Notice the actual
green price has always overshot that
red projection on peaks.
Thus shouldn't we expect BTC to go significantly above $10,000 (perhaps as high as $25,000 - $40,000) within next weeks or months before crashing?
Note I'm not making a prediction. Yet this dip from $11k to $9k feels like not the start of bear market yet to me. The alts such as LTC still stuck below 0.01 BTC, either haven't made their final move yet w.r.t. to BTC (or already made it), being another clue that maybe BTC has not lost momentum yet.
Here was an updated version of the chart, but note that as the
green price has risen since the chart below was computed (and if will continue to rise) then the
red line will rise again (thus only in retrospect will we see that the red line was higher at the end of the bubble than we projected it to be):
I agreed with the following:
“This is going to become the biggest bubble of our lifetimes by a long shot,” Novogratz said at an industry conference in New York. “There will be wild crashes in it.”
Late Monday, Novogratz predicted on CNBC bitcoin could ‘easily’ reach $40,000 by the end of next year.
We have confluence of several factors, which are fundamentally driving the current bubble higher.
These create a PUBLIC CONFIDENCE in the bubble which spreads it to the general public. I have many people telling them what everyone they know is becoming aware of the Bitcoin bubble. Someone wrote that exchanges are adding 500K new accounts per day (is that correct?!!). IOW, we’re going to overshoot by a country mile any sane rate of price rise, before we crash down hard and long. The fundamentals are too strong and there’s far too small of a marketcap right now in crypto, compared to the global interest level. And altcoins will sometimes make their runs w.r.t. BTC (e.g. BCH from 0.05 to 0.3+ as I predicted), so diversifying some to alts and then taking profits when they go vertical is a wise strategy. Appears smart investors can extract another 5 – 10 bagger out of this crypto bull before the next winter. First all the old-timers need to sell too early, get jealous and repurchase. This bubble has to make fools of everyone and shock everyone before it will be over.
Perhaps we’re roughly at the analogous level where that volatility got more intense as BTC crossed $400 going vertical in 2013. It continued on to rise ~3X higher.
Wallstreet is coming into Bitcoin:
If you look at the graph of 2017, it does have figures of $ 10,000. But on this schedule at the end of 2016, the price had to be above $ 4,000. This is absolutely not true. The price was lower.
Obviously the green line price never exactly tracks the red line projection. The red line represents a level the bubbles must peak above.
Actually many holders of bitcoin got very huge profit after the trade with 10k$ price.This is expected one for many investors.
Indeed, we expected many people who had long-term capital gains to take profits at $10k.
But all I am scared of are the big picture where names like Wall Street are waiting to enter this market through CME's futures that will allow users to short on bitcoins at a greater pace as well. Everyone is looking at this the positive way, but don't forget that each "bit"coin has two sides.
Yup, but they need a larger and larger marketcap to steal from. Volatility can increase as they try to front run insider news they create to profit off the gyrations, but overall they want the market cap to grow.