chances of getting a win, and also to avoid making irrational decisions or in other words betting. haphazardly. And when someone only relies on the luck factor, this can allow that individual to bet carelessly.

And it is true that the odds in gambling are not fixed and can change over time. because there may be several unexpected factors that can change the flow of the sports match, so that this will affect the final result of the bet we place.

I truly believe "data is king". Use the huge seas of data accessible to guide you in this digital age. I mean beyond surface stats. Investigate weather, past head-to-heads, and social media sentiment for unexpected insights. The key is discovering patterns in chaos, friend.

Truth: "timing is everything." Bet timing might be as important as the bet itself. Taking advantage of changing odds needs awareness and skill. When and what you bet can change the game. So there's my pot contribution. The house may always have the edge, but we can play intelligently. Lets enjoy betting and playing. Fellow strategist, may the chances be ever-in-your-favour.

It's not surprising how your steps will make the odds get on our side because the conclusion is you're asking people to bet on favorite team/player, the winning percentage would be high, but the odds is small and not worth to risk.

It's not that I disagree with your opinion, but you mentioned "weather" to be used to predict a match, but when I check your post history, you didn't even use weather to forecast the result. Stop recommend something when you didn't even try or use it.

Since the odds cannot be the same every time. That is why we can't get it all right in one place. And gambling should be dependent on odd but rather should be evaluated based on the performance and analysis. If it is sports betting, a gambler needs to know the past and current performance of both teams. And also understand the benefits of the present or absence of a particular player.

If there were a consistent strategy that works in gambling. Most gamblers by now should be millionaires or billionaires. Gambling is luck, predicting odds that works is part of luck as well.

It would have been more easy o n us to be wining if we had understand the various means that we can adopt to help us have a better chances on winning than loosing when we are gambling, this also means that we have been so focused in one direction than we can do to expand the opportunity for winning through t=our gambling strategies, odds applied and the final decision we are taking in it, all these are what should work for us more better than we do see when we are not been mindful of them.

To get the odds on your side some of the suggestions that I want to make are what we all know. Simply bet what you can afford to lose and as  Oshosondy will always emphasize, it should be between 1% - 5% of your income. Secondly, focus your bets on sports where you possess ample knowledge. For instance, in football, prioritize leagues you're well-versed in, such as the Premier League rather than the Ligue 1 or the Saudi League ot the American Leauge irrespective of star player Messi or Ronaldo playing there. Lastly, refrain from hastily increasing your betting unit size, even during a winning streak.

Excellent topic, doing these small analyzes already reduces the risk a lot and increases the probability of the bet being successful, every good bettor always has to keep an eye on everything that happens behind the scenes of a club or athlete, everything can influence and change the  result

Even though betting is luck, we need the odds in our favor.

Not really like I believe even in soccer game, there exit two options in the variables of options inside a particular option. Like if you have draw no bet, then you have succeeded in choosing one side excluding draw in the game. Well that is what I am thinking to say that is also part of having two options to choose from like the table tennis that Op used as example while making his post.

Interestingly I concur with you OP. To my worse behavior I I am not attentive to game predictive analyzers but here you caught me. Lol
Although with all Said, being lucky is still involved.
There are little privileges for hosts to win with a home advantage and there are some sports matches that the teams fears not even if the looses, it is either they have secured a valuable position or don't have to stress much because even if they wins they are still coming down to home for not qualifying at the tournament.

Also, predicting on the kind of games with a two optional of having just one side to win or what side to lose is better of games with multiple options just as said, win loose or draws.

This method can help, but it can still go both ways because even if a team doesn't have anything to play, they could still pull an upset to end their season on a high note while the other team that needs to win could crumble through the immense pressure to win.

One method i'd like to add to that list is live betting on favorites. You can secure better odds through live betting on a few favorites if you know they have a slow playstyle. Even though it doesn't work every time, it's still a decent alternative if you're very confident in a team that usually delivers on the later half of the match.

I have Bluetooth for betting more on lawn tennis now I see a reason why they do so, and it makes sense to bet on a game with either a win or loose outcome.

People consider this a lot which is the home advantage but it does not always favor them because sometimes especially in football the home team may perform very well but still end up loosing the game, or the whole team may just perform poorly and lose the game to the disappointment of the home crowd, so as much as this is significant, it does not really always counts that much.

In a team where the players are also highly disciplined and collectively hungry to win, they're good pick to bet on the win games because even in games where they're losing they will refuse to stay losing and stay fighting to the end.