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Topic: TopSportsCappers.com Free Picks Thread - page 2. (Read 1373 times)

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August 23, 2024, 06:11:02 AM
2024 Pac 2/Independent Preview 8-23-24
By Matt Fargo
https://topsportscappers.com/

Regular Season Win Totals (via DraftKings)

Notre Dame: 10 Over -115 Under -105
Washington State: 7.5 Over -120 Under +100
Oregon State: 7.5 Over +110 Under -130
Connecticut: 4.5 Over -130 Under +110
Massachusetts: 3.5 Over -125 Under +105

Coaching Changes

Oregon State: Jonathan Smith Out ~ Trent Bray In

Notre Dame Fighting Irish 10-3 ~ 9-3-1 ATS ~ 9-4-0 O/U
Returning Starters ~ Offense 6/Defense 9

Another year, another year of high expectations for Notre Dame. Double-digit wins in six of the last seven seasons while cracking the AP Top 10 in each of those seven seasons has brought the Fighting Irish nothing more than three top five finishes. Notre Dame has made the CFP twice, in 2018 and 2020, only to get blown out in the Semifinals both times and of late, early and mid-season losses have put a wrench in their plans. A controversial loss to Ohio St. after a 4-0 start was a stinger but then a 13-point loss at Louisville was unexpected and they were cooked again. They come into this season as preseason No. 7 and if they can avoid bad losses, the Fighting Irish will be in the CFP once again with the expansion definitely helping. Because they are not affiliated with a Power 4 conference, they cannot get a bye but that should not matter. They just have to get there first. They have 15 starters back but are just No. 101 in experience and will rely on Duke Transfer Riley Leonard to lead the offense that losses its top back and receiver. The defense was stout last season and will be again with nine starters back and a top five secondary. They only have three true road games including the first and last game against Texas A&M and USC. Everything else should be a win including getting Florida St. at home.

Washington State Cougars 5-7 ~ 2-7 Pac 12 ~ 6-6-0 ATS ~ 7-5-0 O/U
Returning Starters ~ Offense 6/Defense 4

Washington St. had its seven-season bowl streak come to an end last season, not counting the 2020 COVID year when it played only four games, as it was a nightmare ending. The Cougars opened 4-0 including a pair of top 20 wins and they moved up to No. 13 in the AP Poll but then it was six straight losses before a win over an equally reeling Colorado team. Washington St. had a chance to still go bowling but lost to eventual CFP invitee Washington on a last second field goal. Now the Cougars enter 2024 with their future up in the air with the dissolving of the Pac 12 so they are basically playing as an Independent and will have to run the table to have any playoff consideration. We do not see that happening as they have only 10 starters back and are No. 121 in experience. They lose quarterback Cam Ward as he transferred to Miami while also losing their top two receivers. Washington St. had no running game last season as it averaged 85 ypg so it needs balance behind a very experienced offensive line. The defense is in bigger trouble with just four starts back as the Cougars have to replace their entire secondary. They play the No. 100 ranked schedule so there is some hope as they face two former Pac 12 teams, a Big 12 team and eight MWC teams and it looks doable to get back to a bowl.

Oregon State Beavers 8-5 ~ 5-4 Pac 12 ~ 6-7-0 ATS ~ 7-6-0 O/U
Returning Starters ~ Offense 4/Defense 1

Oregon St. is the other former Pac 12 team without a home as it will have to regroup from a disappointing 2023 season. Disappointing in that it could have been something really special as the Beavers got to No. 11 midseason and No. 10 late season but they could not close as their first three conference losses were by a combined eight points. After years of misery, head coach Jonathan Smith turned the program around with three straight winning seasons for the first time since 2006-2009 when it had four straight winning campaigns. This is a great momentum builder but the regrouping stems from Smith leaving to take the job at Michigan St. and Oregon St. returning only five starters. The program promoted defensive coordinator Trent Bray to be the head coach and he will have his work cut out. Quarterback DJ Uiagalelei was solid last season but transferred to Florida St. and it will likely be Idaho transfer Gevani McCoy taking over. They also lost their top running back and top four receivers. Only one starter is back on defense that made big improvements the last two seasons but it will take a step back. They have three former Pac 12 teams on the slate to go along with seven MWC opponents as well as Purdue so the schedule is easy enough to make up for the departures.

Connecticut Huskies 3-9 ~ 6-6-0 ATS ~ 5-7-0 O/U
Returning Starters ~ Offense 6/Defense 8

Head coach Jim Mora was hired in 2022 to try and turn around a program that had not had a winning record since 2011 and he came into a nightmare situation. The Huskies finished 2019 with a 2-10 record as they beat Wagner from the FCS and equally inept Massachusetts, completely shut the program down in 2020 and then went 1-11 in 2021, beating only FCS Yale. Hiring Mora certainly paid off as Connecticut became bowl eligible with a game to spare but they did finish 6-7 because of the bowl loss yet it was something to build upon. Unfortunately, that did not happen as the Huskies opened 1-9 but did win their final two games to restore a hint of confidence. Three losses came to ranked teams and four others were by one possession so it was not as bad as those past seasons. Six starters are back on offense counting quarterback Joe Fagnano who played only two games before being lost for the season. There is experience in the receiver room and the top two running backs return but three offensive linemen have to be replaced. The defense has the chance to be the best in a very long time with eight starters back and a new defensive coordinator from Mississippi St. Seven of the first nine games are at home and many are winnable so we could see another bounce back from Mora.

Massachusetts Minutemen 3-9 ~ 5-7-0 ATS ~ 8-4-0 O/U
Returning Starters ~ Offense 5/Defense 6

After bringing football back in 2012 for the first time since 1906, Massachusetts entered the MAC and that marriage last only four years because the school did not want to become a full time member. They have made up after 10 years as the Minutemen are set to rejoin the MAC in 2025 but not after another miserable year as an Independent. It has been one of the worst runs in college football history as Massachusetts has gone 24-112 including six seasons with one or no wins. But there is something to build on as the three wins last season were the most since 2018 and they equaled the win total from the previous four seasons combined. Give credit to head coach Don Brown who turned teams around at the FCS level and was a successful defensive coordinator before being hired here in 2022. Offensively, the Minutemen improved by 10.7 ppg from 2022 and they do bring back quarterback Taisun Phommachanh and should improve again despite only four other starters back. The defense was atrocious, allowing over 37 ppg and there is not enough in place to make a big move up. Three SEC teams and three MAC contenders are on the slate but there are also two FCS teams along with Buffalo, Eastern Michigan and Connecticut so their over win total is possible but a bowl game is not.
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August 23, 2024, 05:32:50 AM
Independiente Rivadavia vs Platense Free Pick 8-23-24
https://topsportscappers.com

Anlyedge Free Pick Independiente Rivadavia 160

Discount 50% off All Handicappers This Promotion will run for the next 2 weeks and then it will be gone.   So jump on the discounts while you can and all Picks/Packages are guaranteed to show a profit.

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  SOC   08/23   5:00 PM   Independiente Rivadavia vs Platense
  PICK: Independiente Rivadavia 160



YESTERDAY'S LEADERS
Top Handicappers   Profit
Brian Bitler   $3110.00 
The Winning Picks   $1330.00 
Professors Sports Picks   $1000.00 
Matt Fargo Sports   $800.00 
Marc Lawrence   $300.00 
James Patrick Sports   $300.00
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August 22, 2024, 08:22:34 AM
2024 Mountain West Conference Preview
By Matt Fargo
https://topsportscappers.com/articles.php


Regular Season Win Totals and MWC Championship Odds (via DraftKings)

Boise State: 9 Over -150 Under +120/-110 MWC Winner
Fresno State: 8 Over +110 Under -140/+475 MWC Winner
UNLV: 7.5 Over +125 Under -160/+550 MWC Winner
Colorado State: 6 Over -140 Under +110/+1,200 MWC Winner
Air Force: 6.5 Over -140 Under +110/+1,100 MWC Winner
Wyoming: 6.5 Over +100 Under -130/+1,400 MWC Winner
San Jose State: 5 Over +120 Under -150/+5,000 MWC Winner
Utah State: 5 Over -125 Under -105/+3,000 MWC Winner
Hawaii: 5 Over -130 Under +100/+5,000 MWC Winner
San Diego State: 5.5 Over +105 Under -135/+2,800 MWC Winner
Nevada: 2.5 Over -120 Under -110/+30,000 MWC Winner
New Mexico: 2 Over -120 Under -110/+35,000 MWC Winner

Coaching Changes

Boise St.: Andy Avalos Out ~ Spencer Danielson In
New Mexico: Danny Gonzalez Out ~ Bronco Mendenhall In
San Diego St.: Brady Hoke Out ~ Sean Lewis In
San Jose St.: Brent Brennen Out ~ Ken Niumatalolo In
Nevada: Ken Wilson Out ~ Jeff Choate In
Wyoming: Craig Bohl Out ~ Jay Sawvell In
Utah St.: Blake Anderson Out ~ Nate Dreiling In
Fresno St.: Jeff Tedford Out ~ Tim Skipper In

Boise St. Broncos 8-6 ~ 6-2 MWC ~ 6-5-1 ATS ~ 8-4-0 O/U
Returning Starters ~ Offense 6/Defense 11

Following a 10-4 season in 2022, Boise St. was tabbed the favorite by many to repeat as regular season champions, the first season the MWC was without divisions and the Broncos finished in a tie with San Jose St. and UNLV and ended up rolling the Rebels in the MWC Championship Game before losing to UCLA 35-22 in the LA Bowl. The Broncos ended up 8-6 and went through a head coach firing which was an odd one as they were playing fine with a 5-5 record at the time with four of those losses by 13 combined points and the other against Washington. Boise St. went 3-1 with then interim head coach Spencer Danielson and he is in a great situation. Six starters are back on offense and while Boise St. has to replace Taylen Green, it should be in good hands with USC transfer Malachi Nelson who was a top 2 recruit in 2023. Running back Ashton Jeanty, who rushed for 1,347 yards and 14 touchdowns, returns as does most of the offensive line, while their top two wide receivers have to be replaced. The Broncos have 11 starters back on defense and even though they allowed 25.6 ppg last season, that experience is huge. Boise St. is at Oregon and hosts Washington St. and Oregon St. in the nonconference (they do not count in the MWC standings) while avoiding 3 of the other top six in the MWC.

Fresno St. Bulldogs 9-4 ~ 4-4 MWC ~ 4-8-0 ATS ~ 7-4-1 O/U
Returning Starters ~ Offense 8/Defense 5

Not counting the 2020 COVID season, Fresno St. has won nine or more games in five of the other six seasons, the only team in the MWC that can make that claim. Last season, the Bulldogs got off to a 5-0 start and got into the AP Top 25 but lost a tough game at Wyoming by five points but won their next three games after that. Fresno St. was unable to keep that going and make a run to the MWC Championship Game as it lost its final three regular season games before blowing out New Mexico St. 37-10 in the New Mexico Bowl. Head coach Jeff Tedford returned for a second stint in 2022, replacing Kalen DeBoer who went to Washington and he was responsible for four of those 9+ recent win seasons but he stepped down and Tim Skipper takes over. The Bulldogs have eight starters back on offense including quarterback Mikey Keane who was outstanding as a freshman and they also have their top three running backs returning. The offensive line is loaded and this offense will not miss a beat. The defense lost over half of their starters but are strong in the back seven and bring in No. 1 defensive end recruit Korey Forman from USC. They open at Michigan and close at UCLA which are the only true nonconference tests and in the MWC, they avoid Boise St. but are at UNLV and Air Force.

UNLV Rebels 9-5 ~ 6-2 MWC ~ 10-2-0 ATS ~ 7-4-1 O/U
Returning Starters ~ Offense 5/Defense 6

UNLV was one of the surprises of the conference last season as following a 35-7 loss at Michigan, the Rebels went on a 7-1 run before losing the regular season finale to San Jose St. It was good enough to get them to the MWC Conference Championship Game where they were blown out by Boise St. before losing to Kansas 49-36 in the Guaranteed Rate Bowl. Still, it was a 9-5 season which were the most wins since 1984 where they had won eight games once and seven games twice so it was no surprise head Barry Odom signed a five-year contract extension in April after his first season here. The offense was supposed to explode under Bobby Petrino but he bolted for Texas A&M before coaching a game and offensive coordinator Brennan Marion did a fantastic job, averaging 34.4 ppg. The Rebels lose quarterback Jayden Maiava to USC but Holy Cross transfer Matthew Sluka can thrive in this system. Their offensive line is stacked and their top two receivers that combined for 2,089 yards are both back. UNLV was not as strong defensively but it as their best unit in seasons and there is talent at all levels and should be better under defensive mind Odom. They are at Kansas and a game at Houston could be tricky to open the season and while they face Boise St. and Fresno St., both are at home.

Colorado St. Rams 5-7 ~ 3-5 MWC ~ 4-8-0 ATS ~ 6-6-0 O/U
Returning Starters ~ Offense 7/Defense 7

Colorado St. put together five straight winning seasons from 2013-2017 but now they have a string of six straight losing campaigns culminating with its 5-7 record last year. The Rams had a chance to make it to a bowl game but lost its season finale as a favorite at Hawaii. Four of the seven losses were by one possession so there was progress last season following back-to-back 3-9 campaigns and they are looking for the breakthrough. Head coach Jay Norvell has this team going in the right direction entering his third season after proven success at Nevada where he got out at the right time. The offense nearly doubled its output, going from 13.2 ppg in 2022 to 26.1 ppg in 2023 thanks to the top passing game in the MWC that finished No. 9 in the country led by all MWC quarterback Braydon Fowler-Nicolosi. His top target Tory Horton returns and while they lose their leading rusher, there was not much there anyway. The offensive line returns four of five starters. The defense regressed from 2022 but the Rams are athletic and will show improvement. Three of their top four tacklers that combined for 296 tackles are back and the secondary is loaded. A trip to Texas opens the season and they host rival Colorado and while they avoid Boise St. and UNLV, they have Air Force and Fresno St. on the road.

Air Force Falcons 9-4 ~ 5-3 MWC ~ 5-7-0 ATS ~ 6-6-0 O/U
Returning Starters ~ Offense 3/Defense 4

Winning in Colorado Springs has become commonplace under head coach Troy Calhoun as Air Force has had only four losing seasons under his direction and last season looked like it could be something special. The Falcons rolled out to an 8-0 start but got blown out at home by 20 points against Army and they were never the same, losing their last four regular season games. They just fell short of their fourth straight non-COVID double-digit season but if everything goes right, they could start a new streak but that is a big if. The issue is inexperience as Air Force is the second least experienced team in the MWC and it brings back only six starters. Two of those are on offense and they happen to be receivers, the least needed position in this offense so it is a rebuild but the Falcons have had to replace five or fewer starters four times in the last six years and have been successful under offensive coordinator Mike Thiessen. They will find a way for a potent rushing attack. The defense will be fine in the secondary where three of their four returning starters reside and there is plenty of junior and senior experience up front. Nonconference games include Army and Navy as usual and a game at Baylor while in the MWC, they miss Boise St. and UNLV and get Fresno St. and Colorado St. at home.

Wyoming Cowboys 9-4 ~ 5-3 MWC ~ 7-4-1 ATS ~ 5-5-2 O/U
Returning Starters ~ Offense 6/Defense 7

Wyoming head coach Craig Bohl retired at the end of last season after 10 seasons with the Cowboys where he compiled a 61-60 record and took them to a bowl game in six of the last seven non-COVID seasons. He went out strong with a 9-4 record with those nine victories the most in his tenure and now Jay Sawvel takes over after serving as the defensive coordinator under Bohl for the last four seasons. This is a strong program with a toughness on both sides so the transition should be seamless especially with a schedule that is on their side. Wyoming was below average on offense as they averaged only 327 ypg but it had a decent power rushing attack and they will stick to that style with new offensive coordinator Jay Johnson who arrives from Michigan St. so he knows about the style. Harrison Waylee returns after rushing for 947 yards last season and will be running behind an offensive line with four returning starters. The wild card will be quarterback Even Svoboda who has a big arm and can run. Under Sawvel, the defense was never great but decently consistent, allowing between 21.0 and 23.9 ppg and they have seven starters back. The Cowboys go to Arizona St., Washington St. and host BYU and in the MWC, they get Boise St. and Air Force at home and avoid Fresno St.

San Jose St. Spartans 7-6 ~ 6-2 MWC ~ 9-3-0 ATS ~ 8-4-0 O/U
Returning Starters ~ Offense 3/Defense 4

It was a tale of two seasons for San Jose St. last year as it got off to a 1-5 start with the lone win coming against Cal Poly of the FCS but then the Spartans found their footing and closed the regular season 6-0 to finish 6-2 in the conference and a three-way tie for first place. They did not make the MWC Championship Game because of some unknown tiebreaker and while they went on to lose against Coastal Carolina 24-14 in the Hawaii Bowl, it was some unplanned success. They enter this season as the least experienced team in the conference and one of the least experienced teams in the country so it will take some overachieving and new head coach Ken Niumatalolo comes in with a chip on his shoulder. San Jose St. averaged 31.8 ppg last season, its most since 2013, and there will be a regression with only three starters back and they lose an all MWC quarterback and their top four rushers along with four offensive linemen. The defense is not much better off with only four starters back after finishing No. 2 in the conference in defense. The linebacking corps will be the strength and need to be disruptive to make up for a weak secondary. Washington St., Oregon. St. and Stanford make up the nonconference slate and while they face all the top teams in the MWC, three of those are at home.

Utah St. Aggies 6-7 ~ 4-4 MWC ~ 6-6-0 ATS ~ 8-4-0 O/U
Returning Starters ~ Offense 8/Defense 7

Utah St. ended last season on a 3-1 run, including a pair of double overtime wins, to become bowl eligible where it was ultimately blown out by Georgia St. 45-22 in the Idaho Potato Bowl but the Aggies had some positive momentum heading into 2024. Then came a late blow in July where the administration fired head coach Blake Anderson for cause after he had not complied with the reporting of sexual misconduct cases. Newly hired defensive coordinator Nate Dreiling will serve as interim head coach and not only does he has to take over the X and O aspects but he has to make sure his team is on board as this firing was not taken well by very many. 15 starters are back and the Aggies are the third most experienced team in the conference so on paper, they can be a sleeper contender as long as their heads are into it. They lost their quarterback but brought in Iowa transfer Spencer Petras who has a ton of experience. He will be throwing to the second best receiving corps and will be behind an experienced line. The defense could struggle as they lost three of their top four tacklers and need to stop the run where they allowed 213 ypg. They host Utah and are at USC and Washington St. while in the MWC, they avoid Fresno St. and Air Force and do have four conference home games.

Hawaii Rainbow Warriors 5-8 ~ 3-5 MWC ~ 5-8-0 ATS ~ 6-7-0 O/U
Returning Starters ~ Offense 8/Defense 7

Hawaii has made progress in the first two years under head coach Timmy Chang and the pieces are in place to get to a bowl game. The problem is that Hawaii plays two FCS teams so should they win those, they will need five other wins to get seven wins total to get to a bowl but it is more than possible. The Warriors have momentum coming into this year as they won three of their last four games and Chang took over the play calling late in the season. Whether he continues that is still unknown as he hired a new offensive coordinator in Dan Morrison who happened to coach Chang when he was the quarterback at Hawaii. The Warriors bring back eight starters on an offense that improved slightly from 2022 and has a chance to really explode this season. Quarterback Brayden Schager threw for 3,542 yards last season with 26 touchdowns but did toss 14 picks. He threw for 320 or more yards in half of his games but needs to be more consistent and he has his top six receivers back. Any resemblance of a running game will help. The defense improved as the season went on last year and still needs to get better with seven starters coming back. UCLA and Sam Houston are the other two nonconference games and in the MWC, they miss Air Force and get Boise St. and UNLV on the island.

San Diego St. Aztecs 4-8 ~ 2-6 MWC ~ 7-5-0 ATS ~ 5-7-0 O/U
Returning Starters ~ Offense 6/Defense 4

San Diego St. has been as consistent as they come as not counting the 2020 COVID season, the Aztecs had 12 consecutive winning seasons, including five double-digit winning campaigns, up until their 4-8 record last year. What made it worse was the fact they started out 2-0 but then the schedule caught up to them as they lost their next four games against teams that finished with eight or more wins and they could not recover. Head coach Brady Hoke retired after last season and Sean Lewis was hired after serving as the offensive coordinator at Colorado last season. He will shift the offense from a running style to a more Air Raid system as the Aztecs have not averaged 200 yards passing since 2019. Six starters are back on offense and San Diego St. has to break in a new quarterback which is not a bad thing with a new system and it will likely be Florida St. transfer A.J. Duffy. While they will be airing it out at a record speed, that sets up the running game and they brought in 1,000-yard rusher Marquez Cooper from Ball St., who also played under Lewis at Kent St. The defense will struggle namely because they will be on the field way too much. The schedule is not horrible as it is ranked No. 80 but there are too many roadblocks away from home to get enough wins but this is a team on the rise.

Nevada Wolf Pack 2-10 ~ 2-6 MWC ~ 6-6-0 ATS ~ 6-6-0 O/U
Returning Starters ~ Offense 6/Defense 6

Nevada football has never been a thing as it has had only one double-digit winning season in the 37-year history of the program and it has reached eight wins only four times since 2006. While the Wolf Pack have never been really good, they have never been really bad either, that is up until the last two seasons where they went 2-10, the worst two-season stretch ever. There is not much talent or depth so it will be another tough season but they should be better. The offense has nowhere to go but up as Nevada averaged 17.3 ppg on 300 ypg and those are the fewest points it has averaged since 2000 when it put up the exact same amount. Quarterback Brendon Lewis was bad and will be pushed by Nebraska transfer Chubba Purdy and whoever wins the job will be throwing to a brand new set of receivers as the top six are gone. They bring in former 1,000-yard rusher Patrick Garwo from Boston College and it all will work around a young offensive line. The defense was not the worst ever but it was still bad as the Wolf Pack were No. 125 overall and No. 118 in scoring. They will be better with Choate here but still not very good. Nevada plays 13 games and the nonconference schedule is tough while it has to play the top five teams in the MWC so it is going to be another long season.

New Mexico Lobos 4-8 ~ 2-6 MWC ~ 6-6-0 ATS ~ 9-3-0 O/U
Returning Starters ~ Offense 3/Defense 6

New Mexico has not had a winning season since 2016 and it will not break that streak this season but the Lobos did make a solid move with their head coach as they hired Bronco Mendenhall who had plenty of success at a similar type school in BYU. It has been so bad in Albuquerque that the four wins from last season were the most than the previous six seasons. New Mexico has been to four bowl games since 2006 and every one of those was at the New Mexico Bowl so their prize has been to not even be able leave home and Mendenhall will fix that eventually, just not now. Only three starters are back on offense which is not good considering they averaged 27.3 ppg, their most since 2016 and they more than doubled their output from 2022. Devon Dampier likely takes over at quarterback who is a duel threat and he gets two receivers and a tight end that are returning starters but that is it on offense. The Lobos lose a 1,229-yard running back and the entire offensive line. The defense was far from good enough to help the offense and with the offense taking a big step back, the defense does not have the talent to improve dramatically. They are at Arizona and at Auburn early and they miss Boise St. and UNLV in the MWC and have seven road games in total. Another rebu
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August 21, 2024, 08:57:42 AM
Arizona Diamondbacks vs Miami Marlins Free Pick 8-21-24
https://topsportscappers.com

Matt Fargo Sports Free Pick Arizona Diamondback -1.5

All Packages purchased that are 30 Days or Less are GUARANTEED to show you a profit!

Matt Fargo Sports

  MLB   08/21   6:40 PM   Arizona Diamondbacks vs Miami Marlins
  PICK: Arizona Diamondbacks -1.5
s is a play on the ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS RL for our Wednesday Free Play. After getting swept in Tampa Bay, Arizona bounced back with a 9-6 win Monday and followed that up with a 3-1 win last night. They have won 22 of 30 games since the All Star Break and they are 32-13 over their last 45 games and remain one game behind the Padres in the National League Wild Card standings. They are just four games behind the Dodgers in the National League West as the offense remains one of the best in baseball as they lead the league in runs scored and are second behind the Dodgers in the National League in wOBA at .329. This is the auto fade Miami spot as the Marlins are averaging 3.7 rpg over its last 25 games and the offense has been bad all season as the Marlins are second to last in baseball with a .289 wOBA, .660 OPS and a .129 ISO. Going back to May 19, Miami has scored three runs or less in 45 of 78 games and this includes getting shut out nine times over this span. The Marlins facing a left-handed starter has been bad news as they are 9-34 while averaging 3.0 rpg with a .227 average, third worst in the league and a .632 OPS, second to last in baseball and of those 34 losses, 29 have been by two or more runs and by an average of 4.0 rpg. Jordan Montgomery has not been himself as he has allowed four runs or more seven times including six runs in four of those but only one of those has been on the road as he has struggled at Chase Field with a 7.71 ERA and 1.97 WHIP. His numbers on the road are far from spectacular but his ERA is 3.5 runs less at 4.26 and he has a respectable 1.24 WHIP. He does not strike anyone out as he initiates contact and has a 43.6% GB% which is No. 44 out of 123 starters that have tossed at least 80 innings. The Marlins put the ball on the ground more than any other team at 48.9% and it has the sixth lowest Hard Hit%. Roddery Munoz continues to struggle as in 15 starts, he has a 5.88 ERA and while in six of those he has allowed two runs or less, in the other nine outings, he has allowed 42 earned runs. Among 144 starting pitchers that have tossed at least 70 innings, only seven have a xFIP greater than 5.00 and Munoz is one of those as he is ranked No. 140 at 5.19. He has split time between Miami and Jacksonville in Triple-A and his numbers are very similar and one that really sticks out is his K-BB% where he posted a 7% ratio in the Minors and while with the Marlins, it is 8.3% which is No. 133 among those 144 pitchers. Play (901) Arizona Diamondbacks -1.5 Runs

MLB 10-4 +$8,280 L10. Wednesday Triple Play 3-0 Sweep! Over the last 12 NFL seasons, Matt has profited in 10 of those with $72,010 in profits and there is no reason to slow down with the regular season nearly here!

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YESTERDAY'S LEADERS
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Matt Fargo Sports   4-1   $3260.00


MLB - Capper   W/L   %   PROFIT
Marc Lawrence   5/2   71%   $1161.00
Matt Fargo Sports   4/1   80%   $3260.00
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August 20, 2024, 03:17:58 PM
Cleveland Guardians vs New York Yankees Prediction 8-20-24
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Matt Fargo Sports Free Pick Cleveland Guardians +136

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Matt Fargo Sports

  MLB   08/20   7:05 PM   Cleveland Guardians vs New York Yankees
  PICK: Cleveland Guardians 136
This is a play on the CLEVELAND GUARDIANS for our Tuesday Free Play. Following a five-game winning streak, Cleveland took it on the chin in Milwaukee over the weekend as was swept by the Brewers in three games that could have eighter way as the Guardians were outscored 9-4. They have seen their lead come down to 2.5 games in the American League Central over both Minnesota and Kansas City and it does not get any easier here in this three-game set but this line is completely overinflated. Cleveland is a half-game behind the Yankees for the best record in baseball yet this line is saying the difference is much greater. The offense has been struggling but the Guardians have their sweet spot here. The Yankees are coming off a 3-3 roadtrip which was disappointing as they should have blown through the White Sox and Tigers but have maintained their lead in the American League East which is now a half-game over Baltimore. New York has been pretty average at home where it is five games over .500 compared to being 41-25 on the road yet come in as massive favorites behind a pitcher that is going the wrong way. The offense has been above average at Yankee Stadium but New York has a 3.91 ERA here which is No. 17 including No. 10 in the American League. Matthew Boyd is making his second start with the Guardians after recovering from Tommy John surgery and he will likely be limited again. But his recovery was great as he posted a 0.83 ERA in five rehab starts covering 21.2 innings while striking out 27 and his debut was great as we went 5.1 innings, allowing only one run on three hits and no walks in a very efficient 80-pitch outing. He might be stretched out a bit more depending how his command is again and there is the satisfaction knowing the best bullpen in baseball is behind him. Luis Gil came out of the gates on fire in his rookie season as he posted a 2.03 ERA through his first 14 starts but he has struggled since then. Since June 20, he has a 5.70 ERA over nine starts which is No. 98 among 109 starters that have gone at least 40 innings. His K% is down and his BB% is up and his k-BB% over this stretch is 12.7% which is No. 73 which has partially led to a 1.49 WHIP which is tied for No. 93. He faces a Cleveland offense that is tied for No. 9 in OPS against left-handed pitching and the Guardians are 26-9 on the season against left-handed starters. Play (959) Cleveland Guardians
 
MLB 8-3 +$7,130 L10. Tuesday Triple Play Sweep tonight! Over the last 12 NFL seasons, Matt has profited in 10 of those with $72,010 in profits and there is no reason to slow down with the regular season nearly here!

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August 19, 2024, 06:08:48 PM
Boston Red Sox vs Houston Astros Pick 8-19-24
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Matt Fargo Sports Free Pick Houston Astros -118

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  MLB   08/19   8:10 PM   Boston Red Sox vs Houston Astros
  PICK: Houston Astros -118
s is a play on the HOUSTON ASTROS for our Monday Free Play. The Astros are coming off a series win over the White Sox, which is not saying much but going back, they are 10-1 over their last 11 games and have taken a four-game lead in the American League West over Seattle. Since opening the season 7-19, Houston is 60-37 which is the best record in baseball by three games over the Twins and both sides have been exceptional. This includes a 30-18 record at home and the Astros are getting solid value tonight. Boston is coming off a series split with the Orioles and it is just 4-7 over its last 11 games which has put the Red Sox 3.5 behind the Royals in the American League Wild Card standings. They have been better on the road than at home which is playing into this number as is the top line numbers from the starting pitchers but they are skewed and the two are going in complete opposite directions. Tanner Houck has a 3.01 ERA and 1.15 WHIP but he is pitching to a 4.00 xERA and we are seeing some of that regression. In eight starts since June 29, he has a 4.98 ERA and his 4.92 xFIP is No. 68 among 72 qualified starters over this stretch. One glaring issue has been his strikeout and walk rates as he has a 13.3% K% and am 11.2% BB% which are No. 70 and No. 72 respectively putting his 2% K-BB% dead last over this stretch. Over the recent 10-1 run, the Astros lead baseball with a 136 wRC+ while sitting No. 8 in K% and No. 12 in BB%. Yusei Kikuchi has been a solid addition to the Houston rotation since he was acquired from Toronto as he has posted a 2.70 ERA and 0.96 WHIP in three start. His overall ERA is nearly a run and a half higher than Houck but his xERA is right in line at 4.03 and his xFIP of 3.33 is tied for No. 10 out of 63 qualified starters. Additionally, he is tied for No. 8 in K-BB% at 21% is this does not bode well for a Boston offense that has the highest K% in all of baseball against left-handed pitching. Play (904) Houston Astros

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August 19, 2024, 04:43:22 AM
2024 Big 12 Conference Preview
By Matt Fargo
https://topsportscappers.com/index.php

Regular Season Win Totals and Big 12 Championship Odds (via DraftKings)

Kansas State: 9.5 Over +125 Under -150/+380 Big 12 Winner
Utah: 9.5 Over -145 Under +125/+320 Big 12 Winner
Kansas: 8 Over -135 Under +115/+950 Big 12 Winner
Arizona: 7.5 Over -115 Under -105/+1,100 Big 12 Winner
Iowa State: 7.5 Over -120 Under +100/+950 Big 12 Winner
Oklahoma State: 8 Over -130 Under +110/+750 Big 12 Winner
TCU: 7.5 Over +125 Under -150/+1,800 Big 12 Winner
Texas Tech: 7.5 Over -105 Under -115/+1,400 Big 12 Winner
UCF: 7.5 Over -125 Under +105/+900 Big 12 Winner
West Virginia: 6.5 Over -130 Under +110/+1,800 Big 12 Winner
Baylor: 5.5 Over +100 Under -120/+6,000 Big 12 Winner
Cincinnati: 5 Over -160 Under +135/+8,000 Big 12 Winner
Colorado: 5.5 Over -135 Under +115/+2,800 Big 12 Winner
Arizona State: 4.5 Over +140 Under -170/+10,000 Big 12 Winner
BYU: 4.5 Over +105 Under -125/+12,000 Big 12 Winner
Houston: 3.5 Over -160 Under +135/+11,000 Big 12 Winner

Coaching Changes

Arizona: Jedd Fisch Out ~ Brent Brennen In
Houston: Dana Holgorsen Out ~ Willie Fritz In

Kansas State Wildcats 9-4 ~ 6-3 Big 12 ~ 7-4-1 ATS ~ 7-5-0 O/U
Returning Starters ~ Offense 4/Defense 8

Kansas St. is coming off another solid season as it went 9-4 and it could have been even better. All four losses were by one possession including two by three points, one against Texas in overtime. We say another solid season because the Wildcats have won eight or more games 10 times over the past 13 seasons and that includes a four-win COVID season. Kansas St. is loaded again on both sides of the ball and has a legitimate shot at the Big 12 Championship Game. Avery Johnson takes over at quarterback for Will Howard, who left for Ohio St., and he is one of the most significant recruits the Wildcats have landed in a long time. He has the three top receivers back in Jadon Jackson, Jayce Brown and Keagan Johnson and one of the top running back in the conference in DJ Giddens who rushed for 1,226 yards last season. Defensively, Kansas St. was right on par with the numbers from 2022 and 2023 and this season they should improve as they have six players that could legitimately be on the All-Big 12 teams. Nothing will be easy in this conference but the Wildcats schedule is not bad. They actually play 10 conference teams but Arizona will not count. They only face one team coming off a bye, Colorado, and they are coming off a bye as well to make it a wash.

Utah Utes 8-5 ~ 5-4 Pac 12 ~ 6-5-1 ATS ~ 5-7-0 O/U
Returning Starters ~ Offense 6/Defense 9

Injuries took their toll on the Utes last season right from the start and while the 8-5 season was not what they envisioned, it was still something to be proud of and they gained experience from it. Utah is once again picked to finish at or near the top of the conference but this time it is the Big 12 yet they will still be squaring off against some familiar faces and barring any repeat injuries, anything short of the Big 12 Championship Game will be a disappointment. Neither quarterback Cam Rising nor his leading target tight end Brant Kuithe saw the field last season and the offense suffered as they dropped 15.4 ppg and nearly 120 ypg from their 2023 averages but both are back to full health. Utah brought in USC/Arizona transfer Dorian Singer (1,683 yards in 27 games) and while the offensive line lost three starters, they are always deep and experienced. Utah did not miss a beat on defense which has been the case every year for a while as it finished No. 14 overall and No. 20 in points allowed. The Utes bring back nine starters, needing to replace just one linebacker and one corner so an even better defense could surface this season. The Utes do not leave the state for any of its nonconference games with the only road game at Utah St. and in the Big 12, they miss Kansas and Kansas St.

Kansas Jayhawks 9-4 ~ 5-4 Big 12 ~ 7-5-0 ATS ~ 6-5-1 O/U
Returning Starters ~ Offense 7/Defense 6

The Jayhawks have taken one of the biggest steps in all of college football over the last couple seasons as they have come close to knocking on the door since head coach Lance Leipold took over the program in 2021 and made it his own. Kansas has won eight Big 12 Conference games the last two seasons after winning eight conference games in the previous 13 seasons combined. It will be an interesting year for the Jayhawks as they have a lot of obstacles to get around but if they can stay healthy, they have the potential to play with anyone in this conference. Quarterback Jalon Daniels was on pace for a monster season and was a sneaky Heisman Trophy candidate but he ended up hurting his back after three games and never came back, electing to take a redshirt. Jason Bean was a solid backup but the offense was not as dynamic as it was with Daniels. Six players had at least 172 yards receiving last season and five of those are back that totaled 1,938 yards while leading rusher Devin Neal is back after running for 1,209 yards and 15 touchdowns. The Big 12 schedule is fairly tame as they miss four of the other top seven teams but they will be playing all of their home games off campus because of renovations taking place at Memorial Stadium which is a big disadvantage.

Arizona Wildcats 10-3 ~ 7-2 Pac 12 ~ 10-2-0 ATS ~ 4-8-0 O/U
Returning Starters ~ Offense 8/Defense 7

Arizona was the big surprise in the Pac 12 Conference last season as many publications and polls had the Wildcats finishing near the bottom of the league but after a 3-3 start with two of those losses in overtime, they won their final seven games to close the season. While Arizona would have contended in its old conference, it will be able to contend in its new conference as well. Last season was its first 10-win campaign in a decade and just its second since 1998 so this once proud and dominant program has been stuck in mediocrity for some time. Head coach Jedd Fisch bolted for Washington but left the team in great shape for Brent Brennen who comes over from San Jose St. The offense finished No. 18 overall and No. 20 in scoring behind quarterback Noah Fifita so the offense is again in great hands. Leading receiver Tetairoa McMillan, who had 1,402 yards is back but the next three wideouts are gone so replacements are needed. Two transfer running backs from the MWC who averaged over a combined 2,000 yards take over for Jonah Coleman. The defense was a top 40 unit and is loaded outside from the line which could use help. The Wildcats have five Big 12 home games and while they have Utah on the road, the other three are manageable so they will be in the mix.

Iowa State Cyclones 7-6 ~ 6-3 Big 12 ~ 7-5-0 ATS ~ 5-7-0 O/U
Returning Starters ~ Offense 10/Defense 9

After a rough start where the Cyclones opened 2-3, they closed the season 5-2 before losing in the Liberty Bowl 36-26 to Memphis so all-in-all, it was a quality year as they shook off their 4-8 season in 2022. Head coach Matt Campbell has put together six winning seasons in his eight years in Ames and this season has the potential to be the best one yet should it stay healthy because of the back loaded slate. The Cyclones have 19 starters back and are the third most experienced team in the country, trailing only Oklahoma St. and Virginia Tech. After going 21-5 at home from 2018-2021, they went just 6-7 the last two seasons so getting that home mojo back is essential. The only starter lost on offense is at tight end but they are deep at that position. Quarterback Rocco Becht was excellent as a freshman and should only get better. Not only does Iowa St. bring back nine starters on defense, they are all either juniors or seniors so the experience is even greater with the veteran presence. The Cyclones were second in the conference in defense, trailing CFP participant Texas. Do not be surprised with a 6-0 start with a game at Iowa being the real difficult test but then it really toughens up with five bowl teams from last season, plus an improved Cincinnati team and it closes with Utah and Kansas St.

Oklahoma State Cowboys 10-4 ~ 7-2 Big 12 ~ 7-5-0 ATS ~ 6-6-0 O/U
Returning Starters ~ Offense 10/Defense 9

With nine teams stamped with 7.5 or higher win totals, this is a top heavy Big 12 Conference that can turn into a wide open battle and the Cowboys will certainly be a player with loads of talent and experience. Their 10 wins were the seventh time in the last 13 seasons with double-digit victories so this is a program that has been consistently above average under head coach Mike Gundy, who has only one losing season, his first one in Stillwater, in his 19 years here. Oklahoma St. is the most experienced team in the country after coming in as one of the most inexperienced last season. This offense is loaded with 10 starters back behind quarterback Alan Bowman and he cannot feel more comfortable. He has All-American and the 2023 leading rusher in the country Ollie Gorgon II behind him, five seniors on the offense line that is second in the country in combined starts with 214 and a pair of receivers that combined for 164 catches and 1,886 yards. Oklahoma St. was not good on defense as it as No. 124 overall and No. 92 in points allowed with six returning starters, right in line with 2022 when it had four starters back but now nine are back. They open the Big 12 with games against Utah and Kansas St. so we will see early on what they are made of and they avoid Kansas and Arizona.

TCU Horned Frogs 5-7 ~ 3-6 Big 12 ~ 5-7-0 ATS ~ 4-8-0 O/U
Returning Starters ~ Offense 7/Defense 9

After making the College Football Playoff in 2022, it was an expected down season in 2023 as the Horned Frogs had only 10 starters back, including just three on offense, and a 1-5 midseason run did them in. It was only the sixth losing season since 1997 as head coach Gary Patterson created a dynasty with 11 double-digit win seasons and six final Top 10 rankings. He left in 2021 after four mediocre campaigns and Sonny Dykes was one win away from a National Championship in his first season. TCU should be better off with a much more experienced team and after nearly the same averages on defense in 2023 with seven starters back as it had in 2022, the Horned Frogs bring back nine starters this season. Additionally, they hired former Boise St. head coach Andy Avalos to serve as defensive coordinator. Quarterback John Hoover was pretty solid as a freshman but there is a lot of room for improvement and losing three starters along the offensive line will not help. 1,272-yard rusher Emani Bailey is gone so someone has to step up but Hoover gets his two top receivers back. The conference schedule is a brutal one as they do avoid Kansas St. but have games at Kansas and Utah to go along with home games against Texas Tech, Arizona, and Oklahoma St.

Texas Tech Red Raiders 7-6 ~ 5-4 Big 12 ~ 5-7-0 ATS ~ 5-7-0 O/U
Returning Starters ~ Offense 9/Defense 5

It was a third straight winning season for Texas Tech, including its third straight bowl win but as has been the case for the last 14 years, it was nothing special. The Red Raiders defeated only one team with a winning record, Kansas, and they have not surpassed eight victories over that 14-year stretch. To their credit, or to at least give them a little justification, they did play nine teams that went to bowl games and five of their six losses were against teams that finished with nine or more wins but to become a team to compete for championships, some of those losses need to become wins. It all starts with the offense that finished No. 65 overall last season with 387.1 ypg, the first time since 2000 that it tallied fewer than 400 ypg. Quarterback Behren Morton was hurt on and off and is fully healthy but there will be a mostly new receiving corps in place so it may take time. They will again depend on Tahj Brooks who rushed for 1,538 yards behind a strong offensive line. The defense was not great but limited opponents to under 400 yards, the first time since 2012 that has happened. They avoid Utah and Kansas St. but the three toughest conference games against Arizona, Iowa St. and Oklahoma St. are all on the road so taking the first five winnable games is important.

UCF Knights 6-7 ~ 3-6 Big 12 ~ 5-6-1 ATS ~ 6-6-0 O/U
Returning Starters ~ Offense 7/Defense 8

The first season in the Big 12 did not go well for UCF as it went 3-0 in its nonconference games but opened conference action with five straight losses. The Knights did rally to win three of their last four games to become bowl eligible but lost to Georgia Tech 30-17 in the Gasparilla Bowl. It easily could have been a better season as they were on the plus side in yardage differential in Big 12 games despite being 3-6 as three of the losses were by a combined four points. The offense was one of the best in the country as UCF finished No. 3 with 527.7 ypg and this was with quarterbacks John Rhys Plumlee and Timmy McClain splitting time because of injuries. Taking over will be KJ Jefferson who comes in from Arkansas after starting 38 games for the Razorbacks and his duel threat ability will fit well. They lose their top receiver but two starters are back and UCF will rely on running back RJ Harvey who rushed for 1,476 yards but the offensive line brings back only 58 starts, second fewest in the conference. Defensively, the Knights could not stop the run as they were fifth worst in the country has to improve in front of an elite secondary. The Knights miss Kansas, Kansas St. and Oklahoma St. and get Utah and Arizona at home so the Big 12 schedule is on their side, they just have to execute.

West Virginia Mountaineers 9-4 ~ 6-3 Big 12 ~ 7-5-0 ATS ~ 8-4-0 O/U
Returning Starters ~ Offense 8/Defense 5

West Virginia was picked to finish bottom three or four in the Big 12 Conference last season with head coach Neal Brown firmly on the hot seat. But the Mountaineers did not listen to the naysayers as they put together their first nine-win season since 2016 when they won 10 games and they look to build upon that. They got blown out in the opener against Penn St. before reeling off four straight wins prior to a brutal last second loss to Houston and they closed the season with five wins in their last six games, the only loss coming against Oklahoma. The job is safe for Brown barring a complete implosion and that should not happen with this offense which finished No. 27 overall with 434.6 ypg, the most since 2017. Most of the pieces are back, led by quarterback Garrett Greene, while the top three running backs and four of the top five receivers return. Defensively, the numbers were not great but West Virginia led the Big 12 in sacks and the secondary was another strength. Their leading tackler is gone and the secondary needs to replace three of four starters but the Mountaineers used the transfer portal to reload and should be just fine. They open with Penn St. again but this time at home while the conference schedule is a bear as they play all of the top teams expect for Utah.

Baylor Bears 3-9 ~ 2-7 Big 12 ~ 3-8-1 ATS ~ 6-6-0 O/U
Returning Starters ~ Offense 10/Defense 9

The Bears have been one of the most inconsistent teams in the country over the last few years and it has been extreme. They went from three straight 10-win seasons from 2013-2015 to one win in 2017. Baylor then went back up to 11 wins in 2019 and 12 wins in 2021 only to have a losing season in 2022 and then fell back further to only three wins last season. Since 2009, Baylor has had four or fewer wins four times and the previous three follow up years, it came back with a winning season so 2024 is ready for another bounce back season and it looks possible. Baylor is the fourth most experienced team in the Big 12 Conference and the highest ranking of all teams that did not make a bowl games last season. Baylor struggled on offense last season, finishing No. 72 but the only replacement needs to be made at tight end so it should improve considerably. Six of nine losses last year were by double digits as the defense imploded when the offense was average but nine starters are back so there should be improvement on this side of the ball as well. Baylor misses Arizona and Kansas St. and the game against Utah counts as a nonconference game and while the rest of the Big 12 slate is no cakewalk, the Bears do get Oklahoma St. and Kansas at home.

Cincinnati Bearcats 3-9 ~ 1-8 Big 12 ~ 4-8-0 ATS ~ 8-4-0 O/U
Returning Starters ~ Offense 8/Defense 7

The Bearcats were one of the three teams that came over from the AAC and all three struggled in their new conference while Cincinnati was the most likely for that to happen. They had only eight starters coming back along with a new head coach and the uptick in strength of schedule led to their fewest wins overall since 1999. Now in the second year in the system of head coach Scott Satterfield while bringing back close to double the number of returning starters, we should see some positive progression. Cincinnati was very good offensively, averaging 426.1 ypg which was No. 34 but it could not get into the endzone as it was just No. 84 in scoring. Indiana transfer quarterback Brendan Sorsby comes into a good situation with the top rusher and receiver back along with all five starters on the offensive line returning. Averaging 24.1 ppg will not get it done as turnovers killed some good ball movement last season so mistakes have to come down. The defense allowed its most yards and most points since 2017 which happened to be its last losing season and Cincinnati hit the transfer portal hard along all three levels to improve their unit as a whole. The Bearcats have a good conference slate by avoiding Utah, Arizona, Oklahoma St. and Kansas but the tougher games are on the road.

Colorado Buffaloes 4-8 ~ 1-8 Pac 12 ~ 7-4-1 ATS ~ 6-6-0 O/U
Returning Starters ~ Offense 8/Defense 8

The Buffaloes were the story of college football heading into last season whether looking for the good or the bad and we were treated to both. Colorado opened the season 3-0 and jumped into the AP Poll at No. 18 but then things went south quickly. The Buffaloes were blown out by Oregon by 37 points which started a 1-8 run to end the season, the lone victory against 3-9 Arizona St. There were certain factors compounding the skid including injuries and a defense that could not stop anyone. Head coach Deion Sanders make his mark, which was his goal, and his coaching style from the go was not for everyone as after an unprecedented 53 transfers coming in last season, 40 players took off at the end of the year. The Buffaloes have one of the best playmakers in quarterback Shedeur Sanders who led the No. 15 ranked passing offense and also have the dynamic two-way player Travis Hunter, part of eight starters but the Buffaloes were dead last in rushing and they need to find some balance. Eight starters are back on the other side to improve the defense that finished No. 129 overall and No. 124 in scoring. The good news from the Colorado schedule is that it gets Baylor and Cincinnati. The bad news is that the other seven conference games are against teams with win totals of 7.5 or higher.

Arizona State Sun Devils 3-9 ~ 2-7 Pac 12 ~ 5-6-1 ATS ~ 5-7-0 O/U
Returning Starters ~ Offense 6/Defense 4

Last season was chalked up as a likely rebuilding season for Arizona St. under first year head coach Kenny Dillingham and that is what it turned into. It was the second straight 3-9 season for the Sun Devils following four straight winning campaigns, not counting the COVID season, and this was the first time they finished with fewer than four wins in consecutive seasons since 1946 so to say this can be considered rock bottom would not be false. Arizona St. was the only Pac 12 team that lost to Colorado but five of their losses were to teams ranked No. 18 or higher and they did have a stretch of three straight losses by one possession so they were not the worst team around. Still, it will be tough to vastly improve this season with just 10 starters back and facing the No. 3 toughest schedule in the country. There will be a quarterback battle between incumbent Trenton Bourguet and Michigan St. transfer Sam Leavitt and they have to replace their top two receivers so they will rely on leading rusher Cameron Skattebo early on. The defense was not much better but was skewed by three of the last four games where they allowed 55, 49 and 59 points when they were already toast. The nonconference slate is doable but 0-3 in still out there while the Sun Devils face five of the top six teams in the Big 12.

BYU Cougars 5-7 ~ 2-7 Big 12 ~ 5-7-0 ATS ~ 7-5-0 O/U
Returning Starters ~ Offense 8/Defense 6

Life as an Independent treated BYU well as it could formulate its own schedule and in 12 seasons, it came away with a winning campaign in 11 of those and that was after five straight winning seasons in the MWC. So last season was one of two losing slates since 2005 as the Big 12 showed its teeth and the conference will be just as good if not better this season. The Cougars did have major injury issues midway through the season which attributed to their 0-5 finish so they are starting fresh with a good amount of experience coming back. Quarterback Kedon Slovis brought talent and experience but he struggled through eight games and missed the final four games due to arm injuries. The Cougars brought in Gerry Bohanon, who made 19 starts at Baylor and USF and they have six of their top seven receivers back as well as their leading rusher and it ultimately comes down to the offensive line to make a bigger push. The defense was good the first two games but they did hardly anything good after that, finishing No. 108 overall and No. 99 in points allowed. Injuries crushed the secondary and they are now healthy and the front seven has three real playmakers. The schedule does them no favors as they face five of the top six teams in the Big 12 but BYU does get four of those at home.

Houston Cougars 4-8 ~ 2-7 Big 12 ~ 5-6-1 ATS ~ 5-7-0 O/U
Returning Starters ~ Offense 5/Defense 5

It has been a revolving door on the Houston sideline, whether it be a voluntary departure or a forced one, as the Cougars are now on their eighth head coach since 2000 as they parted ways with Dana Holgorsen following a 4-8 season and brought in Willie Fritz who led Tulane to a 23-4 record including a split in the two ACC Championship Games. He definitely has his work cut out for him as the Cougars were all over the place, losing games they could have won, getting blown out in others and winning three games by a combined six points. The offense showed flashes but it was too inconsistent and there were too many mistakes. Quarterback Donovan Smith threw for 2,801 yards and 22 touchdowns while he ran for 428 yards and six scores but he threw 13 interceptions and a new system should do him good. He has two solid veteran receivers returning along with leading rusher Parker Jenkins but the offensive line needs work. Defensively, Houston ranked No. 101 or worse in scoring defense, rushing defense, passing defense and overall defense, its worst total output in five years. Only five starters are back on this side as well with the transfer portal needing a big impact. Houston is another team facing five of the top six teams in the Big 12, avoiding only Oklahoma St.
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August 18, 2024, 11:38:29 AM
San Diego Padres vs Colorado Rockies Prediction 8-18-24
https://topsportscappers.com

Matt Fargo Sports Free Pick Colorado Rockies +170

  MLB   08/18   3:10 PM   San Diego Padres vs Colorado Rockies
  PICK: Colorado Rockies 170
s is a play on the COLORADO ROCKIES for our Sunday Free Play. Colorado has split the first two games of this series after it was swept in Arizona which was its fifth straight road loss to fall to 17-46 on the highway, second worst only to the White Sox. The Rockies have been decent at Coors Field at 28-33 and have shown a solid profit based on numbers like this one. They are No. 7 in baseball in home OPS at .768 while their .270 batting average is No. 3 behind Arizona and Kansas City. They were able to get three runs off Dylan Cease last night but could not keep up and they have a great matchup today. San Diego bounced back from a rare loss with the 8-3 win on Saturday and it now trails the Dodgers by two games in the National League West. The Padres are the hottest team in baseball as they have won 20 of their last 24 games and going back further, they are 33-14 since June 19 which is the best record in baseball over that stretch. They are No. 5 in wOBA at .340 and No. 3 in SLG at .455 so the offense has been above average and that can really take off even more at Coors Field but it is the other side they should be concerned about. Joe Musgrove is coming off his first start since late May and he was decent as he did not allow a run on one hit in 4.1 innings against the Pirates. He was obviously limited with his pitch count which we can expect again here but we expect him to not be as effective and get hit pretty hard. It was encouraging but he still has a 5.66 ERA through 10 starts this season and even in the spring, things looked off and he brings in a career 4.50 ERA at Coors Field. Bradley Blalock will be making his second start for the Rockies. He was acquired by Colorado in late July as part of the package for right-hander Nick Mears and his first start was solid as he allowed three runs on six hits with four strikeouts and no walks and was one out away from a quality outing. That was at Arizona so it was a tough test and he passed which will give him confidence making his first ever start here. Play (958) Colorado Rockies

MLB 6-1 +$7,080 L7 and Triple Play Sunday. Over the last 12 NFL seasons, Matt has profited in 10 of those with $72,010 in profits and there is no reason to slow down with the regular season nearly here! CFL 8-3 L11!

All Packages purchased that are 30 Days or Less are GUARANTEED to show you a profit!


YESTERDAY'S LEADERS
Top Handicappers   Profit
Mikhail Kivowitz   $151.00 


MLB - Capper   W/L   %   PROFIT
Marc Lawrence   4/1   80%   $1161.00
Matt Fargo Sports   6/1   86%   $7130.00
TKwins (Tommy King)   7/3   70%   $3360.00
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August 18, 2024, 06:13:17 AM
2024 Big 10 Conference Preview
https://topsportscappers.com/index.php
By Matt Fargo

Regular Season Win Totals and Big 10 Championship Odds (via DraftKings)

Ohio State: 10.5 Over -150 Under +125/+155 Big 10 Winner
Oregon: 10.5 Over +100 Under -120/+200 Big 10 Winner
Penn State: 10.5 Over +140 Under -165/+500 Big 10 Winner
Michigan: 9 Over +115 Under -135/+700 Big 10 Winner
Iowa: 8 Over -135 Under +115/+3,500 Big 10 Winner
Nebraska: 7.5 Over -125 Under +105/+5,500 Big 10 Winner
USC: 7.5 Over +105 Under -125/+2,000 Big 10 Winner
Washington: 6.5 Over -105 Under -115/+8,000 Big 10 Winner
Maryland: 6.5 Over +100 Under -130/+10,000 Big 10 Winner
Rutgers: 6 Over -140 Under +120/+12,000 Big 10 Winner
Wisconsin: 7 Over +120 Under -140/+6,500 Big 10 Winner
Illinois: 5.5 Over +105 Under -125/+20,000 Big 10 Winner
Indiana: 5.5 Over -135 Under +115/+20,000 Big 10 Winner
Northwestern: 4.5 Over -120 Under +100/+20,000 Big 10 Winner
UCLA: 5 Over +115 Under -135/+15,000 Big 10 Winner
Michigan State: 5 Over -105 Under -115/+20,000 Big 10 Winner
Minnesota: 5.5 Over +100 Under -120/+18,000 Big 10 Winner
Purdue: 4.5 Over +135 Under -160/+30,000 Big 10 Winner

Coaching Changes

Indiana: Tom Allen Out ~ Curt Cignetti In
Michigan: Jim Harbaugh Out ~ Sherrone Moore In
Michigan State: Mel Tucker Out ~ Jonathan Smith In
UCLA: Chip Kelly Out ~ DeShaun Foster In
Washington: Kalen DeBoer Out ~ Jedd Fisch In

Ohio State Buckeyes 11-2 ~ 8-1 Big 10 ~ 7-5-0 ATS ~ 3-9-0 O/U
Returning Starters ~ Offense 7/Defense 9

The last three seasons for Ohio St. have been nearly identical and the Buckeyes are looking for that to change. Three straight 11-2 finishes is fantastic but there has been one roadblock and that is hated rival Michigan. Ohio St. has gone into the season finale ranked No. 2 in the country and all three times it came away with a loss. That should reverse this year with the Buckeyes loaded roaster and the Wolverines going through some retooling. Head coach Ryan Day is an outstanding 56-8 in six seasons but the Michigan bleeding has to stop. They lost quarterback Kyle McCord to the transfer portal but got Will Howard through the portal from Kansas St. and now they have Chip Kelly calling the plays. Ohio St. lost a lot at receiver but there is plenty of depth and new blood while possessing arguably the best running back tandem in the country. The defense is even more loaded with 10 upperclassmen starting and they should be even better than their No. 4 overall ranking last season and No. 2 in points scored. The Buckeyes schedule helps out as it is in the bottom third of the Big 10 in terms of strength, partly due a nonconference slate that rivals Michigan from last year as they face Akron, Western Michigan and Marshall. The two big challenges will be games at Oregon and at Penn St.

Oregon Ducks 12-2 ~ 8-1 Pac 12 ~ 10-2-0 ATS ~ 5-7-0 O/U
Returning Starters ~ Offense 8/Defense 9

Oregon was ever so close to a trip to the CFP last season but Washington was too tough to take down twice. In two years under head coach Dan Lanning, the Ducks are 22-5, Washington accounting for three of the losses, Georgia being the fourth and a four-point loss at rival Oregon St. in the Civil War. Now, they head to a bigger and tougher conference but the good news is that they just as good and the expanded CFP will only help them out. The offense was potent under quarterback Bo Nix, ranking No. 1 passing and No. 2 in both total offense and scoring. Nix is now in the NFL but Oregon reloaded and brought in former Oklahoma and UCF quarterback Dillon Gabriel who is now in his sixth season. The Ducks also lost their top running back and receiver but are not without returning star power while four of five offensive linemen are back. The defense has a ton of experience thanks to the transfer portal mostly helping the secondary that lost three of four starters. They finished No. 22 overall and should improve based on the schedule. The Ducks have a couple challenges in the nonconference with a visit from Boise St. and a trip to Corvallis while the Big 10 schedule is not bad at all as they miss Penn St., Iowa and USC and while they do play Ohio St. the game is in Eugene.

Penn State Nittany Lions 10-3 ~ 7-2 Big 10 ~ 9-3-0 ATS ~ 6-6-0 O/U
Returning Starters ~ Offense 6/Defense 7

Penn St. has been good, just not good enough. Over the last eight seasons, five have resulted in double-digit wins but there has not been a trip to the CFP and only one time did they make it to the Big 10 Championship game. Penn St. has started 5-0, 5-0 and 6-0 the last three campaigns but failed to keep it going with three conference losses to teams ranked in the top five and then were not able to fully recover. This season could be different as they are the fourth most experienced team in the conference, face a doable schedule and of course, the CFP is expanded. The offense scored 30 or more points nine times but scored only 27 points combined against Ohio St. and Michigan and they finished No. 12 overall in scoring. Quarterback Drew Allar had a 25:2 TD:INT ratio but completed only 60 percent of his passes, loses two of his top three receivers as well as three offensive linemen so it could take time. Defensively is where they will dominate again after finishing No. 2 overall and No. 3 in points allowed and the Nittany Lions are strong on all three levels to lead the team early on. Penn St. will likely get off to another undefeated 5-0 start but then there is a trip to USC. The two real tough tests after that are against Ohio St. and Washington, but those are both at home.

Michigan Wolverines 15-0 ~ 9-0 Big 10 ~ 6-5-1 ATS ~ 6-5-1 O/U
Returning Starters ~ Offense 2/Defense 5

Michigan is coming off its first National Championship since 1997 in its third straight season making the CFP. The Wolverines were 84-21 under head coach Jim Harbaugh taking out the 2-4 COVID season and now that he is off to the NFL again, it will be up to former offensive coordinator Sherrone Moore to keep the magic going. Moore did go 4-0 in the four games he coached when Harbaugh was suspended so he is not totally coming in raw. Michigan was gashed by the NFL Draft as it lost 16 starters and comes in as the second least experience team in the conference so while there certainly is talent, it could be a struggle early. The only starters back on offense are the tight end and one offensive lineman so there is work to be done for whichever quarterback wins the starting job. Nearly 3,000 yards of offense was lost from the running back and receiver positions. Defensively, Michigan will be much better off so even though the No. 1 ranked unit from last season will take a step down, it should be a huge descent. Only five starters are back but they are strong up front and in the middle but the secondary needs work. The schedule is a mix of brutal and easy as Michigan has Texas, USC, Oregon and Ohio St. but the Buckeyes are the only game on the road of the four.

Iowa Hawkeyes 10-4 ~ 7-2 Big 10 ~ 6-5-1 ATS ~ 2-10-0 O/U
Returning Starters ~ Offense 10/Defense 8

Similar to Penn St., Iowa has been good, just not good enough. The Hawkeyes are coming off another double-digit win season, their third over the last four years excluding the 2020 COVID season and last season, made their second Big Ten Championship game only to get ambushed by Michigan both times by a combined 68-3. Heah coach Kirk Ferenz will be entering his 26th season and after a couple rough first years following Hayden Fry, he has had only two losing campaigns over the last 23. That is consistency but consistency is not good enough unless championships are involved and Iowa could be at its closest yet. The offense has regressed the last three seasons, bottoming out last season with 234.6 ypg and 15.4 ppg, No. 133 and No. 132 respectively. New offensive coordinator Tim Lester was brought in to turn this around and part of the problem last year was that quarterback Cade McNamara was hurt in August and was never the same while missing 9 games. They have to be better. The defense had to make up for it which it did, ranking No. 7 overall and No. 4 in scoring. Eight starters are back so it should be more of the same. Iowa St. comes to visit and then there is a trip to Ohio St. followed by a home game against Washington and it is all downhill after that.

Nebraska Cornhuskers 5-7 ~ 3-6 Big 10 ~ 4-7-1 ATS ~ 5-7-0 O/U
Returning Starters ~ Offense 9/Defense 8

Nebraska is a sexy pick to make a lot of noise in the conference and it is possible with what it has on the roster but it will come down to what the so-called quarterback whisperer can do. This once Blue Blood program endured its seventh consecutive losing season in 2023, the first one for head coach Matt Rhule and you can tell the culture is changing. Even last year could have been better with even average play as the offense was stuck in neutral most of the time yet the Huskers lost five games by one possession including their last four games where a win in one of those and they were bowl bound. Freshman quarterback Dylan Raiola looks to be the savior as he comes to Lincoln as a five-star recruit and looks to start right away which is smart given the soft frontend schedule. Four of five starters are back along the offensive line and transfer help at receiver will ease him in. The defense kept the Huskers in those close games as in those five losses, the offense scored no more than 17 points and scored 10 three times. Eight starters are back from the unit that finished No. 11 in total defense and they will be stout again. Nebraska could and should start the season 7-0 but then come big boys with four of the last five at Ohio St., at USC, at Iowa and hosting UCLA.

USC Trojans 8-5 ~ 5-4 Pac 12 ~ 3-9-0 ATS ~ 9-3-0 O/U
Returning Starters ~ Offense 5/Defense 9

The Trojans were ranked No. 6 in the Preseason AP Poll, made it to No. 5 and after a 6-0 start, they suffered a 28-point loss at home to Notre Dame and the bottom fell out. That started a 1-5 run to end the regular season and it ended up being the fourth time in five seasons, not counting 2020, that they finished outside the AP Top 25. The expectations are not as high as they move to a new conference and less expectations can be a very good thing. Behind quarterback Caleb Williams, the offense was one of the best around as USC was ranked No. 10 thanks to a passing attack that was No. 5. Backup Miller Moss played in the Holiday Bowl against Louisville and he was great and should be the starter but UNLV transfer Jayden Maiva will give him a push. Each of the top two rushers and receivers are gone as well but there is good returning experienced talent to take over behind a strong offensive line. The Trojans season was lost because of the defense that allowed an average of 42.4 ppg over their last eight games, winning three of those by just 10 points combined. There is talent and experience but it will take a lot for a huge improvement. USC avoids Ohio St. and Oregon but has LSU and Notre Dame and in the Big 10, it goes to Michigan, Washington and UCLA while hosting Penn St.

Washington Huskies 14-1 ~ 9-0 Pac 12 ~ 5-6-1 ATS ~ 6-6-0 O/U
Returning Starters ~ Offense 2/Defense 4

It was a great story in Spokane which was expected as the Huskies came in as a Top 10 team and rolled in their first four games. Then good fortunes came in as the next 10 wins were all by 10 points or less, seven by a touchdown before getting beat by 21 points against Michigan in the CFP Championship. To their credit, good teams win the majority of those close games but great teams win them all so Washington was certainly the latter. Now it looks to be a complete rebuild with head coach Kalen DeBoer gone to Alabama and with 13 players off to the NFL and along with the transfer portal, 16 starters have to be replaced. New head coach Jedd Fisch mastered a quick three-year turnaround at Arizona and he will look to at least keep the Huskies somewhat in contention. Washington is the least experienced team in the Big 10 so there will be a lot of growing up to do. The offense was great but will have a different look with Mississippi St. transfer quarterback Will Rogers coming in and having to replace the top eight receivers and leading rusher. Defensively, the Huskies barely got by and new defensive coordinator Stephen Belichick was brought in to turn it around. A 5-0 start is likely against inferior competition to get the kinks out but then we will see what the Huskies possess.

Maryland Terrapins 8-5 ~ 4-5 Big 10 ~ 6-6-0 ATS ~ 7-5-0 O/U
Returning Starters ~ Offense 4/Defense 8

Maryland has put together three straight winning seasons culminating with three bowl wins and after a rough first season in 2019, head coach Mike Locksley has job security at a non-traditional Big 10 program. The expansion of the conference further nationwide definitely helps a team like the Terrapins with greater exposure even though if it means tougher competition. That will not necessarily be the case this season but the Big 10 will never be a cakewalk so getting to eight wins again will be a challenge. What makes it even more of a challenge is that Maryland has to replace the All Time Big 10 passing leader Taulia Tagovailoa who led it to that success. There is no clear cut favorite heading into fall camp with four candidates but will likely come down to Billy Edwards, who was the Music City Bowl MVP, and NC State transfer MJ Morris. The receiving corps is loaded with six of the top eight pass catchers back as well as the top two running backs. Maryland has improved on defense yardage wise each of the last five years and the Terrapins bring back a strong front seven but do need some help in the secondary. They open the season with five games against non-bowl teams then host Northwestern. USC, Oregon, Iowa and Penn St. make up four of the final six games.

Rutgers Scarlet Knights 7-6 ~ 3-6 Big 10 ~ 6-5-1 ATS ~ 6-6-0 O/U
Returning Starters ~ Offense 8/Defense 8

After a 6-2 start last season, it was the quickest Rutgers had became bowl eligible since 2012 when it started 7-0 and last season was the first one with a winning record since 2014. It did not end well with four straight losses to end the regular season but those were all against teams that finished with eight or more wins and they closed with a Pinstripe Bowl win over Miami to bring some confidence into this season. The Scarlet Knights bring back a very experienced team, the second most experienced team in the Big 10 in fact, so they could present some problems and it helps having the second easiest schedule in the conference. The passing game was non-existent last season as Rutgers finished No. 127 in passing offense and they completed only 48 percent of their passes. They brought in Minnesota transfer Athan Kaliakmanis and while he did not have a great 2023 season, he will be a big upgrade. The receiving corps is also upgraded and the leading rusher is back. The defense kept them in games, finishing No. 16 overall and eight starters are back with experience across all three levels. A game at Virginia Tech is the only nonconference test and in the Big 10, they miss Ohio St., Michigan and Penn St., which they are on a 0-27 run against, as well as Oregon.

Wisconsin Badgers 7-6 ~ 5-4 Big 10 ~ 4-6-2 ATS ~ 4-8-0 O/U
Returning Starters ~ Offense 7/Defense 8

It was not a great season for Wisconsin but not for anything else, it showed character in its first year under head coach Luke Fickell. The Badgers opened the season 5-2 but lost three straight games including a pair of losses against Indiana and Northwestern as big favorites yet they showed their fight and won in overtime against Nebraska to become bowl eligible. A win in the final week against Minnesota solidified its 22nd consecutive season with a winning record which is currently the most among all Power Four teams but beyond that, there has been nothing spectacular happening. This will be a tough season for major improvement based on the conference expansion and their schedule. The offense was average as it has been for the last four seasons and they should get a passing game going with Miami transfer Tyler Van Dyke coming in and he will have the top two receivers back. The running game will be fine with four of five offensive linemen returning. The defense was above average which is always the case but the 343.7 ypg allowed was the most given up since 2007 and they will improve. The schedule is the fourth toughest in the conference as Wisconsin has Alabama in the nonconference while travelling to USC, Iowa and Nebraska and hosting Penn St. and Oregon.

Illinois Fighting Illini 5-7 ~ 3-6 Big 10 ~ 3-9-0 ATS ~ 6-5-1 O/U
Returning Starters ~ Offense 6/Defense 7

Illinois head coach Bret Bielema came into a tough situation in 2021 despite 18 returning starters but the talent was not there and the Illini opened 2-5 and was unable to get that sixth win. Illinois went 8-5 in 2022, the first winning season since 2011, but took a step back last season with a 5-7 campaign that included a pair of excruciating two-point losses to end the season denying them a bowl game and it is back to the drawing board. It was not a completely lost season as the offense had its best season since 2019 and the Illini actually outgained their Big 10 opponents despite a 3-6 record but their defense let them down. Illinois was sensational in Bielema's first year but the unit dropped by 104 ypg and 16.6 ppg, despite having a First Team All American defensive end, and that is hard for an offense to make up for. The secondary was the big issue yet there is experience back there this season but now the entire defensive line has to be replaced. The offense did not have prolific numbers but actually had the third best passing attack in the conference and quarterback Luke Altmyer takes over full time and they could be potent. The Illini only have four Big 10 home games but Michigan is the only true test but of the five road games, two of those are at Oregon and Penn St.

Indiana Hoosiers 3-9 ~ 1-8 Big 10 ~ 7-5-0 ATS ~ 8-4-0 O/U
Returning Starters ~ Offense 10/Defense 11

The Tom Allen era ended after seven years that included only two winning seasons and it concluded with a 9-27 record the last three years. The Hoosiers went with an upcoming name, hiring Curt Cignetti from James Madison where he compiled a 52-10 record in five seasons including a 19-5 record at the FBS level. The 3-9 record last season, which included a win against Indiana St. of the FCS and a win over 2-10 Akron that took four overtimes, was not surprising as the Hoosiers brought back only eight starters but now have 21 of 22 starters back which does include many transfer starts with a lot of those from James Madison. The offense was abysmal but that should change with the addition of Ohio transfer quarterback Kurtis Rourke who was the MAC Offensive Player of the Year in 2022. Every running back is gone but Cignetti brought over leading rusher Kaelon Block with him and the receiving corps with JMU transfers. It is the same on the other side with defensive end Mikail Kamara, defensive tackle James Carpenter and linebackers Aiden Fisher and Jailin Walker all coming over from James Madison. The mini Dukes have the easiest schedule in the Big 10 with games against UCLA, Michigan and Ohio St. being the only big tests while the three nonconference games should be wins.

Northwestern Wildcats 8-5 ~ 5-4 Big 10 ~ 8-4-0 ATS ~ 6-6-0 O/U
Returning Starters ~ Offense 7/Defense 8

Head coach Pat Fitzgerald was fired in July because of hazing allegations and that was probably not a bad thing anyway considering Northwestern was coming off a 4-20 record the previous two seasons. David Braum was hired from North Dakota St. where he was defensive coordinator so it was supposed to be a lost season yet the team fought through adversity with just 11 starters back and won its final three games to become bowl eligible and took out Utah in the Las Vegas Bowl. Repeating that success will be difficult as the Wildcats were pretty fortunate in that they won six of their games by one possession. The offense dropped 31 ypg from 2022 yet averaged 8.2 more ppg and the reason is that they had only nine turnovers which included an unthinkable one fumble. The Wildcats lose their quarterback and leading receiver but four starters return on the offensive line as well as their leading back. Defensively, Northwestern went through a stretch of allowing 20 points or less in five of six games and while they have eight starters back, there should be regression. The schedule is not great but doable. However, Ryan Field is going through renovations so five home games will be at a temporary on campus location with two others at Wrigley Field and Soldier Field so this is a big disadvantage.

UCLA Bruins 8-5 ~ 4-5 Pac 12 ~ 5-7-0 ATS ~ 2-10-0 O/U
Returning Starters ~ Offense 7/Defense 5

After a rough start at UCLA, Chip Kelly put together a 25-13 record over the last three seasons but he decided to leave and take the offensive coordinator job at Ohio St. which is arguably a step up and DeShaun Foster takes over where he was the running backs coach. UCLA is considered an elite high profile program but that is questionable considering is has not had a double-digit winning season since 2014 and has had consecutive double-digit winning seasons only three times in the history of the program. The defense was the catalyst as the Bruins were No. 10 in the country overall and No. 12 in points allowed but they are going to see a drastic drop in those rankings. They have only five starters back and two losses up front are probably two of the biggest in the country with edges Laiatu Latu and Gabriel Murphy combining for 21 sacks and 37.5 tackles for loss. The offense took a huge step back from 2022, averaging 12.7 ppg and 77 ypg less and that should improve with the hiring of Eric Bienemy as offensive coordinator so while there was a reversal of both units last season, it will be reversed in 2023. UCLA left the west coast only once last season when it went to Utah, but this season it leaves the time zone five times and plays the second hardest schedule in the country.

Michigan State Spartans 4-8 ~ 2-7 Big 10 ~ 5-6-1 ATS ~ 5-7-0 O/U
Returning Starters ~ Offense 7/Defense 8

The once proud Spartans program has taken a step back the last two seasons with a 9-15 record with the coaching situation turning into a mess. Mel Tucker came in during the COVID season but led Michigan St. to an 11-2 record in 2021 but then lost its last two games in 2022 to finish 5-7 and then Tucker was fired last season after a 2-0 start because of sexual allegations and the season ended up being a dumpster fire. In comes Jonathan Smith who turned around a fledging Oregon St. program with three straight winning seasons in his five years there. He has the resources and the history to turn this place around but it will not be overnight. His first job will be to try and turn around an offense that went from 31.8 ppg in 2021 to 24.4 ppg in 2022 to 15.9 ppg last season. The good news is that quarterback Aidan Chiles followed Smith to East Lansing and while he lacks experience, he is a playmaker with huge potential and already knows the incoming system. The Spartans have been a mess on defense for the last five seasons and while there will probably not be a huge improvement, a ton of starting transfer experience will make it interesting. Five straight weeks midseason against Ohio St., Oregon, Bye, Iowa and Michigan does them no favors which could cook them.

Minnesota Golden Gophers 6-7 ~ 3-6 Big 10 ~ 3-9-0 ATS ~ 5-7-0 O/U
Returning Starters ~ Offense 8/Defense 8

P.J. Fleck has kept Minnesota a winning program and while last season finished 6-7, it closed with a bowl win so it was still positive. While never challenging for the Big 10 title, Minnesota has been good enough to make it to a bowl game 19 times over the last 25 seasons and while the betting win total says it will not be a good year, this team could exceed those expectations. Taking out the 2020 COVID year, this is the best five-season run for the Gophers since 2002-2006 and with the sixth most experienced team in the conference and a fairly light schedule, the run should continue. The offense dipped off considerably as it dropped by more than a touchdown per game and close to 90 yards per game but the Gophers might have brought in a weapon at quarterback with Max Brosmer who is a transfer from New Hampshire where he was a finalist for the FCS Heisman. Having the leading receiver and leading running back and four of five offensive linemen return should get the offense back on track. The defense regressed as well as it allowed nearly 13 more ppg than the previous season but eight true starters are back so the experience is there. The Gophers avoid Ohio St. and Oregon but face the next top four teams although three of those are at home.

Purdue Boilermakers 4-8 ~ 3-6 Big 10 ~ 4-8-0 ATS ~ 6-5-1 O/U
Returning Starters ~ Offense 8/Defense 6

After five straight losing seasons, Jeff Brohm was hired in 2017 and turned Purdue around, taking the Boilermakers to a bowl game in four of his six seasons, although one of the non-bowl years was 2020 and he left for Louisville with Ryan Walters taking over last season. He was left with a bare cupboard with only five returning starters on each side of the ball and it showed with a 4-8 record, five of those losses coming by double digits. The Boilermakers are in better shape this season as they come in as the fifth most experienced team in the conference but the schedule will dictate how much, if any, progress they can make. The offense has a lot of potential with Graham Harrell as offensive coordinator and while it was not great last season, it was far from horrible with what was there. Quarterback Hudson Card has the chance to be really good and while the top four receivers are gone, this system can find replacements. Purdue took a step back defensively but not a big one and they are loaded with experience on the back end. Replacing three starters up front is a necessity but two transfers from the SEC can make a difference. The schedule is brutal as it is ranked top ten in the country in strength but at least they get Notre Dame, Oregon and Penn St. at home, not that it will matter.
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August 17, 2024, 03:53:49 PM
#99
Boston Red Sox vs Baltimore Orioles Free Pick 8-17-24
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Matt Fargo Sports Free Pick Boston Red Sox +110

  MLB   08/17   7:05 PM   Boston Red Sox vs Baltimore Orioles
  PICK: Boston Red Sox 110
This is a play on the BOSTON RED SOX for our Saturday Free Play. Boston bounced back from a 5-1 loss on Thursday with a 12-10 win last night as it jumped all over Corbin Burnes who allowed a career-high eight runs. The Red Sox are now 2.5 games behind Kansas City for the final Wild Card spot in the American League and Boston has been great away from home as it is 35-25 and they come in as the underdog but have a big edge on the mound. Baltimore stopped a two-game slide with a 4-1 win over Washington on Wednesday and backed it up with that win on Thursday but the loss last night put them one game behind the Yankees in the American League East. While the Orioles did put up 10 runs on Friday, the offense has not been performing the same as their power numbers are way down with a .167 ISO Power since the start of the month and facing a ground ball pitcher is not ideal as Baltimore has a .715 OPS against ground ball pitchers. Brayan Bello has been consistent by allowing three runs or less in six straight starts, pointing a 3.93 ERA over that stretch. He is one of the best ground ball pitchers in baseball as his 50.8% ground ball rate is No. 11 of 99 qualified starters and while he has not shut Baltimore down, he has limited them to four runs over 10.1 innings in two starts. The favorable edge here is going against Cade Povich who was brought back up after a rough time up here prior to being demoted. Between June 6 and July 29, he made eight starts for Baltimore, posting a 6.27 ERA with 25 strikeouts and 23 walks over 37.1 innings. He looked good down in Norfolk in his two starts and has pitched well there all season but the bigs are a different game. Boston is just 14-21 against left-handed starters but a lot of that has been bad luck as it is No. 11 overall and No. 5 in the American League with a .748 OPS against lefties. Play (911) Boston Red Sox
 
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YESTERDAY'S LEADERS
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Matt Fargo Sports   $3180.00 
TKwins (Tommy King)   $850.00

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Matt Fargo Sports   4/0   100%   $5760.00
TKwins (Tommy King)   8/2   80%   $5910.00

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Anlyedge   5/1   83%   $3900.00
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August 16, 2024, 04:42:57 PM
#98
Cleveland Guardians vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction 8-16-24
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Matt Fargo Sports Free Pick Milwaukee Brewers -103

  MLB   08/16   8:10 PM   Cleveland Guardians vs Milwaukee Brewers
  PICK: Milwaukee Brewers -103
s is a play on the MILWAUKEE BREWERS for our Friday Free Play. Milwaukee dropped the first two games against the Dodgers but were able to recover and grab the final two games to secure a big split to maintain its nine-game lead over the Reds and Cardinals in the National League Central. The Brewers host another tough opponent at home where they are now 35-24 and in a good spot with a really good number as they continue to be undervalued. Cleveland has won five straight games to increase its lead in the American League Central to four games over Minnesota and six games over Kansas City as things were getting dicey following a seven-game losing streak. The Guardians once again have the best record in baseball thanks to the best home record and they continue to dominate left-handed pitching as they are 26-9 against southpaw starters. Cleveland is just six games over .500 against right-handed starters. Gavin Williams is coming off a solid start against the Twins on the road to lower his road ERA to 0.84 and that was clearly his best of his four road outings only because of who he has faced as we went against the Tigers twice and the Rays, two of the worst hitting teams at home. The Brewers have been middle of the pack against left-handed pitching this season but they are second in the National League .256 average against right-handed pitching while their .745 OPS is No. 4. Overall, they are 54-33 against right-handed starters and that .621 percentage is second best in baseball only behind the Yankees. Aaron Civale has made six starts since coming over from Tampa Bay and he has some early big splits. In three road games, he has an 8.77 ERA while in his three home outings, he has a 2.50 ERA and while not as extreme, he was better at home in Tampa Bay as well as his overall 6.62 ERA on the road has ballooned his overall numbers. Play (976) Milwaukee Brewers

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All Packages purchased that are 30 Days or Less are GUARANTEED to show you a profit!


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OVERALL - Capper   W/L   PROFIT
Alan Cashman   10-4   $1071.00
Marc Lawrence   4-1   $873.00
TKwins (Tommy King)   6-2   $3960.00

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James Patrick Sports   $300.00 
Marc Lawrence   $300.00 
Sharpest Edge Sports   $155.00 
Mikhail Kivowitz   $100.00

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Marc Lawrence   4/1   80%   $1161.00
TKwins (Tommy King)   5/1   83%   $4060.00

CFL - Capper   W/L   %   PROFIT
Anlyedge   5/1   83%   $3900.00
Matt Fargo Sports   4/1   80%   $2850.00
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August 15, 2024, 10:00:32 AM
#97
Boston Red Sox vs Baltimore Orioles Free MLB Pick 8-15-24
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Matt Fargo Sports Boston Red Sox +131

  MLB   08/15   6:35 PM   Boston Red Sox vs Baltimore Orioles
  PICK: Boston Red Sox 131
s is a play on the BOSTON RED SOX for our Thursday Free Play. After getting swept in Houston against the red hot Astros, Boston had a chance for its own sweep but blew a 7-4 lead in the ninth inning, allowing a two-out, three-run home run and then gave up a two-run home run in the tenth inning to lose 9-7. A sweep would have been huge heading into this massive series as the Red Sox are now two games behind Kansas City for the final Wild Card spot in the American League. While going to Baltimore is not an easy endeavor, Boston has been great away from home as it is 34-24. Baltimore stopped a two-game slide with a 4-1 win over Washington on Wednesday to keep pace with the Yankees in the American League East as it remains a half-game back. The offense is one of the best in baseball but it has struggled of late, scoring just eight runs over its last three games and has a tough matchup tonight. Nick Pivetta has been fairly consistent but has a 4.44 ERA due to a few poor results, the latest being where he allowed seven runs on 10 hits in just 2.2 innings but that was against Colorado in Coors Field so we can give him a mulligan on that one. He is pitching to a 3.55 xERA which is best among Boston starters and No. 4 out of 18 pitchers on the staff that have a qualified BIP. He does not fit into any qualified rankings due to not enough innings pitched but of the 104 starters that has gone at least 90 innings, he is ranked No. 9 in K% at 29.9% while his 24% k-BB% in No. 8. Zach Eflin has been a great acquisition for the Orioles as he has a 2.33 ERA in his three starts since coming over from Tampa Bay. He has elite control as he leads baseball with a 2.7% BB% but his 19.3% K% is well below average so the Red Sox are not at a disadvantage being a high strikeout team. Boston is No. 2 in baseball in OPS on the road at .778. Play (909) Boston Red Sox

+$1,430 Run. MLB Afternoon Dominator today. Over the last 12 NFL seasons, Matt has profited in 10 of those with $75,110 in profits and there is no reason to slow down! NFLX Action resumes Thursday. CFL 8-1 L9 Plays.

All Packages purchased that are 30 Days or Less are GUARANTEED to show you a profit!

YESTERDAY'S LEADERS
Top Handicappers   Profit
Anlyedge   $660.00  


CAPPERS HOT STREAKS
OVERALL - Capper   W/L   PROFIT
TKwins (Tommy King)   4-1   $3060.00


CFL - Capper   W/L   %   PROFIT
Anlyedge   5/0   100%   $5000.00
Matt Fargo Sports   4/0   100%   $4000.00

MLB - Capper   W/L   %   PROFIT
Anlyedge   5/2   71%   $2800.00
TKwins (Tommy King)   4/1   80%   $3060.00
newbie
Activity: 131
Merit: 0
August 14, 2024, 11:41:10 AM
#96
Washington Nationals vs Baltimore Orioles Free MLB Pick 8-14-24
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Matt Fargo Sports Free Pick Baltimore Orioles -1.5

  MLB   08/14   6:35 PM   Washington Nationals vs Baltimore Orioles
  PICK: Baltimore Orioles -1.5
s is a play on the BALTIMORE ORIOLES RL for our Wednesday Free Play. Baltimore has dropped two straight games to fall a half-game behind New York in the American League East. The Orioles still have a six-game cushion in the Wild Card standings with a big upcoming four-game series against Boston but this is a game they could use to get the offense back on track after scoring only four runs over the last two games. Over a 5-2 prior to this, Baltimore averaged 6.0 rpg and it is in a smash spot tonight to win big as we will grab them on the runline where the value resides. Washington has won three of its last four games but it is too little, too late for the Nationals as they are still 10 games under .500. They are six games under .500 on the road with the win last night snapping a four-game road skid. Overall, they are the third worst team in the National League in wOBA at .303 and over their last six games after scoring five runs or more, they have followed that up by putting up no more than four runs, averaging just 3.0 rpg. DJ Herz has pitched fairly well but he does not go deep into games which brings their below average bullpen into play. In 11 starts, only three have been on the road and he has a 6.75 ERA in those games, all Washington losses. Baltimore remains one of the best offenses in baseball as it is No. 2 in OPS at .771, trailing only the Yankees, while also sitting No. 2 in wOBA at .331 and wRC+ at 117. They lead the American League by a wide margin and are No. 4 overall in OPS against left-handed pitching at .775. Dean Kreamer has made seven starts since coming back from injury and has been up and down. His last two starts have been bad but those were both on the road and he has allowed three runs or less in five of his seven home starts going back to the start of the season. Play (976) Baltimore Orioles -1.5 Runs

+$4,610 Run. MLB Triple Play 3-0 Wednesday. Over the last 12 NFL seasons, Matt has profited in 10 of those with $75,110 in profits and there is no reason to slow down! NFLX Action resumes Thursday. CFL 8-1 L9 Plays.

All Packages purchased that are 30 Days or Less are GUARANTEED
to show you a profit!

YESTERDAY'S LEADERS
Top Handicappers   Profit
TKwins (Tommy King)   $2000.00 
Matt Fargo Sports   $1010.00 
Anlyedge   $480.00 
Sharpest Edge Sports   $155.00 


CAPPERS HOT STREAKS
OVERALL - Capper   W/L   PROFIT
TKwins (Tommy King)   5-1   $4070.00


CFL - Capper   W/L   %   PROFIT
Anlyedge   5/0   100%   $5000.00
Matt Fargo Sports   4/0   100%   $4000.00

MLB - Capper   W/L   %   PROFIT
TKwins (Tommy King)   4/1   80%   $3070.00
newbie
Activity: 131
Merit: 0
August 13, 2024, 04:00:09 PM
#95
Atlanta Braves vs San Francisco Giants 8-13-24
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Matt Fargo Sports Free Pick San Francisco Giants -104

  MLB   08/13   9:45 PM   Atlanta Braves vs San Francisco Giants
  PICK: San Francisco Giants -104
s is a play on the SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS for our Tuesday Free Play. Atlanta won a pitcher's duel series opening 1-0 in 10 innings to take a one-game lead over the Mets for the final spot in the National League Wild Card. The Braves are now 8-4 in extra-inning games this season so they have been on the fortunate side in that regard and they are now 2-2 on this roadtrip following a series loss in Colorado as they remain right at .500 on the road at 30-30. They opened as a -115 favorite but that has come down and even flipped in some spots. The Giants fell 2.5 games behind Atlanta in the Wild Card standings and this is a big opportunity with two more elite starters on deck to close this series so they have a chance to overtake the Braves. San Francisco is now 35-25 at home despite two straight losses here and based on name, it does not have the advantage in the pitching matchup but we feel the opposite. Kyle Harrison has had a decent season with a 4.08 ERA through 20 starts and he has been much better at home with a 3.47 ERA in 10 outings. He has allowed four runs or more five times but four of those were on the highway, three against some very elite offenses. Atlanta may be considered elite but it remains banged up and the Braves are 21-13 against left-handed starters but they are ranked No. 14, including No. 8 in the National League in OPS at .747. Charlie Morton is coming off a horrible start as he allowed eight runs in just 2.2 innings against the Brewers and he has been all over the place this season. He has a 4.47 ERA and is pitching to a 4.60 xERA, both of which are his worst full season ERAs since 2015 and age seems to be creeping in. After allowing 28 home runs in 2022, he seemed to have solved that problem last season by giving up just 14 in almost the same inning count but he has already allowed 18 in 2024 in close to 50 fewer innings than last season. Play (912) San Francisco Giants

+$3,560 Run following a small Monday profit. MLB Triple Play SWEEP Tuesday. Over the last 12 NFL seasons, Matt has profited in 10 of those with $75,110 in profits and there is no reason to slow down! NFLX Action resumes Thursday. CFL 8-1 L9 Plays.

All Packages purchased that are 30 Days or Less are GUARANTEED
to show you a profit!

YESTERDAY'S LEADERS
Top Handicappers   Profit
TKwins (Tommy King)   $1070.00 
Anlyedge   $620.00 
Matt Fargo Sports   $350.00

CFL - Capper   W/L   %   PROFIT
Anlyedge   5/0   100%   $5000.00
Matt Fargo Sports   4/0   100%   $4000.00

MLB - Capper   W/L   %   PROFIT
Anlyedge   5/2   71%   $2620.00
newbie
Activity: 131
Merit: 0
August 12, 2024, 12:58:30 PM
#94
Chicago Cubs vs Cleveland Guardians 8-12-24
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Matt Fargo Sports Free Picks Cleveland Guardians +112

  MLB   08/12   6:40 PM   Chicago Cubs vs Cleveland Guardians
  PICK: Cleveland Guardians 112
s is a play on the CLEVELAND GUARDIANS for our Monday Free Play. Cleveland was facing some adversity over the weekend as it dropped its first two games against Minnesota and saw its lead shrink to a game and a half in the American League Central but the Guardians won both games over the weekend to get back to 3.5 games ahead of the Twins. They managed that on the road and they are back home where they are 35-20 and come in as the underdog based on the pitching matchup but Cleveland actually has an edge and what it has done. The Cubs have won four straight games to get back to a game under .500 following a pair of wins over Minnesota and a sweep of the White Sox. They are right in the Wild Card mix in the National League as they are just three games out of the final spot but do have four teams in from of them they will have to overtake. Sweeping the White Sox on the road was certainly nothing special and Chicago is still six games under .500 away from home. Shota Imanaga has been great this season with a 3.05 ERA and 3.35 xERA and while he has one of the best K-BB% in baseball at 22% which is No. 7 but the domination in that regard has been at home where it is 26.9% which is No. 3 overall but it is 15.7% on the road which is No. 32. He faces a Cleveland offense that is tied for No. 9 in OPS against left-handed pitching and the Guardians are 25-9 on the season against left-handed starters. Ben Lively has quietly put together a great season with a 3.59 ERA and 1.17 WHIP through 20 starts. His metrics are pretty much in line with his top line numbers and he has a 3.71 xERA so he is pitching to expectations and will be a key part going forward. He has dominated at home this season with a 3.14 ERA and 1.10 WHIP in nine starts with Cleveland going 7-2 in those games. Play (972) Cleveland Guardians

+$3,160 Run. MLB Double Play SWEEP Monday. Over the last 12 NFL seasons, Matt has profited in 10 of those with $75,110 in profits and there is no reason to slow down! NFLX Action resumes Thursday. CFL on an 8-1 Run.

All Packages purchased that are 30 Days or Less are GUARANTEED
to show you a profit!

YESTERDAY'S LEADERS
Top Handicappers   Profit
Anlyedge   $900.00 
Marc Lawrence   $300.00 

CFL - Capper   W/L   %   PROFIT
Anlyedge   5/0   100%   $5000.00
Matt Fargo Sports   4/0   100%   $4000.00
newbie
Activity: 131
Merit: 0
August 09, 2024, 10:40:47 AM
#93
Chicago Cubs vs Chicago White Sox MLB Free Pick 8-9-24
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Matt Fargo Sports Free Pick Chicago White Sox +125

  MLB   08/09   8:10 PM   Chicago Cubs vs Chicago White Sox
  PICK: Chicago White Sox 125
This is a play on the CHICAGO WHITE SOX for our Friday Free Play. The White Sox were able to snap their 21-game losing streak with a 5-1 win over Oakland on Tuesday but lost the series finale and they finally made a managerial move. They fired manager Pedro Grifol and promoted Grady Sizemore as interim manager and this could provide at least a little spark on one of the worst teams in MLB history. There is not much else good to say but we are getting value with the pitching matchup where a quarter of their wins have come from. The Cubs took two of three against Minnesota and have won six of their last eight games to move to within five games in the National League Wild Card but it still may be too much with four teams ahead of them also trying to get in. The offense has been pretty good since the break on the top line but they still are ranked in the bottom half of the league in most metric categories. Since the All Star Break, they have an 89 RC+ which is No. 23. Garrett Crochet had a few bad starts in April but he has been one of the very few bright spots as he has allowed three runs or less in 17 consecutive starts including two runs or less in 15 of those. He is back home where he has been great with a 2.60 ERA and 0.95 WHIP with eight of the 13 starts coming against teams in current playoff positions. The Cubs have struggled against left-handed pitching this season as they have a .692 OPS which is No. 22 with their 22 home runs being the sixth fewest in the league. Chicago is just 8-14 against left-handed starters. Jameson Taillon bounced back from an awful start against the Reds as he allowed one run in six innings against the Cardinals. Overall, his numbers are solid with a 3.25 ERA but it goes to 3.79 in xERA and on the road, he has a 4.08 ERA. He is facing the worst offense in baseball but changes could made with the new skipper in charge. Play (928) Chicago White Sox
Over the last 12 NFL seasons, Fargo has profited in 10 of those with $75,210 in profits and there is no reason to slow down! Action continues Friday! CFL on a 6-1 Run and added to tonight! MLB Double Play Sweeper!


All Packages purchased that are 30 Days or Less are GUARANTEED
to show you a profit!

YESTERDAY'S LEADERS
Top Handicappers   Profit
Damian Sosh   $2000.00 
Anlyedge   $890.00 
Marc Lawrence   $588.00 
James Patrick Sports   $300.00 
Mikhail Kivowitz   $67.00

CAPPERS HOT STREAKS
OVERALL - Capper   W/L   PROFIT
Alan Cashman   10-4   $1071.00
Mikhail Kivowitz   13-3   $7405.00


MLB - Capper   W/L   %   PROFIT
Mikhail Kivowitz   13/3   81%   $7405.00
newbie
Activity: 131
Merit: 0
August 08, 2024, 11:28:04 AM
#92
Brewers Eye Sweep as Frankie Montas Faces Braves in Final Showdown MLB Free Pick 8-8-24
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The Milwaukee Brewers are set to wrap up their series against the Atlanta Braves on Thursday, with newly acquired right-hander Frankie Montas taking the mound. After dominant victories of 10-0 and 8-5, the Brewers are on the verge of a three-game sweep against a slumping Braves team.

The Brewers, who have surged to a six-game lead in the National League Central, are seeking their third consecutive win against the Braves, giving them a 4-2 season series lead. Meanwhile, Atlanta has dropped four straight, tumbling to the third and final NL wild-card spot, clinging to a narrow half-game lead over the New York Mets. Thursday's game marks Montas' 21st start of the season and his second since joining Milwaukee from Cincinnati at the trade deadline.

In his Brewers debut, Montas delivered a solid performance, earning a win against the Washington Nationals by allowing three runs over five-plus innings with five strikeouts and no walks. 'I've been in this spot before,' Montas said postgame. 'The key for me is staying composed and just being myself out there.

Montas faces a formidable test against Atlanta's Charlie Morton, who will start for the Braves. Morton, who has rebounded from a rough outing against the Mets, where he allowed seven runs (five earned) in just 2 2/3 innings, returned to form against Miami on August 1, giving up only an unearned run over six innings.

'I felt good about my delivery and my four-seamer,' Morton commented. 'As long as those are working, I'm confident, even if I give up a few hits. Morton, with a career 5-8 record and 3.91 ERA in 17 starts against Milwaukee, will have to contend with a Brewers lineup that's been red-hot, producing 16 hits in each of the last two games.

Rhys Hoskins has been a standout, extending his hitting streak to 12 games, batting .326 during that span with four home runs and nine RBIs. Joey Ortiz and Jackson Chourio have also been key contributors, going 5-for-8 and 5-for-11, respectively, in the series. Willy Adames, who had a quiet game on Wednesday after a 4-for-5 performance in the opener, has been on fire since July, hitting .310 after a slow start to the season.

Despite Atlanta’s struggles, they showed signs of life on Wednesday by snapping a 24-inning scoreless streak. Austin Riley delivered a double, a home run, and three RBIs, while Orlando Arcia extended his on-base streak to a career-best 19 games. Following Thursday's matinee, the Braves will embark on a 10-game road trip, starting with a series against the Colorado Rockies. The Brewers will head home to begin their own 10-game homestand, opening with a crucial series against the Cincinnati Reds."

Lean Atlanta Braves -130 Listed Pitchers only


All Packages purchased that are 30 Days or Less are GUARANTEED
to show you a profit!

YESTERDAY'S LEADERS
Top Handicappers   Profit
TKwins (Tommy King)   $670.00 
Mikhail Kivowitz   $247.00 

CAPPERS HOT STREAKS
OVERALL - Capper   W/L   PROFIT
Alan Cashman   10-4   $1071.00
Mikhail Kivowitz   12-2   $7338.00


MLB - Capper   W/L   %   PROFIT
Mikhail Kivowitz   12/2   86%   $7338.00
Professors Sports Picks   5/1   83%   $4070.00
newbie
Activity: 131
Merit: 0
August 07, 2024, 12:00:10 PM
#91
Arizona Diamondbacks vs Cleveland Guardians MLB Prediction 8-7-24
https://topsportscappers.com

Matt Fargo Sports Free Pick Cleveland Guardians +105

  MLB   08/07   4:10 PM   Arizona Diamondbacks vs Cleveland Guardians
  PICK: Cleveland Guardians 105
s is a play on the CLEVELAND GUARDIANS GAME TWO for our Wednesday Free Play. This is the second game of the Wednesday doubleheader after last night being rained out. Cleveland had a 5-4 going into the eighth inning on Monday and gave up a two-run home run to Joc Pederson but it was able to tie the game in the bottom of the ninth only to go on to lose in 10 innings. The Guardians have now lost three straight games and coupled with the Twins playing well, their lead in the American League Central is now down to four games. They still have the best record in baseball at 67-45 and are in a good spot tonight and they are 35-18 at home despite the three-game losing streak. Arizona is keeping pace in the National League West as it is 4.5 games behind the Dodgers following its second straight win which has it 6-1 over its last seven games and going back further, the Diamondbacks are 10-2 over their last 12 games. Arizona is a respectable 30-27 on the road with that offense being the strength but their pitching is the issue as their 4.51 road ERA is No. 21 in all of baseball and No. 11 in the National League. Eduardo Rodriguez is finally making his Arizona debut as he was injured during spring training and had a setback so he was shut down for an extended period and this is the rotation piece that Arizona needs for a playoff push. However, this is not the ideal spot to make his debut as he did not make any rehab starts and he was slated to throw 65 pitches in the simulated game which went fine but he will be limited here. He faces a middle of the road Cleveland offense but one that has bashed lefties and are 25-8 against left-handed starters this season. We are not a huge backer of Carlos Carrasco but he coming off a decent effort following a pair of bad outings coming out of the All Star Break. But before that, he went five straight starts where he allowed three runs or less which he has done in 14 of his 20 starts overall and if he can avoid a poor start, he has the benefit of the best bullpen behind him. Play (934) Cleveland Guardians Game Two

On a SOLID 8-2 overall run, Matt has THREE Winners in a Triple Play package as he goes for a PERFECT 3-0 SWEEP so do not miss out! CFL on a 5-1 run and NFL will be back in action with the first full preseason slate!


All Packages purchased that are 30 Days or Less are GUARANTEED
to show you a profit!

YESTERDAY'S LEADERS
Top Handicappers   Profit
Matt Fargo Sports   $2390.00

CAPPERS HOT STREAKS
OVERALL - Capper   W/L   PROFIT
Matt Fargo Sports   8-2   $6770.00
Mikhail Kivowitz   5-0   $2231.00


MLB - Capper   W/L   %   PROFIT
Matt Fargo Sports   6/2   75%   $4390.00
Mikhail Kivowitz   5/0   100%   $2231.00
newbie
Activity: 131
Merit: 0
August 07, 2024, 05:50:35 AM
#90
Boston Red Sox vs Kansas City Royals MLB Prediction 8-7-24
https://topsportscappers.com

Mikhail Kivowitz Free Pick Kansas City Royals -140 Listed Pitchers


All Packages purchased that are 30 Days or Less are GUARANTEED
to show you a profit!

YESTERDAY'S LEADERS
Top Handicappers   Profit
Matt Fargo Sports   $2390.00

CAPPERS HOT STREAKS
OVERALL - Capper   W/L   PROFIT
Matt Fargo Sports   8-2   $6770.00
Mikhail Kivowitz   5-0   $2231.00


MLB - Capper   W/L   %   PROFIT
Matt Fargo Sports   6/2   75%   $4390.00
Mikhail Kivowitz   5/0   100%   $2231.00
newbie
Activity: 131
Merit: 0
August 06, 2024, 05:11:38 PM
#89
Chicago White Sox vs Oakland Athletics 8-6-24
https://topsportscappers.com

Matt Fargo Sports Free Pick Chicago White Sox +166

  MLB   08/06   9:40 PM   Chicago White Sox vs Oakland Athletics
  PICK: Chicago White Sox 166
s is a play on the CHICAGO WHITE SOX for our Tuesday Free Play. We will be using the same philosophy with the White Sox tonight which have has lost 21 straight games, the longest losing streak in baseball in 36 years, and they have tied the all-time American League record for consecutive losses. Teams cannot will themselves to win but this is a record the White Sox do not want to be a part of and this streak is not going to last forever so why not tonight as they catch a break. Prior to last night, 16 of these losses have come against teams currently in playoff spots with the other four against Texas so it has been a brutal stretch. We have been high on Oakland recently as it has been playing well with an offense that has pushed its way up into the top 10 percentile in a lot of categories but when playing on the the Athletics, they have usually been sizable underdogs and now they are big favorites again tonight. Obviously the metrics favor them but we are playing the value in a pitching matchup that does not warrant this number as they got a great effort from JP Sears last night but we do not expect that tonight. Ross Stripling struggled mightily in his first start back in the rotation as he allowed five runs in 5.2 innings against the Angels but did bounce back in his last start as he only one run in 5.2 innings against San Francisco but still got hit with the loss as his offense behind him got nothing against Logan Webb. We played on him in that game as he was a +175 underdog so there was a ton of value there now it is a complete flip as he is as high as a -192 favorite. Jonathan Cannon was a scratch last night and now gets the ball for the White Sox tonight and he has been pitching well, allowing three runs or less in six of his last eight starts and only one of those was truly bad. Overall, he has a 4.11 ERA and 1.27 WHIP with a 4.22 xERA so he is pitching to expectations and faces an Oakland offense that did score five runs but has been falling off after a great July. Play (973) Chicago White Sox

On a SOLID 6-2 overall run, Matt has THREE Winners in a Triple Play package as he goes for a PERFECT 3-0 SWEEP so do not miss out! CFL on a 5-1 run and NFL will be back in action with the first full preseason slate!

All Packages purchased that are 30 Days or Less are GUARANTEED
to show you a profit!

YESTERDAY'S LEADERS
Top Handicappers   Profit
Anlyedge   $2640.00 
Mikhail Kivowitz   $315.00

CAPPERS HOT STREAKS
OVERALL - Capper   W/L   PROFIT
Anlyedge   4-0   $4100.00
Matt Fargo Sports   5-2   $3000.00
Mikhail Kivowitz   5-0   $2231.00


MLB - Capper   W/L   %   PROFIT
Mikhail Kivowitz   5/0   100%   $2231.0
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