The only reason that ASICs are winning is that ASIC manufactures are bribing developers to do nothing about ASICs taking over an algorithm. It would be very easy for a coin like Zcash to tweak Equihash and prevent all of the Z9s from mining. (Monero showed how simple and effective it is.) Contrary to Vorick's claims, ASICs cannot easily get around such a change -- if they were able to, then they wouldn't be much more efficient than current GPUs.
The author of the blog sells ASICs, so it's in his best interest to make GPU miners think there is no hope. He's also a very sleazy person. He accepted crowd funding for five batches of Siacoin ASICs almost a year ago and has yet to deliver a single product. So given his behavior, I can't trust anything Vorick says. In fact, I'm inclined to believe he's a compulsive liar who will say anything to get money.
In the article, he stated substantiated facts. You posted a bunch of speculation, guess and conjecture glazed over with personal opinion and unwarranted optimism. In short....he's right and you're wrong.
he wrote that article as sour grapes he bet the farm to build an asic rather then securing his al-gore-rythm bitmain handed him his ass and he now spouts off that asics are god and other gear is shit.
I came up with a good analogy. Asics vs gpus is kind of like cars vs bicycles.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
asics + cars costly loud burn a lot of power.
gpus+bikes cheap quieter burn less millions of people can afford them
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
asics + cars go faster and carry more people and cargo, mine faster
gpus + bike go slow carry less people and cargo ,mine slower
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
asics + cars need decent roads and do not maneuver great only do 1 coin or algorithm
gpus + bikes do not really need roads and can be moved around obstacles easily do any coin
you could argue a fpga is like a vespa
my point is the writer of the blog is saying no more bikes they are worthless go get a car.
And while he may have paved the road with his coin for asics since he wanted his own asic others will alter the roads to stop cars/asics
Should be fun to watch.
and to the Sia developer oh well as seth would say your'e burnt
BTW all of bitumen's moves are based on the simple fact that the .11 watt s-9 edge has been lost.
June 2016 s-9 .11 watts
next best s-7 .25 watts
avalon's gear was .29 in June of 2016
for a 256 miner to have the edge the s-9 once had it would need to do 30 th at 1200 watts and cost 700 usd to build you could sell it for 3k and once again be a true king of btc.
no one can do that with btc.
bitmain want to get far ahead in any algorithm to make tons of money and sia developer were burnt fucking with asics and not developing in the coin.