Topic: The odds we can get on our side. - page 2. (Read 354 times)
I usually try to watch all the matches, and even if I can't watch them all, I try to watch the highlights. Because it's hard for me to make predictions about a team I haven't watched. But still, I always look at the win and loss statistics. Because I think they give more detailed information about the overall performance of the teams. When I look at those statistics, I think I understand better what level the teams are at. Your topic is very good. Your advice to bet on sporting events with a two-probability outcome rather than sports with a three-probability outcome is also very important. But I like football matches more and I bet on football matches to make them more enjoyable, so your over/under advice is valuable for me. Thank you very much.
Knowledge of betting can only be sharpened if one keeps following the sport they would or find easy to bet on.
For football betting, if one if conversant with the rules of the league he/she wants to bet on, and can read and followup statistics of the teams on the table in the league, it might make picking odds and placing bet quite easier too.
The players who are in form and perhaps star of the team in any of the league and team they play for, can help me make a good bet like first/second half win, first/second/full time draw. If the team was to play with a either a stronger or much weaker side my placing a bet would be based on such prognosis and the teams current form, standings on the table and their performance in different league matches.
For football betting, if one if conversant with the rules of the league he/she wants to bet on, and can read and followup statistics of the teams on the table in the league, it might make picking odds and placing bet quite easier too.
The players who are in form and perhaps star of the team in any of the league and team they play for, can help me make a good bet like first/second half win, first/second/full time draw. If the team was to play with a either a stronger or much weaker side my placing a bet would be based on such prognosis and the teams current form, standings on the table and their performance in different league matches.
I'm short some sports are easy to understand and easier to choose where team we are going to support that can win in the end. Such us in football as long as we are following them from eliminations to finals. The. We can predict the outcome of our bet. But in some other games we don't know what's the right thing to do and right thing when we gonna make. Doe those in sports betting we can say that team are too good for our bet cause they will have a good lineup as well.
Historical head-to-heads are gold; I say, "Know your history to predict the future." Due to past experiences, teams and players often have psychological advantages. My friends, this is human nature, not stats.
Weather - how frequently we underestimate Mother Nature! Wind, rain, and extreme temperatures can affect outdoor sports. I cannot stress enough: check the weather before betting.
Injuries and roster rotation are key. The latest team news is always on my radar. A key player missing or a coach shifting the squad for a less important match can change the odds. Reading between the team sheet lines.
Keep this list expanding. Since the devil's in the details, sports betting specifics are our closest friends.
Weather - how frequently we underestimate Mother Nature! Wind, rain, and extreme temperatures can affect outdoor sports. I cannot stress enough: check the weather before betting.
Injuries and roster rotation are key. The latest team news is always on my radar. A key player missing or a coach shifting the squad for a less important match can change the odds. Reading between the team sheet lines.
Keep this list expanding. Since the devil's in the details, sports betting specifics are our closest friends.
Our approach hardly scrapes gambling's ocean. Starting with binary outcomes is simple. Tennis eliminates draws, but what about variables? Surface type, player tiredness, and recent injuries complicate binary guesses
Now, home advantage. Yes, but what about overconfidence, the silent killer? Or underdog spirit? They reverse scripts. Performance dynamics, while valid, are more complex than age. Mental resilience, rebound, and adaptation are crucial. Motivation has pros and cons. A team may not require a win, but what about individual glory? Contract negotiations? Your request for additions? Example: psychological warfare. Teammates utilize mind games, press comments, and social media to intimidate opponents. Ever considered that? Gambling goes beyond chances and facts. Understanding the human behind the data
Now, home advantage. Yes, but what about overconfidence, the silent killer? Or underdog spirit? They reverse scripts. Performance dynamics, while valid, are more complex than age. Mental resilience, rebound, and adaptation are crucial. Motivation has pros and cons. A team may not require a win, but what about individual glory? Contract negotiations? Your request for additions? Example: psychological warfare. Teammates utilize mind games, press comments, and social media to intimidate opponents. Ever considered that? Gambling goes beyond chances and facts. Understanding the human behind the data
I can't remember where, the example was based on horse racing: I read last week that there was a way to win money no matter what place the horses achieved in the race, betting on several horses different amounts adjusted to each one's odds.
Theoretically the system was flawless, but I doubt whether it can be done in modern gambling services platforms where odds are adjusted with algorithms that leave no room for error.
Theoretically the system was flawless, but I doubt whether it can be done in modern gambling services platforms where odds are adjusted with algorithms that leave no room for error.
I do like watching football but I don't have enough time to start doing all those important analysis, I have a home to take care and I have a business that takes most of my time per day.
I actually made a thread for some persons to give one predictions for any match they are sure about for a week, and most people wrote it off and gave all the excuses they wanted to give.
It would have been very easy for someone that doesn't know how to or doesn't have time to make predictions to take some picks from there, but I think most of them were right expecially the guy that said if people started losing they might want to blame others for their loses even if the rules were that simple.
Your tips are laudable but on the contrary not everyone will go into a sport with limited odd options and be experiencing frequent winnings. Just like the tennis you made note of if am not knowledgeable about that area of sport like I do with football and about the players I'll be making more losses than I may be making in football that's with numerous odds options.
Knowledge can give huge factor of winning but his statement still have merit on it since you will still have 50% chance of winning regardless if you have enough knowledge on that bet or not compared to other bet types with more than 2 outcome. Having 50% winning chance rate doesn't mean you will lose frequently because it still depends on your luck if you will choose the winning team/players or not because not all the time players with better stats win which means anything can happened regardless if you are familiar on that sports or not.
The topic I want to discuss today is the odds that we can get on our side, especially in sports betting. These can be various methods and life hacks that increase the likelihood of winning in gambling. You know, if you analyze the statistics of wins and losses, it may turn out that we did not take a lot into account in our bets. I did a little research of my own and I can tell you what simple methods can help bring luck to your side. I invite each poster to add some new item to this list.
1. Play those sports or those types of betting that allow only 2 outcomes, not 3. For example, in tennis there are no draws and, accordingly, your chances of a favorable outcome increase slightly. In football, if you bet on one team winning, you must take into account that there can be 2 more outcomes - the other team winning or a draw. All other things being equal, it is more difficult to guess one outcome out of three than out of two. Therefore, in football, we can bet either on the total (over or under), or on 2 outcomes: the victory of one team on one side or the victory of the other team and a draw on the other side.
2. If in a game one team is the guest and the other is the host, take this into account. This is banal advice, but still.
3. Consider the overall performance dynamics of each player. With sports, too, there is a career and results gradually deteriorate with age after reaching a certain peak.
4. Consider the motivation of players and teams within the tournament. I'm talking about matches where a team or player can afford to lose without much consequence to their place. That is, there are significant matches, and there are those that do not decide anything. In such matches, teams and players do not have much motivation to play.
Write down additional factors that may increase the likelihood of a favorable outcome for your prognosis.
1. Play those sports or those types of betting that allow only 2 outcomes, not 3. For example, in tennis there are no draws and, accordingly, your chances of a favorable outcome increase slightly. In football, if you bet on one team winning, you must take into account that there can be 2 more outcomes - the other team winning or a draw. All other things being equal, it is more difficult to guess one outcome out of three than out of two. Therefore, in football, we can bet either on the total (over or under), or on 2 outcomes: the victory of one team on one side or the victory of the other team and a draw on the other side.
2. If in a game one team is the guest and the other is the host, take this into account. This is banal advice, but still.
3. Consider the overall performance dynamics of each player. With sports, too, there is a career and results gradually deteriorate with age after reaching a certain peak.
4. Consider the motivation of players and teams within the tournament. I'm talking about matches where a team or player can afford to lose without much consequence to their place. That is, there are significant matches, and there are those that do not decide anything. In such matches, teams and players do not have much motivation to play.
Write down additional factors that may increase the likelihood of a favorable outcome for your prognosis.
I would also add the factor of team motivation here. I mean that sometimes in some matches, the team has already achieved a result, for example, leaving the group, and they have the last match left, which does not solve anything for them, that is, if they lose, as well as if they win, they will remain in the same place. In such situations, the team sometimes releases a non-first team to protect players from injury, or the team does not play at 100% of its capabilities, because they previously ensured the result for themselves. While a weaker team can play against them, but which still has a chance to rise higher in the group and reach the playoffs if they beat a strong team. Such matches are sometimes unpredictable
Your tips are laudable but on the contrary not everyone will go into a sport with limited odd options and be experiencing frequent winnings. Just like the tennis you made note of if am not knowledgeable about that area of sport like I do with football and about the players I'll be making more losses than I may be making in football that's with numerous odds options.
And be it wether a two odds options sport or above don't forget that these bookies have a way of manipulating the odds in a way that you can get confused in making better winning options. Sticking to a sport that you are good at should be much considered than going for one for the sake of limited odds
And be it wether a two odds options sport or above don't forget that these bookies have a way of manipulating the odds in a way that you can get confused in making better winning options. Sticking to a sport that you are good at should be much considered than going for one for the sake of limited odds
Yeah. Jumping into a sport with limited odds might not be everyone's jam. Like if tennis isn't your turf, it's probably better to stick to what you know like football. And yeah those bookies, they've got their tricks with odds, right? It's like a game within the game. So sticking to your game, the one you're good at, sounds like a solid plan. Keep rocking those bets with what you know and may the wins keep rolling in
Your tips are laudable but on the contrary not everyone will go into a sport with limited odd options and be experiencing frequent winnings. Just like the tennis you made note of if am not knowledgeable about that area of sport like I do with football and about the players I'll be making more losses than I may be making in football that's with numerous odds options.
Knowledge can give huge factor of winning but his statement still have merit on it since you will still have 50% chance of winning regardless if you have enough knowledge on that bet or not compared to other bet types with more than 2 outcome. Having 50% winning chance rate doesn't mean you will lose frequently because it still depends on your luck if you will choose the winning team/players or not because not all the time players with better stats win which means anything can happened regardless if you are familiar on that sports or not.
1. Play those sports or those types of betting that allow only 2 outcomes, not 3. For example, in tennis there are no draws and, accordingly, your chances of a favorable outcome increase slightly. In football, if you bet on one team winning, you must take into account that there can be 2 more outcomes - the other team winning or a draw. All other things being equal, it is more difficult to guess one outcome out of three than out of two. Therefore, in football, we can bet either on the total (over or under), or on 2 outcomes: the victory of one team on one side or the victory of the other team and a draw on the other side.
As you mentioned above, there are often many different betting options available for each game and knowing the ins and outs of the sport gives you a much higher and greater advantage to know which options and odds to bet on that'll give you the best chances of winning. It's more like doing your homework before a test, the more knowledge you have the better you'll do.
Addition: Consider the timeline they are playing. If they hosted from the East then suddenly they will play in the West the next day. This will affect their body because they don't have enough rest.
Another addition to that. Check out their schedule if they are playing a rough week. If every game was so close that they played too hard on their past games then their next game is not just a weak team but one of the top 5 in the league who had a better schedule than them.
Confidence building should also be taken into account. If a team/player keeps on winning in a streak, might as well bet for him/them. High confidence could mean a lot and one of those is playing great on his next few games until they get exhausted.
That's a lot of things to check but it enhances our chance to win. So for those who really want to win a bet, this should be done. The 50 percent chance may grow to 60 or 70 which is a good thing. Parlay makers on the other hand might not have that time to do all the research but do imagine if you hit all the lines and how much multiplier you can get in one bet. Cheap but very profitable.
Another addition to that. Check out their schedule if they are playing a rough week. If every game was so close that they played too hard on their past games then their next game is not just a weak team but one of the top 5 in the league who had a better schedule than them.
Confidence building should also be taken into account. If a team/player keeps on winning in a streak, might as well bet for him/them. High confidence could mean a lot and one of those is playing great on his next few games until they get exhausted.
That's a lot of things to check but it enhances our chance to win. So for those who really want to win a bet, this should be done. The 50 percent chance may grow to 60 or 70 which is a good thing. Parlay makers on the other hand might not have that time to do all the research but do imagine if you hit all the lines and how much multiplier you can get in one bet. Cheap but very profitable.
I do like watching football but I don't have enough time to start doing all those important analysis, I have a home to take care and I have a business that takes most of my time per day.
For someone like me I just take risks that I can handle if anything bad happens, I do get your points and they are correct, if one choose a sport that they are so into, it will be easy to figure out some things that others can't.
If you want to start betting on a sports game, make sure it's your favourite, the type that you are so into, love watching the most, don't follow a game because your friend is making the best money from the game.
And mind you, always risk only what you can afford to use, don't say because you now understand the game very well, so you can risk any amount of money, gambling has no guarantee.
For someone like me I just take risks that I can handle if anything bad happens, I do get your points and they are correct, if one choose a sport that they are so into, it will be easy to figure out some things that others can't.
If you want to start betting on a sports game, make sure it's your favourite, the type that you are so into, love watching the most, don't follow a game because your friend is making the best money from the game.
And mind you, always risk only what you can afford to use, don't say because you now understand the game very well, so you can risk any amount of money, gambling has no guarantee.
Your tips are laudable but on the contrary not everyone will go into a sport with limited odd options and be experiencing frequent winnings. Just like the tennis you made note of if am not knowledgeable about that area of sport like I do with football and about the players I'll be making more losses than I may be making in football that's with numerous odds options.
Knowledge can give huge factor of winning but his statement still have merit on it since you will still have 50% chance of winning regardless if you have enough knowledge on that bet or not compared to other bet types with more than 2 outcome. Having 50% winning chance rate doesn't mean you will lose frequently because it still depends on your luck if you will choose the winning team/players or not because not all the time players with better stats win which means anything can happened regardless if you are familiar on that sports or not.
In addition to the tips. Betting live will give you better chance of winning because you can analyze the actual condition of the team and you can take advantage on the current situation to bet on a team that is just starting heat their game to get the W.
For football betting, if one if conversant with the rules of the league he/she wants to bet on, and can read and followup statistics of the teams on the table in the league, it might make picking odds and placing bet quite easier too.
The players who are in form and perhaps star of the team in any of the league and team they play for, can help me make a good bet like first/second half win, first/second/full time draw. If the team was to play with a either a stronger or much weaker side my placing a bet would be based on such prognosis and the teams current form, standings on the table and their performance in different league matches.
1. Play those sports or those types of betting that allow only 2 outcomes, not 3. For example, in tennis there are no draws and, accordingly, your chances of a favorable outcome increase slightly. In football, if you bet on one team winning, you must take into account that there can be 2 more outcomes - the other team winning or a draw. All other things being equal, it is more difficult to guess one outcome out of three than out of two. Therefore, in football, we can bet either on the total (over or under), or on 2 outcomes: the victory of one team on one side or the victory of the other team and a draw on the other side.
playing sports that have only two options is the height of gambling and presents a compounded risk when you want to accumulate to raise bigger odds. Instead of this option, sports that have double chance, handicap, goals and multiple options like over certain points in a set/half actually reduces this risk. There is an option in football where you just predict that a certain team will score, it doesn't matter if the lose the match, as soon as they score, you are gamed. 4. Consider the motivation of players and teams within the tournament. I'm talking about matches where a team or player can afford to lose without much consequence to their place. That is, there are significant matches, and there are those that do not decide anything. In such matches, teams and players do not have much motivation to play.
This is very important because that will determine how determined they will be to win the match. This is why it is important to follow the news of any sports event we want to gamble on. There might be internal crisis that can mess up the morale of the players and until one check, it will remain hidden. T 
I usually bet on NBA sports betting because I like playing basketball and watching basketball, and because I'm too familiar with the teams and players, I more likely have a hint or idea who will win up against a team. That's why I can say that I mostly win in basketball or NBA betting because, like I said, I'm familiar with the team or players, so when there is a match between two teams, I can do analysis to see who's team might win, and I also bet on a specific player. I think, like the OP said, to bet on a sport where there is only one player from each of the two teams. In that way, you are increasing your winning chances by 50%, and it is also more like there are a lot of betting in basketball, especially in the NBA. And also I think basketball is the most thrilling sports out there or maybe its just my favorite sports.
It’s wise to play sports that you’re familiar with. One that you take pleasure in watching, you are already at a disadvantage if you choose to gamble on a sport that you’re oblivious about.
I would not agree that you need to play the sports on which you are betting. Yes, you need to have interest about the sports and also you need to have the knowledge of the sports but playing it physically is not a necessity. Also sometimes not everyone gets a chance to play the sports on which we bet.
For example, if you are betting on horse racing, who among us can do the horse racing himself ? I guess no one, because you need to have expertise and lot of experience even to sit on the horse and horse racing is something extraordinary activity. However, you can have complete knowledge about the game and then you may bet on that game. That is enough in my point of view.
Also, we need to see other things such as odds of the game and the difference between the odds too. Also i like the OP point of view where he mentioned that chance of winning a bet increases when we have two choices to bet on, instead of the three or more choices.
I mostly bet on football; I was never too much into sports, so I don't have a great knowledge of them. You do have a valid point; football matches have three possible outcomes, while other sports, such as tennis, you already mentioned can only have two possible outcomes. However, don't you need to have some kind of perception regarding tennis? I know nothing about it; how am I going to bet on something that I'm not familiar with? I'll have to do my own research, check the odds, and decide on which side to bet. Personally, this is too much of a hassle, but it might work for some who have a better awareness of sports and sport betting in general; I don't, which is why I've mostly stuck with football and the local Super League, which is familiar to me.
1. Play those sports or those types of betting that allow only 2 outcomes, not 3. For example, in tennis there are no draws and, accordingly, your chances of a favorable outcome increase slightly. In football, if you bet on one team winning, you must take into account that there can be 2 more outcomes - the other team winning or a draw. All other things being equal, it is more difficult to guess one outcome out of three than out of two.
Let me introduce you the something called "Asian Handicap". Where the events that have 3 possible outcomes can be turned into 2 using the "handicap" feature. Lets say Home draw and Away are the potential outcomes. You can convert that giving a team some handicap and turning it into 2 potential outcomes instead of 3. Also, most sportsbooks have the feature called "draw no bet" or allows bets on 2 outcomes out of 3, such as, win or draw , draw or lose. You don't always have to think of sports as 3 outcome events. It can always be converted into 2 outcome events. It does depend on sportsbooks though. A few of them might not have the feature but most of them do. 
Your point is quite a good one and makes a whole lot of sense as if they all are been put into consideration it's very likely to yeild a good strategy that can be profitable to the gambler in awhile but then the gambler shouldn't forget to incorporate a risk management strategy alongside so that they get to Maximize your funds while applying this very good strategy gambling.
It's very important to know that strategies are just edges we get to be more favoured than loosing so it means that they are no guarantee that we are most definitely going to win rather it means we increase our chances of been lucky and winning nevertheless we should still employ strategies even if it doesn't come with guarantee. There are events of high probability of happening that we could apply that could actually help us to get good results and win if we pick them we can be sure to win but the thing has always been that such picks have got small odds which makes them less attractive to pick but the they are still the easiest way to get a win on a game.
It's very important to know that strategies are just edges we get to be more favoured than loosing so it means that they are no guarantee that we are most definitely going to win rather it means we increase our chances of been lucky and winning nevertheless we should still employ strategies even if it doesn't come with guarantee. There are events of high probability of happening that we could apply that could actually help us to get good results and win if we pick them we can be sure to win but the thing has always been that such picks have got small odds which makes them less attractive to pick but the they are still the easiest way to get a win on a game.
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